Jump to content

If the Eagles lose by around 100 points and we win....


Bring-Back-Powell

Recommended Posts

I've had the calculator out, and it's very much dependent on the amount of scoring tomorrow. If we score 100 points, then if we win by 18 points, then we stay on the bottom, but if we win by 19, we move to 15th. If we score 135 points (ha!), a one-point win would suffice. If we only score 75 points however, we'd have to keep Richmond to 43 to move up to 15th. You get the picture. The higher the scores, the less we have to win by to move up to 15th. In reality, we're probably looking at 2-4 goals. I'll have my phone calculator handy if we're up in the last quarter though.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Here's a timesaver guys... via the magic of excel i have calculated all the permutations for you.

Our total score, the margin required at that score, our resulting percentage, and the difference in percentage between WCE and MFC.

marginsah3.th.jpg

Print it out and bring it to the game! Show your friends! Wave it in the air when we're 4 goals up with 94 points on the board!

Please note, red shaded sections = impossible to avoid spoon.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Here's a timesaver guys... via the magic of excel i have calculated all the permutations for you.

Our total score, the margin required at that score, our resulting percentage, and the difference in percentage between WCE and MFC.

marginsah3.th.jpg

Print it out and bring it to the game! Show your friends! Wave it in the air when we're 4 goals up with 94 points on the board!

Please note, red shaded sections = impossible to avoid spoon.

And if we were to win 82 - 54 there would be a tie between Melbourne and West Coast for last place as the percentages would be identical. Interesting.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

i havent supported the bottom team for the whole year for only three wins to have a team come in and take the power away from us, especially when they are trying to trade their best player for 2 top 10 draft picks.

i can only hope that we, in the last untainted draft for a while, trade for some draft picks ala the hawks

Link to comment
Share on other sites

And if we were to win 82 - 54 there would be a tie between Melbourne and West Coast for last place as the percentages would be identical. Interesting.

I'd love to see what the AFL would use to designate 15th and 16th in that situation. Would it be the first team to reach the 4 wins? Highest number of points involved in winning margins? Most goals kicked?

Looking at allthestats.com:

Melb:

avg points for = 75

avg points against = 118

Rich

avg points for = 100

avg points against = 107

so if we average melb average points for vs rich avg points against and vice versa....

we get Melb 91 vs Richmond 109.

15 WCE 65.88%

16 MELB 64.83%

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'd love to see what the AFL would use to designate 15th and 16th in that situation. Would it be the first team to reach the 4 wins? Highest number of points involved in winning margins? Most goals kicked?

Looking at allthestats.com:

Melb:

avg points for = 75

avg points against = 118

Rich

avg points for = 100

avg points against = 107

so if we average melb average points for vs rich avg points against and vice versa....

we get Melb 91 vs Richmond 109.

15 WCE 65.88%

16 MELB 64.83%

I'm pretty sure the AFL has a tiebreak system whereas the two teams involved are compared with their matches played against each other. We only played once in which we won, so if such an instance occured, we would overtake WC. If we played each other twice, with one win each, it would probably be greatest winning margin or whoever scored the most points as an away team.

Link to comment
Share on other sites


Guest fatty
I'm pretty sure the AFL has a tiebreak system whereas the two teams involved are compared with their matches played against each other.

Where on Earth did you pull that from? I just reckon they'd go to the nth decimal point.

I think we'll get thumped today, but have the MFC and WCE already met?

No.1 pick is the Ace but if its already been agreed between the two clubs then the result is moot.

Or do they wait until draft camp?

I have no idea. I'm confident the "smart" people on this board already know.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Considering our greatest winning margin is 34 points and the only other two wins were by a goal or less the chances of thumping the Tiges today are pretty minimal but then I have awful memories of last game last year when we played ourselves out of our skins and won a game that normally we would never have won.

I dont know.... I want the #1 pick.. it gives us bargaining power, first choice but I want to win too so here it is... we win by a goal or two max in a thriller

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Considering our greatest winning margin is 34 points and the only other two wins were by a goal or less the chances of thumping the Tiges today are pretty minimal but then I have awful memories of last game last year when we played ourselves out of our skins and won a game that normally we would never have won.

I dont know.... I want the #1 pick.. it gives us bargaining power, first choice but I want to win too so here it is... we win by a goal or two max in a thriller

A few showers to help make it a low scoring afffair would help us then. We could still win by a couple of goals and keep pick 1 (not that 1 or 2 are going to make much of a difference because we're probably not going for the same player anyway).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Here's a timesaver guys... via the magic of excel i have calculated all the permutations for you.

Our total score, the margin required at that score, our resulting percentage, and the difference in percentage between WCE and MFC.

marginsah3.th.jpg

Print it out and bring it to the game! Show your friends! Wave it in the air when we're 4 goals up with 94 points on the board!

Please note, red shaded sections = impossible to avoid spoon.

whats the green then?? meaning we win the spoon? because in some of them they have higher percentages than weagles :S im confused

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
  • Demonland Forums  

  • Match Previews, Reports & Articles  

    GAMEDAY: Rd 10 vs West Coast

    It's Game Day and the Demons have returned to the site of their drought breaking Premiership to take on the West Coast Eagles in what could very well be a danger game for Narrm at Optus Stadium. A win and a percentage boost will keep the Dees in top four contention whilst a loss will cast doubt on the Dees flag credentials and bring them back to the pack fighting for a spot in the 8 as we fast approach the halfway point of the season.

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 1

    WARNING by William from Waalitj

    As a long term resident of Waalitj Marawar, I am moved to warn my fellow Narrm fans that a  danger game awaits. The locals are no longer the easybeats who stumbled, fumbled and bumbled their way to the good fortune of gathering the number one draft pick and a generational player in Harley Reid last year. They are definitely better than they were then.   Young Harley has already proven his worth with some stellar performances for a first year kid playing among men. He’s taken hangers, k

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 20

    OVER YET? by KC from Casey

    The Friday evening rush hour clash of two of the VFL’s 2024 minnows, Carlton and the Casey Demons was excruciatingly painful to watch, even if it was for the most part a close encounter. I suppose that since the game had to produce a result (a tie would have done the game some justice), the four points that went to Casey with the win, were fully justified because they went to the best team. In that respect, my opinion is based on the fact that the Blues were a lopsided combination that had

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Casey Articles

    CENTIMETRES by Whispering Jack

    Our game is one where the result is often decided by centimetres; the touch of a fingernail, a split-second decision made by a player or official, the angle of vision or the random movement of an oblong ball in flight or in its bounce and trajectory. There is one habit that Melbourne seems to have developed of late in its games against Carlton which is that the Demons keep finding themselves on the wrong end of the stick in terms of the fine line in close games at times when centimetres mak

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Match Reports

    PREGAME: Rd 10 vs West Coast

    The Demons have a 10 day break before they head on the road to Perth to take on the West Coast Eagles at Optus Stadium on Sunday. Who comes in and who goes out?

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 527

    PODCAST: Rd 09 vs Carlton

    The Demonland Podcast will air LIVE on Sunday, 12th May @ 8:30pm. Join George, Binman & I as we analyse the Demons loss at the MCG against the Blues in the Round 09. You questions and comments are a huge part of our podcast so please post anything you want to ask or say below and we'll give you a shout out on the show. If you would like to leave us a voicemail please call 03 9016 3666 and don't worry no body answers so you don't have to talk to a human. Listen & Chat LIVE:

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 30

    VOTES: Rd 09 vs Carlton

    Last week Captain Max Gawn consolidated his lead over reigning champion Christian Petracca in the Demonland Player of the Year Award. Steven May, Jake Lever, Jack Viney & Clayton Oliver make up the Top 5. Your votes for the loss against the Blues. 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1.

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 39

    POSTGAME: Rd 09 vs Carlton

    The Demons were blown out of the water in the first quarter and clawed their way back into the contest but it was a case of too little too late as they lost another close one to Carlton losing by 1 point at the MCG.  

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 486

    GAMEDAY: Rd 09 vs Carlton

    It's Game Day and the Demons are once again headlining another blockbuster at the MCG to kick off the round of footy. The Dees take on the Blues and have the opportunity to win their third game on the trot to solidify a spot in the Top 4 in addition to handing the Blues their third consecutive defeat to bundle them out of the Top 8.

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 959
  • Tell a friend

    Love Demonland? Tell a friend!
×
×
  • Create New...