The Brownlow Predictor

[Little Richard 6,265]

The AFL Brownlow predictor currently has our skipper in second place, behind Lachie Neale. 

Do we think he could win it this year? He hasn't polled as well as expected in previous years, partly due to the intense focus on midfielders over any other position IMO. Maybe this will be the year though...

Brownlow predictor as it currently stands:

13 - Lachie Neale (Brisbane)
10 - Max Gawn (Melbourne)
9 - Matt Rowell (Gold Coast)
8 - Toby Greene (GWS Giants)
8 - Travis Boak (Port Adelaide)
8 - Jack Steele (St Kilda)
7 - Dylan Shiel (Essendon)
7 - Chad Wingard (Hawthorn)
7 - Mitch Duncan (Geelong)

https://www.afl.com.au/news/476685/brownlow-predictor-the-shock-contender-challenging-lions-star

[Lucifers Hero 40,489]

Do they explain how the voting works?  Is it on stats?

Given that Petracca has had several BOG and 2nd BOG from multiple coaches it is a surprise he isn't in the top 3.   Worse, he is missing altogether ?

Edited July 28, 2020 by Lucifer's Hero

[Little Richard 6,265]

4 minutes ago, Lucifer's Hero said:

Do they explain how the voting works?  Is it on stats?

Given that Petracca has had several BOG and 2nd BOG from multiple coaches it is a surprise he isn't in the top 3.

Not sure how it works. I agree, it's interesting that Petracca is actually third in the betting odds though.

[ProperDee 1,698]

I'd love to see Maxy win it obviously but Neale is going really well, is an umpires favourite and with possibly only Zorko to take votes away from him.  Of the others, I think the only danger (based on those listed) is Boak.  Rowell is out of contention of course and Toby Greene will probably shoot himself in the foot (or use his foot to shoot himself in the foot....).

[Gorgoroth 13,144]

Trac would be ahead of Gawn, no doubt about it. Except the umps are doing the votes so it actually probably Lockhart on 18 votes

[Hellofatime 84]

Toby Greene?  Are you serious?  He would be sitting at the same table as dipper and all the other thugs!

[Swooper1987 3,322]

1 hour ago, Gorgoroth said:

Trac would be ahead of Gawn, no doubt about it. Except the umps are doing the votes so it actually probably Lockhart on 18 votes

Gawn was second favourite two years ago and Brayshaw outpolled him, albeit 21 to 20. I think Gawn's season has been underrated here.  The Age player of the year is a pretty accurate guide as a rule and Gawn is polling very well in that.  Second or third from memory.  He's in the top few in the Herald Sun award as well.  The coaches have Tracc in second place and Gawn around 10th. When we win Gawn is always a chance to poll 3's.  I believe Tracc has barely ever polled a Brownlow vote.  Be interesting to see whenever they count them.

[Ted Lasso 19,549]

I feel like short of an injury or suspension Lachie Neale is going to win the brownlow by a fair margin

 

[P-man 13,366]

Did lol at Chad Wingard.

[doc roet 1,302]

20 hours ago, Luther said:

Not sure how it works. I agree, it's interesting that Petracca is actually third in the betting odds though.

yep, good luck to those who got on at 501/1 before the first practice match in Feb.  Paying 11's now.

[Little Richard 6,265]

2 hours ago, P-man said:

Did lol at Chad Wingard.

Yeah... not sure if I've just missed the Hawks match reports entirely but I haven't heard a peep from him all season.

[Lucifers Hero 40,489]

19 hours ago, Swooper1987 said:

Gawn was second favourite two years ago and Brayshaw outpolled him, albeit 21 to 20. I think Gawn's season has been underrated here.  The Age player of the year is a pretty accurate guide as a rule and Gawn is polling very well in that.  Second or third from memory.  He's in the top few in the Herald Sun award as well.  The coaches have Tracc in second place and Gawn around 10th. When we win Gawn is always a chance to poll 3's.  I believe Tracc has barely ever polled a Brownlow vote.  Be interesting to see whenever they count them.

Is there a link to The Age votes?  Cheers.

[Swooper1987 3,322]

5 hours ago, Lucifer's Hero said:

Is there a link to The Age votes?  Cheers.

I can't find one.  It's usually in the paper every Monday.

[whatwhat say what 23,122]

12 hours ago, P-man said:

Did lol at Chad Wingard.

arguably bog in two wins for them

[P-man 13,366]

1 hour ago, whatwhatsaywhat said:

arguably bog in two wins for them

No doubt, but just the thought of the Chad winning Charlie amuses me.

[Pennant St Dee 13,327]

17 hours ago, P-man said:

Did lol at Chad Wingard.

 

14 hours ago, Luther said:

Yeah... not sure if I've just missed the Hawks match reports entirely but I haven't heard a peep from him all season.

Was very good against Richmond and Brisbane 

[adonski 12,627]

Game in hand too....

[Swooper1987 3,322]

On 7/29/2020 at 8:45 AM, Lucifer's Hero said:

Is there a link to The Age votes?  Cheers.

Haven't got a link but the totals after the last round are:

Neale 61

Gawn 46

Goldstein 45

Steele 42

Macrae 38

Parker 37

Gaff 37

Higgins 36

Pendlebury 36

Naitanui 35

That's the top 10.  Petracca is on 30 with Boak and Tim Kelly.

[Pickett2Jackson 3,904]

On 7/28/2020 at 9:58 AM, Luther said:

The AFL Brownlow predictor currently has our skipper in second place, behind Lachie Neale. 

Do we think he could win it this year? He hasn't polled as well as expected in previous years, partly due to the intense focus on midfielders over any other position IMO. Maybe this will be the year though...

Brownlow predictor as it currently stands:

13 - Lachie Neale (Brisbane)
10 - Max Gawn (Melbourne)
9 - Matt Rowell (Gold Coast)
8 - Toby Greene (GWS Giants)
8 - Travis Boak (Port Adelaide)
8 - Jack Steele (St Kilda)
7 - Dylan Shiel (Essendon)
7 - Chad Wingard (Hawthorn)
7 - Mitch Duncan (Geelong)

https://www.afl.com.au/news/476685/brownlow-predictor-the-shock-contender-challenging-lions-star

 

Update  https://www.afl.com.au/brownlow-medal/predictor

 Trac and Clarry have rocketed up the charts while Maxy hasn't moved due to injury and his two dominant mids  both firing up.

 

Lachie Neale																			20
Travis Boak																			13
Christian Petracca																			12
Max Gawn																			10
Tom Hawkins																			10
Clayton Oliver																			9
Dustin Martin																			9
Josh J Kennedy																			9
Matt Rowell																			9
Nic Naitanui																			9
Zak Jones																			9

Edited August 20, 2020 by Pickett2Jackson

[Swooper1987 3,322]

Neale's to lose really.  He's had an amazing season.  Great effort by the three Melbourne boys - especially Oliver in recent times.

[Cheesy D. Pun 1,765]

I'm on Petracca with Dees to make to make the 8 @120/1. Need Neale to fall over at this stage - even then it's anyone's guess.