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The Brownlow Predictor

Little Richard

By Little Richard
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Little Richard Trident

Little Richard   6,220

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The AFL Brownlow predictor currently has our skipper in second place, behind Lachie Neale. 

Do we think he could win it this year? He hasn't polled as well as expected in previous years, partly due to the intense focus on midfielders over any other position IMO. Maybe this will be the year though...

Brownlow predictor as it currently stands:

13 - Lachie Neale (Brisbane)
10 - Max Gawn (Melbourne)
9 - Matt Rowell (Gold Coast)
8 - Toby Greene (GWS Giants)
8 - Travis Boak (Port Adelaide)
8 - Jack Steele (St Kilda)
7 - Dylan Shiel (Essendon)
7 - Chad Wingard (Hawthorn)
7 - Mitch Duncan (Geelong)

https://www.afl.com.au/news/476685/brownlow-predictor-the-shock-contender-challenging-lions-star

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Lucifers Hero Legend

Lucifers Hero   39,075

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Posted (edited)

Do they explain how the voting works?  Is it on stats?

Given that Petracca has had several BOG and 2nd BOG from multiple coaches it is a surprise he isn't in the top 3.   Worse, he is missing altogether ?

Edited by Lucifer's Hero
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Little Richard Trident

Little Richard   6,220

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4 minutes ago, Lucifer's Hero said:

Do they explain how the voting works?  Is it on stats?

Given that Petracca has had several BOG and 2nd BOG from multiple coaches it is a surprise he isn't in the top 3.

Not sure how it works. I agree, it's interesting that Petracca is actually third in the betting odds though.

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ProperDee Mighty Demon

ProperDee   1,698

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I'd love to see Maxy win it obviously but Neale is going really well, is an umpires favourite and with possibly only Zorko to take votes away from him.  Of the others, I think the only danger (based on those listed) is Boak.  Rowell is out of contention of course and Toby Greene will probably shoot himself in the foot (or use his foot to shoot himself in the foot....).

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Swooper1987 Redleg

Swooper1987   3,322

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1 hour ago, Gorgoroth said:

Trac would be ahead of Gawn, no doubt about it. Except the umps are doing the votes so it actually probably Lockhart on 18 votes

Gawn was second favourite two years ago and Brayshaw outpolled him, albeit 21 to 20. I think Gawn's season has been underrated here.  The Age player of the year is a pretty accurate guide as a rule and Gawn is polling very well in that.  Second or third from memory.  He's in the top few in the Herald Sun award as well.  The coaches have Tracc in second place and Gawn around 10th. When we win Gawn is always a chance to poll 3's.  I believe Tracc has barely ever polled a Brownlow vote.  Be interesting to see whenever they count them.

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doc roet Redleg

doc roet   1,287

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20 hours ago, Luther said:

Not sure how it works. I agree, it's interesting that Petracca is actually third in the betting odds though.

yep, good luck to those who got on at 501/1 before the first practice match in Feb.  Paying 11's now.

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Lucifers Hero Legend

Lucifers Hero   39,075

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19 hours ago, Swooper1987 said:

Gawn was second favourite two years ago and Brayshaw outpolled him, albeit 21 to 20. I think Gawn's season has been underrated here.  The Age player of the year is a pretty accurate guide as a rule and Gawn is polling very well in that.  Second or third from memory.  He's in the top few in the Herald Sun award as well.  The coaches have Tracc in second place and Gawn around 10th. When we win Gawn is always a chance to poll 3's.  I believe Tracc has barely ever polled a Brownlow vote.  Be interesting to see whenever they count them.

Is there a link to The Age votes?  Cheers.

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Pennant St Dee Trident

Pennant St Dee   12,816

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17 hours ago, P-man said:

Did lol at Chad Wingard.

 

14 hours ago, Luther said:

Yeah... not sure if I've just missed the Hawks match reports entirely but I haven't heard a peep from him all season.

Was very good against Richmond and Brisbane 

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Swooper1987 Redleg

Swooper1987   3,322

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On 7/29/2020 at 8:45 AM, Lucifer's Hero said:

Is there a link to The Age votes?  Cheers.

Haven't got a link but the totals after the last round are:

Neale 61

Gawn 46

Goldstein 45

Steele 42

Macrae 38

Parker 37

Gaff 37

Higgins 36

Pendlebury 36

Naitanui 35

That's the top 10.  Petracca is on 30 with Boak and Tim Kelly.

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  • 3 weeks later...
Pickett2Jackson Redleg

Pickett2Jackson   3,904

Posted
Posted (edited)
On 7/28/2020 at 9:58 AM, Luther said:

The AFL Brownlow predictor currently has our skipper in second place, behind Lachie Neale. 

Do we think he could win it this year? He hasn't polled as well as expected in previous years, partly due to the intense focus on midfielders over any other position IMO. Maybe this will be the year though...

Brownlow predictor as it currently stands:

13 - Lachie Neale (Brisbane)
10 - Max Gawn (Melbourne)
9 - Matt Rowell (Gold Coast)
8 - Toby Greene (GWS Giants)
8 - Travis Boak (Port Adelaide)
8 - Jack Steele (St Kilda)
7 - Dylan Shiel (Essendon)
7 - Chad Wingard (Hawthorn)
7 - Mitch Duncan (Geelong)

https://www.afl.com.au/news/476685/brownlow-predictor-the-shock-contender-challenging-lions-star

 

Update  https://www.afl.com.au/brownlow-medal/predictor

 Trac and Clarry have rocketed up the charts while Maxy hasn't moved due to injury and his two dominant mids  both firing up.

 

Lachie Neale                                     20
Travis Boak                                     13
Christian Petracca                                     12
Max Gawn                                     10
Tom Hawkins                                     10
Clayton Oliver                                     9
Dustin Martin                                     9
Josh J Kennedy                                     9
Matt Rowell                                     9
Nic Naitanui                                     9
Zak Jones                                     9
Edited by Pickett2Jackson
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Cheesy D. Pun Redleg

Cheesy D. Pun   1,762

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I'm on Petracca with Dees to make to make the 8 @120/1. Need Neale to fall over at this stage - even then it's anyone's guess.

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