Ladder predictor

[Ethan Tremblay 30,970]

We will finish sixth, lock it in Eddie. 

[Nasher 33,617]

1 hour ago, MSFebey said:

We've only got ourselves to blame Layzie

Speak for yourself. I apportion 0% of the blame to myself for the club’s position. 

[SFebes 4,884]

Just now, Nasher said:

Speak for yourself. I apportion 0% of the blame to myself for the club’s position. 

Well played Sir! I must've been brainwashed by Dr.Who, my bad.

[The Chazz 4,077]

1 hour ago, MSFebey said:

We've only got ourselves to blame Layzie

If Hawthorn drop out, will the blame the Brisbane loss for them missing out?  If Geelong drop out, will they blame the Bulldogs loss?  If Sydney drop out, will they blame the Gold Coast loss?

Every one of the teams that are in the "at risk" area have lost games they shouldn't have.  Other than the bottom couple, anyone can beat anyone on their day (even one of the bottom ones, Gold Coast, beat a potential finalist last week).  The top sides seem to find a way to win these games, which is why they are a top side.  We're not a top side...yet...

[SFebes 4,884]

12 minutes ago, The Chazz said:

If Hawthorn drop out, will the blame the Brisbane loss for them missing out?  If Geelong drop out, will they blame the Bulldogs loss?  If Sydney drop out, will they blame the Gold Coast loss?

Every one of the teams that are in the "at risk" area have lost games they shouldn't have.  Other than the bottom couple, anyone can beat anyone on their day (even one of the bottom ones, Gold Coast, beat a potential finalist last week).  The top sides seem to find a way to win these games, which is why they are a top side.  We're not a top side...yet...

I don't really care what those sides think, our mistakes are the same as they were last year, slow learners. But yes I agree, but we can win it and we won't get a better op than this year, most sides are mediocre bar Tiges.

Edited July 27, 2018 by MSFebey

[Frustrated Demon 244]

For some reason I have us finishing outside the 8 on 11 wins. If we dont win this week then we are cactus. Cant see us beating the swans or GWS. I feel that this year is going to hurt a lot more than last year. So hope I am wrong.

[Straight Sets Simon 23,113]

 

[binman 43,813]

2 hours ago, Nasher said:

Speak for yourself. I apportion 0% of the blame to myself for the club’s position. 

Soft. It is supporters like you that have us trapped in a veil of mediocrity 

[SFebes 4,884]

10 minutes ago, Clint Bizkit said:

 

Wowsers. As I keep saying, we've beaten no one. Last year I had more confidence.

[whatwhat say what 22,948]

that is an appalling record

[HBDee 369]

Lucky the Crows aren't in the top 8 then........

[beelzebub 23,383]

41 minutes ago, Clint Bizkit said:

 

Not a pretty picture by any view.

[The Chazz 4,077]

49 minutes ago, Clint Bizkit said:

 

This is obviously as of today's ladder.  When we beat North and Adelaide, they were both in the 8.

[junk 342]

If we beat the crows this week, does still mean we havn't beaten anyone? An away win surely must count.

[The Chazz 4,077]

3 minutes ago, ENYAW said:

If we beat the crows this week, does still mean we havn't beaten anyone? An away win surely must count.

For many it won't mean anything as they will spin it so that Adelaide isn't deemed "a scalp".  The fact they aren't in the 8 currently will add ammo to their case.

It's just the type of operators some are.  I'm glad I'm not like them.

[sue 9,145]

46 minutes ago, binman said:

Soft. It is supporters like you that have us trapped in a veil of mediocrity 

And what action taken by our supporters would have made any difference?  Microwaving membership cards?

Personally while I hang onto just a thread of hope for this year, I think the future looks bright.  All I ask is a competitive team and we seem to have one now.  Placing all one's hopes in terms of a flag is a recipe for disappointment.  After all, crude statistics says a team will win a flag once in every 18 years.  A couple of sigma on that will mean no flag in a lifetime is quite likely. 

Feel free to attribute our lack of success to my attitude. I revel in my unexpected powers.

[jnrmac 20,189]

On 7/16/2018 at 8:00 PM, Bonkers said:

We have only scored below 90 points three times this season. If we defend well we have a very good chance of winning 3 of the remaining games. 

You go it.

[jnrmac 20,189]

18 minutes ago, The Chazz said:

For many it won't mean anything as they will spin it so that Adelaide isn't deemed "a scalp".  The fact they aren't in the 8 currently will add ammo to their case.

It's just the type of operators some are.  I'm glad I'm not like them.

It doesn't take a genious to work out that if you make finals you have to play teams that are in the eight.

But the Pollyanna's don't care about that. I sometimes envy them because life is all sweetness and light.

[jnrmac 20,189]

1 hour ago, Clint Bizkit said:

 

But but I thought we had a good game plan that will stand us in good stead in the finals....

[beelzebub 23,383]

1 hour ago, ENYAW said:

If we beat the crows this week, does still mean we havn't beaten anyone? An away win surely must count.

If you beat Adelaide....in Adelaide. You've done well.

Never a particularly easy road trip.

[Adam The God 30,421]

4 hours ago, MSFebey said:

Wowsers. As I keep saying, we've beaten no one. Last year I had more confidence.

Collingwood though... have only beaten one top 8 team. 

I find all this a little bizarre, but I have us beating Adelaide and the Gold Coast and missing out by a game. 

[titan_uranus 25,045]

9 hours ago, Clint Bizkit said:

If we beat Adelaide I give us a 40% chance of making finals, if we lose I think it will about 10%.

I think if we win our prospects are better than 40%.

We'd likely then only need to beat GC and then one of the last three. I'd like to think we can go 1-2 through the final three games.

8 hours ago, MSFebey said:

I think that's where my frustration is, I have full belief we can take a flag home this year, but we keep making the same crucial mistakes, easy goals out the back was an issue last year too, Lever going down was big but coverable IMO. Who knows, we may hit some form, but we've lost 4 of the last 6 now, could well be 5 of the last 7.

The frustration for mine will be when we miss, it will be by a small margin yet again, and another year in which we have clearly obvious games we should (not could) have won (Geelong x 2 being the two main ones).

5 hours ago, Clint Bizkit said:

 

It's amazing that we've only had to play the 7 members of the other top 8 4 times in the first 17 games.

Of course, Collingwood have only had one more game than us and their only win was against us. Yet they're premiership contenders and we're pretenders.

4 hours ago, jnrmac said:

It doesn't take a genious to work out that if you make finals you have to play teams that are in the eight.

But the Pollyanna's don't care about that. I sometimes envy them because life is all sweetness and light.

Actually, we can make the finals without improving that record.

Beat Adelaide this week (currently out of the 8), beat GC, and by the time we play Sydney they could be out of the 8 (lose tonight and to Collingwood next week). Beat them too and we get to 13 without any of those wins being against the current top 8.

[The Chazz 4,077]

4 hours ago, jnrmac said:

It doesn't take a genious to work out that if you make finals you have to play teams that are in the eight.

But the Pollyanna's don't care about that. I sometimes envy them because life is all sweetness and light.

It's totally possible that we can beat Adelaide, Gold Coast and Sydney in the run home, and end the year in the finals without beating any other team that's playing finals.

That would do some heads in on this site.

[monoccular 17,575]

7 hours ago, Clint Bizkit said:

 

OMG that is damning, and frankly very depressing.

It will need a prodigious improvement in attitude and application to get anywhere remotely near finals. 

[Bonkers 994]

29 minutes ago, monoccular said:

OMG that is damning, and frankly very depressing.

It will need a prodigious improvement in attitude and application to get anywhere remotely near finals. 

I don't think it's damning. We've lost to 3 top sides (geel x 2 and Port) all by very close margins. It could easily have been 3 wins from 4 games against top 8 sides and we'd be sitting second on the ladder. 

I'd say it's frustrating that they aren't where we'd like them to be. Frustrating that they haven't taken the next step in the close games and evolved to be able to get the job done.

The attitude is there just not the right application. They haven't matured to the level they need to, to be taken seriously as a finals contender yet. If they make finals from the position they're in at the moment, they will have earnt the right to be considered a threat. 

The next 5 games will tell us everything about this group. I hope that they make it because I don't know how many more chances players like Jones, Lewis and Vince will have left to give September a shake. Replacing them could be difficult and may take us a step backward.