NON-MFC: Rd 15 2023

[Demonland 72,193]

Who are you tipping this week and what are the best results for the Demons?

[layzie 33,805]

Honestly thought the bye rounds were over. Makes tonight even sillier. 

[Jaded No More 68,915]

A few good results would be:

- Saints beat Lions 

- Bombers beat Freo 

- Adelaide beat Pies

 

[Demonland 72,193]

24 minutes ago, layzie said:

Honestly thought the bye rounds were over. Makes tonight even sillier. 

MCG on Saturday:

[dl4e 5,851]

MFCSS

saints

sydney

bombers

filth

gold coast

[whatwhat say what 22,757]

only really the one certainty, you'd think, this round

• them?
• bears?
• bloods
• peptides?
• filth?
• gc17?  

[Deebauched 1,220]

dees.  theyll be focused tonight

lions  .never trust stkilda

swans. hilarious

bombers . love to see them go out in Elim final

Daicos  All stars

Hawks.  never back Suns again after last week

[layzie 33,805]

If the Saints can get a W it will help a lot of their confidence, if they can't then they're still just another Joe Blow team in the bottom half of the 8. 

[Demonland 72,193]

[Bombay Airconditioning 6,395]

I’ve tipped Collingwood but I think the Crows will fancy themselves here. 

[Demonland 72,193]

12 minutes ago, Bombay Airconditioning said:

I’ve tipped Collingwood but I think the Crows will fancy themselves here. 

Not in Melbourne.

[Bombay Airconditioning 6,395]

Just now, Demonland said:

Not in Melbourne.

Can’t argue with that at all, I was just looking back through the games, all be it at home bad kicking cost them victory last time they met. Will be a cracking game to watch. Crows have some gun fwds and mids, not sure how their defence will hold up though.

[Guest]

GO SAINTS!!!!

Am I the only one watching this match? 😁

[ANG13 2,063]

6 minutes ago, WalkingCivilWar said:

GO SAINTS!!!!

Am I the only one watching this match? 😁

No

[At Least I Saw a Flag 5,246]

I don't that top 2 is a realistic hope for the Dees. Lions are certain to finish top 4 by reason of their likely home wins.

Accordingly, I prefer that teams pushing for 4th place on the ladder lose ... read St Kilda!! 

[binman 42,970]

Oh, wow. Color me shocked.

Lions look so much more energised this week. So much more run.

It's like they are a completely different team to the listless lions that limped to loss against the hawks.

Just an off game last week I guess.

Glad I backed them

[ANG13 2,063]

Would love to see the pressure ratings so far. 

[Bring-Back-Powell 14,832]

1 minute ago, binman said:

Oh, wow. Color me shocked.

Lions look so much more energised this week. So much more run.

It's like they are a completely different team to the listless lions that limped to loss against the hawks.

Just an off game last week I guess.

Glad I backed them

So based on your theory you can get some serious value next week on Essendon beating Port, Hawthorn beating Carlton and Fremantle beating Dogs. All underdogs. Multi paying $18.

[ANG13 2,063]

31 minutes ago, WalkingCivilWar said:

GO SAINTS!!!!

Am I the only one watching this match? 😁

You might be soon though if the Saints don’t improve quickly. 

[At Least I Saw a Flag 5,246]

The Saints' strategy of kicking the ball to Harris Andrews isn't proving overly effective.

[Ethan Tremblay 30,861]

Two goals to half time in perfect conditions. Pathetic. 

Edited June 23, 2023 by Ethan Tremblay

[binman 42,970]

1 hour ago, Bring-Back-Powell said:

So based on your theory you can get some serious value next week on Essendon beating Port, Hawthorn beating Carlton and Fremantle beating Dogs. All underdogs. Multi paying $18.

That's not my theory behind backing the lions. 

I knew the lions would be running over the ground in their third game after their bye.

The lions are a much better side than the sainsts (who, by the by, had their bye three weeks ago so should also not be fatgued).

And the docklands doesn't expose their lack of pace like the G.

The lions should have been shorter odds in my opinion - and the main reason they weren't is their post bye performance against the hawks

I rarely back the win, almost always the line, and my assessment was minus five points line @ 1.90 represented excellent value.

Similarly, the minus five points line @ 1.90 for freo tommorow night against the bombers also represents excellent value - because they were so poor against the giants due to fatigue.

In fact it is probably even better value than the lions bet - freo are playing their second post match ground (and like the lions will be running on top of the ground) and the bombers are coming off their bye.

Edited June 23, 2023 by binman

[Bring-Back-Powell 14,832]

8 minutes ago, binman said:

That's not my theory behind backing the lions. 

I knew the lions would be running over the ground in their second game after their bye.

The lions are a much better side than the sainsts (who, by the by, had their bye three weeks ago so should also not be fatgued).

And the docklands doesn't expose their lack of pace like the G.

The lions should have been shorter odds in my opinion - and the main reason they weren't is their post bye performance against the hawks

I rarely back the win, almost always the line, and my assessment was minus five points line @ 1.90 represented excellent value.

Similarly, the minus five points line @ 1.90 for freo tommorow night against the bombers also represents excellent value.

In fact it is probaly even better value than the lions bet - freo are playing their second post match ground (and like the lions will be running on top of the ground) and the bombers are coming off their bye.

I thought you were intimating the struggles post bye. Every “fresh” club has lost thus far, including Brisbane’s loss to Hawthorn.

Those 3 games I mentioned for next week, I’m sure at least one or two outsiders will salute based on the post bye theory.

Edited June 23, 2023 by Bring-Back-Powell

[binman 42,970]

12 minutes ago, Bring-Back-Powell said:

I thought you were intimating the struggles post bye. Every “fresh” club has lost thus far, including Brisbane’s loss to Hawthorn.

Those 3 games I mentioned for next week, I’m sure at least one or two outsiders will salute based on the post bye theory.

No you're right, all are good value because of the post bye factor.

But what I'm saying is many punters will have marked the lions down because they were poor against the hawks.

But got the symptoms right, but the diagnosis of the problem wrong - the key factor in their loss was fatgue. Same for freo.

A good recipie for value.

Edited June 23, 2023 by binman

[McQueen 17,864]

Scoring has really started to dry up as clubs have gone to work on one-another’s game plan and strategies.