Looking ahead ... the Path to September

[Dr. Gonzo 24,311]

Just now, Dappa Dan said:

Exactly what I said before round 5. Tigers are terrible (and they are, I agree with you there).

And I DID put the house on it. lol

Haha - ok with the caveat that as long as we don't get decimated by injuries. 

[Dappa Dan 2,188]

Just now, Dr. Gonzo said:

Haha - ok with the caveat that as long as we don't get decimated by injuries. 

Lol. Yup.

[Skuit 10,031]

Home: Richmond

Away: Richmond

[Pates 9,660]

Given our injury run we've actually done well to ride out done very difficult patches, it's now laid out for us with lots of very winnable games against lesser teams. 

I'm still not counting my chickens yet, call it MFCSS or whatever, but ultimately it's in the players hands. They have the ability to take it to any team on their day, and their starting to get that synergy that good teams have. 

Lets show it against the Roos, bury one of the last of those stupid hoodoos, and keep the other top 8 teams on notice. Mess up and we're right behind you. 

[furious d 472]

10 hours ago, DemonWA said:

'Relax, we've got this'

Roos and lions are the bottom sides on thr ladder because they are garbage. If we deserve finals we should also beat Pies and Saints. 

Dare to dream

If we miss finals I'll blame you DWA, why tempt fate like that? My most hated 4 words in the english language. You want to block offensive content @Demonland I'd have that 4 word combo at the top of the list.

Seriously though, anyone who'd rather play Richmond than Port in the finals hasn't been watching this season. The Tiger aren't that bad a side, a bit inconsistent like us but they're better than Port, West Coast, the Bulldogs, St Kilda and Essendon. 

3 of the top 4 losing this week has blown the premiership race open. 2 top 4 spots there for the taking and GWS looking very shaky and with a difficult run home. A top 4 spot is ours if we're good enough. Win our last 5 and we'll have the double chance, regardless of what else happens. We could let 1 slip and still make the 4 but would need other games to go our way.

To miss the 8 from here we'd have to choke, win the games we should (nth, bris,coll) and we're playing finals. As a lifelong demon I can't rule out us choking big time but I do have the feeling that this group is made of different stuff than the demon sides I've followed from the mid 70's.

[Straight Sets Simon 23,113]

That win against Port was such a big boost.

Next week I have the following results:

• Swans beat Hawks
• Melbourne beat North Melbourne
• GWS beat Fremantle
• Port Adelaide beat St Kilda
• Richmond beat Gold Coast
• Geelong beat Carlton
• Essendon beat Western Bulldogs
• West Coast beat Brisbane
• Adelaide beat Collingwood

Assuming percentage doesn't change too much then we will still be seventh, one game ahead of eighth and two games ahead of tenth.

The Port Adelaide win was massive.

[What 18,810]

10 minutes ago, Clint Bizkit said:

That win against Port was such a big boost.

Next week I have the following results:

• Swans beat Hawks
• Melbourne beat North Melbourne
• GWS beat Fremantle
• Port Adelaide beat St Kilda
• Richmond beat Gold Coast
• Geelong beat Carlton
• Essendon beat Western Bulldogs
• West Coast beat Brisbane
• Adelaide beat Collingwood

Assuming percentage doesn't change too much then we will still be seventh, one game ahead of eighth and two games ahead of tenth.

The Port Adelaide win was massive.

Would those results put us two games clear of 9th spot?  Cos that would be huge.

[Straight Sets Simon 23,113]

2 minutes ago, Petraccattack said:

Would those results put us two games clear of 9th spot?  Cos that would be huge.

[Jibroni 5,015]

Yes we would be 2 games clear of 10th.

But Round 20 looks like the round that will shape the final 8 as you have Cats v Sydney, Dees v Giants, Stkilda v West Coast and Tigers v Hawks (im hoping Hawks win this week to give them a sniff) and Port v Crows.

If results go our way we could be as high as third, but yes 1 week at time!

 

[Diamond_Jim 12,628]

38 minutes ago, Clint Bizkit said:

That win against Port was such a big boost.

Next week I have the following results:

• Swans beat Hawks
• Melbourne beat North Melbourne
• GWS beat Fremantle
• Port Adelaide beat St Kilda
• Richmond beat Gold Coast
• Geelong beat Carlton
• Essendon beat Western Bulldogs
• West Coast beat Brisbane
• Adelaide beat Collingwood

Assuming percentage doesn't change too much then we will still be seventh, one game ahead of eighth and two games ahead of tenth.

The Port Adelaide win was massive.

Agree with those tips... you can exchange Bombers and Bulldogs which in turn exchanges 8th and 9th places.

Not much movement likely but we must win to stay in the mix.

The real moving day is the next week where there are a few intra 8 games. The GWS game is shaping up (dare I say it) as a season defining game.

Go Dees

[Diamond_Jim 12,628]

3 minutes ago, Jibroni said:

Yes we would be 2 games clear of 10th.

But Round 20 looks like the round that will shape the final 8 as you have Cats v Sydney, Dees v Giants, Stkilda v West Coast and Tigers v Hawks (im hoping Hawks win this week to give them a sniff) and Port v Crows.

If results go our way we could be as high as third, but yes 1 week at time!

 

Hawks form is important to us ... They play Swans, Tigers and Bulldogs as part of their last five.

Go Hawks (this last few weeks only) !!

[mauriesy 7,357]

I don't see any reason why we can't win every remaining game.

• Time we beat North Melbourne
• GWS are vulnerable and over-rated
• Should beat St Kilda, Brisbane and Collingwood at the MCG

[Straight Sets Simon 23,113]

1 minute ago, mauriesy said:

I don't see any reason why we can't win every remaining game.

• Time we beat North Melbourne
• GWS are vulnerable and over-rated
• Should beat St Kilda, Brisbane and Collingwood at the MCG

Injuries and suspensions would be the only things holding us back.

[Straight Sets Simon 23,113]

44 minutes ago, mauriesy said:

I don't see any reason why we can't win every remaining game.

• Time we beat North Melbourne
• GWS are vulnerable and over-rated
• Should beat St Kilda, Brisbane and Collingwood at the MCG

If we do somehow win every game we genuinely could finish as high as second.

If we drop a few we could also finish tenth, what a crazy season.

[Bombay Airconditioning 6,408]

2 hours ago, Clint Bizkit said:

That win against Port was such a big boost.

Next week I have the following results:

• Swans beat Hawks
• Melbourne beat North Melbourne
• GWS beat Fremantle
• Port Adelaide beat St Kilda
• Richmond beat Gold Coast
• Geelong beat Carlton
• Essendon beat Western Bulldogs
• West Coast beat Brisbane
• Adelaide beat Collingwood

Assuming percentage doesn't change too much then we will still be seventh, one game ahead of eighth and two games ahead of tenth.

The Port Adelaide win was massive.

I agree with your tips but we have to hope that the Hawks can continue to trouble the Swans.

[Bombay Airconditioning 6,408]

1 hour ago, mauriesy said:

I don't see any reason why we can't win every remaining game.

• Time we beat North Melbourne
• GWS are vulnerable and over-rated
• Should beat St Kilda, Brisbane and Collingwood at the MCG

I also don't see why we can't win our remaining 5 games. We also need to at least put 2 of those teams to the sword. % could be the difference between 3-6 on the ladder.

[praha 11,240]

If we win the games we're supposed to (North, Brisbane, Saints, Pies), then it's game on for fourth.

Sydney plays:

• Hawthorn (A)
• Geelong (A)
• Freo (H)
• Adelaide (A)
• Carlton (H)

Port:

• St Kilda (H)
• Adelaide (A/H)
• Collingwood (H)
• Bulldogs (A)
• Sun (A)

My ladder predictor has us finishing 5th pending Richmond take care of St Kilda in the final round, but the Saints could be playing for a finals spot, depending on how Essendon goes.

4th spot you would think is between Melbourne, Richmond, Port and Sydney.

[brendan 3,437]

I had us finishing 5th if we win 4 games, had tigers 3rd GWS 4th with only percentage seperating the 3, so we either need a few big wins or win every game but still need to take it 1 game at a time north won't be easy 

[What 18,810]

Toby Greene copped 2 weeks, wont play against us. 

[Diamond_Jim 12,628]

8 minutes ago, praha said:

If we win the games we're supposed to (North, Brisbane, Saints, Pies), then it's game on for fourth.

Sydney plays:

• Hawthorn (A)
• Geelong (A)
• Freo (H)
• Adelaide (A)
• Carlton (H)

Port:

• St Kilda (H)
• Adelaide (A/H)
• Collingwood (H)
• Bulldogs (A)
• Sun (A)

My ladder predictor has us finishing 5th pending Richmond take care of St Kilda in the final round, but the Saints could be playing for a finals spot, depending on how Essendon goes.

4th spot you would think is between Melbourne, Richmond, Port and Sydney.

Hawks v Richmond on the same weekend that we play GWS.

Will be a lot swinging on those two results.

Why does my MFCSS keep telling me we are going to lose a relatively "easy" match. Time to believe that we are over performances like that one against Carlton in the second last round last year.

Go Dees

[Jaded No More 68,974]

From a selfish perspective I don't want us to finish top 4, as I'm not here for the prelim or grand final... but realistically our run home is very good. We only play one top 8 side, and we finish the year off at the G against pretty average teams who we should beat.

We need to stay healthy and then anything is possible.

I still think that if we make finals, our lack of experience will hurt us. But this season should be able to gaining that experience and carrying the momentum into the finals next year!

[The Sailing Demon 379]

Just reading everyones predictions for the remainder of the season is giving me heart failure and the nervous poo's.
We need to win (Obviously) this weekend or the Port game will mean nothing.

HOW GOOD IS FOOTY!!!

[highroller 112]

so i just ran a finals predictor and had us losing the GWS game and that's it from here on out and assumed most of the games were relatively close with the exception of Brisbane @ the G and i came up with the wacky finish which has Sydney missing the 8 and the Hawks and Dogs getting there. Maybe I'm overrating Hawthorn but i put them down as a win against the Swans this week and tipped the Dogs over the Bombers for this weekend as well.                                                                                                                                             

[Allus Monk 568]

1 minute ago, highroller said:

so i just ran a finals predictor and had us losing the GWS game and that's it from here on out and assumed most of the games were relatively close with the exception of Brisbane @ the G and i came up with the wacky finish which has Sydney missing the 8 and the Hawks and Dogs getting there. Maybe I'm overrating Hawthorn but i put them down as a win against the Swans this week and tipped the Dogs over the Bombers for this weekend as well.                                                                                                                                             

You've left out some games - some teams only played 21. Talk about uneven fixture!

[Skuit 10,031]

10 hours ago, furious d said:

If we miss finals I'll blame you DWA, why tempt fate like that? My most hated 4 words in the english language. You want to block offensive content @Demonland I'd have that 4 word combo at the top of the list.

Seriously though, anyone who'd rather play Richmond than Port in the finals hasn't been watching this season. The Tiger aren't that bad a side, a bit inconsistent like us but they're better than Port, West Coast, the Bulldogs, St Kilda and Essendon. 

3 of the top 4 losing this week has blown the premiership race open. 2 top 4 spots there for the taking and GWS looking very shaky and with a difficult run home. A top 4 spot is ours if we're good enough. Win our last 5 and we'll have the double chance, regardless of what else happens. We could let 1 slip and still make the 4 but would need other games to go our way.

To miss the 8 from here we'd have to choke, win the games we should (nth, bris,coll) and we're playing finals. As a lifelong demon I can't rule out us choking big time but I do have the feeling that this group is made of different stuff than the demon sides I've followed from the mid 70's.

So in summary, you're basically saying relax, we've got this?