Everything posted by Demon Dynasty
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
That's probably the first game I've seen the Weid look "on" for pretty much the entire match (live). He looked very much at home as an AFL footballer. The "Weid Weid" chant that went around the ground after he took a bit of a speckie over the back at one point must have been a huge confidence booster and was a fantastic moment yesterday.
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Camp wars
CAMP CHAOS might be a more appropriate headline
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Who do we realistically target for a trade?
Be a little wary of those. It is surprising re Cotchin I'll admit but really need to strip out some of the dinky short 1/2 handballs that add to the overall efficiency rating. Any chance of stripping out this season's kicking efficiency stats on those players DV and putting those up also?
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Stats-file 2018
Thanks Dimmy. Jonesy had a pretty ordinary month or so as we all know. At least prior to last night. And especially his game last week. Probably why he's come under scrutiny. He has dropped a little from earlier in the year as a result. The above system had Jones ranked 4 after Rnd 14 and Gus was 6th. Gus has effectively surpassed Jonesy as the season's unfolded. Lewis is having a great year statistically and doing some great work with ball in hand (mostly....still the odd horrible clanger / decision or two every match however) but it's what's happening to him defensively when the opp has the pill that is pretty worrying. Has real trouble closing any opponent down with a whisker of leg speed as we know. Occasionally gives professional holding the man frees away during a match to counter this issue. He knows he is toast if his opponent gets past him as we witnessed in the closing seconds last night. Hibberd out (and also Hunt when in form) was a huge loss for us here last night. Lever goes without saying also. And yes, young Fritschkreig is having a stunning first season eh. He has effectively gone past Hogan, Harmes (just), Tracc and ANB in year 1!
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Stats-file 2018
Season 2018 - Latest overall comparative weighted average stats Includes all players who have played so far as well and last night's heartbreaker. After next week i will do a stats form guide update for each player showing how each has faired since round 14 and their comparative ranking movements from then till now. Note that Maxy's ranking is skewed too low as i am unable to account for the 'hit outs to advantage' stat. Add about 0.75 for that (no science involved!) and you have a rough indicator of where he is at (3rd or thereabouts)..... * Denotes player has only played 2 games or less and would generally not be included for comparative purposes. Just throwing them in for anyone that's interested.
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Who do we realistically target for a trade?
Apparently Goody has said he is at least 2 or 3 weeks away. Really need him and Kenty back in ASAP to replace JKH & Tyson.
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Who do we realistically target for a trade?
This ^ AND.... 1. A classy outside winger with speed who can finish off his line breaking running hitting targets and at goal from around 50 (a la Fritschkrieg but with a little more power on the burst out of congestion) in the vein of Burgoyne (yes i know he is a rare find....something similar somwhere!??). I have no idea whether that's Gaff. Maybe. He scrubs up pretty well in the stat comparisons. My one worry though is his kicking efficiency which is a fair way from elite i think. Burgoyne obviously at the top end sitting at 71.7% (i think the AFL average is around 65% - 68% (or thereabouts) vs Gaff @ 64.5% (both stats are career averages)... http://www.afl.com.au/stats/stats-pro#/Compare?playerIds=CD_I210012,CD_I290801&comparisonTab=h2h 2. A gun medium power forward who can play a little time through the mid field also if needed. Who can take the opposition apart in the air and on the ground (Gary Ablett Snr / Danger style). Someone who can take a match by the scruff of the neck and turn it on it's head in a 10 minute burst. Someone slightly lessor would do also along the lines of a Daniel Bradshaw. A clutch mark and goal kicker in crucial moments from distance and just from whatever angle etc.... Trade all NQRs at the end of this year for the 3 key players above and we start winning silver. There are at least 9 on the present list IMHO that we can trade / delist and 2 who are possibly going to retire anyway in Vince & Pedders. A total of 11.
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Injury List - Season 2018
Anything to avoid a bashing M and live long enough to see some silverware!
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Injury List - Season 2018
Sounds like a plan bin.
- Injury List - Season 2018
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Injury List - Season 2018
If I tell you that Andy i might end up on an injury list also!
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Injury List - Season 2018
Hibb 2 to 3 weeks apparently. Hannan probably back next week.
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The Need for Outside Midfielders
What a disaster if that's the case. Murphy doesn't offer us anything we don't already have and is coming into his twilight years. Game has gone past him IMO and rarely gets on the park. No thanks.
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Our workrate
Chazz that is not this Saturday. Even playing at a similar level to last Sunday (which was horrid) we beat Freo (subject to the Umps tearing us a new one).... Just. Yes they are that bad without Fyfe and Sandi. That's IF we do play at a similar level. It could always get worse i guess so in some ways you are right but we should beat Freo with one hand tied behind our back. I would take no notice of whatever happens this weekend to be honest. And our team is only solid if it works as a team. Stuff that Lewis is not doing in those Videos just has to be ruled out and if he can't bring it i would rather see someone else in that role even if inferior at general play like Frost or Baker? And remember we went with Weids instead of Smith. Smith our best tackler inside 50. I doubt he lets Carlisle run away at will without chasing him down and at least closing the gap. Not saying Smith should play either but i think if we want to improve our pressure i50 (and we have to) then you have to play players who are best at doing so. As Gazza demonstrated we are now the easiest team in the comp to score against once the ball enters our 50. In addition if we are going to continue with so many potatoes through the mid field who can't chase down their direct opponent over short / medium or long runs then don't play such a high press and make sure you have at least two speedsters (who can tackle) behind the press. Also tell them not to get adjacent or goal side of opponents. In the end though we have to find some players with speed (who can also apply manic pressure) in a number of areas across the ground. I personally can't see us playing finals unless we bring this factor into the team in the next 2 to 3 weeks and i'm struggling to see who these players will be at this point.
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Stats-file 2018
We are often talking about our kicking skills (generally) and how we would like to see some more accuracy hitting up targets and in general. In some ways i think the dropping away of this skill in the last few weeks and our ability to maintain possession and therefore control the momentum of the game (by foot where you don''t have to play on), has cost us dearly and seen us move away from what we were doing more of and more of successfully in the games we were dominating. Controlling the ball in those matches for extended periods (without turning it over as often) allowed us to halt some of the opp's run ons and maintain and then go on to build on our lead once we caught our breath and reset for the next flurry of attacking break neck play. Obviously pressure from the opponent playing a large part here but possibly the speed (or lack thereof) of many of our potential receivers and their inability to get away from their more speedy opponents (in some cases) also may have played a part. So here's a brief summary of the season so far, broken down into positions so it's a little more relevant. I have not included players who have only played one match so far like Stretch, Maynard & Petty. Note the positions are determined by AFL StatsPro and i don't have time to adjust into more relevant positions in most cases. The two obvious exceptions (for me anyway) were T-Mac where i moved him from a Key Defender to a Key Forward and Spargo from a Mid Fielder to a Forward....
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Stats-file 2018
I get the stats from Footywire and compose them as a weighted average Skuit. Pretty basic and i'm sure any decent stats analyst would probably pick it to bits but after a few tweaks and a bit of reverse engineering (till about round 5 / 6 this year) i let it be as i found it to be a reasonably accurate guide as to how a player is fairing within a match / over the season. As you said there would be a number of biases and a few outliers in there if you weren't bothering to observe the games (always a better option of course!). A good example O-Mac, who tends to play a blanketing role and by design doesn't rack up many cheap stats out the back vs many other defenders. On surface the ranking makes him look ordinary vs other defenders but as we know, in most matches he has done a fine job so far with a couple of exceptions. I sometimes use it as a reminder to what a player might or might not be doing or how he is going vs peers in a similar role. Kind of a flag if you like, then link that up with "Stats Pro" to see if the reality in game is anything like what the composite (or the stats within it) are indicating. A handy reference point if you like as we sometimes forget what we've seen (at least i do anyway). You simply can't take in everything on the day and our vision sometimes blurred by various distractions / biases / beers / flag waving / the war office etc!
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Stats-file 2018
A quick stats form guide looking at the first 8 rounds compared to the last 5 if anyone's interested. There are some surprising and not so surprising movers as well as some big falls from grace. How the hec does Clarry do it!! '+' means no change in rank but an improved score eg.,., Clarry & Jones. Fritchskreig has had quite a month or so! Does the Hibb drop off coincide somewhat with Lever's departure? Hogan off the charts, but unfortunately in the wrong direction. # Missed 3 match minimum for ranking / comparative purposes in this block. * Did not play in first 8 rounds for comparative purposes. Note: Max would rank higher if 'hit outs to advantage' were included in weightings.
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Demons Grand Plan for Yarra Park Training HQ
That is correct. Should never have lost that right and should be part of the deal. Home ground advantage at our original home ground.
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Darwin game dumped
Lucifer Ox... Lucifer!
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New CEO - Gary Pert
Certainly no issues with a receding hairline for photo shoots Adzman!
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Farewell Dean Kent
Would love to see him get himself right and have a good run at a block of games before he is considered a trade option. One of only 2 or 3 that pushed back and stood up for us when we were getting bullied and pushed around by the Hawks earlier this year and was the main driver in our dominant 1st quarter prior to getting injured, kicking 3 goals.
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Angus Brayshaw
that might explain some of the clearance issues DS
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Angus Brayshaw
10 turnovers today really hurt himself and team momentum at stages. Although he did get a fair bit more of it on the outside today vs usual (32 Ups vs season average 18). Might have had a soft tag to put the pressure on a bit more than previously and was trying to run to receive a little more to break the tag. The meters covered today would be interesting vs his average also if someone can get that info.
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Injury List - Season 2018
Trainer to Tom.... "She'll be right mate" ...."just to be sure though, maybe go get a quick scan eh"
- The No T$ No B$ Thread