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Demon Dynasty

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Everything posted by Demon Dynasty

  1. Was our best intercept player for the year (with Lever out) and a fair way ahead of any other defender in terms of score involvements. Turnovers diabolical at times and easily exposed on a fast counter against anyone with pace but wasn't alone there. An area we really need to focus on solving next year (Hunt back to some decent form and applying some extra ground ball pressure / Other via draft or trade?). Racked up 21 out of a possible 23 matches so has the potential to get a reasonable poll total to push up the table.
  2. 1. Clarry 2. Gawn 3. Gus 4. Lewis 5. Salem (T-Mac on his heels but missed first 6 rounds)
  3. Wrote him off before returning this year, but showed he was willing to work hard and fight his way back with a solid impact in most matches to finish the year in our best 22. Might be the silk we need if he works as hard again through the pre season. Happy with a 1 year deal.
  4. This is backed up objectively also. In the season's composite average stats i keep Vanders finished 19th, just behind ANB! From the 4 matches that qualified him for the ranking, he played against 3 top eight sides in the Swans, Giants and eventual Premiers, the Eagles. Not bad for a guy out of the game for pretty much 2 entire seasons. * Played less than 3 matches and does not qualify. Included for interest / curiosity purposes only. Move players up to replace in rankings as required.
  5. Offer him a 2 year deal and decent coin. Enough so he can afford to employ someone else to run the business. Premiership window...handy foil up forward and through the middle. Had a big impact on return and part of the reason we made finals IMO. In big finals you also need a few hard nutz that dont take prisoners. Vanders certainly ticks all boxes as a big game player. Keeper.
  6. I didn't realise the skull was out there... but I shld have known the AFL would arrange for it. Got their insurance for the interstate vs Vic GF
  7. Game over if we dont score next 4
  8. Sounds like they've had everything go their way also which is expected over there
  9. Very early days folks and Eagles are front runners.... going for the kill early
  10. The AFL will be pushing hard for an interstate club into the GF. Not expecting anything but a landslide of umpiring decisions the Eagles way...and very little for us
  11. Not sure if I have a dose of Dehli Belly or just nervous as hell
  12. Listening to this one from Agra India ....sipping on a few Turgors in the hotel bar overlooking the mighty Taj
  13. With Degoey and Treloar both in they look super dangerous and should win this one.
  14. The work rate to push up on the Hawks after they chipped it around and force them lateral or down the line, as well as the ferocious tackling, was phenomenal. Great team effort. We are a huge chance to beat WCE and move into a GF next week provided we remain focused. Great win and team effort. 2 more to go
  15. ...something like that! As long as Maxy kicks accurately!
  16. I run a composite series of weighted average stats through a spreadsheet bandi for both teams. Stats are compiled from their last round performance on every player who played (courtesy of Footywire). I adust where I can for ins and outs wherever possible for the forthcoming round's match up. Each individual player has his own composite weighted average score from the previous week assuming he remains in the squad for the current round. In the case of MFC "Ins" they have a season average weighted score which is a fairly accurate reflection of how they are likely to fair if being called up to replace an omission from the previous week (whether because of form or injury). I then compose the total score from the previous week for the entire team using exactly the same method for each player/ team to give a total team weighted score, which then indicates/predicts the likely winner / loser. Apart from the inputs and weightings the result is entirely objective with an 83% predictive accuracy so far in MFC games since Rnd 11. Hope that makes a lil sense
  17. Looks that way Buck. Hopefully in our favour this time
  18. Pure Stats Form Guide & Predictor Team Form Comparison (team score last round adjusted for Ins/) Demons: 76.7 Cats: 78.1 Team Differential: Cats +1.4 Pure Stats Predictor: Pure Stats (no umpire Bias) - The Cats by 3 points The above includes the Ins of Viney & Hannan for the Outs of Tyson & Kent (injured). The Cats will no doubt make a few changes also but i don't have the time to adjust by Friday night so this could tip the results a little also. Predictor also unlikely to be as accurate given the 2 week break effect on form. However, it is a little hard to ignore having so far predicted 10 of the 12 W/L results with an accuracy factor of 83% Last Round Statistical Comparison *Does NOT Include this weeks Ins & Outs. Cats obviously have a major top end experience advantage. Our 10 players in the 50 to 99 range will have to perform at their best to offset this. We did of course play 2 teams at opposite ends of the ladder also which is likely to have skewed both results statistically. Top 10 Players Comparison (Last Round)# # Scores do not account for ruckmen's 'Hit Outs to Advantage'
  19. This was one of the great statement games by any MFC player IMO and a line in the sand moment for Bernie and the club that we were no longer just going to sit back and allow players/teams to roll us in an easy fashion. A great replacement for Sylvia (who pulled this off at the club in 2013...Todd??) and couldn't have been a bigger contrast in selfish v selfless in the way these two went about it. Paul Roos must have been well pleased with this acquisition and the response he was able to garner. Although this year saw the game move past him a tad (as it does to every athlete at some point) you will be sorely missed mate. Let's hope you get one more shot at finals should the cards fall your way. Superb job both on and off the field. Take a bow Bernie ??????
  20. That would be a fabulous fairy tale finish. A great guy, a great club man and a super footballer for us during some very dark days. One of my all time favs as he flew the flag when he could've sat back and just eaten the chocolates. Showed white line fever every time he ran out in the red & blue. IMHO he was the glue that held the team together during the dark days along with Chunk and Crossy
  21. Player Season Rankings (inclusive of Rnd 23) Based on a statistical composite of selective weighted averages. Includes the following statistical averages: Effective Disposals, Contested Marks, Marks i50, 1 %ers , Clearances, Rebound 50s, inside 50s, Tackles, Score involvements, Intercepts, Goals and a reasonable negative adjustment for turnovers. A long way off perfect and no doubt plenty of flaws but a roughish guide as to how a player is sitting vs those around him when comparing like with like (similar role / position), where possible. For Maxy a rough adjustment is required to bring him up to spec overall with "hit outs to advantage" not included. Lets say 0.75 as a very rough stab in the dark. Puts him on 4.045 in 3rd position behind Clarry & Jack. Also i did not include Tyson or Kent's Rnd 23 score as i felt it would skew their results a little too much given how early they departed the match and fewer games played vs most others. Player Ranking Score Clayton Oliver 1 5.131 Jack Viney 2 4.500 Angus Brayshaw 3 3.730 Jordan Lewis 4 3.626 Tom McDonald 5 3.462 Christian Salem 6 3.456 Nathan Jones 7 3.434 James Harmes 8 3.417 Max Gawn 9 3.295 Dom Tyson 10 3.112 Jesse Hogan 11 3.073 Corey Maynard* 12 3.000 Bayley Fritsch 13 2.979 Christian Petracca 14 2.937 Michael Hibberd 15 2.861 Jay K-Harris 16 2.683 Neville Jetta 17 2.676 Alex N-Bullen 18 2.655 Aaron Vandenberg 19 2.581 Jake Lever 20 2.577 Billy Stretch* 21 2.513 Tim Smith 22 2.494 Joshua Wagner 23 2.465 Jake Melksham 24 2.385 Mitchell Hannan 25 2.384 Charlie Spargo 26 2.370 Dean Kent 27 2.363 Bernie Vince 28 2.324 Oscar McDonald 29 2.322 Jeff Garlett 30 2.314 Tomas Bugg 31 2.158 Sam Frost 32 2.073 Cameron Pedersen 33 2.006 Joel Smith 34 1.838 Sam Weideman 35 1.836 Jayden Hunt 36 1.746 Harrison Petty* 37 0.675 * Played less than 3 games hence sample size not large enough for comparative purposes. Posted for interest only.

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