it's literally two games into the season so a titch early in this crazy year but this is the sort of stuff i love pondering...so i'll play
firstly, i would rather get hogan back than daniher - at least one of them can get on the park, even if he looked horrible tonight
who has potential value and best 22 possibilities at other clubs but MIGHT be excess on our list? i'd say there's only a few players that have genuine value on our list that i would be comfortable parting with:
viney (free agency compensation)
brayshaw
preuss (crazy that he has value, but ruckmen always seem to find a home)
hunt
anb
personally i would say it's either viney OR brayshaw as inside mids, and hunt OR anb as forward options
who needs inside mids? carlton, essendon, fremantle, geelong (regeneration), saints maybe
brayshaw, ollie wines, the crouch bros. could all be inside mids looking for new homes in 2021 - get a first rounder for gus from any of the above clubs and my jaw would hit the ground; i struggle with what he's worth cos sometimes he plays and i think he's worth less than a third rounder on the trade table
who needs small pressure forwards? well, pretty much anyone other than st. kilda and the tigers, who seem to have a heap of small forward types, want depth in this position and hunt has a real bonus of speed in his arsenal
given that anb is an sa boy, i personally think he'd slot in nicely at the crows - if we could engineer it to get rory laird as part of the deal i'd be pretty pleased...it would be interesting if the crows demanded anb and sparrow for laird, which i'd be somewhat tempted to do tbh, but the reality is i think they think laird's worth a first round pick...so......
who needs a ruck, or at least a second option? essendon, maybe sydney with naismith doing another acl, but other than that there might not be much demand for one this year
we traded tyson for preuss and a late pick (which we used to draft hore, who - you never know - pies might want to bring him home as an intercept half back next year as coverage for howe), so it's not likely he has much value - we might do preuss and our second rounder for essendon's second rounder, say, or perhaps preuss and brayshaw for essendon's first rounder, which we use get laird?
meanwhile, hore and our third rounder for the filth's second rounder?
net result:
IN: laird, 2020 2nd round draft pick
OUT: brayshaw, preuss, hore
it all comes down to list changes, but if say it is suddenly 35 on the list and only having to use two picks at the 2020 draft, i'd go with the following list changes:
Jones - retirement
Hibberd - retirement / delisted
Kolodjashnij - retirement / negotiated payout
Nietschke - retired / delisted
Baker - delisted
Chandler - delisted
C Wagner - delisted
J Wagner - delisted
Dunkley - delisted
it's going to be pretty brutal if it's a reduction to 35 on the list (worse still if we have to carry kk) and i don't think any of the above would have much value to any other clubs
it's possible the likes of weideman or o mac might have value at the trade table...but for what? if you only have to use the two picks this year, you'd want it to be a future pick, and i don't think either is worth much more than a speculative third rounder...at best
i can't see either having much value for other clubs - if they can't make our side, not sure whose they would be making - so they might both prefer to stay with us and fight for their spot, plus of the two only o mac is out of contract at the end of 2020 anyway
35 players really doesn't seem like enough to get through a full 22 game, 120 min per game season to me, but if the above happened this would be the mfc 2021 list:
May
Salem
Harmes
Jackson
Viney
Lever
Spargo
Gawn
Bedford
Oliver
Langdon
Bennell
Melksham
Hannan
Tomlinson
vandenBerg
Jordon
Rivers
T McDonald
Weideman
O McDonald
Hunt
Neal-Bullen
Fritsch
Sparrow
Petty
Pickett
Brown
Jetta
Lockhart
Smith
Bradtke
Laird
2020 2nd round pick
2020 2nd round pick (the filth's)
possible side, based on what we're putting out vs geelong and what we ran with against carlton...
B: Lockhart - May - Smith
HB: Salem - Lever - Harmes
C : Langdon - Petracca - Laird
HF: Hannan - T Mac - Melksham
F: Hunt - Fritsch - Pickett
Foll: Gawn - Oliver - Viney
I/c: Jackson - Bennell - Tomlinson - vandenBerg
Emerg: Sparrow - Weideman - ANB - Jetta