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Melbourne v Greater Western Sydney (Round 1, 2025)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20250108

Key Team Stats

Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne.

Stat For Against Diff
Disposal Efficiency
Disposal Efficiency 69.7 70.0 -0.2
Kicking Efficiency 59.9 59.6 +0.3
Territory/Attack
Inside 50s 56 52 +4
Shots At Goal 29 24 +5
Shots Per Inside 50 51.8 46.2 +5.6
Marks Inside 50 5 7 -2
Contest
Contested Possessions 149 133 +16
Ground Ball Gets 96 97 -1
Post Clearance Contested Possessions 59 55 +4
Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets 37 45 -8
Centre Clearances 12 12 +0
Stoppage Clearances 24 36 -12
Contested Marks 7 5 +2
Defense
Intercepts 77 72 +5
Intercept Marks 17 10 +7
Tackles 60 71 -11
Tackles Inside 50 9 8 +1
Def One On One Loss % 22.2 16.7 +5.6
Ruck
Hitouts 51 26 +25
Hitouts To Advantage 16 7 +9

Player Ratings

  Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match
Max Gawn 4.7 6.2 6.9 1.4 19.2
Christian Petracca 3.3 9.8 2.1 1.5 16.8
Tom McDonald 5.6 2.4 3.7 4.7 16.4
Tom Sparrow 0.3 1.9 9.0 3.1 14.3
Jake Lever 3.6 2.5 5.6 1.5 13.1
Harrison Petty 3.1 6.1 2.0 1.7 12.9
Kade Chandler 0.5 6.7 2.5 2.5 12.2
Jake Bowey 2.3 2.7 4.3 2.5 11.8
Xavier Lindsay 1.9 3.4 1.5 4.2 11.0
Caleb Windsor 0.9 1.9 5.6 1.8 10.2
Jack Henderson 3.9 3.1 1.6 1.4 10.1
Ed Langdon 5.5 0.3 1.5 2.4 9.7
Christian Salem 4.9 −0.1 2.4 2.2 9.4
Clayton Oliver 2.2 0.8 4.4 1.4 8.9
Aidan Johnson 1.0 −0.5 8.6 −0.5 8.6
Jacob van Rooyen 0.8 1.1 3.4 2.8 8.1
Matthew Jefferson 2.6 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.4
Jack Viney 5.5 3.1 0.5 −2.8 6.2
Trent Rivers 2.5 1.1 0.8 1.1 5.5
Bayley Fritsch 0.8 −1.8 3.5 1.9 4.4
Harry Sharp 0.7 2.5 −0.4 1.6 4.4
Blake Howes 2.6 −1.1 2.1 0.0 3.6
Harvey Langford 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 3.2

Contested Possessions

  For Against Diff
Melbourne's Defensive 50
Hard Ball Get 6 4 +2
Loose Ball Get 11 16 -5
Contested Mark 1 2 -1
Ruck Hard Ball Get 0 1 -1
Gather From Hitout 3 2 +1
Contested Knock On 4 0 +4
Free For 3 1 +2
Total 28 26 +2
Melbourne's Forward 50
Hard Ball Get 4 4 0
Loose Ball Get 18 19 -1
Contested Mark 2 0 +2
Contested Knock On 1 4 -3
Free For 2 1 +1
Total 27 28 -1
Post clearance
Hard Ball Get 8 5 +3
Loose Ball Get 29 40 -11
Contested Mark 3 2 +1
Contested Knock On 4 3 +1
Free For 15 5 +10
Total 59 55 +4
Pre clearance
Hard Ball Get 14 10 +4
Loose Ball Get 45 42 +3
Contested Mark 4 3 +1
Ruck Hard Ball Get 3 1 +2
Gather From Hitout 12 7 +5
Contested Knock On 7 5 +2
Free For 5 10 -5
Total 90 78 +12
  • Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative.
  • Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets.
  • 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions.

Expected scores

  xScore Score xWin % xMargin Margin Swing
Melbourne 81.8 74 67% +7.9    
Greater Western Sydney 73.9 77 33%   +3 +10.9
  Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. /
Shot
Shot
Rating
Overall
Melbourne 29 11.6 72 37.9% 81.8 −9.8 2.82 −0.34
Greater Western Sydney 24 11.8 74 45.8% 72.9 +1.1 3.04 +0.04
General Play
Melbourne 18 10.2 62 55.6% 54.1 +7.9 3.00 +0.44
Greater Western Sydney 15 6.5 41 40.0% 40.4 +0.6 2.70 +0.04
Set Position
Melbourne 11 1.4 10 9.1% 27.8 −17.8 2.52 −1.61
Greater Western Sydney 9 5.3 33 55.6% 32.5 +0.5 3.61 +0.06
  • xWin %: win probability based on expected scores.
  • Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin.
  • xScore: total expected score from all shots taken.
  • +/-: total score above or below expected score.
  • xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty.
  • Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal.

Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores.

 

 

Territory (time in zones)

Region Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match Season
Half
Forward 53% 48% 61% 42% 51% 51%
Defensive 47% 52% 39% 58% 49% 49%
Region
Forward 50 22% 18% 32% 22% 23% 23%
Attacking Midfield 31% 30% 30% 21% 28% 28%
Defensive Midfield 25% 24% 19% 28% 24% 24%
Defensive 50 22% 28% 19% 30% 25% 25%

Source: Calculated by Wheelo Ratings.

Score Sources

Summary

Score Source Score Against Diff
Kick-in 0.0 0 1.0 6 -6
Centre Bounce 4.2 26 1.1 7 +19
Stoppage (Other) 3.1 19 3.2 20 -1
Turnover 4.5 29 6.8 44 -15
Score Source For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Kick-in 0 0.0 6 6.0
Centre Bounce 26 26.0 7 7.0
Stoppage (Other) 19 19.0 20 20.0
Turnover 29 29.0 44 44.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Greater Western Sydney.

Chain start region

Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective.

Score Source Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Centre Bounce Centre 26 26.0 7 7.0
Kick-in D50 0 0.0 6 6.0
Stoppage (Other) Wing 18 18.0 13 13.0
Stoppage (Other) F50 1 1.0 7 7.0
Turnover D50 1 1.0 7 7.0
Turnover Centre 0 0.0 7 7.0
Turnover Wing 21 21.0 22 22.0
Turnover F50 7 7.0 8 8.0
Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
D50 1 1.0 13 13.0
Centre 26 26.0 14 14.0
Wing 39 39.0 35 35.0
F50 8 8.0 15 15.0
Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Defensive 50 1 1.0 13 13.0
Defensive midfield 6 6.0 13 13.0
Centre bounce 26 26.0 7 7.0
Attacking midfield 33 33.0 29 29.0
Forward 50 8 8.0 15 15.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Greater Western Sydney.

Points from defensive half

For Against
Match Season Match Season *
7 7.0 26 26.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Greater Western Sydney.

Centre Bounce Attendances

  CBAs CBA % 2025 % 2024 %
Max Gawn 24 92% 92.3% 85.0%
Christian Petracca 21 81% 80.8% 55.8%
Clayton Oliver 19 73% 73.1% 70.7%
Jack Viney 18 69% 69.2% 69.1%
Tom Sparrow 9 35% 34.6% 37.7%
Trent Rivers 8 31% 30.8% 29.9%
Aidan Johnson 2 8% 7.7%  
Harvey Langford 2 8% 7.7%  
Ed Langdon 1 4% 3.8% 0.7%
Christian Salem 0 0% 0.0% 12.3%
Harrison Petty 0 0% 0.0% 7.5%
Jacob van Rooyen 0 0% 0.0% 17.8%

Ruck Contests and Hitouts

Ruck Contests

  Ruck
Contests
RC % 2025 % 2024 %
Max Gawn 77 75% 75.5% 81.1%
Aidan Johnson 25 25% 24.5%  
Harrison Petty 0 0% 0.0% 7.9%
Jacob van Rooyen 0 0% 0.0% 17.6%

Hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
To Adv. %
(2025)
To Adv. %
(2024)
Max Gawn 77 46 15 32.6% 27.9%
Aidan Johnson 25 5 1 20.0%  
Harrison Petty 0 0 0   24.4%
Jacob van Rooyen 0 0 0   24.7%

Opposition hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
Lachlan Keeffe 75 14 4
Callum M. Brown 27 12 3
  • Author

Here is an update of the pre-/post-clearance numbers. Attn @binman

Key Team Stats

Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne.

Stat For Against Diff
Disposal Efficiency
Disposal Efficiency 69.7 70.0 -0.2
Kicking Efficiency 59.9 59.6 +0.3
Territory/Attack
Inside 50s 56 52 +4
Shots At Goal 29 24 +5
Shots Per Inside 50 51.8 46.2 +5.6
Marks Inside 50 5 7 -2
Contest
Contested Possessions 149 133 +16
Ground Ball Gets 96 97 -1
Post Clearance Contested Possessions 92 82 +10
Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets 61 65 -4
Centre Clearances 12 12 +0
Stoppage Clearances 24 36 -12
Contested Marks 7 5 +2
Defense
Intercepts 77 72 +5
Intercept Marks 17 10 +7
Tackles 60 71 -11
Tackles Inside 50 9 8 +1
Def One On One Loss % 22.2 16.7 +5.6
Ruck
Hitouts 51 26 +25
Hitouts To Advantage 16 7 +9

 

Contested Possessions

  For Against Diff
Melbourne's Defensive 50
Hard Ball Get 6 4 +2
Loose Ball Get 11 16 -5
Contested Mark 1 2 -1
Ruck Hard Ball Get 0 1 -1
Gather From Hitout 3 2 +1
Contested Knock On 4 0 +4
Free For 3 1 +2
Total 28 26 +2
Melbourne's Forward 50
Hard Ball Get 4 4 0
Loose Ball Get 18 19 -1
Contested Mark 2 0 +2
Contested Knock On 1 4 -3
Free For 2 1 +1
Total 27 28 -1
Post clearance
Hard Ball Get 14 9 +5
Loose Ball Get 47 56 -9
Contested Mark 7 5 +2
Contested Knock On 9 5 +4
Free For 15 7 +8
Total 92 82 +10
Pre clearance
Hard Ball Get 8 6 +2
Loose Ball Get 27 26 +1
Ruck Hard Ball Get 3 1 +2
Gather From Hitout 12 7 +5
Contested Knock On 2 3 -1
Free For 5 8 -3
Total 57 51 +6
 
  • Author

Team pressure

Quarter For Agn Diff
1 180 184 -4
2 193 177 +16
3 192 201 -9
4 191 203 -12
Match 189 190 -1

Source: Herald Sun

Most Pressure Points

Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ )

Player Pressure
Acts
Pressure
Points
Season
Average
Clayton Oliver 27 60 60.0
Tom Sparrow 21 51 51.0
Kade Chandler 16 43 43.0
Aidan Johnson 17 43 43.0
Xavier Lindsay 14 43 43.0
Ed Langdon 19 43 43.0
Jack Viney 20 38 38.0
Jake Bowey 15 35 35.0
Jack Henderson 13 31 31.0
Jacob van Rooyen 14 30 30.0
Bayley Fritsch 13 29 29.0
Christian Petracca 10 29 29.0
Matthew Jefferson 10 27 27.0
Christian Salem 10 25 25.0
Jake Lever 10 25 25.0
Harry Sharp 12 22 22.0
Trent Rivers 11 20 20.0
Max Gawn 8 20 20.0
Harrison Petty 7 17 17.0
Caleb Windsor 6 10 10.0
Blake Howes 7 9 9.0
Tom McDonald 4 8 8.0
Harvey Langford 3 5 5.0

Edited by binman


1 hour ago, binman said:

Team pressure

Quarter For Agn Diff
1 180 184 -4
2 193 177 +16
3 192 201 -9
4 191 203 -12
Match 189 190 -1

Source: Herald Sun

Most Pressure Points

Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ )

Player Pressure
Acts
Pressure
Points
Season
Average
Clayton Oliver 27 60 60.0
Tom Sparrow 21 51 51.0
Kade Chandler 16 43 43.0
Aidan Johnson 17 43 43.0
Xavier Lindsay 14 43 43.0
Ed Langdon 19 43 43.0
Jack Viney 20 38 38.0
Jake Bowey 15 35 35.0
Jack Henderson 13 31 31.0
Jacob van Rooyen 14 30 30.0
Bayley Fritsch 13 29 29.0
Christian Petracca 10 29 29.0
Matthew Jefferson 10 27 27.0
Christian Salem 10 25 25.0
Jake Lever 10 25 25.0
Harry Sharp 12 22 22.0
Trent Rivers 11 20 20.0
Max Gawn 8 20 20.0
Harrison Petty 7 17 17.0
Caleb Windsor 6 10 10.0
Blake Howes 7 9 9.0
Tom McDonald 4 8 8.0
Harvey Langford 3 5 5.0

Chandler has copped a fair bit of criticism, a little unfairly in my opinion. I thought Chandler had a pretty good game. He isn't going anywhere next week.

Round 1, 2025 MCG - Demons vs Giants

Our Team Rating just marginally above that of the Giants but still more than 4% off our 2024 average.  Statistically we were right with them but the scoreboard is the final judge of course.

A big improvement on our last AFL match vs the Pies in the final round of 2024, where we posted a deeplorable 45.78

Another outstanding performance from the skipper.  Lever, T-Mac, Bowey, Sparrow, Petty & Windsor also having very impressive first up games.

And check out that debut result from Mr X!  Amazing result.

Demons

Player Rating Rank 2024 Season Rating % Change vs 2024
Max Gawn 5.050 1 4.132 22.22
J Lever 4.500 2 3.103 45.02
T McDonald 4.350 3 2.967 46.61
C Salem 3.750 4 3.421 9.62
J Bowey 3.725 5 2.755 35.21
C Oliver 3.500 6 3.364 4.04
X Lindsay 3.475 7 - 0.00
T Rivers 3.425 8 3.391 1.00
T Sparrow 3.300 9 2.517 31.11
C Petracca 3.225 10 4.476 -27.95
J Viney 2.900 11 3.178 -8.75
H Petty 2.750 12 1.701 61.67
C Windsor 2.725 13 2.275 19.78
Ed Langdon 2.500 14 3.089 -19.07
K Chandler 2.325 15 2.223 4.59
J Henderson 2.050 16 - 0.00
A Johnson 1.950 17 - 0.00
B Fritsch 1.600 18 1.746 -8.36
J V Rooyen 1.600 18 2.026 -21.03
B Howes < 48% 1.475 20 2.341 -36.99
M Jefferson 1.300 21 - 0.00
H Sharp 0.950 22 - 0.00
H Langford > 21% 0.300 23 - 0.00
Team Score 62.43   65.17 -4.21
Top 6 24.88   22.53 10.41
Bottom 6 8.88   14.04 -36.79

< Subbed out TOG %

> Subbed in TOG %

 

Giants

Player Rating Rank
Tom Green 5.375 1
L Whitfield 5.175 2
Toby Greene 4.100 3
H Himmelberg 3.925 4
F Callaghan 3.850 5
L Ash 3.825 6
S Coniglio 3.475 7
J Kelly 3.400 8
J Buckley 3.175 9
S Taylor 3.125 10
L Keeffe 2.875 11
C Idun 2.600 12
C Ward 2.575 13
C Brown 2.550 14
A Cadman 2.425 15
J Wehr 2.275 16
C Stone 1.975 17
T Bedford 1.850 18
B Daniels < 33% 1.475 19
D Jones 1.375 20
X O'Halloran 0.475 21
J Leake 0.300 22
M Gruzewski > 27% -0.100 23
Team Score 62.18  
Top 6 26.25  
Bottom 6 7.45  

 

Combined Ratings

Player Rating Rank
Tom Green 5.375 1
L Whitfield 5.175 2
Max Gawn 5.050 3
J Lever 4.500 4
T McDonald 4.350 5
Toby Greene 4.100 6
H Himmelberg 3.925 7
F Callaghan 3.850 8
L  Ash 3.825 9
C Salem 3.750 10
J Bowey 3.725 11
C Oliver 3.500 12
X Lindsay 3.475 13
S Coniglio 3.475 13
T Rivers 3.425 15
J Kelly 3.400 16
T Sparrow 3.300 17
C Petracca 3.225 18
J Buckley 3.175 19
S Taylor 3.125 20
J Viney 2.900 21
L Keeffe 2.875 22
H Petty 2.750 23
C Windsor 2.725 24
C Idun 2.600 25
C Ward 2.575 26
C Brown 2.550 27
Ed Langdon 2.500 28
A Cadman 2.425 29
K Chandler 2.325 30
J Wehr 2.275 31
J Henderson 2.050 32
C Stone 1.975 33
A Johnson 1.950 34
T Bedford 1.850 35
B Fritsch 1.600 36
J V Rooyen 1.600 36
B Daniels < 33% 1.475 38
B Howes < 48% 1.475 38
D Jones 1.375 40
M Jefferson 1.300 41
H Sharp 0.950 42
X O'Halloran 0.475 43
J Leake 0.300 44
H Langford > 21% 0.300 44
M Gruzewski > 27% -0.100 46

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

Edited by Demon Dynasty

 

Thanks DD not bad for our first real hit out with six debutantes but looking forward to a bit of a lift from our more recognised players against Roos. XL exceptional first up game, Giants are a very skilled outfit and showed why they are highly fancied, their work ethic is high and they know how to make space for each other but still felt that we were a bit stiff.

5 minutes ago, DeeZone said:

Thanks DD not bad for our first real hit out with six debutantes but looking forward to a bit of a lift from our more recognised players against Roos. XL exceptional first up game, Giants are a very skilled outfit and showed why they are highly fancied, their work ethic is high and they know how to make space for each other but still felt that we were a bit stiff.

In the context of the 6 newbies, yes pretty decent DZ.  Need to follow it up this week though and put this one away before we hopefully see some of the top liners coming back for Rnd 3.  In particular the triple Ms.  Melk, May & McVee!


The quarter-by-quarter breakdown of player stats has me concerned about the performance of some of our leaders late in the game.

I've already noted that Gawn simply wasn't on the field for a large chunk of the last, but each of Petracca, Lever and Viney fell away badly in the last, and Oliver also didn't stand up.

                                      Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match
Max Gawn              4.7 6.2 6.9 1.4 19.2
Christian Petracca 3.3 9.8 2.1 1.5 16.8
Jake Lever              3.6 2.5 5.6 1.5 13.1
Jack Viney              5.5 3.1 0.5 −2.8 6.2
Clayton Oliver         2.2 0.8 4.4 1.4 8.9

 

In a team with so many kids, it is so important that we get good contributions from the leaders when the game is hot, especially as the siren approaches.

A bit harsh of me, perhaps, given that three of them were in our highest five rated for the game, but it is part of a veteran's job to rise to the moment.

Edited by Little Goffy

  • Author
33 minutes ago, Little Goffy said:

The quarter-by-quarter breakdown of player stats has me concerned about the performance of some of our leaders late in the game.

I've already noted that Gawn simply wasn't on the field for a large chunk of the last, but each of Petracca, Lever and Viney fell away badly in the last, and Oliver also didn't stand up.

                                      Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match
Max Gawn              4.7 6.2 6.9 1.4 19.2
Christian Petracca 3.3 9.8 2.1 1.5 16.8
Jake Lever              3.6 2.5 5.6 1.5 13.1
Jack Viney              5.5 3.1 0.5 −2.8 6.2
Clayton Oliver         2.2 0.8 4.4 1.4 8.9

 

In a team with so many kids, it is so important that we get good contributions from the leaders when the game is hot, especially as the siren approaches.

A bit harsh of me, perhaps, given that three of them were in our highest five rated for the game, but it is part of a veteran's job to rise to the moment.

I really like the quarter by quarter break down - its a really interesting way to see a players game in totality, and as you've done here LG grouping players.

I suspect like most teams playing their first game fatigue was a factor. 

@WheeloRatings am im right in saying that new (ie you only posted their final total ans season average last year)?

1 hour ago, Little Goffy said:

The quarter-by-quarter breakdown of player stats has me concerned about the performance of some of our leaders late in the game.

I've already noted that Gawn simply wasn't on the field for a large chunk of the last, but each of Petracca, Lever and Viney fell away badly in the last, and Oliver also didn't stand up.

                                      Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match
Max Gawn              4.7 6.2 6.9 1.4 19.2
Christian Petracca 3.3 9.8 2.1 1.5 16.8
Jake Lever              3.6 2.5 5.6 1.5 13.1
Jack Viney              5.5 3.1 0.5 −2.8 6.2
Clayton Oliver         2.2 0.8 4.4 1.4 8.9

 

In a team with so many kids, it is so important that we get good contributions from the leaders when the game is hot, especially as the siren approaches.

A bit harsh of me, perhaps, given that three of them were in our highest five rated for the game, but it is part of a veteran's job to rise to the moment.

That is so relevant Little Goffy they all went missing when we needed them most.😢

We won expected score again! 

Stats suggest an extremely even contest. Really could have gone either way. It just puts the spotlight on 2 [censored] goals to the Giants.

 

Are there stats readily available for the number of players we had in the 0-49 game, 50-99, 100-199, 200+ and comparison to the opposition?


9 hours ago, Nascent said:

Are there stats readily available for the number of players we had in the 0-49 game, 50-99, 100-199, 200+ and comparison to the opposition?

I usually include these in my weekly update N but a bit time poor lately.  Will try to include with forthcoming updates...

Team Stats Demons Giants
Disposals Per Goal  35.45 33.00
% In50s Goal 19.60 21.20
Conversion % 57.90 50.00

 

Average Attributes

   
Melbourne  Attribute  GWS 
187.6cm  Height  188.1cm
85.9kg  Weight  85.5kg
25yr 6mth  Age  26yr 2mth
97.3 Games  106

 

Total Players By Games

 
Melbourne  Games Played GWS 
9 Less than 50  7
4 50 to 99  6
1 100 to 149  4
6 150 to 200  1
3 200 or more  5

 

 

 

6 hours ago, Demon Dynasty said:

I usually include these in my weekly update N but a bit time poor lately.  Will try to include with forthcoming updates...

Team Stats Demons Giants
Disposals Per Goal  35.45 33.00
% In50s Goal 19.60 21.20
Conversion % 57.90 50.00

 

Average Attributes

   
Melbourne  Attribute  GWS 
187.6cm  Height  188.1cm
85.9kg  Weight  85.5kg
25yr 6mth  Age  26yr 2mth
97.3 Games  106

 

Total Players By Games

 
Melbourne  Games Played GWS 
9 Less than 50  7
4 50 to 99  6
1 100 to 149  4
6 150 to 200  1
3 200 or more  5

 

 

 

Cheers mate, love your work.

20 hours ago, Little Goffy said:

The quarter-by-quarter breakdown of player stats has me concerned about the performance of some of our leaders late in the game.

I've already noted that Gawn simply wasn't on the field for a large chunk of the last, but each of Petracca, Lever and Viney fell away badly in the last, and Oliver also didn't stand up.

                                      Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match
Max Gawn              4.7 6.2 6.9 1.4 19.2
Christian Petracca 3.3 9.8 2.1 1.5 16.8
Jake Lever              3.6 2.5 5.6 1.5 13.1
Jack Viney              5.5 3.1 0.5 −2.8 6.2
Clayton Oliver         2.2 0.8 4.4 1.4 8.9

 

In a team with so many kids, it is so important that we get good contributions from the leaders when the game is hot, especially as the siren approaches.

A bit harsh of me, perhaps, given that three of them were in our highest five rated for the game, but it is part of a veteran's job to rise to the moment.

That 2nd Q from CP5 is off the charts

4 hours ago, Demon Dynasty said:

That 2nd Q from CP5 is off the charts

Truly wild. Half the team didn't get ratings that high across the whole game, and that includes players who had a pretty respectable day.

Another single quarter rating I find interesting is Langford's. He didn't look like he was having a great time of it but his actual rating would put him in our best six if extrapolated to a whole game.


On 19/03/2025 at 23:21, binman said:

I really like the quarter by quarter break down - its a really interesting way to see a players game in totality, and as you've done here LG grouping players.

I suspect like most teams playing their first game fatigue was a factor. 

@WheeloRatings am im right in saying that new (ie you only posted their final total ans season average last year)?

I didn't post player ratings here, but the game totals were available on the site. I'll be posting the quarter and game ratings for each game this season. The website will continue to show game totals (and season average).

Melbourne v North Melbourne (Round 2, 2025)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20250207

Key Team Stats

Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne.

Stat For Against Diff
Disposal Efficiency
Disposal Efficiency 72.6 79.2 -6.5
Kicking Efficiency 67.4 74.6 -7.2
Territory/Attack
Inside 50s 56 53 +3
Shots At Goal 26 29 -3
Shots Per Inside 50 46.4 54.7 -8.3
Marks Inside 50 11 12 -1
Contest
Contested Possessions 120 139 -19
Ground Ball Gets 83 89 -6
Post Clearance Contested Possessions 79 85 -6
Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets 57 57 +0
Centre Clearances 13 15 -2
Stoppage Clearances 17 27 -10
Contested Marks 7 15 -8
Defense
Intercepts 70 65 +5
Intercept Marks 15 17 -2
Tackles 47 49 -2
Tackles Inside 50 11 7 +4
Def One On One Loss % 40.0 16.7 +23.3
Ruck
Hitouts 30 32 -2
Hitouts To Advantage 9 12 -3

Player Ratings

  Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match
Clayton Oliver 9.8 3.4 5.4 1.2 19.9
Kade Chandler 4.3 8.4 1.3 5.4 19.5
Christian Salem 5.5 1.8 3.3 4.6 15.3
Jake Bowey 3.9 3.5 2.2 3.0 12.5
Tom Sparrow 1.9 6.0 1.5 2.4 11.7
Tom McDonald 2.3 1.4 6.0 1.7 11.4
Max Gawn 1.4 3.6 5.2 1.0 11.2
Jack Viney 4.5 −0.1 4.7 1.2 10.3
Harrison Petty 2.9 −0.8 7.3 −0.6 8.8
Xavier Lindsay 3.0 1.5 0.8 2.5 7.8
Taj Woewodin 0.0 1.4 3.2 2.8 7.4
Ed Langdon 2.5 2.7 2.0 −0.6 6.6
Jake Lever 0.6 2.1 2.1 0.2 5.1
Blake Howes 0.4 2.5 2.2 0.0 5.0
Jacob van Rooyen 3.6 0.5 1.4 −1.2 4.3
Trent Rivers 0.0 0.4 0.6 3.0 4.0
Daniel Turner 0.0 0.3 3.1 0.6 4.0
Harry Sharp 2.1 −0.8 2.0 0.1 3.4
Jack Henderson 3.3 0.3 −0.2 0.0 3.4
Charlie Spargo 1.7 −0.5 −1.3 2.9 2.8
Christian Petracca −1.0 1.5 2.4 −0.6 2.3
Bayley Fritsch 1.2 −0.4 1.0 0.3 2.1
Matthew Jefferson 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

Contested Possessions

  For Against Diff
Melbourne's Defensive 50
Hard Ball Get 3 8 -5
Loose Ball Get 11 10 +1
Contested Mark 1 5 -4
Ruck Hard Ball Get 0 1 -1
Gather From Hitout 0 1 -1
Contested Knock On 2 0 +2
Free For 3 4 -1
Total 20 29 -9
Melbourne's Forward 50
Hard Ball Get 5 1 +4
Loose Ball Get 9 15 -6
Contested Mark 2 2 0
Ruck Hard Ball Get 1 1 0
Gather From Hitout 2 1 +1
Contested Knock On 0 1 -1
Free For 6 3 +3
Total 25 24 +1
Post clearance
Hard Ball Get 9 14 -5
Loose Ball Get 48 43 +5
Contested Mark 7 15 -8
Contested Knock On 2 3 -1
Free For 13 10 +3
Total 79 85 -6
Pre clearance
Hard Ball Get 7 7 0
Loose Ball Get 19 25 -6
Ruck Hard Ball Get 3 5 -2
Gather From Hitout 7 12 -5
Contested Knock On 1 1 0
Free For 4 4 0
Total 41 54 -13
  • Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative.
  • Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets.
  • 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions.

Expected scores

  xScore Score xWin % xMargin Margin Swing
Melbourne 82.7 66 6%      
North Melbourne 111.1 125 94% +28.4 +59 +30.6
  Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. /
Shot
Shot
Rating
Overall
Melbourne 26 9.12 66 34.6% 82.7 −16.7 3.18 −0.64
North Melbourne 29 19.8 122 65.5% 109.1 +12.9 3.76 +0.45
General Play
Melbourne 10 1.4 10 10.0% 25.0 −15.0 2.50 −1.50
North Melbourne 12 7.4 46 58.3% 38.9 +7.1 3.24 +0.60
Set Position
Melbourne 16 8.8 56 50.0% 57.7 −1.7 3.61 −0.11
North Melbourne 17 12.4 76 70.6% 70.2 +5.8 4.13 +0.34
  • xWin %: win probability based on expected scores.
  • Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin.
  • xScore: total expected score from all shots taken.
  • +/-: total score above or below expected score.
  • xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty.
  • Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal.

Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores.

 

 

Territory (time in zones)

Region Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match Season
Half
Forward 58% 51% 67% 41% 54% 53%
Defensive 42% 49% 33% 59% 46% 47%
Region
Forward 50 29% 25% 33% 20% 27% 25%
Attacking Midfield 30% 26% 34% 21% 28% 28%
Defensive Midfield 19% 25% 16% 26% 21% 23%
Defensive 50 23% 25% 17% 33% 25% 25%

Source: Calculated by Wheelo Ratings.

Score Sources

Summary

Score Source Score Against Diff
Kick-in 1.0 6 1.0 6 +0
Centre Bounce 2.2 14 7.1 43 -29
Stoppage (Other) 0.3 3 2.4 16 -13
Turnover 6.7 43 9.6 60 -17
Score Source For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Kick-in 6 3.0 6 6.0
Centre Bounce 14 20.0 43 25.0
Stoppage (Other) 3 11.0 16 18.0
Turnover 43 36.0 60 52.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Chain start region

Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective.

Score Source Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Centre Bounce Centre 14 20.0 43 25.0
Kick-in D50 6 3.0 6 6.0
Stoppage (Other) D50 0 0.0 6 3.0
Stoppage (Other) Centre 0 0.0 1 0.5
Stoppage (Other) Wing 2 10.0 6 9.5
Stoppage (Other) F50 1 1.0 3 5.0
Turnover D50 6 3.5 18 12.5
Turnover Centre 9 4.5 13 10.0
Turnover Wing 20 20.5 21 21.5
Turnover F50 8 7.5 8 8.0
Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
D50 12 6.5 30 21.5
Centre 23 24.5 57 35.5
Wing 22 30.5 27 31.0
F50 9 8.5 11 13.0
Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Defensive 50 12 6.5 30 21.5
Defensive midfield 10 8.0 8 10.5
Centre bounce 14 20.0 43 25.0
Attacking midfield 21 27.0 33 31.0
Forward 50 9 8.5 11 13.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Points from defensive half

For Against
Match Season Match Season *
22 14.5 38 32.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Centre Bounce Attendances

  CBAs CBA % 2025 % 2024 %
Max Gawn 27 87% 89.5% 85.0%
Clayton Oliver 22 71% 71.9% 70.7%
Jack Viney 20 65% 66.7% 69.1%
Christian Petracca 15 48% 63.2% 55.8%
Tom Sparrow 15 48% 42.1% 37.7%
Ed Langdon 14 45% 26.3% 0.7%
Kade Chandler 7 23% 12.3% 0.0%
Jacob van Rooyen 4 13% 7.0% 17.8%
Trent Rivers 0 0% 14.0% 29.9%
Charlie Spargo 0 0% 0.0% 4.2%
Christian Salem 0 0% 0.0% 12.3%
Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.0% 0.3%
Harrison Petty 0 0% 0.0% 7.5%
Aidan Johnson     7.7%  
Harvey Langford     7.7%  

Ruck Contests and Hitouts

Ruck Contests

  Ruck
Contests
RC % 2025 % 2024 %
Max Gawn 68 87% 80.6% 81.1%
Jacob van Rooyen 10 13% 5.6% 17.6%
Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.0% 3.1%
Harrison Petty 0 0% 0.0% 7.9%
Aidan Johnson     24.5%  

Hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
To Adv. %
(2025)
To Adv. %
(2024)
Max Gawn 68 27 9 32.9% 27.9%
Jacob van Rooyen 10 3 0 0.0% 24.7%
Daniel Turner 0 0 0   50.4%
Harrison Petty 0 0 0   24.4%
Aidan Johnson       20.0%  

Opposition hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
Tristan Xerri 68 29 12
Jack Darling 10 3 0
14 minutes ago, At the break of Gawn said:

@WheeloRatings is that the most we've conceded via ventre bounce in 5 years?

I have data back to 2017 (inclusive), and that's the most we've conceded in that time.

most appreciative Wheelo most on this bleak night

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