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Farewell Jesse Hogan


wizardinoz

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6 minutes ago, Frustrated Demon said:

I’m happy with a 1st rounder and a player

What ???? just anyone - you do know that most of them aren't much chop don't you 

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24 minutes ago, Lucifer's Hero said:

I would be surprised and that is the worst case scenario. 

An option (I'm being a bit creative): 

  • pick 5 2018
  • a swap of 2019 first round picks.  Hopefully, in 2019 that converts to us receiving pick 5/6/7 and give up pick 17/18.  ie a significant 2019 first round upgrade for us.

To me that is a good compromise between Freo's 2019 1st round pick or a second round pick.

I advocated this same deal a few days ago and reckon it sits about right. 

We get pick 5 and an upgraded first rounder (likely To be a pick between 5 - 10) in 2019.

Freo get Hogan and stay in the first round of 2019, albeit at a later pick (14+).

It’s a deal which puts the onus on Freo to back themselves to rise up the ladder with Hogan. 

I’d be happy with this trade.

Edited by EnterTheDragon
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2 minutes ago, Axis of Bob said:

Pick 5 by itself would have Freo paying more than we did for Lever. Anything on top is just making the difference greater 

How does that work - didn't we hand them our first round pick (10) plus our first round this year 

last time I checked that is two first rounds picks - what am I missing ??  

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10 minutes ago, EnterTheDragon said:

I advocated this same deal a few days ago and reckon it sits about right. 

We get pick 5 and an upgraded first rounder (likely To be a pick between 5 - 10) in 2019.

Freo get Hogan and stay in the first round of 2919, albeit a late pick (14+).

It’s a deal which puts the onus on Freo to back themselves to rise up the ladder with Hogan. 

I’d be happy with this trade.

Yes, I have also been advocating for quite a while that #5 and a mid first round pick to get the job done.  But I think that is a little different to what I proposed above, albeit the results have similarities.  

My suggestion of a swap of 2019 first round picks leaves Freo with something substantial (our 2019 1st pick) rather than just coughing up #5 and a mid 1st round. 

Edited by Lucifer's Hero
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1 minute ago, Sydee said:

How does that work - didn't we hand them our first round pick (10) plus our first round this year 

last time I checked that is two first rounds picks - what am I missing ??  

I think he is referring to value of points. 

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8 minutes ago, EnterTheDragon said:

I advocated this same deal a few days ago and reckon it sits about right. 

We get pick 5 and an upgraded first rounder (likely To be a pick between 5 - 10) in 2019.

Freo get Hogan and stay in the first round of 2919, albeit a late pick (14+).

It’s a deal which puts the onus on Freo to back themselves to rise up the ladder with Hogan. 

I’d be happy with this trade.

Then what do we give up for May and KK? Love to keep pick 5 or do we need to convert that pick 5 for 2 teen picks.

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3 minutes ago, Sydee said:

How does that work - didn't we hand them our first round pick (10) plus our first round this year 

last time I checked that is two first rounds picks - what am I missing ??  

Because that wasn't the full deal, only part of it. There were other picks moved about plus pick 5 is a much better pick than pick 10 and pick 16.

Overall it was the equivalent of about pick 7.

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2 minutes ago, DemonLad5 said:

I think he is referring to value of points. 

AFC might have been working on the premise that MFC finish in bottom 5 or 6 teams this year - they wouldn't have been the only ones 

On that basis they would receive last year (10) , this year (1 to say 6) how does that stack up with 5 on a points basis - I honestly don't know but I know which option I'd prefer 

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2 minutes ago, djr said:

Then what do we give up for May and KK? Love to keep pick 5 or do we need to convert that pick 5 for 2 teen picks.

The SA club swill be knocking Mahoney's door down to get it.  Crows have picks 8, 13, 16 and 20.  I reckon they would give up 8 with 13 or 16. 

We give 8 to GCS for May.  Deal done!!  Net result we keep 13 or 16 and pocket Freo's 1st round 2019 pick!!  Happy days!!

Edited by Lucifer's Hero
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2 minutes ago, EnterTheDragon said:

Pick 5 will go out immediately for May. 

So May is more valuable than Hogan ? Personally I don't think so 

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4 minutes ago, Lucifer's Hero said:

The SA club swill be knocking Mahoney's door down to get it.  Crows have picks 8, 13, 16 and 20.  I reckon they would give up 8 with 13 or 16. 

We give 8 to GCS for May.  Deal done!!  Net result we keep 13 or 16 and pocket Freo's 1st round 2019 pick!!  Happy days!!

Yes that gives them a chance of getting Rankine. I'd push for pick 8 and a 3rd rounder for May and KK

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11 minutes ago, Demon Disciple said:

points only come into it if matching academy/fs bids.

The points are used for bidding on academy/FS players but it comes from an academic study looking at the relative worth of draft picks.

It seems to be pretty close, of you think about how much you'd pay to do pick swaps. For example, 10 and 16 together are about as valuable pick 3 or 2 (but we got other assets from Adelaide, so it went down to about 7).

If you wanted pick 1 you'd probably trade at least pick 5 and 12 for it to be fair.

If we got 5 and a pick better than 13 then it's basically worth pick 1 in terms of its historical value to the club, which makes sense for Hogan.

The points value is a pretty good indicator of player/pick value which is why they use it when they can.

Edited by Axis of Bob
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9 minutes ago, Lucifer's Hero said:

The SA club swill be knocking Mahoney's door down to get it.  Crows have picks 8, 13, 16 and 20.  I reckon they would give up 8 with 13 or 16. 

We give 8 to GCS for May.  Deal done!!  Net result we keep 13 or 16 and pocket Freo's 1st round 2019 pick!!  Happy days!!

SA boys Lukosius and Rankine set to go top 3. Pick 5 won’t get them to the Adelaide clubs.

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