A Day at the Races

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

Open minded salutes, I’m well deep into the beers and whisky, really wish I’d seen the $8 opening price.

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

Just now, Macca said:

Open Minded drifted to 4.50 in the end and looked the winner a fair way from home

I was on Madam Superior with Ollie on board and it looked good for a while

OM too good though

Got it at $4.20. I5s a good horse. Think it has more potential.

[Macca 16,173]

1 hour ago, Gorgoroth said:

Open minded salutes, I’m well deep into the beers and whisky, really wish I’d seen the $8 opening price.

Need a clear head tomorrow so just the 2 glasses of Pinot here! However,  good wine doesn't give you a headache so 2 more on the cards whilst watching '3 wide no cover' (on now) 

Got the quinella in the Snoano race so 2 good collects and double winnings on 'The Regiment' ... decent night as it turned out

Edited February 26, 2021 by Macca

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

3 minutes ago, Macca said:

Need a clear head tomorrow so just the 2 glasses of Pinot here! However,  good wine doesn't give you a headache so 2 more on the cards whilst watching '3 wide no cover' (on now) 

Got the quinella in the Snoana race so 2 good collects and double winnings on 'The Regiment' ... decent night as it turned out

I’m four craft beers and a few whiskeys deep so I’ll stay off the punt when in such a state. But open minded  I’ve been on for a while so watched its market. Will be sober enough by race one tomorrow ?

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

Well defiant dancer was very disappointing.

[Macca 16,173]

I wouldn't be too concerned Gorg ... I always feel very lucky when a multi salutes (they are hard to get) I had Defiant in a quinella but didn't have the 2nd horse anyway

We've still got 3 live chances and if picking winners was easy,  we'd be sqillionaires!

Got 'Leo',  Four Moves Ahead & Fabergino up so another good start ... just need to finish off well (like the Demons yesterday!)

 

Edit:  Criaderas gets up for 2nd but got going too late by the sounds of it

Edited February 27, 2021 by Macca

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

Had Leo, missed on Mallory and just missed on Indian pacific. 
 

Got Buffalo River in the next, couldn’t look past it.

Tough Miss on Cric but strong run by the winner.

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

Buff went hard really early. Just held on for third. 
Thought they went too early and too hard.

[Macca 16,173]

6 minutes ago, Gorgoroth said:

Buff went hard really early. Just held on for third. 
Thought they went too early and too hard.

Looked that way and it's a long straight.  Jamie nearly always rates them well in the lead too

Who knows?  ... the horse just took off and when that happens the jockey either restrains them (which can backfire) or goes with it

At Caulfield & Moonee Valley it wins

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

Lunar Fox... wow. ?

[Macca 16,173]

1 hour ago, Gorgoroth said:

Lunar Fox... wow. ?

Didn't see that coming!  250-1 fixed odds

Form was recently quite woeful although it did win the Sires Produce this time last year

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

1 minute ago, Macca said:

Didn't see that coming!  250-1 fixed odds

Form was recently quite woeful although it did win the Sires Produce this time last year

The day has had a lot of winners in the $10+ category 

[Macca 16,173]

Replays of the 3 Group 1's from yesterday

 

 

 

 

[Macca 16,173]

Racing at Sha Tin today

Here's a few links that can help if you're playing

• Expert Video Preview (Each Race) - Excellent Site
• Odds & Fluctuations (Available 2 or 3 days Prior to Raceday)
• Comprehensive Form Guide (HKJC Website)
• Form Guide (Racenet.Com)
• All The Tips - Available 9pm The Day Before Raceday (Tom Biddington & RacingPost - 2 of the Best)

[Macca 16,173]

On 2/27/2021 at 2:32 PM, Gorgoroth said:

Buff went hard really early. Just held on for third. 
Thought they went too early and too hard.

As it turns out the horse (Buffalo River) apparently does have a habit of taking off like that (according to a few of the pundits) Can't say I've seen it before but it is a frontrunner

And it's not like Jamie Kah to ride like that anyway ... in fact, she rates them in front better than any other jockey I've seen (in recent times)

You just don't expect that sort of thing to happen but it does happen from time to time

e.g. Twilight Payment took off at the 4 furlong mark in the cup but still managed to hold on

I'd be getting on Buffalo again but maybe not at Flemington! ?

Edited February 28, 2021 by Macca

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

12 hours ago, Macca said:

As it turns out the horse (Buffalo River) apparently does have a habit of taking off like that (according to a few of the pundits) Can't say I've seen it before but it is a frontrunner

And it's not like Jamie Kah to ride like that anyway ... in fact, she rates them in front better than any other jockey I've seen (in recent times)

You just don't expect that sort of thing to happen but it does happen from time to time

e.g. Twilight Payment took off at the 4 furlong mark in the cup but still managed to hold on

I'd be getting on Buffalo again but maybe not at Flemington! ?

It was more how hard it seem to go, but as you said sometimes reining them in is just as counter productive 

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

On 2/27/2021 at 5:42 PM, Macca said:

Didn't see that coming!  250-1 fixed odds

Form was recently quite woeful although it did win the Sires Produce this time last year

Guy at work had the tip that this would do very well. He didn’t pass tge into along nor back it.

Said they have been trying new tactics with it and it responded well.

We are all unhappy with him today. ?

[Macca 16,173]

The All Star Mile final field has been decided

It's a crack field but would have liked to see Verry Elleegant,  Colette,  Kolding & Avilius included but with 2 Autumn carnivals running side by side,  we don't get to see the very best all racing against each other. 

Still, there's at least 9 winning chances for the Moonee Valley version of the event (to be run on the 13th March)

And if Streets of Avalon can get to the lead and put the brakes on,  it can get into the finish

Promises to be a terrific race, all the same

 

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

Looks a very good field. 
 

Will be fun to watch.

[Macca 16,173]

Super Saturday coming up at Flemington on the weekend and a super days racing coming up at Randwick as well.  Group & Listed races aplenty along with 4 big Group 1 events. 

I'm mainly playing the exotics and even the quinella's could pay well with such depth to the racing.  Quite tricky coming up with a best bet or 2 as well.  So far, nothing is jumping out at me

 

• Flemington Fields, Form & Odds
• Randwick Fields, Form & Odds

 

 

 

 

[Macca 16,173]

Value Bet (Randwick Saturday)

Race 7 No.3 North Pacific 9.00/2.50

More so the exotics and place multi,  I'm confident the horse can get into the finish and 3rd up has been primed for this race

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

 Best bet Flem race 4, #3 lightsaber $4.20/1.70

 

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

Got a tip at work for a roughie in the 8th at Randwick 

Samadoubt $14

[Macca 16,173]

8 hours ago, Gorgoroth said:

Got a tip at work for a roughie in the 8th at Randwick 

Samadoubt $14

Trialled brilliantly and has good first up form ... hasn't raced for nearly 18 months but its a real chance

 

[Gorgoroth 12,319]

9 hours ago, Macca said:

Trialled brilliantly and has good first up form ... hasn't raced for nearly 18 months but its a real chance

 

It’s the same trainer as his sons horse and he said they are feeling good about it’s prep.