Jump to content


Recommended Posts

Posted (edited)

While waiting for trade information I did a little research into the free kick count (for and against) and was flabbergasted at the difference between West Coast and the non pampered Demons. Actually, I was not only shocked but annoyed that there could be such a big difference between us and them. We know of course that there are many 'duckers' in their team but surely this doesn't explain the huge discrepancy.

Over the last 10 seasons Eagles have received 4768 frees FOR as against 3584 paid AGAINST them. A difference in their favour of 752 frees! In all of the 10 seasons West Coast had been ahead in the free kick count.

Melbourne, on the other hand, has received just 4071 frees and had 4186 against. A difference of NEGATIVE 115.( That's an overall difference of 867). So what is going on here? Are we breaking the rules or are the umps being influenced by the vocal crowd at Subiaco or what?

In my search I could find no other team that could in anyway rival the Eagles. They sure have been given a marvellous run by the men in charge.

Edited by Bobby McKenzie

Posted

I brought this fact up a few weeks ago.

They just get so many more free kicks at their home games than any other club. It really is a joke that the umpires can be swayed that regularly by the crowd.

  • Like 1

Posted (edited)

I brought this fact up a few weeks ago.

They just get so many more free kicks at their home games than any other club. It really is a joke that the umpires can be swayed that regularly by the crowd.

I just looked up the Dockers stats. They are worse off with us with a negative score of 200. So their home crowd don't achieve the same as the Eagles crowd. Confusing isn't it?

Edited by Bobby McKenzie
  • Like 1
Posted

While waiting for trade information I did a little research into the free kick count (for and against) and was flabbergasted at the difference between West Coast and the non pampered Demons. Actually, I was not only shocked but annoyed that there could be such a big difference between us and them. We know of course that there are many 'duckers' in their team but surely this doesn't explain the huge discrepancy.

Over the last 10 seasons Eagles have received 4768 frees FOR as against 3584 paid AGAINST them. A difference in their favour of 752 frees! In all of the 10 seasons West Coast had been ahead in the free kick count.

Melbourne, on the other hand, has received just 3701 frees and had 4186 against. A difference of NEGATIVE 115.( That's an overall difference of 867). So what is going on here? Are we breaking the rules or are the umps being influenced by the vocal crowd at Subiaco or what?

In my search I could find no other team that could in anyway rival the Eagles. They sure have been given a marvellous run by the men in charge.

I agree entirely with your point, but I worry about your math skills.

4768 - 3584 = 1184

3701 - 4186 = -485

Thus WC have a comparative advantage of 1669 free kicks over us over your ten year sample.

Posted

Back in the 50's & 60's The Dees got the favour of most umpires. Although back then there was just one field umpire.

But we had Alan Nash and Bob Nunn.

You could almost chalk in a win if Alan Nash got us, Bob Nunn had a little less average.

Jack Irving was a toss of the coin.

So nothing really has changed over the years.

  • Like 1
Posted

I tend to agree they get the rub of the green. Walker was dragged off it in the 10 yard square a few years ago that should have cost WCE a Prelim. As it was Carlton who were the victims, didn't care much at the time. Same with North in recent Prelim there - decisive decisions went West.

Your stats warrant further scrutiny.

If there is a 1600 differential over 10 seasons that is 160 annually.

Most of the past decade they have been "better" than us; three GF and a flag v well....

0ver a season 160 FF translates to 7 a game. So if 50 frees were awarded in a game - maybe they would get 28, we receive 21. Generally better teams get more frees cos they are more skilled. Poorer sides less so, infringe more.

Frees aren't meant to be 50/50 in a match.

Agree, the critical ones appear to go their way.

Your Freo stats are interesting.

  • Like 1

Posted

You watch Geelongs Sky-rocket next year with both Selwood boys there.

Posted

I agree entirely with your point, but I worry about your math skills.

4768 - 3584 = 1184

3701 - 4186 = -485

Thus WC have a comparative advantage of 1669 free kicks over us over your ten year sample.

To arrive at the figure of 752, I added up the difference for each year,e.g. 2015 461for 376 against = 85, 2014 382 for 335 against = 47 and so on. I agree and so does my calculator, that the figures you quoted are correct. A mathematical puzzle? I am a retired teacher but mathematics was not my forte.

Posted

I tend to agree they get the rub of the green. Walker was dragged off it in the 10 yard square a few years ago that should have cost WCE a Prelim. As it was Carlton who were the victims, didn't care much at the time. Same with North in recent Prelim there - decisive decisions went West.

Your stats warrant further scrutiny.

If there is a 1600 differential over 10 seasons that is 160 annually.

Most of the past decade they have been "better" than us; three GF and a flag v well....

0ver a season 160 FF translates to 7 a game. So if 50 frees were awarded in a game - maybe they would get 28, we receive 21. Generally better teams get more frees cos they are more skilled. Poorer sides less so, infringe more.

Frees aren't meant to be 50/50 in a match.

Agree, the critical ones appear to go their way.

Your Freo stats are interesting.

You mentioned how better teams get more frees. I took a look at Hawthorn - 4527 for 4848 against a negative score of -321. Hope my maths is correct this time.

  • Like 1
Posted

Though stats don't tell the whole story. In reality its not how many free's you get, it wheres on the field and when. The recent North prelim is a pure example, swung the momentum of the game completely in WC's favour. Free against play in front of goal.

We tend to never get those, just useless one's around the square which is really neutral space on the ground.

Posted

I tend to agree they get the rub of the green. Walker was dragged off it in the 10 yard square a few years ago that should have cost WCE a Prelim. As it was Carlton who were the victims, didn't care much at the time. Same with North in recent Prelim there - decisive decisions went West.

Your stats warrant further scrutiny.

If there is a 1600 differential over 10 seasons that is 160 annually.

Most of the past decade they have been "better" than us; three GF and a flag v well....

0ver a season 160 FF translates to 7 a game. So if 50 frees were awarded in a game - maybe they would get 28, we receive 21. Generally better teams get more frees cos they are more skilled. Poorer sides less so, infringe more.

Frees aren't meant to be 50/50 in a match.

Agree, the critical ones appear to go their way.

Your Freo stats are interesting.

Agree with the thrust of your post radar, however for all games this year the average number of frees paid was 36 (35.76).

So with the Eagles at +7, that translates to a 21-14 or 22-15 type result. 50% more frees. Every game.

Posted

Yep they do get the rub of the green at home. But.

Over that ten year period they have been premiers and runners up so have been at the pointy end of the ladder and usually those teams do get more frees.

Factor in they had Judd and he got lots of frees due to every one trying to stop him, also cousins and Kerr. And then they had their duckers, especially Hams and Selwood raising his arm.

To compare to us who have been at the bottom

The whole time with sub par players who don't receive frees and then some like Matt Jones who will see a person already tackled to the ground and fall on their back or head, it's not that difficult to believe.

  • Like 1

Posted

We are despised in AFL circles.

They are biased and need a good reeming.

  • Like 1
Posted

Yep they do get the rub of the green at home. But.

Over that ten year period they have been premiers and runners up so have been at the pointy end of the ladder and usually those teams do get more frees.

Factor in they had Judd and he got lots of frees due to every one trying to stop him, also cousins and Kerr. And then they had their duckers, especially Hams and Selwood raising his arm.

To compare to us who have been at the bottom

The whole time with sub par players who don't receive frees and then some like Matt Jones who will see a person already tackled to the ground and fall on their back or head, it's not that difficult to believe.

The stats don't back that up.; If you look at a ladder of frees for and against it is very different from the ladder of wins/losses every year.

Biffo is right the umps and the AFL need a good reeming.

  • Like 1
Posted

Interesting to see stats for other interstate clubs.

Hawthorn and North in Tassie.

I reckon Sydney get an AFL sanctioned dream run in overall terms.

96 GF - Dunkley

O3 ~ Barry Hall in Prelim

Academy

COLA

Jettas running goal against Pies in Prelim.

Sydney must have ongoing success for marketing and TV rights.

Anyway, like whinging cos you're not born into the Packer family. Get our own FD in order first.


Posted

The stats don't back that up.; If you look at a ladder of frees for and against it is very different from the ladder of wins/losses every year.

Biffo is right the umps and the AFL need a good reeming.

Thought I would compile a free kick ladder(2006-2015) for everyone to see. A couple of surprises and non surprises here.

FREE KICK LADDER

1. West Coast Eagles 4768 frees for 4016 against- Difference +752

2. North Melbourne 4482-4136 +346

3. Carlton 4190-3968 +222

4. Geelong 4756-4603 +153

5, Port Adelaide 4445-4323 +122

6. Richmond 3913-3861 +52

7. Collingwood 4150-4112 +38

8. Western Bulldogs 4181-4175 +6

9. Adelaide 4104-4146 -42

10. GWS* 1618-1666 -48

11. Essendon 4046-4100 -54

12. Gold Coast* 1901-1972 -71

13. MELBOURNE 4071-4186 -115

14. St Kilda 4236-4406 -170

15. Brisbane 4094-4279 -185

16. FREMANTLE 4249-4449 - 200

17. HAWTHORN 4527-4848 -321

18. SYDNEY 4464-4795 -331

* Smaller sample taken

Looks like Sydney, Hawthorn and Fremantle can still dominate without the umpires help. We cannot say the same about the Eagles though can we?

Posted

I agree entirely with your point, but I worry about your math skills.

4768 - 3584 = 1184

3701 - 4186 = -485

Thus WC have a comparative advantage of 1669 free kicks over us over your ten year sample.

The figure of 3701 should have read 4071. Sorry.

Posted

That is interesting. Need a data analysis more skilled than me to interpret. I suspect North 2nd to Swans 18th over a decade comprising 22 games a season represents a normal distribution curve.

As you said in opening post - WC are off the chart.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
  • Demonland Forums  

  • Match Previews, Reports & Articles  

    TRAINING: Wednesday 22nd January 2025

    Demonland Trackwatchers were out in force for training at Gosch's Paddock on Wednesday morning for the MFC's School Holidays Open Training Session. DEMONLAND'S PRESEASON TRAINING OBSERVATIONS REHAB: TMac, Chandler, McVee, Tholstrup, Brown, Spargo Brown might have passed his fitness test as he’s back out with the main group.  Sparrow not present. Kozzy not present either.  Mini Rehab group has broken off from the match sim (contact) group: Max, Trac, Lever, Fullarton

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Training Reports

    TRAINING: Monday 20th January 2025

    Demonland Trackwatcher Gator attended training out at Casey Fields to bring you the following observations from Preseason Training. GATOR'S PRESEASON TRAINING OBSERVATIONS There were 5 in the main rehab group, namely Gawn, Petracca, Fullarton, Woewodin and Lever.  Laurie was running laps by himself, as was Jefferson.  Chandler, as has been reported, had his arm in a sling.  Lindsay did a bit of lap running later on. Some of the ''rehab 5'' participated in non contact drills and b

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Training Reports

    TRAINING: Wednesday 15th January 2025

    There were a number of Demonland Trackwatchers at Gosch's Paddock this morning to bring you their observations from Preseason Training. KEV MARTIN'S PRESEASON TRAINING OBSERVATIONS They were going hard at each other. The sims were in two 15 minute blocks. The second block finished a few minutes early, they gathered and had another 7 minutes at it. I think they were asked to compete, as they would play against an opposition. There was plenty of niggle, between some of them. At the end o

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Training Reports

    TRAINING: Monday 13th January 2025

    Better late than never … and quite frankly, there’s very little to report other than that training took place at Casey Fields this morning, that Tracc was there nursing his rib injury and that some photographs are on the club’s social media including this one of Clarrie in Raging Bull stance that gives rise for confidence. The other news is that the club has a new train on player in 185cm Dandenong Stingrays midfielder Noah Hibbins-Hargreaves (love the hyphenated name which is just so fitti

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Training Reports

    TRAINING: Thursday 9th January 2025

    Welcome back to Demonland for those like me who have been on vacation. I’m posting this with some trepidation because of a certain amount of uncertainty surrounding the return of preseason training in 2025 after a flurry of weddings including those of our coach, one of our superstar players and a former premiership champion player and bloke, not to mention the recent mysterious incident that occurred on the Mornington Peninsula.  I believe that the team reassembles this morning at Casey Fie

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Training Reports

    TRAINING: Wednesday 18th December 2024

    It was the final session of 2024 before the Christmas/New Years break and the Demonland Trackwatchers were out in force to bring you the following preseason training observations from Wednesday's session at Gosch's Paddock. DEMONLAND'S PRESEASON TRAINING OBSERVATIONS TRAINING: Petracca, Oliver, Melksham, Woewodin, Langdon, Rivers, Billings, Sestan, Viney, Fullarton, Adams, Langford, Lever, Petty, Spargo, Fritsch, Bowey, Laurie, Kozzy, Mentha, George, May, Gawn, Turner Tholstrup, Kentfi

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Training Reports

    TRAINING: Monday 16th December 2024

    Demonland Trackwatchers braved the sweltering heat to bring you their Preseason Training observations from Gosch's Paddock on Monday morning. SCOOP JUNIOR'S PRESEASON TRAINING OBSERVATIONS I went down today in what were pretty ordinary conditions - hot and windy. When I got there, they were doing repeat simulations of a stoppage on the wing and then moving the ball inside 50. There seemed to be an emphasis on handballing out of the stoppage, usually there were 3 or 4 handballs to

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Training Reports 1

    TRAINING: Friday 13th December 2024

    With only a few sessions left before the Christmas break a number of Demonlander Trackwatchers headed down to Gosch's Paddock to bring you their observations from this morning's preseason training session. DEMONLAND'S PRESEASON TRAINING OBSERVATIONS PLAYERS IN ATTENDANCE: JVR, Salem, McVee, Petracca, Windsor, Viney, Lever, Spargo, Turner, Gawn, Tholstrup, Oliver, Billings, Langdon, Laurie, Bowey, Melksham, Langford, Lindsay, Jefferson, Howes, McAdam, Rivers, TMac, Adams, Hore, Verrall,

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Training Reports

    TRAINING: Wednesday 11th December 2024

    A few new faces joined our veteran Demonland Trackwatchers on a beautiful morning out at Gosch's Paddock for another Preseason Training Session. BLWNBA'S PRESEASON TRAINING OBSERVATIONS I arrived at around 1015 and the squad was already out on the track. The rehab group consisted of XL, McAdam, Melksham, Spargo and Sestan. Lever was also on restricted duties and appeared to be in runners.  The main group was doing end-to-end transition work in a simulated match situation. Ball mov

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Training Reports
  • Tell a friend

    Love Demonland? Tell a friend!
×
×
  • Create New...