A Day at the Races

[Macca 16,173]

'Exhilarates' wins the MM 2YO Classic ... came from the rear of the field and swamped them.  Looks a real horse for the future - very impressive.  Only a little horse but the closing speed is there to see.  The James Cummings stamp obviously.  

[Dee Zephyr 17,576]

20 minutes ago, Macca said:

'Exhilarates' wins the MM 2YO Classic ... came from the rear of the field and swamped them.  Looks a real horse for the future - very impressive.  Only a little horse but the closing speed is there to see.  The James Cummings stamp obviously.  

Terrific victory, I was hoping she didn’t have that good a closing speed, I was on Dubious.

An almost day for me today Macca, unlucky with your picks the last two weeks, you’ve been nabbed late.

Edited January 12, 2019 by Dee Zephyr

[Macca 16,173]

Another winner @Dee Zephyr  ... you're on fire!

I got on to Turnberry with the help of some bonus bets and Robbie Dolan did well to get the horse out.  Winner/Winner.

Strike Rate today 2: 1 - 1 - 0

[Dee Zephyr 17,576]

10 minutes ago, Macca said:

Another winner @Dee Zephyr  ... you're on fire!

I got on to Turnberry with the help of some bonus bets and Robbie Dolan did well to get the horse out.  Winner/Winner.

Strike Rate today 2: 1 - 1 - 0

Well done Macca. Love your work. Strong finish by the horse.

[Macca 16,173]

12 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Terrific victory, I was hoping she didn’t have that good a closing speed, I was on Dubious.

An almost day for me today Macca, unlucky with your picks the last two weeks, you’ve been nabbed late.

I was with Exhilarates ... I had to be after talking the horse up all week!

Dubious just found one better DZ.   Gallant in defeat and another one to watch.  Unite and Conquer shouldn't be forgotten either - was 4 wide without cover and never really had a chance.

[Dee Zephyr 17,576]

19 minutes ago, Macca said:

I was with Exhilarates ... I had to be after talking the horse up all week!

Dubious just found one better DZ.   Gallant in defeat and another one to watch.  Unite and Conquer shouldn't be forgotten either - was 4 wide without cover and never really had a chance.

$11.80 the Quinella. I might go walk the dog now to avoid the PL. 

[Macca 16,173]

Couple of Listed races at Gosford coming up on Thursday ... both good betting races too if you can sort out the form.  There are numerous chances in either race. 

As for the weekend,  there's a dearth of quality races although the Listed Kensington Stakes at Flemington sees 'Champagne Cuddles' making a return to racing in the 1000m dash.

• Gosford Gold Cup - Thursday
• Takeover Target Stakes - Gosford (Thursday)
• Kensington Stakes - Flemington (Saturday)

[Macca 16,173]

Best Bet Strike Rate

75: 28 - 12 - 10

Australian Group & Listed Races

No videos from the Magic Millions available but here's the Group 1 3YO Levin Classic from Saturday (NZ) ... the winner is worth following up on as it will be racing in Oz soon enough.

[Dee Zephyr 17,576]

It looks like El will be on the quick backup at Flemington this coming weekend. Up to 1400m and at this stage starting on the banks of the Maribyrnong (13). 

TAB showing $10 as 14:10 today.

Race 3 - 2:10PM VRC Member Michael Nicolson Handicap (1400 METRES)Times displayed in local time of Race Meeting
Of $75,000.1st $41,250, 2nd $13,500, 3rd $6,750, 4th $3,750, 5th $2,250, 6th $1,500, 7th $1,500, 8th $1,500, 9th $1,500, 10th $1,500 Prize money contribution totalling 2% will be directed to jockey and equine welfare prior to distribution  BenchMark 70, Handicap, Minimum Weight 54kg, Apprentices can claim. Track Name: Main Track Type: Turf  Track Condition: Good 4  Field Limit: 16 + 4 EM

 

No	Last 10	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Barrier	Weight	Penalty	Hcp Rating
1	4216407x74	SABOTAGE (NZ)	Symon Wilde	Ms Chelsea MacFarlane(a3/51.5kg)	12	62kg		74
2	215348547x	DANE THUNDER	Matt Cumani	Fred W Kersley (a2/50kg)	11	61.5kg		73
3	81070x7038	ASTRO CASTRO	Alan Hunter	Jason Benbow	3	60.5kg		71
4	2544x172x7	BATTLECAMP (NZ)	Mark Kavanagh	James Winks	16	60.5kg		71
5	7x11x218	ROX THE CASTLE (NZ)	Kerry Edwards	Jack Martin (a2/55kg)	7	60.5kg		71
6	x574125x81	SACRED THEME	Darren Weir	John Allen	9	59.5kg		69
7	221221x	ENGLISH GAMBLER	Darren Weir	Mark Zahra	2	59kg		68
8	x4120x4149	FAST PLAN	Mitchell Freedman	Luke Currie	15	59kg		68
9	3321579x67	PAREMUUS BOY	Matthew Williams	Liam Riordan (a3/53kg)	5	59kg		68
10	16268x0411	RIVERDANCE LAD	Robbie Griffiths	Matthew Allen	8	59kg		68
11	x1195520x1	WEAPON	Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	Regan Bayliss	14	59kg		68
12	214x399x11	WAITING FOR A MATE	Norm Loy	Luke Nolen	4	58kg		66
13	4416006343	DOMESDAY WARRIOR	Peter Sullivan	Joe Bowditch	10	57.5kg		65
14	5543x10452	EL MAGNIFICENCE	Pat Carey	Rhys McLeod	13	57.5kg		65
15	634100x834	O’LONHRO BAY	Lee & Shannon Hope	Tahlia Hope (a3/51kg)	1	56.5kg		63
16	11525x7923	ABYSSINIAN	Enver Jusufovic	Ben Allen (a0/50kg)	6	56kg		66

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

https://www.facebook.com/SkyRacingAU/videos/785796565090885/

Here is a latest trial with Winx and Ace High over 900m

Edited January 17, 2019 by Wadda We Sing

[Dee Zephyr 17,576]

9 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

https://www.facebook.com/SkyRacingAU/videos/785796565090885/

Here is a latest trial with Winx and Ace High over 900m

Those names in the trial lol, just a shade better than the run of the mill trials at Balnarring.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

22 hours ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Those names in the trial lol, just a shade better than the run of the mill trials at Balnarring.

Winx has only ever won 2 from 21 barrier trials

[Dee Zephyr 17,576]

34 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Winx has only ever won 2 from 21 barrier trials

Smart, bumping the price up from $1.05 to $1.12 on race day. 

[Dee Zephyr 17,576]

Best Bet

Rosehill Race 9 Number 6

Harmattan $2.80 Win.

[Macca 16,173]

Best Bet

Rosehill Race 8 No.9 Creedence $3.40 (Win)

[Macca 16,173]

Brad Davidson tipped me into Nahuel in the closing credits on Sky's 'Form Line' show last night ... got on at $11 and it won whilst starting at 5-2.  My rather small wager was part of a much bigger plunge!

Davo is a more than decent tipster of NSW racing too - always looking for the value runner.  

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Paddy Payne is taking Strategic Command to Morphetville R6, his only horse hes taking there. He often does this and wins. He is getting better and better and might be the next big trainer.

[Macca 16,173]

22 hours ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Best Bet

Rosehill Race 9 Number 6

Harmattan $2.80 Win.

Is that 4 winners in a row or 5 DZ? 

Racing.com just called and you're needed as a replacement for Gator!

 

[Dee Zephyr 17,576]

15 minutes ago, Macca said:

Is that 4 winners in a row or 5 DZ? 

Racing.com just called and you're needed as a replacement for Gator!

 

Tell them I accept Macca as long as I can bring a couple of sidekicks from DL on the show.?

Not sure how many that is in a row, the formula seems to be working at the moment. 

It was a very strong win in the end, I thought it was done 100m or so from home.

Your pick ran on well, it just seemed the leaders had a decent break on the rest. Creedence is usually a pace horse i thought. 

El ran ok too for a first time attempt at 1400m in town. There wasn’t much separating 2nd-6th.

He did some work early, mate thinks they should have gone back from the wide barrier early. 

 

[Macca 16,173]

Couple of very good Group 1 races at Sha Tin tomorrow. 

'Beauty Generation' should win the mile race but 'Conti' is a real up and coming lightly raced 5yo and it could run BG close.  Moreira on board Conti (11-2) but Zac Purton is on Beauty Generation (1-8) 

In the Sprint race Mr Stunning will take a power of beating but DB Pin,  Beat the Clock,  Fifty Fifty & Little Giant are all racing well and Mr Stunning might have to go around all of them to win (if it settles back)

• Sha Tin - The Stewards Cup 1600m ($1.8Million Aud)
• Sha Tin - The Centenary Sprint Cup 1200m ($1.8Million Aud)

[Macca 16,173]

Best Bet Strike Rate

75: 29 - 12 - 11

Australian Group & Listed Races

Next weekend we get to see the 2yo's in the Blue Diamond Preview's as well as a few Listed Stakes races from Caulfield & Randwick - a precursor to the Autumn per se.   And in less than a month we'll see the great mare Winx running around in the Apollo Stakes. 

 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Notice Jamie Kah is riding winners in Melbourne now inc 15/1 shot today. May pay to follow.

[Macca 16,173]

15 hours ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Notice Jamie Kah is riding winners in Melbourne now inc 15/1 shot today. May pay to follow.

Jamie is just a terrific horsewoman as well as an excellent jockey Wadda ... she doesn't have an overly aggressive style which is what some punters are looking for but just rides her mounts the way they're meant to be ridden.

Jamie has made the right move coming to the big smoke and out of her comfort zone in Adelaide.   Belwazi came in from 40-1 to 15's to win the Kensington Stakes so a number of punters were on to it.  Kudos. 

 

[Macca 16,173]

Been looking for a tipster out of NSW racing to go with Gator in Victoria & JJ out of SA and after a fair bit of research I reckon Tony Brassel is the one.  His tips can be found here(Sky Racing) (on the morning of the race meetings) 

What I normally do is pick the eyes out of the tips from Gator,  JJ & now Tony Brassel looking for the best odds ... not really interested in anything too short for a straight-out bet.  More so exacta's/trifecta's with the help of their tips. 

Gator's tips & JJ's tips can be found on Racing.com on Saturday mornings as well.  Wednesday evening's for Gator's tips for the advanced knowledge.  Nathan Exelby has a bit of a reputation (QLD racing) so I might start looking at his tips to see if he is any good.

And then of course there is the Flemington Forecaster himself - @Dee Zephyr ... DZ is trumping all of them at the moment with 5 from 5 from his last 5!  I'm just wondering when the Caulfield Correspondent ( @Wadda We Sing ) is going to grace us with his presence again (?)  Our strike is improving but we need all the help that we can get!

[Macca 16,173]

Here are a few interesting articles re the Autumn features in Melbourne including an article about the nominees for the Australia Stakes which is to be run this upcoming Friday night ...

Five Group I winners in 2019 Australia Stakes

Perth filly missing from 2019 Australian Guineas nominations

Melbourne Cup winners entered for 2019 Australian Cup

Golden Slipper winner nominated for 2019 Newmarket Handicap

Kris Lees pair set to clash in Lightning Stakes

 

Edited January 21, 2019 by Macca