That should read whereas Bowey,

Player & Team Rating

Form Guide - Rnds 7 to 11 vs Rnds 12 to 17

Probably best to look away if you don't want to spoil your weekend. What a route. Bar May, Sparrow & Fritta, the rest went in to free fall over the last 5 weeks in comparison to Rnds 7 to 11 and ended up in the bin.

Maybe the team all had a dose of influenza A, or B at the same time. Maybe covid! Even Max has dropped away massively. No wonder we are 5 - zip through that period.

It would take a miracle to retrieve this for our match tomorrow vs North. My guess is there's a high probability of another 6 to 10 goal loss coming up. Just too many way off their best for whatever reason in the last five weeks. We will need a minor miracle from Lucifer to get over the line me thinks. Maybe they'll pull something out for Dicko.

Stats courtesy of footywire.com and wheeloratings.com

Edited July 12Jul 12 by Demon Dynasty

12 hours ago, Demon Dynasty said:

Player & Team Rating

Form Guide - Rnds 7 to 11 vs Rnds 12 to 17

Probably best to look away if you don't want to spoil your weekend. What a route. Bar May, Sparrow & Fritta, the rest went in to free fall over the last 5 weeks in comparison to Rnds 7 to 11 and ended up in the bin.

Maybe the team all had a dose of influenza A, or B at the same time. Maybe covid! Even Max has dropped away massively. No wonder we are 5 - zip through that period.

It would take a miracle to retrieve this for our match tomorrow vs North. My guess is there's a high probability of another 6 to 10 goal loss coming up. Just too many way off their best for whatever reason in the last five weeks. We will need a minor miracle from Lucifer to get over the line me thinks. Maybe they'll pull something out for Dicko.

Stats courtesy of footywire.com and wheeloratings.com

Ha ha we must be loading how did we get close to Pies, GCS and Crows??

Melbourne v North Melbourne (Round 18, 2025)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251806

Key Team Stats

Stats in bold were won by Melbourne.

Stat	For	Against	Diff	AFL
Disposal Efficiency
Disposal Efficiency	74.2	73.8	+0.4	72.5
Kicking Efficiency	69.7	64.9	+4.7	66.0
Territory/Attack
Time In Forward Half	53.5	46.5	+7.1
Inside 50s	52	44	+8
Shots At Goal	32	25	+7
Scores Per Inside 50	55.8	52.3	+3.5	44.6
Goals Per Inside 50	34.6	27.3	+7.3	23.5
Marks Inside 50	19	12	+7
Transition
Chain To Score %	29.6	24.5	+5.1	20.8
Defensive 50 To Forward 50 %	23.3	29.4	-6.1	22.9
Defensive 50 To Score %	6.7	18.2	-11.5	9.6
Defensive Half To Forward 50 %	36.8	30.5	+6.3	31.1
Defensive Half To Score %	14.0	13.8	+0.2	12.9
Contest
Contested Possessions	128	108	+20
Ground Ball Gets	74	69	+5
Post Clearance Contested Poss	68	62	+6
Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets	41	39	+2
Contested Marks	12	8	+4
Clearance
Total Clearances	40	41	-1
Centre Clearances	11	17	-6
Stoppage Clearances	29	24	+5
First Possessions	50	37	+13
First Possession To Clearance %	66.0	75.7	-9.7	74.8
Defense
Intercepts	49	44	+5
Intercept Marks	17	13	+4
Tackles	52	56	-4
Tackles Inside 50	10	5	+5
Def One On One Loss %	33.3	46.2	-12.8	26.6
Ruck
Hitouts	37	26	+11
Hitouts To Advantage	16	6	+10

Transition stats measure how often chains result in a score or an inside 50. Chains include all kick-in chains, all clearances, and intercepts with at least one disposal in the chain.

• Chain To Score %: proportion of all chains that resulted in a score.

• Defensive 50 To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in an inside 50.

• Defensive 50 To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in a score.

• Defensive Half To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in an inside 50.

• Defensive Half To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in a score.

Player Ratings

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Match	TOG
Bayley Fritsch	4.4	7.0	5.2	6.8	23.3	91%
Jake Melksham	4.9	1.9	2.1	9.4	18.4	67%
Max Gawn	3.8	3.8	1.3	8.4	17.3	84%
Jack Viney	8.0	2.2	−0.1	3.5	13.6	85%
Kade Chandler	1.0	4.3	5.2	2.8	13.3	88%
Harvey Langford	3.0	4.1	3.5	2.7	13.2	81%
Jacob van Rooyen	1.9	2.6	7.0	1.5	13.0	70%
Tom McDonald	1.3	3.2	1.2	5.2	10.8	91%
Ed Langdon	1.2	4.2	3.8	1.6	10.7	82%
Clayton Oliver	2.0	5.3	3.0	0.1	10.5	77%
Kysaiah Pickett	2.5	−0.6	5.0	3.4	10.3	75%
Christian Petracca	−2.2	−0.6	2.8	9.5	9.6	83%
Jake Bowey	0.3	1.5	1.4	5.0	8.1	77%
Judd McVee	0.9	3.7	0.3	2.4	7.2	78%
Christian Salem	4.5	−1.9	3.9	0.5	7.1	89%
Trent Rivers	1.1	0.2	2.9	0.5	4.7	82%
Tom Sparrow	−2.7	2.2	0.2	4.8	4.6	74%
Koltyn Tholstrup	0.1	1.8	−0.5	2.9	4.3	76%
Jake Lever	3.1	−1.1	1.1	0.6	3.6	93%
Xavier Lindsay	0.7	2.7	0.1	0.0	3.5	46%
Daniel Turner	0.1	2.3	−0.1	−0.4	1.9	90%
Matthew Jefferson	−0.3	2.0	−2.0	0.5	0.2	78%
Caleb Windsor	0.0	0.0	0.4	−0.3	0.1	43%

Contested Possessions

	For	Against	Diff
Melbourne's Defensive 50
Hard Ball Get	1	4	-3
Loose Ball Get	5	4	+1
Contested Mark	1	3	-2
Gather From Hitout	0	2	-2
Contested Knock On	1	1	0
Free For	4	6	-2
Total	12	20	-8
Melbourne's Forward 50
Hard Ball Get	5	5	0
Loose Ball Get	7	11	-4
Contested Mark	5	0	+5
Ruck Hard Ball Get	2	1	+1
Gather From Hitout	1	0	+1
Contested Knock On	1	0	+1
Free For	3	1	+2
Total	24	18	+6
Post clearance
Hard Ball Get	12	11	+1
Loose Ball Get	29	28	+1
Contested Mark	12	8	+4
Contested Knock On	3	3	0
Free For	12	12	0
Total	68	62	+6
Pre clearance
Hard Ball Get	15	11	+4
Loose Ball Get	18	19	-1
Ruck Hard Ball Get	7	5	+2
Gather From Hitout	13	5	+8
Contested Knock On	3	1	+2
Free For	4	5	-1
Total	60	46	+14

• Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative.

• Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets.

• 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions.

Expected scores

	xScore	Score	xWin %	xMargin	Margin	Swing
Melbourne	93.0	119	80%	+15.2	+36	+20.8
North Melbourne	77.8	83	20%

	Shots	Score	Accuracy	xScore	+/-	xSc. / Shot	Shot Rating
Overall
Melbourne	32	18.9 117	56.2%	92.0	+25.0	2.87	+0.78
North Melbourne	25	12.9 81	48.0%	75.8	+5.2	3.03	+0.21
General Play
Melbourne	11	7.3 45	63.6%	30.5	+14.5	2.78	+1.32
North Melbourne	9	2.5 17	22.2%	21.5	−4.5	2.39	−0.50
Set Position
Melbourne	21	11.6 72	52.4%	61.4	+10.6	2.93	+0.50
North Melbourne	16	10.4 64	62.5%	54.3	+9.7	3.39	+0.61

• xWin %: win probability based on expected scores.

• Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin.

• xScore: total expected score from all shots taken.

• +/-: total score above or below expected score.

• xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty.

• Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal.

Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores.

Territory (time in zones)

Region	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Match	Season
Half
Forward	53%	57%	46%	58%	54%	51%
Defensive	47%	43%	54%	42%	46%	49%
Region
Forward 50	24%	24%	29%	29%	26%	25%
Attacking Midfield	29%	33%	18%	29%	27%	26%
Defensive Midfield	21%	20%	25%	24%	23%	26%
Defensive 50	26%	23%	28%	18%	24%	23%

Source: Calculated by Wheelo Ratings.

Score Sources

Summary

Score Source	Score	Against	Diff
Kick-in	0.0 0	1.2 8	-8
Centre Bounce	2.2 14	5.0 30	-16
Stoppage (Other)	6.5 41	3.3 21	+20
Turnover	10.4 64	3.6 24	+40

Score Source	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
Kick-in	0	3.5	8	5.2
Centre Bounce	14	11.9	30	14.8
Stoppage (Other)	41	20.6	21	21.5
Turnover	64	44.8	24	48.4

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Chain start region

Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective.

Region	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
Defensive 50	12	10.9	21	17.5
Defensive midfield	31	16.5	7	20.8
Centre bounce	14	11.9	30	14.8
Attacking midfield	42	25.0	22	25.2
Forward 50	20	16.4	3	11.6

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Points from defensive half

For		Against
Match	Season	Match	Season *
43	27.5	28	38.3

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Centre Bounce Attendances

	CBAs	CBA %	2025 %	2024 %
Kysaiah Pickett	29	88%	72.5%	33.0%
Max Gawn	27	82%	85.3%	85.0%
Christian Petracca	27	82%	74.9%	55.8%
Jack Viney	22	67%	68.6%	69.1%
Clayton Oliver	21	64%	70.5%	70.7%
Jacob van Rooyen	6	18%	13.2%	17.8%
Trent Rivers	0	0%	22.1%	29.9%
Harvey Langford	0	0%	13.3%
Tom Sparrow	0	0%	8.0%	37.7%
Ed Langdon	0	0%	4.2%	0.7%
Christian Salem	0	0%	1.7%	12.3%
Kade Chandler	0	0%	1.5%	0.0%
Matthew Jefferson	0	0%	1.2%
Judd McVee	0	0%	0.7%	6.3%
Xavier Lindsay	0	0%	0.4%
Daniel Turner	0	0%	0.3%	0.3%
Jake Melksham	0	0%	0.3%	0.0%
Koltyn Tholstrup	0	0%	0.0%	5.7%
Tom Fullarton			17.2%
Aidan Johnson			13.9%
Harrison Petty			0.5%	7.5%
Bailey Laurie			0.0%	11.0%
Charlie Spargo			0.0%	4.2%

Ruck Contests and Hitouts

Ruck Contests

	Ruck Contests	RC %	2025 %	2024 %
Max Gawn	86	84%	83.2%	81.1%
Jacob van Rooyen	16	16%	14.2%	17.6%
Matthew Jefferson	0	0%	1.3%
Daniel Turner	0	0%	0.3%	3.1%
Clayton Oliver	0	0%	0.1%	0.0%
Tom Fullarton			20.5%
Aidan Johnson			15.6%
Harrison Petty			0.9%	7.9%

Hitouts

	Ruck Contests	Hitouts	To Adv.	To Adv. % (2025)	To Adv. % (2024)
Melbourne
Max Gawn	86	31	14	26.8%	27.9%
Jacob van Rooyen	16	6	2	33.3%	24.7%
Matthew Jefferson	0	0	0	0.0%
Daniel Turner	0	0	0		50.4%
Harrison Petty				50.0%	24.4%
Tom Fullarton				43.8%
Aidan Johnson				21.1%
Opposition
Tristan Xerri	83	22	6
Finnbar Maley	15	4	0
Wil Dawson	4	0	0

Melbourne v North Melbourne (Round 18, 2025)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251806

Pressure

Team pressure

Quarter	For	Agn	Diff
1	156	163	-7
2	176	192	-16
3	162	185	-23
4	204	176	+28
Match	174	180	-6

Source: Herald Sun

Most Pressure Points

Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ )

Player	Pressure Acts	Pressure Points	Season Average
Jack Viney	31	69	48.3
Clayton Oliver	16	44	51.3
Kade Chandler	15	42	34.2
Christian Salem	15	32	21.5
Christian Petracca	15	30	36.6
Max Gawn	10	30	19.8
Tom Sparrow	13	26	37.2
Ed Langdon	14	26	30.4
Caleb Windsor	9	23	22.6
Jake Bowey	12	22	28.2
Koltyn Tholstrup	12	22	25.1
Kysaiah Pickett	12	21	36.1
Trent Rivers	8	20	28.4
Jacob van Rooyen	10	20	20.7
Jake Melksham	10	20	18.3
Xavier Lindsay	9	19	25.1
Matthew Jefferson	9	19	17.0
Harvey Langford	9	18	21.4
Jake Lever	5	15	17.9
Judd McVee	6	14	16.4
Daniel Turner	4	10	15.2
Tom McDonald	6	10	14.8
Bayley Fritsch	4	7	18.5

Source: Herald Sun

Interesting, thanks so much as always for posting.

Player ratings confirm my belief that Trac went at 0%by foot in the first half.

We also lost centre bounce scores to a second rate midfield.

Jake lever rating is low, and he looks slow on the park since his return.

Lots to improve from here if we want this new system to work in 2026

Edited Sunday at 23:425 days by buck_nekkid

Thanks Wheelo, how good to see Fritta our top rated player playing 91% game time followed by Milkshake and including Chin, Harv and Rooey in our top 7. 👍😁

+15 on expected score! Is that because we were expected to kick 11.18 instead 🤣

@WheeloRatings 19 marks inside 50.

how does that compare to the rest of the season??

Has anyone been keeping an eye on pressure ratings for us as well as across the league? It seems a no brainer that the PR would have a direct correlation to on-field success, as this is surely a great indicator of “finals like intensity”. But is this necessarily the case?

Our pressure looked pretty poor to the eye yesterday, it averaged out at 176 I think but at times was in the 150s. I know we’ve had some of the lowest pressure ratings in the league this year so I’d be interested to hear how important it actually is from someone who knows what they’re talking about.

it just seems to me that it’s an easy area of improvement if that’s what’s needed. Improving marking, kicking, decision making takes hours of practice, but improving pressure should be like flicking a switch as it’s mostly mindset and, of course, fitness (which everyone should have at AFL level.) Am I missing something? Surely this should be a non negotiable in order for us to improve?

5 hours ago, BangBnagBang said:

@WheeloRatings 19 marks inside 50.

how does that compare to the rest of the season??

That was the highest for Melbourne this season. We had 16 against West Coast, Brisbane and Sydney, and 14 against St Kilda. We have only had 19+ on six occasions since the start of 2021 (2x in 2021, 2x in 2023, and 1x in 2024).

Round 18, 2025 MCG - Demons vs Kangaroos

A solid win to mark Goody's 200th. No doubt Dicko would've been very happy with that result.

Finally something that resembled a four quarter performance. Lots of one percenters and team oriented moments.

Keeping in mind this was against a very young team with 11 rookies running around. Also our team score only matched that of last season which was obviously nothing to write home about.

A number of positives though regardless....

First time i can recall Fritta playing selfless team / percentage footy for what seemed like a long time. I'd be showing the positives in this regard over and over for the next two reviews. Let that side sink in as a "please bring more of this every week" reinforcement!

Not sure if Salo was my No.1 but he had a fair bit of it with zero turnovers which has pushed him up the rung here.

Young Langers break out game coming in at No.2 !!??

Where would we be without Koz and the Milk man. That was one for the ages from Jake the Snake. I'm not sure i've seen a better game from him in the red & blue outside of his come back assists vs the Blues a few seasons back and possibly moments of brilliance from the 2018 finals.

Vintage Macca as well! As to why he was left out in the first place, who knows. But he certainly makes a huge difference. Would love to know the W/L ratio when he's been in/out of the team this season.

> Subbed out TOG %

> Subbed in TOG %

Stats courtesy of footywire.com and wheeloratings.com

12 hours ago, Demon Dynasty said:

Round 18, 2025 MCG - Demons vs Kangaroos

A solid win to mark Goody's 200th. No doubt Dicko would've been very happy with that result.

Finally something that resembled a four quarter performance. Lots of one percenters and team oriented moments.

Keeping in mind this was against a very young team with 11 rookies running around. Also our team score only matched that of last season which was obviously nothing to write home about.

A number of positives though regardless....

First time i can recall Fritta playing selfless team / percentage footy for what seemed like a long time. I'd be showing the positives in this regard over and over for the next two reviews. Let that side sink in as a "please bring more of this every week" reinforcement!

Not sure if Salo was my No.1 but he had a fair bit of it with zero turnovers which has pushed him up the rung here.

Young Langers break out game coming in at No.2 !!??

Where would we be without Koz and the Milk man. That was one for the ages from Jake the Snake. I'm not sure i've seen a better game from him in the red & blue outside of his come back assists vs the Blues a few seasons back and possibly moments of brilliance from the 2018 finals.

Vintage Macca as well! As to why he was left out in the first place, who knows. But he certainly makes a huge difference. Would love to know the W/L ratio when he's been in/out of the team this season.

> Subbed out TOG %

> Subbed in TOG %

Stats courtesy of footywire.com and wheeloratings.com

Thanks DD how good to see nine Premiership players plus Harvey Langford making up our top ten.

10 hours ago, DeeZone said:

Thanks DD how good to see nine Premiership players plus Harvey Langford making up our top ten.

I would hope this to be the case most weeks DZ. But yes, our top 6 rating (up nearly 18% vs the season 2024 average) def supports the fact that many of our top line experienced boys excelled on the day.

The stuff that can turn a 50/50 or worse on the day into a W!

Edited Wednesday at 11:133 days by Demon Dynasty

Team & Player Ratings to Rnd 18, 2025 vs H&A Season 2024

T-Mac moves into the top 10 💪

* Played less than two full matches

< Subbed out at least once or more

> Subbed in at least once or more

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

1 hour ago, Demon Dynasty said:

Team & Player Ratings to Rnd 18, 2025 vs H&A Season 2024

T-Mac moves into the top 10 💪

* Played less than two full matches

< Subbed out at least once or more

> Subbed in at least once or more

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

Good to see Clarry in 2nd spot, returning to the Clarry of old. Hopefully he can continue his resurrection into next season.

21 hours ago, PaulRB said:

Good to see Clarry in 2nd spot, returning to the Clarry of old. Hopefully he can continue his resurrection into next season.

Yes hopefully RB. Watching some of his highlights from the club in celebration of his 200th, he is in beast mode in many of those.

Alot of that no doubt general body strength but much of it is the drive he has out of stoppage plus agility to twist and side step his way through traffic.

Can he re-discover that latter part once more? It was probably a youthful thing as much as strength and leg power. Let's hope he can get back to somewhere near his best with another seriously intense pre-season eh.

Looking at his prior season player ratings i have going back to 2018, he has a power of work to do if he's to make it back to anywhere near his B&F years. Noting that Season 2020 was the compromised Covid shortened season with shortened match time...

Edited yesterday at 10:391 day by Demon Dynasty