Jump to content

Featured Replies

Posted

a3b995c0-f222-11ea-a3de-692d5982216c-Scr

 

 

From https://www.statsinsider.com.au/afl/charting-the-afl-premiership-clock-how-far-is-your-club-from-its-next-flag

Bottom right quadrant is bad, too old and not scoring enough.

Top right is good, mature age high scoring. Bottom left is rebuilding younger teams

Melbourne it would seem just need to kick more goals, shock horror. GC are interesting. Very young with a % above 100.

Last 10 premiership teams in the lighter colors.

 

I could get to like Ben Brown.

 
 

So the premier can be almost any age (24.5 to 27 is a pretty big window, and probably typically of almoat of teams, given players are only agred 18 to ~32) as long as they have a positive percentage?

Given by definition the premier wins lots of games, most often more then anyone else, then that seems like a strange way of presenting relatively useless data?

 


Out of interest is that the ave of the 22 picked or the list?

I think the most informative part of this is that Geelong and Hawthorn need to drastically rejuvinate their list, WC, PA and Coll are in their prime window age wise and risk getting old, and Carlton and NM are quite old for "young sides".

36 minutes ago, deanox said:

Out of interest is that the ave of the 22 picked or the list?

I think the most informative part of this is that Geelong and Hawthorn need to drastically rejuvinate their list, WC, PA and Coll are in their prime window age wise and risk getting old, and Carlton and NM are quite old for "young sides".

Good point you raise there @deanox

  • Author
1 hour ago, deanox said:

Out of interest is that the ave of the 22 picked or the list?

I think the most informative part of this is that Geelong and Hawthorn need to drastically rejuvinate their list, WC, PA and Coll are in their prime window age wise and risk getting old, and Carlton and NM are quite old for "young sides".

I think the former. Average of the 22 picked each week

 

Over the last 20 years the average premiership player has already played in a premiership. 

A stat about as useful as a predictor as is 'scored more than their opponents' (Yup) and 'has multiple players who established themselves at AFL level and weren't delisted at 22', which is mostly what that chart tells us.


4 minutes ago, Cards13 said:

Andrew Bolt: Daniel Andrews hotel quarantine inquiry proves he is a  passenger on a ship of fools | Herald Sun

That is disgusting.

The major flaw in this article is the use of percentage.

It doesn't tell us enough.

Is the correlation with sides who score heavily? Or with sides with strong defences?

It's not particularly useful to tell us that the sides who score more than their opponents overall do better than those who don't.

8 minutes ago, titan_uranus said:

The major flaw in this article is the use of percentage.

It doesn't tell us enough.

Is the correlation with sides who score heavily? Or with sides with strong defences?

It's not particularly useful to tell us that the sides who score more than their opponents overall do better than those who don't.

Pretty much, I wonder what would happen if you added in the top 4 sides for past decade. I think you would get a lot of muddling of data and there wouldn't be a clear correlation shown. 

This is pretty much showing kicking higher scores will lead to success...

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

Featured Content

  • REPORT: Brisbane

    “Max Gawn has been the heart and soul of the Dees for years now, but this recent recovery from a terrible start has been driven by him. He was everywhere again, and with the game in the balance, he took several key marks to keep the ball in the Dees forward half.” - The Monday Knee Jerk Reaction: Round Ten Of course, it wasn’t the efforts of one man that caused this monumental upset, but rather the work of the coach and his assistants and the other 22 players who took the ground, notably the likes of Jake Melksham, Christian Petracca, Clayton Oliver and Kozzie Pickett but Max has been magnificent in taking ownership of his team and its welfare under the fire of a calamitous 0-5 start to the season. On Sunday, he provided the leadership that was needed to face up to the reigning premier and top of the ladder Brisbane Lions on their home turf and to prevail after a slow start, during which the hosts led by as much as 24 points in the second quarter. Titus O’Reily is normally comedic in his descriptions of the football but this time, he was being deadly serious. The Demons have come from a long way back and, although they still sit in the bottom third of the AFL pack, there’s a light at the end of the tunnel as they look to drive home the momentum inspired in the past four or five weeks by Max the Magnificent who was under such great pressure in those dark, early days of the season.

      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 0 replies
    Demonland
  • CASEY: Southport

    The Southport Sharks came to Casey. They saw and they conquered a team with 16 AFL-listed players who, for the most part, wasted their time on the ground and failed to earn their keep. For the first half, the Sharks were kept in the game by the Demons’ poor use of the football, it’s disposal getting worse the closer the team got to its own goal and moreover, it got worse as the game progressed. Make no mistake, Casey was far and away the better team in the first half, it was winning the ruck duels through Tom Campbell’s solid performance but it was the scoreboard that told the story.

      • Thanks
    • 3 replies
    Demonland
  • PREGAME: Sydney

    Just a game and percentage outside the Top 8, the Demons return to Melbourne to face the Sydney Swans at the MCG, with a golden opportunity to build on the momentum from toppling the reigning premiers on their own turf. Who comes in, and who makes way?

      • Thanks
    • 132 replies
    Demonland
  • PODCAST: Brisbane

    The Demonland Podcast will air LIVE on Monday, 12th May @ 8:00pm. Join Binman, George & I as we analyse a famous victory by the Demons over the Lions at the Gabba.
    Your questions and comments are a huge part of our podcast so please post anything you want to ask or say below and we'll give you a shout out on the show.
    Listen LIVE: https://demonland.com/

      • Clap
      • Love
      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 29 replies
    Demonland
  • POSTGAME: Brisbane

    The Demons pulled off an absolute miracle at the Gabba coming from 24 points down in the 2nd Quarter to overrun the reigning premiers the Brisbane Lions winning by 11 points and keeping their season well and truly alive.

      • Haha
      • Love
      • Like
    • 450 replies
    Demonland
  • VOTES: Brisbane

    Captain Max Gawn still has a massive 48 votes lead in the Demonland Player of the Year ahead of Jake Bowey. Christian Petracca, Harvey Langford and Kade Chandler round out the Top 5. Your votes please. 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1.

      • Thanks
    • 61 replies
    Demonland