Everything posted by poita
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Casey Demons v Sandringham - Round 19
KC, always appreciate your reports. What are your thoughts as to the effect of the removal of the VFL reserves on the development of players like Filipovic? It seems as though he may have benefited from playing a full game in the ruck in the reserves each week, rather than a few minutes here and there in the seniors. I'm of the view that Melbourne needs an experienced backup from Gawn, which makes it even harder to develop young rucks.
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Buddy Domination
I don't recall Franklin ever kicking big bags of goals against Melbourne. He is generally good for 3 - 4, but our losing streaks against Hawthorn & Sydney have been more about being flogged in the midfield. Win the midfield, fill the space in front of Franklin to stop his leads and we win the game.
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Demon Dash Mick
Is Demon Dash really the best idea we can come up with? Some tubby bloke plods along behind a flashing light and when he comes up short they give away the prize any way. At least there was some skill involved in Hogan's Heroes.
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Dees who may be gone in 2019
My thoughts: Vince, Balic (retired) King, Filipovic, McKenna, Johnstone, (delisted) Bugg / Kent / JKH - can't see the need for all three to stay, and one may be enough in honesty. Wouldn't be surprised to see Kent look elsewhere. JKH presumably most likely to get another year given current state of affairs. Pedersen - another one year deal. He provides valuable depth in a number of positions. Frost / Tyson - both contracted and both stay. I hope we've made it clear to both that they are required players long term. T.Smith / Weideman - I don't rate either of them, but I expect Smith to get another one year deal. The heat will be on Weideman if he is still at Casey this time next year. Keilty - happy to see him get another year. Vandenberg - presumably will get another year, but he's just depth for me. Maynard - very, very fortunate to have a contract for next year. Otherwise a clear delist. We should be looking at 1-2 free agents, 4 draft picks and 2-3 rookie selections. I would be happy to play 38 + 6 rookies next year, as opposed to 40 + 4 this year.
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Jordan Roughhead
I'd be happy to delist both King & Filipovic and draft the best state league ruckman available with a late pick. If a guy like Roughead is available in the pre season draft or as a delisted free agent on low wages, I'm not opposed to that idea either. Let's face it, the chances of Max making it through both 2018 and 2019 without some sort of injury are almost nil - we have been lucky so far this year, but we are kidding ourselves if we think we have any sort of viable backup plan.
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Rd 20: AFL Team of the Week
I'm comfortable with Hogan being selected given that a number of the big name forwards had quiet weeks - 22 disposals, 10 marks and 4 goals is a huge game for a key forward, notwithstanding the quality of opposition. The omission of Oliver is laughable.
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Last chance for Kennedy-Harris?
He has had a few weeks now to settle in and adjust to the pace of the game, and he is still miles short of what is expected. His first year was pretty good, but I can't see how he has improved over the last four years. A few nice things each week doesn't cut it when they are accompanied by a number of miskicks, decision making errors and his lack of pace and size. And we have plenty of others who can play a similar role with more upside - I'd rather Hannan was tried on the wing - at least he can run and take an overhead mark.
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vanders: The Return
Good on him for making it back to the top level, but his disposal simply isn't good enough for him to be anything other than depth in a good side. A bit sad really, because he does have some very handy characteristics.
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Harley Balic Retires
Good luck to Harley for the future and I hope he finds what he is looking for, but I find the whole episode fairly puzzling. We gave up nothing for him, and the opportunity cost was minimal, so we are not greatly disadvantaged other than using a list spot on someone who didn't want to be here. But who at the club did due diligence on the guy when recruiting him? Clearly he had issues during his time at Freo, and similar issues have arisen at Melbourne. Different scenario obviously, but a year earlier we drafted McKenna who was always injured at GWS and has barely left the medical room at Melbourne. Before that we recruited Lumumba and all his baggage. Ditto Clark. Are we still so needy and grateful for attention that we draft anyone who comes our way? What makes us think that we can fix the issues that other clubs can't?
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Match Preview and Team Selection - Round 20
10 goals is the absolute minimum we need to win by this week given the opposition, and a 100 point margin is certainly achievable if we are serious for four quarters. Good luck to Vandenberg on his return, but I hope he has improved markedly from his last run of AFL games in 2016 - he is a decidedly average footballer at times. It concerns me that four weeks out from finals, and with a relatively small injury list, the likes of Kennedy-Harris, Kent, Vandenberg and both Smiths are still in the mix. Our depth is still almost non-existent, particularly through the midfield.
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The 2018 Membership Ladder
I've been saying for years these numbers are a load of crap, and this data further supports it. Either report in actual dollars received from memberships or in 11 game equivalents (ie 3.67 x 3 game m/ships = 1 x 11 game m/ship), or just don't bother. I'm sure a club like St Kilda is boasting about increased member numbers, whereas their membership revenue would be significantly reduced and their crowd numbers are well down on last year.
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Cats to ask for home final
Clearly none of you people actually want to attend the game and support your club.
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Should O.Mac and JKH Play A Game For The Dees Again?
You are a tool, and clearly don't understand the game if you think Oscar was responsible for the majority of those goals. The lack of midfield pressure in the last quarter is one reason. Our guys were out on their feet by the last quarter, and Gawn had a relatively poor night in the ruck. No full back in the competition would have stopped those goals. Goodwin's continued stupidity in having a loose man in defence who doesn't stand in the hole of front of the opposition full forward is the second reason. Stewart parked himself in front of Hogan for most of the night, and completely negated him. Smith or Frost could certainly have done a similar job for us. As for JKH, he should have been delisted last season. There was absolutely no reason for him to get a new deal.
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Changes vs Adelaide
JKH was a poor selection two weeks ago, should have been dropped after his ordinary game against the Dogs and had another shocker against Geelong. He is an obvious out. We clearly need another tall defender for the Crows, and I would play Pedersen for his ability to follow Jenkins into the ruck. McDonald would then take Walker, Frost would get McGovern and Smith can take Lynch. I would love to bring in another midfielder, but there isn't one at Casey. Salem can perhaps push up the ground and have some midfield time given the Crows have a tall forward line. in: Pedersen, out Kennedy-Harris
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Will 12 be enough
No way 12 will be enough. 13 might not even be enough without a strong percentage.
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Club to Assess Training Program
The problem with the VFL team is that it largely consists of developing key position players (and Pedersen) and more established flanker / utility types. When the injury list consists of elite midfielders and key position players, the cupboard is bare when it comes to like for like replacements.
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Hibberd Ruled Out of Cats Clash with Quad
If you are ever going to do without Hibberd, this is probably the week. Geelong have Hawkins, Menzel and a bunch of quick, small types. Yes, we lose Hibberd's run and carry, so I like the idea of Fritsch playing back, but we can cover him defensively. More of an issue is whether Lewis and Vince can keep up with their opponents.
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WELCOME TO THE MELBOURNE FOOTBALL CLUB - DECLAN KEILTY
I can think of ten players I'd move on before Keilty. I'm more than happy to see him kept on for next year, even if he doesn't make his debut this year.
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WELCOME TO THE MELBOURNE FOOTBALL CLUB - HARLEY BALIC
The problem Balic has is that we have so many half forward flankers on the list. He needs to show that he is capable of playing a different role at VFL level to force his way into the AFL side. The fact that he is not getting midfield time at Casey really hurts his case. Even playing off a HBF for the remainder of the year would boost his chances given that Vince & Lewis are nearing the end. I'd rather see him get another year over extending contracts for the likes of McKenna and JKH, but you couldn't blame the football department if they choose to move him on either.
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There is a role for Bugg
The role for Bugg is providing very deep depth in a bottom 6 side, there is no way he should be getting a game in a finals contending side. Seven years into his AFL career I can't see how he has improved his game from his first year at GWS. Sure he's playing a different role these days, but only because his poor skills no longer allow him to play in the midfield, even as a tagger. The coach is clearly a Vandenberg fan, but he has the same issues as Bugg. He is not particularly young, he has gone backwards from his first season (even before his injury), he is slow and his skills are well below AFL standard.
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All Australian watch
I'd be happy with Gawn & Oliver. Anybody else would be very lucky, although we are owed a few from previous years. Hopefully both Gawn & Grundy make the team - both should be in the first five picked.
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Changes vs Geelong
Tyson is a straight swap for Viney, and clearly should have played on Sunday. JKH was just atrocious for three quarters, albeit better in the last, and proved once again that he is not an AFL standard midfielder. Nine tackles means he was second to every contest, and he showed his lack of pace and size on a regular basis. I hate seeing McDonald ruck. It destroys our forward structure and he had no impact in the middle. Pedersen coming in would give us a decent back up ruckand three tall up forward to replicate the structure that Adelaide beat Geelong with last week. He can also provide cover down back if Hawkins gets on top of McDonald. Hannan is a clear out as he goes missing far too often and we have too many similar types. I want Vince out as well as his disposal is shocking and will cost us big time against quality opposition, but I can't see a worthy replacement at Casey. Maybe he can be redeployed to the forward line.
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Tom on a Wing
Just another example of Goodwin being too clever for his own good. Next we'll probably see Oliver playing full back to stop him being tagged.
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MATCH PREVIEW AND TEAM SELECTION - Round 16
Far, far better looking side, but it genuinely feels like Goodwin has no idea how to pick a team at the moment. Guys like Petty get picked from nowhere on a whim; other blokes (eg Tyson) come in and are played out of position; others (eg J.Smith) are given one role at Casey and another in the senior side. Frost should have been in the side for a month already, but we we have tried J.Smith & Petty ahead of him, and both have failed. Garlett was sent back to Casey three months ago, didn't do anything in that time, and is now back. Spargo has played one game in a month at any level, but is back in favour for some reason. I'm not saying any of these are bad selections this week, but what are the messages that are being given to the players? In the past five weeks we have gone Smith --> Pedersen --> Smith --> Weideman --> nobody for the second ruck / third forward rule. I'm no fan of Smith or Weideman, and Pedersen didn't grab his chance on QB, but surely all of these blokes need more than one week to find their feet. Hopefully it is Frost backing up Gawn in the ruck, but more likely we'll try to destroy our forward line by using Tommy Mac.
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Game against Freo - umpiring
Yep, we'd obviously be 14-0 with a percentage of 180 if it wasn't for the umpires. Bastards.