
Everything posted by binman
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Finals Tickets
Beggars belief. And apparently they have just had their contract with the MCG extended. Just checked their website. Not a single word of apology. This is what is written (which is not on their landing page - you have to click through to the game to see it): Today's on sale is on hold. More Info to come shortly. Thank you for your patience.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
Two completely ridiculous threads on DL for the last couple of months. This is one.
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Camp wars
I think i've found dr d's avatar. Where is he by the way.....
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James Harmes take a bow.
The Harmes Explosion (T.H.E) Good name for a band.
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Key tactical issues v Geelong
Hibberd is big in and i like him coming in as third man (except when he hits down Cogniglio's throat!). I like Maxy pushing forard also but he has been damaging dropping back into the hole and so a bit of both for mine
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Key tactical issues v Geelong
Yep, for sure.
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2018 All-Australian Thread
Jetta had to make the squad of 40
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A Day at the Races
I was close to choosing avilus too. But it was too short. Same with grunt. I was close to choosing paret as best but even though i backed it hesitated. Class will out. In hinsight best was theanswermyfriend. Backed ir but really was too short
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A Day at the Races
Sorry fellas on best bet. Wrong choice. Obviously. Cant use my home computer atm as renovating office. So trying to do stuff on phone. Got track bias right. Summer sham wrong. Note to self best bets should always be good horses. Actually had a fantastic day, with 7 winners. Three at mv.
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A Day at the Races
Sorry summer sham is race 5 no 4 at mv. Currently 3.10 on fixed odds
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A Day at the Races
Whoa what a trecherous day. Struggling to find a best bet. Rosehill super tricky with 3vyear olds coming back and soft with rain to come. Playing the valley as leaders track. Best bet a quirky one. Summer sham a place. Will get out in front and be very hard to get past.
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First Final
Tell your hubby this sort of rubbish might have been acceptable when we last won a flag. But not in 2018. Even if we play the first final in Melbourne you should book a beaut room at the Pullman (the old Hilton), have a slap up meal at some flash restaurant (but not with him - dees fans only) and then before the game a big buffet breakfast before strolling to your premium seat ta the g to watch us smash the Cats. Get ahead of the game and book a room for the following week and hope we play the hawks and make sure he knows he has to look after the kids (because you are more organised).
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If Freo beat Pies and we beat GWS I will ...
...quite pleased
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
Agree largely - except for him being near our best field kick. I reckon he is actually pretty average as filed. kick. When i listed the players who i think are above average kicks (only 12 in total) he was not one of them. Tries too many cute stabby kicks. Hogan is a gun and will be scary over the next few years as he gets stronger. Hawkins is a good comparison i reckon
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12 Long Painful Years Finals - At Last!!
Only your scarf?
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A Day at the Races
My best for tomorrow, on what is a great day is Le Romain first up. Deserves a win and dropping back from group 1 class i ti think will get it done. Big weight but huge class edge over the second favourite Siege of Quebec, is unders in my humble.
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A Day at the Races
Have done my form for Caulfield, Randwick and the group race at Morphetville. Really terrific days racing. Quietly confident. Will post my best tomorrow morning when i see how the tracks and odds come up. have posted my best footy bets here
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Monkey Business
Two stand out bets for mine in the AFL Tigers plus 14.5 Comment: I think the 14.5 line for the tigers is too short. I know tigers are resting players and Bombers are playing for their chance of finals but Tigers are a 6 goal better side and i would have that line at 30 points. Great value. I hasten to add my betting partner has Bombers as one of his best so i won't be betting in this game (unless i can convince him to go unders on TMP of 166.5 - i think it will be scrappy, low scoring game) GWS plus 4.5 Comment: GWS will win this game by 4 goals plus so a line of 4.5 is terrific value
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A Day at the Races
No problemo. I quite like the early race each season as first and second up form is on the whole a pretty reliable indicator. Some just come back better than others i 'weight' first and second up form quite high in my form analysis. That said it is of course not exact and i often get bloused by horses that have rubbish first up form and the trainer has changed something or it runs out of its skin. The other thing about the early races is that some good horses peak early in their prep and fall away. And so you can get ok odds and then avoid the losses at shorter odds. One horse that comes to mind is Black Heart Bart
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A Day at the Races
G'day punters. This weekend is the weekend my mate and i kick off our spring season on the punt. Love the run in from here to when the carnival proper begins. Always some great value and i think the next few weeks in Sydney are great from a punting perspective - particularly if wet as it narrows the chances. I look forward to buying the Winning Post on Friday morning and starting my form on the train into town. Will post my best bets on Saturday morning. I'm not into sports multis so happy for this thread to focus primarily on the ponies. That said happy to offer up my two best footy bets for remainder of the season. I have pretty good strike rate with the footy so if others want me to post my two best i will continue to do so
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A Day at the Races
Very pleased the line in the gws game came in to 12.5. Would have spewed if that big game choker tex cost me me $
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A Day at the Races
My best footy bets: Gold coast v tigers game to be over the Total Match Point (TMP) of 167.5 Comment: will be a low to no pressure game and the tigers will score easily and not be too fussed about giving GC some cheapies. I would set the line at 175 so goo value GWS to make their line of 15.5 v Crows Comment: Crows have nothing left to play for and players will to want to get injured. GWS have everything to play for and need a win to shore up a top 4 spot. Crows also coming off a high pressure derby. Good value Other's to consider if looking for multis (which i don't): Brisbane line of 25.5 looks tempting as they are in pretty good form and i reckon the dogs v bulldogs TMP of 178.5 is too short given there won't be much pressure and the roos to make their line of 22.5 is also good value given the dogs are limping to the line and roos want/need percentage
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A Day at the Races
Total match points, which was 155.5. A bet that in previous years have done pretty well wirh and was my main footy betting option. But very few this season because unlike last few years has been super variable. Though if you had taken unders every game you would be well up.
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A Day at the Races
Fortunately my mate disagreed with my tigers line bet. But agreed with the tmp bet. So a good win.
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A Day at the Races
My best bets for this round of footy Richmond to make their line of 15.5 Comments: The Total Match Point (TMP) line is only 155.5 which is the only reason i can see for the line being at 15.5. At the G the tigers are a 5 goal better side than the cats and if there is some rain about (which is why the TMP is so low) it will help the Tigers as rain suits their hyper pressure style and conversely hurts the Cats as it will negate Hawkins. So a line of 15.5 is terrific value. By the by the forecast is for showers to clear so 155.5 TMP is pretty low, though it is bound to be a high pressure affair. Roos to make their line of -2.5 Comments: Yes Higgins is out, which is a big blow and it is Lions home game but i cannot believe Lions are starting favorites in this match. North are pushing for finals and a loss would really hurt them. Surely the Roos have the greater motivation. I will add however that my mate who i bet with has send his weekly email with his best bets and has the lions as one of them! So we will be trying to convince each other the other is wrong.