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Posted

Thanks as always, @Demon Dynasty 👍👍👍

'Stats' are always 'in the eye of the beholder' but surely your latest post and interpretation above should allow us to calm down a bit. I will.

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Posted

Thanks DD I agree with Timothy R-A, we weren’t monstered as much as the score board showed. Forward efficiency and accuracy were our killers but the loss of Christian Petracca has sent us all into a spiral and I’m not sure what will pull us out of it.!!!

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Posted (edited)
11 hours ago, DeeZone said:

Thanks DD I agree with Timothy R-A, we weren’t monstered as much as the score board showed. Forward efficiency and accuracy were our killers but the loss of Christian Petracca has sent us all into a spiral and I’m not sure what will pull us out of it.!!!

They have to get Rivers into the middle.  Maybe not full time but needs to play some serious minutes there if we're to have any chance of making the eight imv DZ.

Turner and / or Marty can cover his role from the bench when he's playing through there.

The answers probably don't presently lie at Casey but the following should also take place for mine from the North game as a trial run in that match and assess where we go from there...

Fullarton replaces Petty.

Tommo comes in for Howes.

Moniz for Bowey.  We need another run and gun defender off HB, especially if we're going to push Rivers into the middle as.per the above.

Even if we don't, Bowey is too stop and prop and (partially) killing off any speed on the ball.  Speed up the transition and get some line breaking run going which might help improve our forward entries & chances a tad.

Kolt replaces Tracc.  Probably too early but no choice but to try now.

McAdam for Chandler.

Probably a week too early but if he can't perform against North he probably won't later on against better teams and this could be the confidence game he needs to have!  Ditto Fullarton.

Chandler's form in the last seven weeks bar one game is not AFL worthy, big stint needed at Casey to work on many aspects of his game in the second half of season and go from there.

Sestan for Laurie who has been unable to take the next step so far and unsure as to why he was selected in the first place.

Woe as sub

Tracc out is obviously a massive blow.

However, this last part of the season imv is more about Goodwin's ability to see the light and realise that he needs to bring in some fresh players who have shown a bit at Casey and get some leg speed across HB (Moniz) and even in the middle (Kolt...not super quick but a step up on Vines & Clarry.  Plus Rivers who does have the burst speed) where possible.

He has trialled the likes of Pickett and ANB through the middle which is great but too much CBA time for Pickett is robbing us of his small forward abilities and the odd goal plus the preesure he brings i50.  Tale away serious minutes from our number one pressure guy inside 50 and good luck with that!

Bringing in Rivers for some serious mid minutes to counter some of Pickett's should help us correct this over balance and improve our forward set up somewhat.

Hopefully Melk is back within three to four weeks, including a few at Casey, and that way we have back up for and pressure on McAdam or Chin.

Edited by Demon Dynasty
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Posted

Agree DD I would love to see all those changes to refresh the side and give us the chance to finish the year running. Reward effort and send underperforming players back to Casey to rekindle their form and desire for the contest, will make us stronger in the long term.

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, DeeZone said:

Agree DD I would love to see all those changes to refresh the side and give us the chance to finish the year running. Reward effort and send underperforming players back to Casey to rekindle their form and desire for the contest, will make us stronger in the long term.

I can't see all or much of the above happening but that's just my take DZ. 

Oh one more change.  Woe actually comes in for Sparrow IF he can string a few quality games together at Casey and Sparrow continues his poor form.

I would then swap them over with Sparrow as the sub.

Edited by Demon Dynasty
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Posted
On 12/06/2024 at 09:30, Demon Dynasty said:

Team & Player Ratings to Rnd 13, 2024 vs H&A Season 2023

Not looking good. 

With the loss of Gus, our season was always riding on the fitness and form of the three amigos in the middle.

We have now lost Tracc.  Viney has been on the decline (injuries?) since Rnd 4 vs the Crows and Clarry is a shadow of his former self and, if we had a replacement, i would suggest needs a long stint at Casey.

We also needed Sparrow to come on but unfortunatley he instead has regressed badly and is really only getting games due to a lack of depth.  Chandler same.

Time to see what we have downstairs and give some of the developing / other role players a go such as Sestan (VG on the weekend), Moniz (serviceable) and Fullo (did ok!).  Looks like we are also attempting to develop BBB into a forward / ruck chop out option at Casey.  Is that necessary though given his knee and where he's at in his career?

Others are in the mix but haven't really shown they are ready yet such as Kolt.  Smacca had a good game also but still needs to build a tank, defensive pressure at ground level and consistency before he gets another call up imho.  About two to three weeks and then back in or do we risk bringing him in earlier?

Woey & Tommo should never have been dropped for KB and need to come straight in.

The players who should not be playing and shouldn't have been played for many weeks now which i have harped on about for a while...

Petty - poorly managed from his too early return after 1 shizen casey game

Chandler - Also poorly managed. It was obvious he was on a massive slide off his early form from about three weeks ago

Turner - not after the Freo game, either needed to go down back to allow Rivers to spend more time in the middle or out of the team to work on his fitness / game at Casey

Bowey - gone over this one before, gets to the right spots but just isn't damaging at all and makes us too slow to transition, allowing the oppo to get numbers forward almost every time.  Puts zero speed on the ball with his stop and prop short game.

Howes - just not at the pressure / intensity level for AFL right now for mine.  More time at Casey needed to work on these aspects.

Billings - VFL player at best and when he went back to Casey he did NOT show enough to get the recall...not sure what Goodwdin was watching / thinking here. He adds and brings nothing.

Laurie - Same as Billings but also a turnover king, even at VFL level under little to no pressure at times.  5 turnovers against the pies and DE at a horrible 57%, thats 17% below AFL average.

Add Hunter and Schache to this list also.

Personally i'd delist those last four at season's end.

Player 2024 Rating 2024 Rank 2023 Rating % Change vs 2023 2023 Rank Change in Rank vs 2023
C Petracca 4.476 1 4.707 -4.9 2 1
Max Gawn 4.352 2 3.350 29.9 7 5
C Oliver 3.844 3 5.002 -23.2 1 -2
Steven May 3.760 4 3.213 17.0 8 4
A Tomlinson 3.558 5 2.915 22.1 14 9
Jake Lever < 3.483 6 3.131 11.2 9 3
Jack Viney 3.337 7 3.707 -10.0 4 -3
C Salem < 3.332 8 2.993 11.3 12 4
T Rivers 3.296 9 3.696 -10.8 5 -4
Ed Langdon 3.083 10 3.057 0.9 10 0
T McDonald 3.000 11 2.054 46.1 27 16
A N-Bullen 2.990 12 2.532 18.1 20 8
Judd McVee 2.937 13 2.320 26.6 22 9
J Bowey < 2.785 14 2.820 -1.2 15 1
T Woewodin < > 2.577 15 1.406 83.3 34 19
T Sparrow 2.515 16 2.811 -10.5 16 0
K Pickett 2.443 17 2.101 16.3 26 9
B Howes 2.386 18 - - - -
M Hore 2.273 19 - - - -
J Billings > < 2.202 20 - - - -
C Windsor < 2.181 21 - - - -
K Chandler 2.098 22 2.265 -7.4 23 1
J V Rooyen 2.036 23 2.170 -6.2 25 2
B Fritsch 1.862 24 2.324 -19.9 21 -3
L Hunter* < 1.838 25 2.939 -37.5 13 -12
B Laurie* < > 1.605 26 2.235 -28.2 24 -2
S McAdam* 1.483 27 - - - -
Ben Brown < 1.391 28 1.941 -28.3 28 0
H Petty < 1.238 29 2.718 -54.5 19 -10
C Spargo* 1.200 30 1.886 -36.4 29 -1
D Turner 1.180 31 1.825 -35.3 31 0
K Tholstrup* 1.100 32 - - - -
J Schache* 0.700 33 1.525 -54.1 33 0
J Melksham - - 1.599 - 32 -
Team Rating 66.91   69.86 -4.2    
Top 6 23.47   24.43 -3.9    
Bottom 6 13.58   15.17 -10.5    

* Played less than two full matches (in total)

< Subbed out at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

> Subbed in at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

Why the he'll can't Tomlinson  get a game Turner is a fail on those Stats

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Posted (edited)
10 hours ago, Kent said:

Why the he'll can't Tomlinson  get a game Turner is a fail on those Stats

Turner is being played as a forward with little effect bar the one match Kent.  Can't see him holding his spot this week surely!?

On Tommo i'd have him in for most games ahead of Howes, unless match ups insist on a more agile player to cover a small forward maybe?

Bottom line with Tommo is he never drops his work rate and effort.  That's a rare asset and a great one to have in a team where so many have shaat the bed in the last month and failed to turn up.

You could even play Tommo forward in place of Turner.  How could he be any worse!  Answer... he wouldn't!  And probably at least gets the ball to ground more often and takes out a few of the oppo's backmen in the process.

Same with Moniz for Bowey.  At least trial it for a good block of games. 

What's to lose?  Season's pretty much shot now and Moniz deserves a run with Bowey not having any real weapons or serious form since his return.

Edited by Demon Dynasty
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Posted
10 hours ago, Kent said:

Why the he'll can't Tomlinson  get a game Turner is a fail on those Stats

because as a tall defender he's hopeless 1:1 against any size opponent and he has one means of disposing of the ball - kicking it long and as far away from himself as possible

i know there's 'tomlinson truthers' on this site but unfortunately if we want to be a good side he won't be in it

he's not even as good a defender as sam frost

they're both unreliable with and without the ball

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Posted (edited)

Round 15, 2024 MCG - Demons vs Kangaroos

Scoring Efficiency Demons Kangaroos
Disposals Per Goal  26.0 35.7
% In50s Goal 23.4 20.8
Conversion % 73.3 58.8
Average Attributes  
Melbourne  Attribute  North Melbourne 
186.9cm  Height  188.5cm
86.0kg  Weight  85.3kg
25yr 4mth  Age  24yr 9mth
106.2 Games 

82.7

Melbourne  Games  North Melbourne 
8 Less than 50  9
5 50 to 99  6
1 100 to 149  5
5 150 to 200  2
4 200 or more  1

Our efficiency may have gotten us over the line in the end.

Team Rating, Top 6 players rating, bottom 6 players rating (from the best 22) are all at record lows.  Certainly the lowest for this season and, without trolling through past results, potentially since 2017? 

I can't see us getting close to the Lions but we could be bolstered down back with the return of Lever (assuming he makes it) and potentially a few more in form players coming in via Casey if some perform at a high enough standard tomorrow.

Rivers spending significant time through the middle for the second time this season, achieving the No.1 rating for the second week running!  Keep it going please Simon.  That's a great result for Rivers and for us.

However, this positive news was offset big time by the performance of Clarry.  That would be up there with his worst ever (statistical) performance since joining the club.  What can we do here?  Sestan for Clarry with a good showing against North tomorrow at Casey?

Another very poor result for Bowey.  44% off his 2023 season rating.  Moniz would surely be close to getting a call up if he performs again tomorrow yes?  Langdon, Windsor and JVR not great as well although JVR at least presented well on a few occasions, clunked a couple and made the most of his shots with fairly limited game time (68%).

Very nice work from Maysie coming in at No.2 for the Demons and keeping Larkey goalless while also posting their worst rating of the night (bar their sub).

Incredibly that was not Petty's worst rating for the season.  That came in round 7 vs the Tigers when he posted a negative rating with a -0.22    Posting a lower rating than the debutante Brown on 10% game time as sub! 

Viney wins the turnover king award today with 8.

Petty, Clarry, Langdon and Xerri all finishing with a hefty 7 turnovers.  The Roos just edging out the Demons with a total of 70 vs the Demons with 67.

Player Rating Rank 2023 Season Rating % Change vs 2023
T Rivers 4.450 1 3.696 20.4
S May 3.500 2 3.213 8.9
Max Gawn 3.150 3 3.350 -6.0
C Salem < 78% 2.925 4 2.993 -2.3
A N-Bullen 2.875 5 2.532 13.5
Jack Viney 2.850 6 3.707 -23.1
J McVee 2.625 7 2.320 13.1
A Tomlinson 2.550 8 2.912 -12.4
T McDonald 2.475 9 2.054 20.5
T Sparrow 2.175 10 2.811 -22.6
B Fritsch 2.025 11 2.324 -12.9
K Tholstrup 1.950 12 - -
B Howes 1.925 13 - -
K Pickett 1.900 14 2.101 -9.6
Ed Langdon 1.875 15 3.057 -38.7
K Chandler 1.875 15 2.265 -17.2
J Bowey 1.575 17 2.820 -44.1
J V Rooyen 1.525 18 2.170 -29.7
D Turner 1.375 19 1.825 -24.7
C Windsor 1.200 20 - -
C Oliver 0.600 21 5.002 -88.0
K Brown > 10% 0.425 22 - -
H Petty 0.275 23 2.718 -89.9
Team Score 47.83   69.86 -31.5
Top 6 19.75   24.43 -19.2
Bottom 6 6.70   15.17 -55.8

 

Kangas

Player Rating Rank
L D-Uniacke 6.125 1
Jy Simpkin 4.375 2
C Comben 4.100 3
G Wardlaw 4.000 4
Zac Fisher 3.600 5
H Sheezel 3.425 6
T Xerri 3.025 7
E Ford 2.925 8
W Phillips 2.750 9
T Powell 2.450 10
A Corr 2.425 11
B Scott 2.425 11
L McDonald 2.350 13
L Shiels 2.350 13
C Zurhaar 2.175 15
C Taylor 2.150 16
J Archer 2.025 17
P Curtis 1.950 18
D Tucker 1.675 19
B Teakle 1.425 20
D Stephens > 35% 1.175 21
N Larkey 1.050 22
T Pink < 43% 0.575 23
Team Score 59.95  
Top 6 25.63  
Bottom 6 9.30  

 

Combined Ratings

Player Rating Rank
L D-Uniacke 6.125 1
T Rivers 4.450 2
Jy Simpkin 4.375 3
C Comben 4.100 4
G Wardlaw 4.000 5
Zac Fisher 3.600 6
S May 3.500 7
H Sheezel 3.425 8
Max Gawn 3.150 9
T Xerri 3.025 10
C Salem < 78% 2.925 11
E Ford 2.925 11
A N-Bullen 2.875 13
Jack Viney 2.850 14
W Phillips 2.750 15
J McVee 2.625 16
A Tomlinson 2.550 17
T McDonald 2.475 18
T Powell 2.450 19
A Corr 2.425 20
B Scott 2.425 20
L McDonald 2.350 22
L Shiels 2.350 22
T Sparrow 2.175 24
C Zurhaar 2.175 24
C Taylor 2.150 26
B Fritsch 2.025 27
J Archer 2.025 27
P Curtis 1.950 29
K Tholstrup 1.950 29
B Howes 1.925 31
K Pickett 1.900 32
Ed Langdon 1.875 33
K Chandler 1.875 33
D Tucker 1.675 35
J Bowey 1.575 36
J V Rooyen 1.525 37
B Teakle 1.425 38
D Turner 1.375 39
C Windsor 1.200 40
D Stephens > 35% 1.175 41
N Larkey 1.050 42
C Oliver 0.600 43
T Pink < 43% 0.575 44
K Brown > 10% 0.425 45
H Petty 0.275 46

< Subbed out TOG %

> Subbed in TOG %

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & foxssports.com.au

Edited by Demon Dynasty
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Posted

Melbourne v North Melbourne (Round 15, 2024)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20241504

Key Team Stats

Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne.

Stat For Against Diff
Disposal Efficiency 63.3 71.7 -8.4
Kicking Efficiency 60.0 63.7 -3.7
Metres Gained 5301 5565 -264
Inside 50s 47 48 -1
Shots At Goal 16 18 -2
Shots Per Inside 50 34.0 37.5 -3.5
Contested Possessions 135 143 -8
Ground Ball Gets 85 95 -10
Intercepts 71 67 +4
Intercept Marks 12 14 -2
Centre Clearances 10 13 -3
Stoppage Clearances 25 29 -4
Contested Marks 10 11 -1
Marks Inside 50 9 9 +0
Hitouts 35 30 +5
Hitouts To Advantage 8 9 -1
Tackles 67 67 +0
Tackles Inside 50 15 13 +2
Def One On One Loss % 42.9 60.0 -17.1

Contested Possessions

  For Against Diff
Melbourne's Defensive 50
Hard Ball Get 2 3 -1
Loose Ball Get 18 9 +9
Contested Mark 2 3 -1
Gather From Hitout 0 1 -1
Contested Knock On 2 2 0
Free For 5 2 +3
Total 29 20 +9
Melbourne's Forward 50
Hard Ball Get 5 5 0
Loose Ball Get 6 17 -11
Contested Mark 2 2 0
Ruck Hard Ball Get 1 0 +1
Free For 3 2 +1
Total 17 26 -9
Post clearance
Hard Ball Get 15 11 +4
Loose Ball Get 45 55 -10
Contested Mark 10 11 -1
Contested Knock On 4 3 +1
Free For 16 14 +2
Total 90 94 -4
Pre clearance
Hard Ball Get 6 9 -3
Loose Ball Get 19 20 -1
Ruck Hard Ball Get 6 7 -1
Gather From Hitout 6 8 -2
Contested Knock On 3 0 +3
Free For 5 5 0
Total 45 49 -4
  • Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative.
  • Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets.
  • 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions.

Expected scores

  xScore Score Rushed xWin % xMargin Margin Swing
Melbourne 55.0 70 1 29%   +3 +10.6
North Melbourne 62.7 67 1 71% +7.6    
Team Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. /
Shot
Shot
Rating
Overall
Melbourne 16 11.3.69 68.8% 54.0 +15.0 3.38 +0.94
North Melbourne 18 10.6.66 55.6% 61.7 +4.3 3.43 +0.24
General Play
Melbourne 4 2.1.13 50.0% 7.6 +5.4 1.89 +1.36
North Melbourne 6 5.1.31 83.3% 21.9 +9.1 3.65 +1.52
Set Position
Melbourne 12 9.2.56 75.0% 46.5 +9.5 3.87 +0.79
North Melbourne 12 5.5.35 41.7% 39.8 −4.8 3.31 −0.40
  • xWin %: win probability based on expected scores.
  • Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin.
  • xScore: total expected score from all shots taken.
  • +/-: total score above or below expected score.
  • xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty.
  • Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal.

Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores.

 

 

Pressure

Team pressure

Quarter For Agn Diff
1 163 174 -11
2 185 195 -10
3 224 197 +27
4 181 218 -37
Match 189 195 -6

Source: Herald Sun

Most Pressure Points

Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ )

Player Pressure
Acts
Pressure
Points
Season
Average
Alex Neal-Bullen 33 80 54.4
Kade Chandler 23 61 47.2
Trent Rivers 23 52 24.9
Jack Viney 19 45 60.0
Tom Sparrow 20 45 46.0
Ed Langdon 24 45 31.2
Caleb Windsor 21 44 33.5
Koltyn Tholstrup 15 41 40.0
Clayton Oliver 15 38 45.3
Kysaiah Pickett 20 35 42.0
Christian Salem 11 25 27.0
Harrison Petty 13 22 27.6
Max Gawn 9 22 24.7
Adam Tomlinson 8 20 23.2
Jacob van Rooyen 7 18 16.2
Jake Bowey 9 15 15.4
Tom McDonald 6 14 21.2
Blake Howes 4 9 17.2
Daniel Turner 6 9 12.7
Bayley Fritsch 5 7 15.6
Kynan Brown 4 7 7.0
Judd McVee 6 6 14.7
Steven May 1 0 9.2

Source: Herald Sun

Time in Forward Half

Quarter For Against
1 50% 50%
2 43% 57%
3 57% 43%
4 40% 60%
Match 47% 53%

Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations.

Score Sources

Summary

Category Score Against Diff
Kick-in 0.0.0 0.0.0 +0
Centre Bounce 1.0.6 0.2.2 +4
Stoppage (Other) 5.1.31 3.1.19 +12
Turnover 5.3.33 7.4.46 -13
Score Source For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Kick-in 0 2.6 0 1.6
Centre Bounce 6 10.8 2 6.9
Stoppage (Other) 31 22.4 19 19.9
Turnover 33 40.9 46 48.1

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Chain start region

Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective.

Category Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Centre Bounce Centre 6 10.8 2 6.9
Kick-in D50 0 2.6 0 1.6
Stoppage (Other) D50 6 2.0 0 1.8
Stoppage (Other) Centre 0 2.0 0 2.3
Stoppage (Other) Wing 7 12.2 7 8.8
Stoppage (Other) F50 18 6.2 12 7.1
Turnover D50 7 7.6 18 8.2
Turnover Centre 6 7.1 12 8.7
Turnover Wing 18 19.9 15 24.4
Turnover F50 2 6.3 1 6.8
Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
D50 13 12.3 18 11.6
Centre 12 19.9 14 17.9
Wing 25 32.1 22 33.1
F50 20 12.5 13 13.9
Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Defensive 50 13 12.3 18 11.6
Defensive midfield 12 18.4 19 17.9
Centre bounce 6 10.8 2 6.9
Attacking midfield 19 22.7 15 26.3
Forward 50 20 12.5 13 13.9

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Points from defensive half

For Against
Match Season Match Season *
25 30.7 37 29.4

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Centre Bounce Attendances

  CBAs CBA % 2024 % 2023 %
Max Gawn 21 84% 85.0% 64.9%
Trent Rivers 20 80% 7.8% 3.0%
Clayton Oliver 17 68% 71.1% 81.4%
Jack Viney 14 56% 67.8% 72.1%
Tom Sparrow 13 52% 36.7% 44.9%
Kysaiah Pickett 9 36% 38.8% 11.2%
Jacob van Rooyen 4 16% 13.1% 7.6%
Alex Neal-Bullen 2 8% 15.0% 2.1%
Christian Salem 0 0% 17.6% 0.0%
Harrison Petty 0 0% 4.2% 0.7%
Koltyn Tholstrup 0 0% 4.1%  
Tom McDonald 0 0% 0.0% 5.7%
Christian Petracca     55.8% 61.1%
Josh Schache     8.3% 0.0%
Bailey Laurie     4.4% 0.0%
Charlie Spargo     4.2% 0.0%
Lachie Hunter     0.0% 0.2%

Ruck Contests and Hitouts

Ruck Contests

  Ruck
Contests
RC % 2024 % 2023 %
Max Gawn 84 82% 82.8% 57.5%
Jacob van Rooyen 19 18% 13.9% 13.1%
Harrison Petty 0 0% 4.8% 2.0%
Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.0% 0.1%
Steven May 0 0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tom McDonald 0 0% 0.0% 9.3%
Tom Sparrow 0 0% 0.0% 0.0%
Josh Schache     13.3% 4.1%
Ben Brown     0.2% 2.3%
Christian Petracca     0.0% 0.4%

Hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
To Adv. %
(2024)
To Adv. %
(2023)
Max Gawn 84 30 7 26.5% 30.1%
Jacob van Rooyen 19 5 1 28.6% 31.1%
Harrison Petty 0 0 0 31.8% 25.0%
Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0   0.0%
Tom McDonald 0 0 0   20.0%
Ben Brown       100.0% 0.0%
Josh Schache       100.0% 0.0%
Christian Petracca         100.0%

Opposition hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
Tristan Xerri 77 20 5
Brynn Teakle 24 10 4
Luke Davies-Uniacke 1 0 0
Nick Larkey 1 0 0
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Posted
3 hours ago, WheeloRatings said:

Melbourne v North Melbourne (Round 15, 2024)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20241504

Key Team Stats

Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne.

Stat For Against Diff
Disposal Efficiency 63.3 71.7 -8.4
Kicking Efficiency 60.0 63.7 -3.7
Metres Gained 5301 5565 -264
Inside 50s 47 48 -1
Shots At Goal 16 18 -2
Shots Per Inside 50 34.0 37.5 -3.5
Contested Possessions 135 143 -8
Ground Ball Gets 85 95 -10
Intercepts 71 67 +4
Intercept Marks 12 14 -2
Centre Clearances 10 13 -3
Stoppage Clearances 25 29 -4
Contested Marks 10 11 -1
Marks Inside 50 9 9 +0
Hitouts 35 30 +5
Hitouts To Advantage 8 9 -1
Tackles 67 67 +0
Tackles Inside 50 15 13 +2
Def One On One Loss % 42.9 60.0 -17.1

Contested Possessions

  For Against Diff
Melbourne's Defensive 50
Hard Ball Get 2 3 -1
Loose Ball Get 18 9 +9
Contested Mark 2 3 -1
Gather From Hitout 0 1 -1
Contested Knock On 2 2 0
Free For 5 2 +3
Total 29 20 +9
Melbourne's Forward 50
Hard Ball Get 5 5 0
Loose Ball Get 6 17 -11
Contested Mark 2 2 0
Ruck Hard Ball Get 1 0 +1
Free For 3 2 +1
Total 17 26 -9
Post clearance
Hard Ball Get 15 11 +4
Loose Ball Get 45 55 -10
Contested Mark 10 11 -1
Contested Knock On 4 3 +1
Free For 16 14 +2
Total 90 94 -4
Pre clearance
Hard Ball Get 6 9 -3
Loose Ball Get 19 20 -1
Ruck Hard Ball Get 6 7 -1
Gather From Hitout 6 8 -2
Contested Knock On 3 0 +3
Free For 5 5 0
Total 45 49 -4
  • Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative.
  • Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets.
  • 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions.

Expected scores

  xScore Score Rushed xWin % xMargin Margin Swing
Melbourne 55.0 70 1 29%   +3 +10.6
North Melbourne 62.7 67 1 71% +7.6    
Team Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. /
Shot
Shot
Rating
Overall
Melbourne 16 11.3.69 68.8% 54.0 +15.0 3.38 +0.94
North Melbourne 18 10.6.66 55.6% 61.7 +4.3 3.43 +0.24
General Play
Melbourne 4 2.1.13 50.0% 7.6 +5.4 1.89 +1.36
North Melbourne 6 5.1.31 83.3% 21.9 +9.1 3.65 +1.52
Set Position
Melbourne 12 9.2.56 75.0% 46.5 +9.5 3.87 +0.79
North Melbourne 12 5.5.35 41.7% 39.8 −4.8 3.31 −0.40
  • xWin %: win probability based on expected scores.
  • Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin.
  • xScore: total expected score from all shots taken.
  • +/-: total score above or below expected score.
  • xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty.
  • Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal.

Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores.

 

 

Pressure

Team pressure

Quarter For Agn Diff
1 163 174 -11
2 185 195 -10
3 224 197 +27
4 181 218 -37
Match 189 195 -6

Source: Herald Sun

Most Pressure Points

Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ )

Player Pressure
Acts
Pressure
Points
Season
Average
Alex Neal-Bullen 33 80 54.4
Kade Chandler 23 61 47.2
Trent Rivers 23 52 24.9
Jack Viney 19 45 60.0
Tom Sparrow 20 45 46.0
Ed Langdon 24 45 31.2
Caleb Windsor 21 44 33.5
Koltyn Tholstrup 15 41 40.0
Clayton Oliver 15 38 45.3
Kysaiah Pickett 20 35 42.0
Christian Salem 11 25 27.0
Harrison Petty 13 22 27.6
Max Gawn 9 22 24.7
Adam Tomlinson 8 20 23.2
Jacob van Rooyen 7 18 16.2
Jake Bowey 9 15 15.4
Tom McDonald 6 14 21.2
Blake Howes 4 9 17.2
Daniel Turner 6 9 12.7
Bayley Fritsch 5 7 15.6
Kynan Brown 4 7 7.0
Judd McVee 6 6 14.7
Steven May 1 0 9.2

Source: Herald Sun

Time in Forward Half

Quarter For Against
1 50% 50%
2 43% 57%
3 57% 43%
4 40% 60%
Match 47% 53%

Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations.

Score Sources

Summary

Category Score Against Diff
Kick-in 0.0.0 0.0.0 +0
Centre Bounce 1.0.6 0.2.2 +4
Stoppage (Other) 5.1.31 3.1.19 +12
Turnover 5.3.33 7.4.46 -13
Score Source For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Kick-in 0 2.6 0 1.6
Centre Bounce 6 10.8 2 6.9
Stoppage (Other) 31 22.4 19 19.9
Turnover 33 40.9 46 48.1

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Chain start region

Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective.

Category Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Centre Bounce Centre 6 10.8 2 6.9
Kick-in D50 0 2.6 0 1.6
Stoppage (Other) D50 6 2.0 0 1.8
Stoppage (Other) Centre 0 2.0 0 2.3
Stoppage (Other) Wing 7 12.2 7 8.8
Stoppage (Other) F50 18 6.2 12 7.1
Turnover D50 7 7.6 18 8.2
Turnover Centre 6 7.1 12 8.7
Turnover Wing 18 19.9 15 24.4
Turnover F50 2 6.3 1 6.8
Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
D50 13 12.3 18 11.6
Centre 12 19.9 14 17.9
Wing 25 32.1 22 33.1
F50 20 12.5 13 13.9
Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Defensive 50 13 12.3 18 11.6
Defensive midfield 12 18.4 19 17.9
Centre bounce 6 10.8 2 6.9
Attacking midfield 19 22.7 15 26.3
Forward 50 20 12.5 13 13.9

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Points from defensive half

For Against
Match Season Match Season *
25 30.7 37 29.4

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Centre Bounce Attendances

  CBAs CBA % 2024 % 2023 %
Max Gawn 21 84% 85.0% 64.9%
Trent Rivers 20 80% 7.8% 3.0%
Clayton Oliver 17 68% 71.1% 81.4%
Jack Viney 14 56% 67.8% 72.1%
Tom Sparrow 13 52% 36.7% 44.9%
Kysaiah Pickett 9 36% 38.8% 11.2%
Jacob van Rooyen 4 16% 13.1% 7.6%
Alex Neal-Bullen 2 8% 15.0% 2.1%
Christian Salem 0 0% 17.6% 0.0%
Harrison Petty 0 0% 4.2% 0.7%
Koltyn Tholstrup 0 0% 4.1%  
Tom McDonald 0 0% 0.0% 5.7%
Christian Petracca     55.8% 61.1%
Josh Schache     8.3% 0.0%
Bailey Laurie     4.4% 0.0%
Charlie Spargo     4.2% 0.0%
Lachie Hunter     0.0% 0.2%

Ruck Contests and Hitouts

Ruck Contests

  Ruck
Contests
RC % 2024 % 2023 %
Max Gawn 84 82% 82.8% 57.5%
Jacob van Rooyen 19 18% 13.9% 13.1%
Harrison Petty 0 0% 4.8% 2.0%
Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.0% 0.1%
Steven May 0 0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tom McDonald 0 0% 0.0% 9.3%
Tom Sparrow 0 0% 0.0% 0.0%
Josh Schache     13.3% 4.1%
Ben Brown     0.2% 2.3%
Christian Petracca     0.0% 0.4%

Hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
To Adv. %
(2024)
To Adv. %
(2023)
Max Gawn 84 30 7 26.5% 30.1%
Jacob van Rooyen 19 5 1 28.6% 31.1%
Harrison Petty 0 0 0 31.8% 25.0%
Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0   0.0%
Tom McDonald 0 0 0   20.0%
Ben Brown       100.0% 0.0%
Josh Schache       100.0% 0.0%
Christian Petracca         100.0%

Opposition hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
Tristan Xerri 77 20 5
Brynn Teakle 24 10 4
Luke Davies-Uniacke 1 0 0
Nick Larkey 1 0 0

We always push hard training wise during the bye weeks. May explain the 4th q pressure drop off. My lord though, ANB, Chandler and Rivers going ballistic pressure wise. Chandler especially doing a lot of unrewarded and unnoticed work. 

  • Like 4
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Posted

Thanks Wheelo and DD, our numbers are so far down on what we are used to, hard to believe that Clarry has gone from Superstar to ? That would be his worst game ever and boy do we miss him. Gus & Tracc have left two huge holes in the side and having 8 players with less than 50 games in the side drops us well down the pecking order.

  • Like 1
Posted (edited)

.

Edited by Demon Dynasty
Posted (edited)

Team pressure

Quarter For Agn Diff
1 163 174 -11
2 185 195 -10
3 224 197 +27
4 181 218 -37
Match 189 195 -6

Source: Herald Sun

Not bad overall but North still had the edge.

We were more efficient at converting.

Third quarter off the charts.

Above AFL average (180) is a reasonable result, a good sign that we might be starting to rurn the corner here

Something to build on.

The last quarter drop off is a worry though and probably reflects the fitness / tank of select players and some of the rookies.

Edited by Demon Dynasty
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Posted

Team & Player Ratings to Rnd 15, 2024 vs H&A Season 2023

Player 2024 Rating 2024 Rank 2023 Rating % Change vs 2023 2023 Rank Change in Rank vs 2023
C Petracca 4.476 1 4.707 -4.9 2 1
Max Gawn 4.266 2 3.350 27.3 7 5
Steven May 3.739 3 3.213 16.4 8 5
C Oliver 3.613 4 5.002 -27.8 1 -3
Jake Lever < 3.483 5 3.131 11.2 9 4
T Rivers 3.379 6 3.696 -8.6 5 -1
C Salem < 3.365 7 2.993 12.4 12 5
A Tomlinson 3.306 8 2.915 13.4 14 6
Jack Viney 3.302 9 3.707 -10.9 4 -5
Ed Langdon 2.990 10 3.057 -2.2 10 0
A N-Bullen 2.982 11 2.532 17.8 20 9
T McDonald 2.960 12 2.054 44.1 27 15
Judd McVee 2.914 13 2.320 25.6 22 9
J Bowey < 2.602 14 2.820 -7.7 15 1
T Woewodin < > 2.577 15 1.406 83.3 34 19
T Sparrow 2.491 16 2.811 -11.4 16 0
K Pickett 2.398 17 2.101 14.1 26 9
B Howes 2.348 18 - - - -
M Hore 2.273 19 - - - -
J Billings > < 2.202 20 - - - -
C Windsor < 2.107 21 - - - -
K Chandler 2.082 22 2.265 -8.1 23 1
J V Rooyen 1.994 23 2.170 -8.1 25 2
L Hunter* < 1.838 24 2.939 -37.5 13 -11
B Fritsch 1.779 25 2.324 -23.5 21 -4
B Laurie* < > 1.605 26 2.235 -28.2 24 -2
K Tholstrup 1.525 27 - - - -
S McAdam* 1.483 28 - - - -
Ben Brown < 1.391 29 1.941 -28.3 28 -1
D Turner 1.213 30 1.825 -33.5 31 1
C Spargo* 1.200 31 1.886 -36.4 29 -2
H Petty < 1.155 32 2.718 -57.5 19 -13
J Schache* 0.700 33 1.525 -54.1 33 0
K Brown* > 0.350 34 - - - -
Team Rating 65.86   69.86 -5.7    
Top 6 22.96   24.43 -6.0    
Bottom 6 13.41   15.17 -11.6    

* Played less than two full matches (in total)

< Subbed out at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

> Subbed in at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

  • Like 1
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Posted
2 hours ago, Demon Dynasty said:

Team & Player Ratings to Rnd 15, 2024 vs H&A Season 2023

Player 2024 Rating 2024 Rank 2023 Rating % Change vs 2023 2023 Rank Change in Rank vs 2023
C Petracca 4.476 1 4.707 -4.9 2 1
Max Gawn 4.266 2 3.350 27.3 7 5
Steven May 3.739 3 3.213 16.4 8 5
C Oliver 3.613 4 5.002 -27.8 1 -3
Jake Lever < 3.483 5 3.131 11.2 9 4
T Rivers 3.379 6 3.696 -8.6 5 -1
C Salem < 3.365 7 2.993 12.4 12 5
A Tomlinson 3.306 8 2.915 13.4 14 6
Jack Viney 3.302 9 3.707 -10.9 4 -5
Ed Langdon 2.990 10 3.057 -2.2 10 0
A N-Bullen 2.982 11 2.532 17.8 20 9
T McDonald 2.960 12 2.054 44.1 27 15
Judd McVee 2.914 13 2.320 25.6 22 9
J Bowey < 2.602 14 2.820 -7.7 15 1
T Woewodin < > 2.577 15 1.406 83.3 34 19
T Sparrow 2.491 16 2.811 -11.4 16 0
K Pickett 2.398 17 2.101 14.1 26 9
B Howes 2.348 18 - - - -
M Hore 2.273 19 - - - -
J Billings > < 2.202 20 - - - -
C Windsor < 2.107 21 - - - -
K Chandler 2.082 22 2.265 -8.1 23 1
J V Rooyen 1.994 23 2.170 -8.1 25 2
L Hunter* < 1.838 24 2.939 -37.5 13 -11
B Fritsch 1.779 25 2.324 -23.5 21 -4
B Laurie* < > 1.605 26 2.235 -28.2 24 -2
K Tholstrup 1.525 27 - - - -
S McAdam* 1.483 28 - - - -
Ben Brown < 1.391 29 1.941 -28.3 28 -1
D Turner 1.213 30 1.825 -33.5 31 1
C Spargo* 1.200 31 1.886 -36.4 29 -2
H Petty < 1.155 32 2.718 -57.5 19 -13
J Schache* 0.700 33 1.525 -54.1 33 0
K Brown* > 0.350 34 - - - -
Team Rating 65.86   69.86 -5.7    
Top 6 22.96   24.43 -6.0    
Bottom 6 13.41   15.17 -11.6    

* Played less than two full matches (in total)

< Subbed out at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

> Subbed in at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

Thanks DD I’m thinking that we may see some of these numbers change quite rapidly as our younger set get the opportunity to play in roles that suit their skills more, Rivers in particular.

  • Clap 1
Posted (edited)
On 25/06/2024 at 21:16, DeeZone said:

Thanks DD I’m thinking that we may see some of these numbers change quite rapidly as our younger set get the opportunity to play in roles that suit their skills more, Rivers in particular.

He might just end up being the find of the year (for us) in terms of the role change into the middle DZ.

Edited by Demon Dynasty
  • Thanks 1
Posted

Melbourne v Brisbane (Round 16, 2024)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20241602

Key Team Stats

Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne.

Stat For Against Diff
Disposal Efficiency 64.6 67.9 -3.3
Kicking Efficiency 55.3 63.0 -7.7
Metres Gained 6270 6276 -6
Inside 50s 51 53 -2
Shots At Goal 29 30 -1
Shots Per Inside 50 56.9 56.6 +0.3
Contested Possessions 154 130 +24
Ground Ball Gets 107 96 +11
Intercepts 59 72 -13
Intercept Marks 5 17 -12
Centre Clearances 14 7 +7
Stoppage Clearances 26 27 -1
Contested Marks 14 13 +1
Marks Inside 50 10 14 -4
Hitouts 48 34 +14
Hitouts To Advantage 11 4 +7
Tackles 71 53 +18
Tackles Inside 50 14 7 +7
Def One On One Loss % 14.3 27.8 -13.5

Contested Possessions

  For Against Diff
Melbourne's Defensive 50
Hard Ball Get 8 2 +6
Loose Ball Get 23 18 +5
Contested Mark 1 2 -1
Ruck Hard Ball Get 1 0 +1
Contested Knock On 2 2 0
Free For 3 1 +2
Total 38 25 +13
Melbourne's Forward 50
Hard Ball Get 4 6 -2
Loose Ball Get 11 13 -2
Contested Mark 2 1 +1
Free For 1 2 -1
Total 18 22 -4
Post clearance
Hard Ball Get 17 9 +8
Loose Ball Get 53 48 +5
Contested Mark 14 13 +1
Contested Knock On 7 3 +4
Free For 9 10 -1
Total 100 83 +17
Pre clearance
Hard Ball Get 15 15 0
Loose Ball Get 22 24 -2
Ruck Hard Ball Get 5 2 +3
Gather From Hitout 10 2 +8
Contested Knock On 2 1 +1
Free For 0 3 -3
Total 54 47 +7
  • Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative.
  • Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets.
  • 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions.

Expected scores

  xScore Score Rushed xWin % xMargin Margin Swing
Melbourne 80.0 81 0 27%     +5.8
Brisbane 90.8 86 6 73% +10.8 +5  
Team Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. /
Shot
Shot
Rating
Overall
Melbourne 29 11.15.81 37.9% 80.0 +1.0 2.76 +0.03
Brisbane 30 11.14.80 36.7% 84.8 −4.8 2.83 −0.16
General Play
Melbourne 15 4.9.33 26.7% 35.5 −2.5 2.36 −0.16
Brisbane 16 5.9.39 31.2% 41.2 −2.2 2.58 −0.14
Set Position
Melbourne 14 7.6.48 50.0% 44.6 +3.4 3.18 +0.24
Brisbane 14 6.5.41 42.9% 43.6 −2.6 3.12 −0.19
  • xWin %: win probability based on expected scores.
  • Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin.
  • xScore: total expected score from all shots taken.
  • +/-: total score above or below expected score.
  • xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty.
  • Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal.

Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores.

 

 

Pressure

Team pressure

Quarter For Agn Diff
1 148 186 -38
2 199 204 -5
3 180 189 -9
4 161 181 -20
Match 172 190 -18

Source: Herald Sun

Most Pressure Points

Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ )

Player Pressure
Acts
Pressure
Points
Season
Average
Jack Viney 29 68 60.5
Alex Neal-Bullen 25 50 54.1
Clayton Oliver 21 50 45.6
Kysaiah Pickett 20 49 42.5
Koltyn Tholstrup 23 41 40.3
Kade Chandler 15 36 46.5
Harrison Petty 13 31 27.8
Tom Sparrow 14 29 44.9
Andy Moniz-Wakefield 13 28 28.0
Caleb Windsor 12 25 32.9
Trent Rivers 14 25 24.9
Ed Langdon 12 24 30.6
Tom McDonald 9 22 21.3
Judd McVee 12 20 15.1
Jacob van Rooyen 8 17 16.3
Taj Woewodin 7 17 14.5
Adam Tomlinson 8 16 21.8
Bayley Fritsch 7 16 15.7
Jake Lever 10 15 15.6
Kynan Brown 7 14 10.5
Max Gawn 6 12 23.9
Daniel Turner 5 10 12.3
Steven May 3 6 9.0

Source: Herald Sun

Time in Forward Half

Quarter For Against
1 48% 52%
2 56% 44%
3 53% 47%
4 39% 61%
Match 48% 52%

Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations.

Score Sources

Summary

Category Score Against Diff
Kick-in 0.0.0 3.0.18 -18
Centre Bounce 2.3.15 0.1.1 +14
Stoppage (Other) 4.3.27 2.8.20 +7
Turnover 5.9.39 6.11.47 -8
Score Source For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Kick-in 0 2.5 18 2.7
Centre Bounce 15 11.1 1 6.5
Stoppage (Other) 27 22.7 20 19.9
Turnover 39 40.7 47 48.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Brisbane.

Chain start region

Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective.

Category Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Centre Bounce Centre 15 11.1 1 6.5
Kick-in D50 0 2.5 18 2.7
Stoppage (Other) D50 1 1.9 1 1.7
Stoppage (Other) Centre 0 1.9 0 2.1
Stoppage (Other) Wing 20 12.7 15 9.2
Stoppage (Other) F50 6 6.2 4 6.9
Turnover D50 15 8.1 8 8.2
Turnover Centre 7 7.1 2 8.3
Turnover Wing 14 19.5 23 24.3
Turnover F50 3 6.1 14 7.3
Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
D50 16 12.5 27 12.6
Centre 22 20.0 3 16.9
Wing 34 32.2 38 33.5
F50 9 12.3 18 14.1
Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Defensive 50 16 12.5 27 12.6
Defensive midfield 21 18.6 24 18.3
Centre bounce 15 11.1 1 6.5
Attacking midfield 20 22.5 16 25.6
Forward 50 9 12.3 18 14.1

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Brisbane.

Points from defensive half

For Against
Match Season Match Season *
37 31.1 51 30.9

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Brisbane.

Centre Bounce Attendances

  CBAs CBA % 2024 % 2023 %
Max Gawn 23 88% 85.2% 64.9%
Clayton Oliver 19 73% 71.2% 81.4%
Jack Viney 19 73% 68.1% 72.1%
Trent Rivers 18 69% 11.9% 3.0%
Tom Sparrow 15 58% 38.1% 44.9%
Kysaiah Pickett 4 15% 37.0% 11.2%
Alex Neal-Bullen 3 12% 14.8% 2.1%
Jacob van Rooyen 3 12% 13.0% 7.6%
Harrison Petty 0 0% 3.9% 0.7%
Koltyn Tholstrup 0 0% 2.7%  
Tom McDonald 0 0% 0.0% 5.7%
Christian Petracca     55.8% 61.1%
Christian Salem     17.6% 0.0%
Josh Schache     8.3% 0.0%
Bailey Laurie     4.4% 0.0%
Charlie Spargo     4.2% 0.0%
Lachie Hunter     0.0% 0.2%

Ruck Contests and Hitouts

Ruck Contests

  Ruck
Contests
RC % 2024 % 2023 %
Max Gawn 80 80% 82.6% 57.5%
Jacob van Rooyen 15 15% 14.0% 13.1%
Harrison Petty 5 5% 4.8% 2.0%
Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.0% 0.1%
Steven May 0 0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tom McDonald 0 0% 0.0% 9.3%
Tom Sparrow 0 0% 0.0% 0.0%
Josh Schache     13.3% 4.1%
Ben Brown     0.2% 2.3%
Christian Petracca     0.0% 0.4%

Hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
To Adv. %
(2024)
To Adv. %
(2023)
Max Gawn 80 41 11 26.5% 30.1%
Jacob van Rooyen 15 7 0 24.5% 31.1%
Harrison Petty 5 0 0 31.8% 25.0%
Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0   0.0%
Tom McDonald 0 0 0   20.0%
Ben Brown       100.0% 0.0%
Josh Schache       100.0% 0.0%
Christian Petracca         100.0%

Opposition hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
Oscar McInerney 82 32 4
Eric Hipwood 1 1 0
Joe Daniher 17 1 0
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Posted (edited)

Our ground ball gets were back. We definitely went back to an old bash and crash contested forward half game. Similar to our 2018 style and Richmond's 2017-2020 formula. I'd much prefer to exploit McQualter's IP in this department.

3 hours ago, titan_uranus said:

3 goals conceded from kick in is disappointing. 

The pressure stats are also interesting. They were over 200 in the second quarter!

I wonder if this was a function of a more aggressive, higher press? No idea, just wondering. I hadn't noticed coast to coast goals, let alone 3!

Edited by Binmans PA
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Posted
9 minutes ago, Binmans PA said:

Our ground ball gets were back. We definitely went back to an old bash and crash contested forward half game. Similar to our 2018 style and Richmond's 2017-2020 formula. I'd much prefer to exploit McQualter's IP in this department.

I wonder if this was a function of a more aggressive, higher press? No idea, just wondering. I hadn't noticed coast to coast goals, let alone 3!

I don't actually think we did BPA - go back to our old model. At least not fully

Agree we were much more contest focused, more stoppages focused, went long down the line a bit more, and played that manic tigers template footy (all hallmarks of the traditional goody model). 

But, as evidenced by the stats (eg our time in forward half, inside 50 and intecept mark numbers - stat's we always dominated when our old method was humming) the method was a hybrid with the transition game we are implementing.

That's how we scored in the second quarter- transition footy combined with manic intensity.

For what it's worth, that's the model I see us playing come finals, with perhaps more emphasis on winning time in forward half and inside 50s.

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Posted

But I do agree on the high press. A combination of setting the defence deep and then pressing up quite aggressively. Particularly in the first half.

Forcing us to have to work back hard on turnover- something we struggled to do in the last quarter.

That is another difference to the old goody game plan.

  • Like 3
Posted
3 minutes ago, binman said:

I don't actually think we did BPA - go back to our old model. At least not fully

Agree we were much more contest focused, more stoppages focused, went long down the line a bit more, and played that manic tigers template footy (all hallmarks of the traditional goody model). 

But, as evidenced by the stats (eg our time in forward half, inside 50 and intecept mark numbers - stat's we always dominated when our old method was humming) the method was a hybrid with the transition game we are implementing.

That's how we scored in the second quarter- transition footy combined with manic intensity.

For what it's worth, that's the model I see us playing come finals, with perhaps more emphasis on winning time in forward half and inside 50s.

I’m an optimist like you Binman, but I can’t see us playing finals this year and that’s ok.

I was really impressed with how our young side took it up to the Lions, with some good games from our senior players. I was expecting a 4-5 goal loss, and after getting over the close loss I was proud of the effort.

I’d be interested to know the age differences between the two sides.

  • Like 2
Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, binman said:

I don't actually think we did BPA - go back to our old model. At least not fully

Agree we were much more contest focused, more stoppages focused, went long down the line a bit more, and played that manic tigers template footy (all hallmarks of the traditional goody model). 

But, as evidenced by the stats (eg our time in forward half, inside 50 and intecept mark numbers - stat's we always dominated when our old method was humming) the method was a hybrid with the transition game we are implementing.

That's how we scored in the second quarter- transition footy combined with manic intensity.

For what it's worth, that's the model I see us playing come finals, with perhaps more emphasis on winning time in forward half and inside 50s.

You're probably right, but some of the transition footy, I suspect, was more a result of trying to exploit Brisbane's inability to defend transition and that if we were playing a better defensive team, we'd rely more on stoppages and forward half turnovers for scores.

That handball chaining from half back is very 2022 MFC.

Our pressure ratings are also way down consistently these days. We rarely win the quarter for pressure and certainly rarely win the game for pressure.

Edited by Binmans PA
  • Like 2
Posted
10 minutes ago, Binmans PA said:

You're probably right, but some of the transition footy, I suspect, was more a result of trying to exploit Brisbane's inability to defend transition and that if we were playing a better defensive team, we'd rely more on stoppages and forward half turnovers for scores.

That handball chaining from half back is very 2022 MFC.

Our pressure ratings are also way down consistently these days. We rarely win the quarter for pressure and certainly rarely win the game for pressure.

The handball chaining looks to be something they are really workomg hard to implement this season. Very noticeable, right back to the Tigers practice match.

Still very much a work in progress, and super frustrating to watch when it comes unstuck (KICK IT!!!!), but if we get it right, like we did in the second quarter, it is a real point of difference with other teams. 

For it work optimally, we need to be running in waves. And fir that we need be close to optimal fitness.

  • Like 3

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