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Highest percentage teams to miss finals

DemonHauntedWorld
in Melbourne Demons

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I know there's been a bit of chatter on here about the team with the highest percentage to miss finals and whether we will take the crown this season so I ran my own numbers.

The good news is, if you go back far enough in VFL/AFL history our current percentage of 130.5 wouldn't figure in the top 5. We won't even take Melbourne's record.

image.png.78ec8a36cd3d2f6b4bc8f9a68c7ae597.png

Of course, for a lot of those seasons the proportion of sides making finals was a lot smaller.

If we look just at AFL history though we're a near certainty to break the record if we lose the next two:

image.png.0bdb795a0cf5c891554ab5cdf3ce9444.png

Better just get a win this weekend and I can stop looking at these morbid stats...

 

 

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    Dude’s I woke on the couch before after falling asleep when the pies got ahead with a feeling of absolute dread.

    collingwood and cats kicking huge scores today  to boost percentages and a feeling that we will be smashed like freo were today .

    tough being a dees supporter.

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    It's all a bit hard for me to work out but is it still possible we could boost our percentage enough with one huge win and lose the other game by a point and miss the finals and get the record for the team with the highest percentage ever to miss a final? 

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    The MFC will find a way to manufacture another record to emulate the one in 2017!

    Our culture is still in question when compared to the Swans who with injury & form are now looking at a top 4 spot god help us!

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    7 hours ago, La Dee-vina Comedia said:

    It's all a bit hard for me to work out but is it still possible we could boost our percentage enough with one huge win and lose the other game by a point and miss the finals and get the record for the team with the highest percentage ever to miss a final? 

    It’s the MFC anything is possible when it comes to losing 

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    14 hours ago, La Dee-vina Comedia said:

    It's all a bit hard for me to work out but is it still possible we could boost our percentage enough with one huge win and lose the other game by a point and miss the finals and get the record for the team with the highest percentage ever to miss a final? 

    Using the squiggle ladder predictor (https://predictor.squiggle.com.au/) 

    If we win beat the eagles 200 to 14 and lose to the giants by 76-75 we end up on 139.8% 

    Geelong would need to beat the suns 223 to 6 that way they end up on 139.9%

    problem comes with Port Adelaide, they would have to beat Essendon by so much that it doesn't allow me to enter the figures.. the max i can put in is 239 to 1 and that only brings Port's to 125.0%, quite a ways off passing us even on our current percentage, which is a nice thing to know

    at this point I thought all hope was lost. But! then I remembered North could make it if they beat Adelaide... So i did North to beat Adelaide 239 to 1 and then beat St Kilda 239 to 1! ...and that got them to 138.6% so narrowly missing us and coincidentally slotting themselves into 2nd on that all time list.

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    If we lose both we need Ess to beat Port in Adelaide.

    If we win 1 we're in.

    If we win both and Coll lose to Freo in Perth we finish 4th.

    If they dont win, we finish 5th

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    59 minutes ago, Moonshadow said:

    Interesting take on the stats, both good and bad:

    https://www.theage.com.au/sport/afl/the-questions-the-demons-need-to-answer-20180818-p4zy94.html

    A good article for those who keep saying "our scores against have improved, so defence isn't an issue." The issue is team defence. The mids laziness is always on show and they only run one way. Interestingly, Clarkson and a few senior players have always said Hawks dont care too much about winning contested ball and look at their success.

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