Jump to content
View in the app

A better way to browse. Learn more.
Demonland

A full-screen app on your home screen with push notifications, badges and more.

To install this app on iOS and iPadOS
  1. Tap the Share icon in Safari
  2. Scroll the menu and tap Add to Home Screen.
  3. Tap Add in the top-right corner.
To install this app on Android
  1. Tap the 3-dot menu (⋮) in the top-right corner of the browser.
  2. Tap Add to Home screen or Install app.
  3. Confirm by tapping Install.

It appears round one is flawed.

Bagdana
in Melbourne Demons

Featured Replies

Posted

I know this competition is just a gimmick but how is a team who've just played a half of footy supposed to be competitive against fresh legs?

This weekend, every team that played a consecutive half lost.

Match one - works, even match, better team triumphs.

Match two - whom ever played in match one (against the fresh team) loses.

Match three - whom ever played in match two (against a freshened, one match off, team) loses.

Correction, one exception, Collingwood beat G.W.S. but they're not really an AFL team are they?

By this logic, next week I expect us to beat GC and lose to Brisbane.

Can someone please tell me it's not all this simple?

  • Quote
    •  
    I know this competition is just a gimmick but how is a team who've just played a half of footy supposed to be competitive against fresh legs?

    This weekend, every team that played a consecutive half lost.

    Match one - works, even match, better team triumphs.

    Match two - whom ever played in match one (against the fresh team) loses.

    Match three - whom ever played in match two (against a freshened, one match off, team) loses.

    Correction, one exception, Collingwood beat G.W.S. but they're not really an AFL team are they?

    By this logic, next week I expect us to beat GC and lose to Brisbane.

    Can someone please tell me it's not all this simple?

    Umm... Okay, it's not that simple.

  • Quote

    Yep, I think you got it in one Territory. I noticed a similar pattern in a few early games last year as well...I almost took the odds of 13/1 for GWS v Pies just for that reason.

  • Quote
    •  

    Seriously though, the NAB is about new players, different game plans, set ups, structures etc.. Whilst a win is great, it's hardly anything to base form from.

    I really don't read too much into it.

  • Quote

    What is flawed is your sample: too small.

    Exhibit A (and I don't have a B) is Melbourne last year played consecutive games against Adelaide and Port and won both.

  • Quote

    It is a flawed concept but it is only a pre-season cup, nothing more than a glorified practice match really!

  • Quote

    Melbourne last year played consecutive games against Adelaide and Port and won both.

    Correct. In what you'd call a hostile environment to boot.

  • Quote

    Correct. In what you'd call a hostile environment to boot.

    Was close to the high point of our year in 2011.

  • Quote
    •  

    Yeah...sample is definitely way too small to even consider a trend.

    Not to mention there are way too many other variables to consider.

    You'd need to analyse the players that played in both games. If there were any injuries. The home ground advantage. The coaching strategies. Should i go on?

    Look up correlation statistics 101 for a better understanding.

  • Quote
    • Author

    I agree the sample is too small, fair point made. But I'll have a flutter this weekend on the whim as Wadda We Sing nearly did last weekend.

    Hopefully the small sample size means it hasn't affected the odds!

    D 4 Life, yes there are other variables that add to the formulation of a correlation between variables (winning and losing), I understand that. My hypothesis is, being knackered effects the outcome much more dramatically than most other factors. Collingwood resting half its team and Essendon travelling to Perth would examples of these "other variables" that one would need to consider.

    I do also understand that the outcome really doesn't matter and am just keen to have a look at the boys and whatever game plan is on show but, at the end of the day, just hope we escape without injury. I only mention it as I find the format... interesting.

  • Quote

    Melbourne is taking 34 players this coming weekend. If we assume that every side is doing similar, the variables are far and wide.

  • Quote

    Play as many kids as we can. Spread the load & cross the fingers nobody goes down. The NAB Cup in a nutshell.

  • Quote

    The real question is why are Melbourne copping yet another interstate trip? In an even competition surely the teams that travelled last year should be playing at home this year. We copped the road trip from hell to Adelaide to play against two home teams, and now we're being sent to the Gold Coast. When will the AFL lay off and let Melbourne play a game at home?

  • Quote

    The real question is why are Melbourne copping yet another interstate trip? In an even competition surely the teams that travelled last year should be playing at home this year. We copped the road trip from hell to Adelaide to play against two home teams, and now we're being sent to the Gold Coast. When will the AFL lay off and let Melbourne play a game at home?

    Next week.

  • Quote

    Our interstate record is so poor i am happy to keep getting practise.

    Perfect time for Neeld to set a standard when travelling.

  • Quote

    to be fair though its a trip to the gold coast...to play bris and the gc.

    it'll be a nice holiday with a heavier than normal training session on saturday night

  • Quote

    to be fair though its a trip to the gold coast...to play bris and the gc.

    it'll be a nice holiday with a heavier than normal training session on saturday night

    And us poor members in Qld get an early couple of games under the belt! :)

  • Quote

    • Archived

    This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

    Go to topic listing

    Featured Content

    • AFLW PREVIEW: Richmond

      Round four kicks off early Saturday afternoon at Casey Fields, as the mighty Narrm host the winless Richmond Tigers in the second week of Indigenous Round celebrations. With ideal footy conditions forecast—20 degrees, overcast skies, and a gentle breeze — expect a fast-paced contest. Narrm enters with momentum and a dangerous forward line, while Richmond is still searching for its first win. With key injuries on both sides and pride on the line, this clash promises plenty.

        • Thanks
        • Like
      • 5 replies
      Demonland

    • AFLW REPORT: Collingwood

      Expectations of a comfortable win for Narrm at Victoria Park quickly evaporated as the match turned into a tense nail-biter. After a confident start by the Demons, the Pies piled on pressure and forced red and blue supporters to hold their collective breath until after the final siren. In a frenetic, physical contest, it was Captain Kate’s clutch last quarter goal and a missed shot from Collingwood’s Grace Campbell after the siren which sealed a thrilling 4-point win. Finally, Narrm supporters could breathe easy.

        • Thanks
        • Like
      • 2 replies
      Demonland

    • CASEY: Williamstown

      The Casey Demons issued a strong statement to the remaining teams in the VFL race with a thumping 76-point victory in their Elimination Final against Williamstown. This was the sixth consecutive win for the Demons, who stormed into the finals from a long way back with scalps including two of the teams still in flag contention. Senior Coach Taylor Whitford would have been delighted with the manner in which his team opened its finals campaign with high impact after securing the lead early in the game when Jai Culley delivered a precise pass to a lead from Noah Yze, who scored his first of seven straight goals for the day. Yze kicked his second on the quarter time siren, by which time the Demons were already in control. The youngster repeated the dose in the second term as the Seagulls were reduced to mere

        • Thanks
      • 0 replies
      Demonland

    • AFLW PREVIEW: Collingwood

      Narrm time isn’t a standard concept—it’s the time within the traditional lands of Narrm, the Woiwurrung name for Melbourne. Indigenous Round runs for rounds 3 and 4 and is a powerful platform to recognise the contributions of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples in sport, community, and Australian culture. This week, suburban footy returns to the infamous Victoria Park as the mighty Narrm take on the Collingwood Magpies at 1:05pm Narrm time, Sunday 31 August. Come along if you can.

        • Thumb Down
        • Thanks
        • Like
      • 9 replies
      Demonland

    • AFLW REPORT: St. Kilda

      The Dees demolished the Saints in a comprehensive 74-pointshellacking.  We filled our boots with percentage — now a whopping 520.7% — and sit atop the AFLW ladder. Melbourne’s game plan is on fire, and the competition is officially on notice.

        • Clap
        • Thanks
        • Like
      • 4 replies
      Demonland

    • REPORT: Collingwood

      It was yet another disappointing outcome in a disappointing year, with Melbourne missing the finals for the second consecutive season. Indeed, it wasn’t even close, as the Demons' tally of seven wins was less than half the number required to rank among the top eight teams in the competition. When the dust of the game settled and supporters reflected on Melbourne's  six-point defeat at the hands of close game specialists Collingwood, Max Gawn's words about his team’s unfulfilled potential rang true … well, almost. 

        • Thanks
      • 1 reply
      Demonland
    View All

    Configure browser push notifications
    Chrome (Android)
    1. Tap the lock icon next to the address bar.
    2. Tap Permissions → Notifications.
    3. Adjust your preference.
    Chrome (Desktop)
    1. Click the padlock icon in the address bar.
    2. Select Site settings.
    3. Find Notifications and adjust your preference.