Stats Files - 2020

[jnrmac 20,185]

Like your work @Rusty Nails??

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

Road to Finals / GF - Triple Crown Update (to Rnd 7, 2020)

V the Hawks

• Meters Gained Differential (looking for + 200 or more) ? +897 ✔️
• Marks inside 50 Differential (any positive is a win but the higher the better) ? +10 ✔️
• Contested Possession Differential (looking for a +10 or greater) ? +25 ✔️

Season Averages (the one that counts)

• Meters Gained Average Differential (looking for an average of + 200 or more) ? +99.2 ❌

A massive improvement on last week of 160 meters (on average).  +897 against the Hawks is a huge difference.  We have jumped three places to No.7 in the league.  Not too shabby indeed.  The top five with current ladder positions in parenthesis below.  It is worth noting that only the top two clubs have a +200 (or greater) average here...

           1. Power (1st)  2. Tigers (4th)  3. Cats (5)  4. Pies (3rd)  5. Lions (2nd)

• Marks inside 50 Average Differential (ideally we need to see a top 6 ranking) ? 4th! ✔️

Up five places from 9th last week to 4th is a great result with a +2.2 average differential.  +10 a very nice differential win against the Hawks.  The top 5... 1. Lions  2. Pies  3. Power  4. Demons  5. Tigers

• Contested Possession Average Differential (looking for +10 or more) ?  +13 ✔️

Improving one place from 3rd to 2nd.  The Pies just ahead with +14 average differential.  Tracking very well here.

The top 5... 1. Pies  2. Demons  3. Kangas  4. Cats  5. Power

Not wanting to get too carried away just yet....but.... only one tick away from the magic triple crown

Edited July 23, 2020 by Rusty Nails

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

Rnd 8, 2020 Metricom Stadium - Demons vs Lions

Too little left to too few when we are up against quality opposition.  We got smashed in the second and weren't able to stop their link up run out of the middle, through the middle and around half forward.  So many fumbles under heat (ball ups and stoppages) and unable to hit up the next link player on our side often enough or wide enough (too many dinky inside handballs that drew more heat...falling back into bad habits under heat against quality opposition?) or for more than a few possessions when we didn't.

Some terrible shooting at goal by some didn't help.  Sorry but Weid needs to kick at least one of those three goals tonight.  Every goal is crucial against the rated clubs   Two contested marks, Zero goals, 3 effectives and one tackle inside 50.  That's just not enough output from a KF if you aren't kicking a goal.  Not a bad return by the Jones boy tonight.  Gus continues to be a serious concern.  What's up with Harmes this season?  Way off his usual form sadly and could be the difference if he gets back to that.

Team score was 11% off the average score in 2019 tonight and 21% off 2018's.  The bottom 6 score the worst for the season.

Player	Score	Rank
Christian Petracca	5.175	1
Clayton Oliver	4.400	2
Jack Viney	3.325	3
Nathan Jones	2.625	4
Steven May	2.525	5
Max Gawn	2.475	6
Christian Salem	2.450	7
Ed Langdon	2.400	8
Michael Hibberd	2.200	9
Jake Lever	1.850	10
Angus Brayshaw	1.700	11
Bayley Fritsch	1.550	12
Luke Jackson	1.450	13
Harley Bennell	1.400	14
Jake Melksham	1.400	14
Jay Lockhart	1.175	16
James Harmes	1.100	17
Sam Weideman	0.625	18
Kysaiah Pickett	0.550	19
Neville Jetta	0.250	20
Mitchell Hannan	0.225	21
Oscar McDonald	0.150	22
Team Score	41.000
Top 6	20.525
Bottom 6	2.900
# Hit outs to advantage not accounted for

[bing181 9,328]

Concerning that many of the low scorers are forwards?

[jnrmac 20,185]

Our pressure was elite in the last qtr I saw, that's when we play our best.

 

Not sure what happened in the 2nd qtr....

[old55 23,687]

On 7/23/2020 at 9:44 PM, Rusty Nails said:

Road to Finals / GF - Triple Crown Update (to Rnd 7, 2020)

V the Hawks

• Meters Gained Differential (looking for + 200 or more) ? +897 ✔️
• Marks inside 50 Differential (any positive is a win but the higher the better) ? +10 ✔️
• Contested Possession Differential (looking for a +10 or greater) ? +25 ✔️

Season Averages (the one that counts)

• Meters Gained Average Differential (looking for an average of + 200 or more) ? +99.2 ❌

A massive improvement on last week of 160 meters (on average).  +897 against the Hawks is a huge difference.  We have jumped three places to No.7 in the league.  Not too shabby indeed.  The top five with current ladder positions in parenthesis below.  It is worth noting that only the top two clubs have a +200 (or greater) average here...

           1. Power (1st)  2. Tigers (4th)  3. Cats (5)  4. Pies (3rd)  5. Lions (2nd)

• Marks inside 50 Average Differential (ideally we need to see a top 6 ranking) ? 4th! ✔️

Up five places from 9th last week to 4th is a great result with a +2.2 average differential.  +10 a very nice differential win against the Hawks.  The top 5... 1. Lions  2. Pies  3. Power  4. Demons  5. Tigers

• Contested Possession Average Differential (looking for +10 or more) ?  +13 ✔️

Improving one place from 3rd to 2nd.  The Pies just ahead with +14 average differential.  Tracking very well here.

The top 5... 1. Pies  2. Demons  3. Kangas  4. Cats  5. Power

Not wanting to get too carried away just yet....but.... only one tick away from the magic triple crown

I like this analysis - keep up the good work!

[deanox 9,989]

6 hours ago, bing181 said:

Concerning that many of the low scorers are forwards?

Weid and Pickett missed 4 gettable shots between them, any one would have won the game (in theory) and would have bumped that bottom 6 score.

Also it was a very low scoring game, so will weight away from forwards. 

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

Weighted Average Scores at the end of Rnd 8, 2020

Adjusted for 20% less game time this season, the team score so far is still tracking about 1% below that of 2019.  That number itself would appear to be an ok result,  However, given how ordinary 2019 was, after seven matches sadly i have to report we are still treading water (statistically).  No improvement at all in an overall team sense.  And approx 11% off the team's average from season 2018.

There's some worrying individual results here statistically also.  In particular Salem & Gus.  But more so Harmes, Fritsch, Nev, Melk and Hunt.  That's six out of seven who played last night.  At this level most teams would struggle to cover one or two players who are in and out of games like a yo yo form wise, let alone five or more.  We might have a light on injury list but we have plenty who are nowhere near playing at a level that will see the team succeed at AFL level ie; finals or better.  And then there's the rookies you are trying to bring on plus an inept forward line that can't put a score on the board for more than a match or two.

As much as i would love to say we are on the cusp of a major change in direction vs 2019 i'm going to call it now.  We would need a minor miracle for that to occur and for us to make finals from here given our bog ordinary forward line.  It's the elephant in the room that needs fixing.  A genuine goal kicking KF along with a classy inside/outside goal kicking mid both desperately needed for 2021 if we are to finally taste some finals success on a regular basis.

Player	2020 Weighted Score	2020 Rank	2019 Weighted Score	% Change vs 2019	2019 Rank	Change in Rank vs 2019
Christian Petracca	3.864	1	2.616	47.71	10	9
Clayton Oliver	3.486	2	4.643	-24.92	1	-1
Max Gawn #	3.368	3	3.256	3.44	4	1
Jack Viney	3.057	4	3.068	-0.36	5	1
Steven May	2.475	5	2.446	1.19	14	9
Ed Langdon	2.400	6	-	-	-	-
Alex N-Bullen	2.338	7	1.984	17.82	21	14
Christian Salem	2.300	8	3.448	-33.29	3	-5
Michael Hibberd	2.167	9	2.124	2.02	20	11
James Harmes	2.107	10	3.850	-45.27	2	-8
Nathan Jones	2.050	11	2.711	-24.38	8	-3
Angus Brayshaw	1.979	12	2.894	-31.62	6	-6
Oscar McDonald	1.975	13	1.877	5.22	26	13
Jake Lever	1.900	14	2.313	-17.86	17	3
Harley Bennell	1.875	15	-	-	-	-
Aaron Vandenburg	1.819	16	-	-	-	-
Jay Lockhart	1.788	17	1.660	7.71	31	14
Mitchell Hannan	1.720	18	1.325	29.81	36	18
Tom McDonald #	1.638	19	2.150	-23.81	19	0
Adam Tomlinson #	1.613	20	-	-	-	-
Bayley Fritsch	1.418	21	2.641	-46.31	9	-12
Sam Weideman	1.417	22	1.818	-22.06	23	1
Neville Jetta	1.305	23	2.264	-42.36	18	-5
Joel Smith	1.158	24	-	-	-	-
Toby Bedford *	1.150	25	-	-	-	-
Luke Jackson	1.117	26	-	-	-	-
Jake Melksham	1.114	27	1.931	-42.31	23	-4
Kysaiah Pickett	1.079	28	-	-	-	-
Trent Rivers	1.033	29	-	-	-	-
Jayden Hunt	0.858	30	1.958	-56.18	22	-8
Mitchell Brown *	0.625	31	-	-	-	-
Charlie Spargo *	-0.250	32	1.375	-118.18	23	-9
Average Team Score -Top 22	48.754		59.623	-18.23
# Hit outs to advantage not captured

Edited July 27, 2020 by Rusty Nails

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

22 hours ago, Pollyanna said:

I like this analysis - keep up the good work!

Thanks Polly.  Will try for an update this evening.

[george_on_the_outer 7,696]

1 hour ago, Rusty Nails said:

Thanks Polly.  Will try for an update this evening.

Love your work also.  Puts some facts behind what we are seeing on the ground. 

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

On 7/27/2020 at 9:36 AM, Pollyanna said:

I like this analysis - keep up the good work!

 

11 hours ago, george_on_the_outer said:

Love your work also.  Puts some facts behind what we are seeing on the ground. 

Thanks also George.  Ultimately winning is the best stat of the lot.  If only it were that easy.

 

Road to Finals / GF - Triple Crown Update (to Rnd 8, 2020)

Vs the Lions

• Meters Gained Differential (looking for + 200 or more) ? -73 ❌
• Marks inside 50 Differential (any positive is a win but the higher the better) ? -1 ❌
• Contested Possession Differential (looking for a +10 or greater) ? -5 ❌

Season Averages (the one that counts)

• Meters Gained Average Differential (looking for an average of + 200 or more) ? +74.6 ❌

Down 25 on last week's average but holding in 7th place.  Down 493 meters vs the previous week against the Hawks.  The top five with current ladder positions in parenthesis below.  It is worth noting that only the top three clubs have a +200 (or greater) average here.  That's one more club than last week (the Cats).

           1. Power (1st)  2. Cats (3rd)  3. Tigers (9th)  4. Bulldogs (6th)  5. Lions (2nd)

• Marks inside 50 Average Differential (ideally we need to see a top 6 ranking) ? 4th! ✔️

Holding in 4th place with a +1.7 average differential.  The top 5... 1. Lions  2. Power  3. Pies  4. Demons  5. Tigers

• Contested Possession Average Differential (looking for +10 or more) ?  +11 ✔️

Holding in 2nd place.  The Pies still ahead with +14 average differential.

The top 5:   1. Pies  2. Demons  3. Cats  4. Kangas  5. Lions

Edited July 28, 2020 by Rusty Nails

[Kent 2,914]

Thanks Rusty 

Love this analysis

I'm sure we all on here appreciate it.

[buck_nekkid 6,046]

Thanks Rusty.  Adds some interesting and valuable rigour to thinking about our performances.

[Kent 2,914]

On 7/27/2020 at 10:47 PM, Rusty Nails said:

Weighted Average Scores at the end of Rnd 8, 2020

Adjusted for 20% less game time this season, the team score so far is still tracking about 1% below that of 2019.  That number itself would appear to be an ok result,  However, given how ordinary 2019 was, after seven matches sadly i have to report we are still treading water (statistically).  No improvement at all in an overall team sense.  And approx 11% off the team's average from season 2018.

There's some worrying individual results here statistically also.  In particular Salem & Gus.  But more so Harmes, Fritsch, Nev, Melk and Hunt.  That's six out of seven who played last night.  At this level most teams would struggle to cover one or two players who are in and out of games like a yo yo form wise, let alone five or more.  We might have a light on injury list but we have plenty who are nowhere near playing at a level that will see the team succeed at AFL level ie; finals or better.  And then there's the rookies you are trying to bring on plus an inept forward line that can't put a score on the board for more than a match or two.

As much as i would love to say we are on the cusp of a major change in direction vs 2019 i'm going to call it now.  We would need a minor miracle for that to occur and for us to make finals from here given our bog ordinary forward line.  It's the elephant in the room that needs fixing.  A genuine goal kicking KF along with a classy inside/outside goal kicking mid both desperately needed for 2021 if we are to finally taste some finals success on a regular basis.

Player	2020 Weighted Score	2020 Rank	2019 Weighted Score	% Change vs 2019	2019 Rank	Change in Rank vs 2019
Christian Petracca	3.864	1	2.616	47.71	10	9
Clayton Oliver	3.486	2	4.643	-24.92	1	-1
Max Gawn #	3.368	3	3.256	3.44	4	1
Jack Viney	3.057	4	3.068	-0.36	5	1
Steven May	2.475	5	2.446	1.19	14	9
Ed Langdon	2.400	6	-	-	-	-
Alex N-Bullen	2.338	7	1.984	17.82	21	14
Christian Salem	2.300	8	3.448	-33.29	3	-5
Michael Hibberd	2.167	9	2.124	2.02	20	11
James Harmes	2.107	10	3.850	-45.27	2	-8
Nathan Jones	2.050	11	2.711	-24.38	8	-3
Angus Brayshaw	1.979	12	2.894	-31.62	6	-6
Oscar McDonald	1.975	13	1.877	5.22	26	13
Jake Lever	1.900	14	2.313	-17.86	17	3
Harley Bennell	1.875	15	-	-	-	-
Aaron Vandenburg	1.819	16	-	-	-	-
Jay Lockhart	1.788	17	1.660	7.71	31	14
Mitchell Hannan	1.720	18	1.325	29.81	36	18
Tom McDonald #	1.638	19	2.150	-23.81	19	0
Adam Tomlinson #	1.613	20	-	-	-	-
Bayley Fritsch	1.418	21	2.641	-46.31	9	-12
Sam Weideman	1.417	22	1.818	-22.06	23	1
Neville Jetta	1.305	23	2.264	-42.36	18	-5
Joel Smith	1.158	24	-	-	-	-
Toby Bedford *	1.150	25	-	-	-	-
Luke Jackson	1.117	26	-	-	-	-
Jake Melksham	1.114	27	1.931	-42.31	23	-4
Kysaiah Pickett	1.079	28	-	-	-	-
Trent Rivers	1.033	29	-	-	-	-
Jayden Hunt	0.858	30	1.958	-56.18	22	-8
Mitchell Brown *	0.625	31	-	-	-	-
Charlie Spargo *	-0.250	32	1.375	-118.18	23	-9
Average Team Score -Top 22	48.754		59.623	-18.23
# Hit outs to advantage not captured

 

 

Christian Salem

2.300

8

3.448

-33.29

3

-5

 

This is a worry for me for supposedly one of our best

Doesnt get enough and doesn't really hurt the opposition so far below his best

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

9 hours ago, Kent said:

 

 

Christian Salem

2.300

8

3.448

-33.29

3

-5

 

This is a worry for me for supposedly one of our best

Doesnt get enough and doesn't really hurt the opposition so far below his best

Not a great number Kent and his first 5 matches were pretty ordinary.  However, his last two matches i've personally seen a bit of a turnaround.  Certainly not at a level that sees him at his best from the last two seasons but imv an uptick vs the first 5 rounds.  The numbers tend to support this a little as well.

Adjusted for the 20% loss in game time the above 2020 season average sees him off around 19% vs 2019.  As you say, far below his best.  But lets keep in mind, Salem was one of only a select few who held their own (or improved on their previous season) in the horribilis that was 2019.  Using this same method he finished 3rd in 2019 and pretty much on par with his 2018 average score.  Pretty darn good.  He really only dropped away from memory in the last 4 to 5 matches last season unfortunately.

Now two matches doesn't make a swallow or a season but.... taking his average score in the last two matches 2.55  Add in the adjustment for the 20% loss of game time vs 2019 (ie., 2.55 x 1.20) and we get a score of 3.06   That's 11.25% off his 2019 average.  Still, not great, but 10%ish is very much within reach if he continues the momentum of his last two matches.  More so the match against the Hawks vs the Lions but many players lost some momentum in this one.

Let's hope he can keep heading north a tad more from here and get back to the Salem we thought was really making a fist of things for a while there.

Edited July 29, 2020 by Rusty Nails

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

11 hours ago, buck_nekkid said:

Thanks Rusty.  Adds some interesting and valuable rigour to thinking about our performances.

Thanks Buck.  Just looking for a few tasty statistical trends and morsels, where possible, among the on field mayhem.  Hope all is well with you during the madness that is 2020.

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

On 7/29/2020 at 8:09 AM, Kent said:

Thanks Rusty 

Love this analysis

I'm sure we all on here appreciate it.

Sorry mate i only just saw that one.  Always appreciate your contributions and feedback as well.  Thanks ✌️

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

Rnd 9, 2020 Metricom Stadium - Demons vs Power

Well i certainly wasn't expecting the diabolical performance we witnessed last night but the "to little from to few" i witnessed last week, sadly went to another level this week.

A couple of ugly numbers arising out of this match ("just a couple?" i hear you say... yeh i know but i don't want to be up past midnight)...

• Disposals per goal ... must be some sort of record at 74.  Just let that sink in for a moment.  Count to 74 and imagine the work going in to each goal

 

• The team score is very ordinary but wasn't our worst for the season.  That came against the Cats @ 37.05
• The team score however, was 11% down on the average team score from season 2019   ... AND
• The Team score was down 21% vs our 2018 season average.
• The Top 6 score was the worst for the season
• A horrid output from Viney but not his worst for the season.  That was against the Tiges in Rnd 5 with a 0.70
• Gawn's worst game (statistically) for the season
• AFL Disposal Efficiency usually averages about 73%.  We were at 66%.  Would love to know what our kicking efficiency was.  Some absolute howlers.  Two special ones in particular from Clarry that's burned into the grey matter.

Who would have thought....Salem at the top of the stats rating.  Now i didn't think it was a great game by any means but then again no one really played out of their skins last night.  Visually i thought May, Lever, Hibb, Maxy and Langdon put a fair effort up (might have missed one or two but who cares...the overall effort was abysmal).  The rest of the non-rookie boys were complete crud IMHO.

Player	Score	Rank
Christian Salem	3.575	1
Clayton Oliver	3.000	2
Michael Hibberd	2.750	3
Steven May	2.650	4
Ed Langdon	2.300	5
Angus Brayshaw	2.225	6
Jake Lever	2.200	7
Christian Petracca	2.100	8
Tom Sparrow	2.000	9
James Harmes	1.950	10
Nathan Jones	1.650	11
Max Gawn #	1.575	12
Bayley Fritsch	1.400	13
Jake Melksham	1.400	13
Sam Weideman	1.300	15
Oscar McDonald	1.225	16
Kysaiah Pickett	1.000	17
Mitchell Hannan	0.850	18
Jack Viney	0.850	19
Luke Jackson #	0.800	20
Jay Lockhart	0.600	21
Tom McDonald	0.600	21
Team Score	38.000
Top 6	16.500
Bottom 6	4.700

# Hit outs to advantage not accounted for

Stats courtest of footywire.com

 

Edited July 31, 2020 by Rusty Nails

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

Weighted Average Scores at the end of Rnd 9, 2020

Wouldn't take much notice of Sparrow's result.  Obviously only one match played this season and comparing it to only two matches last season.  Pretty dodgy base.

Player	2020 Weighted Score	2020 Rank	2019 Weighted Score	% Change vs 2019	2019 Rank	Change in Rank vs 2019
Christian Petracca	3.644	1	2.616	39.30	10	9
Clayton Oliver	3.425	2	4.643	-26.23	1	-1
Max Gawn #	3.144	3	3.256	-3.44	4	1
Jack Viney	2.781	4	3.068	-9.35	5	1
Steven May	2.497	5	2.446	2.09	14	9
Christian Salem	2.482	6	3.448	-28.02	3	-3
Ed Langdon	2.388	7	-	-	-	-
Alex N-Bullen	2.338	8	1.984	17.82	21	13
Michael Hibberd	2.250	9	2.124	5.93	20	11
James Harmes	2.088	10	3.850	-45.77	2	-8
Angus Brayshaw	2.009	11	2.894	-30.58	6	-5
Tom Sparrow *	2.000	12	1.075	86.05	37	25
Jake Lever	1.938	13	2.313	-16.21	17	4
Nathan Jones	1.917	14	2.711	-29.29	8	-6
Harley Bennell	1.875	15	-	-	-	-
Oscar McDonald	1.825	16	1.877	-2.77	26	10
Aaron Vandenburg	1.819	17	-	-	-	-
Jay Lockhart	1.618	18	1.660	-2.53	31	13
Adam Tomlinson #	1.613	19	-	-	-	-
Mitchell Hannan	1.575	20	1.325	18.87	36	16
Tom McDonald #	1.430	21	2.150	-33.49	19	-2
Bayley Fritsch	1.416	22	2.641	-46.38	9	-13
Sam Weideman	1.388	23	1.818	-23.65	23	0
Neville Jetta	1.305	24	2.264	-42.36	18	-6
Joel Smith	1.158	25	-	-	-	-
Toby Bedford *	1.150	26	-	-	-	-
Jake Melksham	1.150	26	1.931	-40.45	23	-3
Kysaiah Pickett	1.068	28	-	-	-	-
Luke Jackson	1.038	29	-	-	-	-
Trent Rivers	1.033	30	-	-	-	-
Jayden Hunt	0.858	31	1.958	-56.18	22	-9
Mitchell Brown *	0.625	32	-	-	-	-
Charlie Spargo *	-0.250	33	1.375	-118.18	23	-10
Average Team Score -Top 22	48.072		59.623	-19.37

# Hit outs to advantage not accounted for

* Only one match...not an average

[Fanatique Demon 2,656]

Thanks, Mr Nails.

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

Road to Finals / GF - Triple Crown Update (to Rnd 9, 2020)

Vs the Power

• Meters Gained Differential (looking for + 200 or more) ? -638 ❌
• Marks inside 50 Differential (any positive is a win but the higher the better) ? -4 ❌
• Contested Possession Differential (looking for a +10 or greater) ? -12 ❌

Season Averages (the one that counts)

• Meters Gained Average Differential (looking for an average of + 200 or more) ? -14.5 ❌

From +74.6 last week to this.  The top five with current ladder positions in parenthesis below.  It is worth noting that only the top four clubs have a +200 (or greater) average here.  That's one more club than last week being the Lions.

           1. Power (1st)  2. Tigers (5th)  3. Cats (6th)  4. Lions (2nd)  5. Saints (3rd)

• Marks inside 50 Average Differential (ideally we need to see a top 6 ranking) ? 5th ✔️

Down one place from last week with a +1 average differential but still in the top 6.

The top 5... 1. Lions  2. Power  3. Pies  4. Tigers  5. Demons

• Contested Possession Average Differential (looking for +10 or more) ?  +8 ❌

Dropping two places to No.4 from last week and now below the required pass rate.

The top 5:   1. Kangas  2. Pies  3. Cats  4. Demons  5. Lions

Edited August 3, 2020 by Rusty Nails

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

Rnd 10, 2020 Adelaide Oval - Crows vs Demons

A nice finish over the League's lowest ranked team.  A win is a win but important not to get ahead of ourselves.  The adjusted team score is still approx 1% off the team's 2019 average and 12% lower than 2018.  This team still hasn't 'clicked' as a team as such IMHO bar for one very decent 'team' game against the Hawks, where we had Langdon, May, Clarry, Viney, Big M & Tracc all firing together at somewhere near their best. .  IF that happens then we might finally see take off.  Imagine if we add a very solid game last night from say Tracc and Harmes also lifts to somewhere near his 2019 best. 

Quite the game by Clarry.  Technically the highest rated statistical output of any player this season, bettering Tracc's 5.675 against the Hawks in Rnd 7 and Viney's 5.625 in Rnd 1 against the Eagles.  However there was also Max's stellar game against the Blues in Rnd 2, where he scored an incredible 5.325 (for a ruckman that's off the charts) and that figure does not include his hit outs to advantage.  If we add approx 0.70 for that attribute (stab in the dark guess at it's worth) this pushes Maxy's game to potentially being the best for the year so far (statistically).

Although this was a great result for Clarry, he has bettered this score on multiple occasions since i've been keeping these tables from 2018, with his best result so far (funnily enough also against the Crows in Rnd 11, 2019) a massive score of 7.35  Yes, Clarry does rack up a fair amount of "junk time" stats as they are often referred to so need to be careful how much we read into them.  However, a (massive) score of 7 has only been reached/exceeded on three other occasions since season 2018...by only one player, Mr C Oliver!

A lovely game by Jackson, finally finding his feet in his 5th match and a 73% improvement on his season average of 1.038.  Let's look at some of those numbers a little.  6 Effectives @ 75% (AFL average approx 73%), 2 contested marks (1 of those inside 50), 3 inside 50s, 5 score involvements, 1 tackle inside 50, 2 goals AND 14 hitouts (i don't have 'to advantage' numbers).  Very noice indeed from the young fella.

Sparrow following up last week's handy result of 2.000 with a 2.025  Not bad at all from the young mid.

Not the greatest returns from ANB and AVB here.

Player	Score	Rank
Clayton Oliver	5.925	1
Jack Viney	4.325	2
Christian Petracca	4.175	3
Steven May	2.950	4
Bayley Fritsch	2.850	5
Jake Lever	2.450	6
Angus Brayshaw	2.325	7
Max Gawn #	2.200	8
Christian Salem	2.150	9
Tom Sparrow	2.025	10
Jay Lockhart	1.925	11
Ed Langdon	1.900	12
James Harmes	1.850	13
Luke Jackson #	1.800	14
Sam Weideman	1.700	15
Harley Bennell	1.450	16
Nathan Jones	1.300	17
Adam Tomlinson	1.200	18
Michael Hibberd	1.050	19
Jake Melksham	0.950	20
Alex N-Bullen	0.375	21
Aaron Vandenberg	0.300	22
Team Score	47.175
Top 6	22.675
Bottom 6	5.175

# Hit outs to advantage not captured

Stats courtesy of footywire.com

Edited August 6, 2020 by Rusty Nails

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

Weighted Average Scores - Rnd 8 through Rnd 10, 2020

Still 8% off our 2019 average team score in the last three rounds.  Tracc in rocket mode vs 2019 & Clarry a fair way ahead of 2019 also once the 20% reduction in time factor is added back.  Same with Viney.  Lever also on the rise.  Maxy a little off his best, injury no doubt taking it's toll in this block of matches.  Some established senior names really struggling down low.  Some not making the cut for round 10.

 

Player	Rounds 8 to 10 Weighted Score	2020 Rank	2019 Weighted Score	% Change vs 2019	2019 Rank	Change in Rank vs 2019
Clayton Oliver (3)	4.442	1	4.643	-4.33	1	0
Christian Petracca (3)	3.817	2	2.616	45.91	10	8
Jack Viney (3)	2.833	3	3.068	-7.66	5	2
Christian Salem (3)	2.725	4	3.448	-20.97	3	-1
Steven May (3)	2.708	5	2.446	10.71	14	9
Ed Langdon (3)	2.200	6	-	-	-	-
Jake Lever (3)	2.167	7	2.313	-6.31	17	10
Max Gawn (3) #	2.083	8	3.256	-36.03	4	-4
Angus Brayshaw (3)	2.083	8	2.894	-28.02	6	-2
Tom Sparrow (2)	2.013	10	1.075	87.26	37	27
Michael Hibberd (3)	2.000	11	2.124	-5.84	20	9
Bayley Fritsch (3)	1.933	12	2.641	-26.81	9	-3
James Harmes (3)	1.633	13	3.850	-57.58	2	-11
Harley Bennell (2)	1.425	14	-	-	-	-
Luke Jackson (3) #	1.350	15	-	-	-	-
Jake Melksham (3)	1.250	16	1.931	-35.27	23	7
Jay Lockhart (3)	1.233	17	1.660	-25.72	31	14
Sam Weideman (3)	1.208	18	1.818	-33.55	23	5
Adam Tomlinson (1)	1.200	19	-	-	-	-
Nathan Jones (3)	0.983	20	2.711	-63.74	8	-12
Kysaiah Pickett (2)	0.775	21	-	-	-	-
Oscar McDonald (2)	0.688	22	1.877	-63.35	26	4
Tom McDonald # (1)	0.600	23	2.150	-72.09	19	-4
Mitchell Hannan (2)	0.538	24	1.325	-59.40	36	12
Alex N-Bullen (1)	0.375	25	1.984	-81.10	21	-4
Aaron Vandenburg (1)	0.300	26	-	-	-	-
Neville Jetta (1)	0.250	27	2.264	-88.96	18	-9
Average Team Score -Top 22	42.749		59.623	-28.30

# Hit outs to advantage not captured

Numbers in parentheses = number of games played for this data set

Stats courtesy of footywire.com

Edited August 6, 2020 by Rusty Nails

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

Weighted Averages up to and including Rnd 10, 2020

A very rare tie and there's two of them.  Can't split top of the table Clarry and Tracc.  Hannan and Fritsch also.  Given the variability of the inputs and 10 weeks of data that is nothing short of incredible.

Possibly an omen!??    ..."ummm .... yeh nah"

Player	2020 Weighted Score	2020 Rank	2019 Weighted Score	% Change vs 2019	2019 Rank	Change in Rank vs 2019
Christian Petracca	3.703	1	2.616	41.55	10	9
Clayton Oliver	3.703	1	4.643	-20.25	1	0
Max Gawn #	3.039	3	3.256	-6.66	4	1
Jack Viney	2.953	4	3.068	-3.75	5	1
Steven May	2.547	5	2.446	4.13	14	9
Christian Salem	2.441	6	3.448	-29.21	3	-3
Ed Langdon	2.333	7	-	-	-	-
Michael Hibberd	2.100	8	2.124	-1.13	20	12
James Harmes	2.061	9	3.850	-46.47	2	-7
Angus Brayshaw	2.044	10	2.894	-29.37	6	-4
Tom Sparrow	2.013	11	1.075	87.26	37	26
Jake Lever	1.994	12	2.313	-13.79	17	5
Oscar McDonald	1.825	13	1.877	-2.77	26	13
Harley Bennell	1.790	14	-	-	-	-
Nathan Jones	1.763	15	2.711	-34.97	8	-7
Alex N-Bullen	1.683	16	1.984	-15.17	21	5
Jay Lockhart	1.656	17	1.660	-0.24	31	14
Mitchell Hannan	1.575	18	1.325	18.87	36	18
Bayley Fritsch	1.575	18	2.641	-40.36	9	-9
Adam Tomlinson #	1.530	20	-	-	-	-
Aaron Vandenburg	1.515	21	-	-	-	-
Sam Weideman	1.450	22	1.818	-20.24	23	1
Tom McDonald #	1.430	23	2.150	-33.49	19	-4
Neville Jetta	1.305	24	2.264	-42.36	18	-6
Luke Jackson #	1.190	25	-	-	-	-
Joel Smith	1.158	26	-	-	-	-
Toby Bedford *	1.150	27	-	-	-	-
Jake Melksham	1.128	28	1.931	-41.58	23	-5
Kysaiah Pickett	1.068	29	-	-	-	-
Trent Rivers	1.033	30	-	-	-	-
Jayden Hunt	0.858	31	1.958	-56.18	22	-9
Mitchell Brown *	0.625	32	-	-	-	-
Charlie Spargo *	-0.250	33	1.375	-118.18	23	-10
Average Team Score -Top 22	47.293		59.623	-20.68

# Hit outs to advantage not accounted for

* Only one match...not an average score

Edited August 7, 2020 by Rusty Nails

[Demon Dynasty 17,109]

Road to Finals / GF - Triple Crown Update (to Rnd 10, 2020)

Vs the Crows

• Meters Gained Differential (looking for + 200 or more) ? +859 ✔️
• Marks inside 50 Differential (any positive is a win but the higher the better) ? +6 ✔️
• Contested Possession Differential (looking for a +10 or greater) ? +25 ✔️

Season Averages (the one that counts)

• Meters Gained Average Differential (looking for an average of + 200 or more) ? +82.5 ❌

Substantial improvement on -14.5 last week.  The top five with current ladder positions in parenthesis below.  It is worth noting that only the top three clubs have a +200 (or greater) average here.  That's one less club than last week with the Lions dropping out of contention.  We are presently lying 6th.

           1. Power 414 (1st)  2. Tigers 337 (3rd)  3. Cats 229 (5th)  4. Saints 167 (2nd)  5. Lions 106 (4th)

• Marks inside 50 Average Differential (ideally we need to see a top 6 ranking) ? 3rd ✔️

Up two places from last week with a +1.6 average differential, equal 3rd with the Cats and the Tiges.

The top 5... 1. Lions  2. Power  3. Cats  3. Demons  3. Tigers

• Contested Possession Average Differential (looking for +10 or more) ?  +9.2 ❌

Moving up one place to No.3 from last week and just a smidgen below the required pass rate.  Super close but no cigar just yet.

The top 5:   1. Pies  2. Cats  3. Demons  4. Kangas  5. Lions

Edited August 8, 2020 by Rusty Nails