Win-Loss ratio ...turning at the bye

[Diamond_Jim 12,687]

Just wondering what some would accept as a passable win loss ratio as the competition turns for the bye round.

I have the figure at 7-4 but one could argue that on form we should be 8-3 with the Bombers game being the questionable one. Of course the world is an uncertain place but in reality our first half of the season is a soft draw by comparison to the second half (particularly four of the last five games). No room for second half of season fade outs etc and certainly no room for the... " they are young and tired" line. Goodwin and his team are paid big bucks to manage the team and  he needs to do so in a manner that delivers success. I measure success as the final 8 with one or two finals wins. A premiership requires luck something our club has not had in large measure for over fifty years.

These are the rounds:

1. Cats at MCG (loss)

2. Lions at Gabba (win)

3.Roos at MCG (win)

4.Hawks at MCG (win)

5.Tigers at MCG (loss)

6. Bombers at Docklands (win)?

7.Saints at Docklands (win)

8. Suns at Gabba (win)

9.Crows at Alice Springs (loss)

10. Bulldogs at Docklands (win)

11. Pies at MCG (win)

Edited March 3, 2018 by Diamond_Jim

[loges 6,767]

Can't actually see where we'll lose a game

[Lord Travis 10,793]

Barring a bad run with injuries or a considerable drop off in form, we should be 8-3 heading into the bye.
Last season we had a dream run handed to us to start the season, didn't have to leave the state for months, and we somehow managed to fluff easy games against bottom 4 teams at the MCG. Win those games against bottom 4 teams and we automatically jump into top 4. It should be a given, though you can't trust this team yet.

Our fixture is similar to last year, the first half is an easy run that we should capitalise on. I'll take 7-4 as the pass mark at the bye. Anything less and we'll be up against it, as the second half of our fixture is a lot tougher. The last month and a half has us playing Geelong in Geelong, Swans at MCG, Adelaide in Adelaide, Eagles in Perth and GWS at MCG. With that run home, we'll be testing ourselves against the best and gearing up to finals if the wheels don't fall off again.

[praha 11,253]

We're going to beat Geelong by 10 goals.

[Adam The God 30,602]

9 wins are very possible here. If we've taken even a few steps forward on last year, we'll turn at 8 or 9 wins at the half way mark.

12 weeks doesn't make a season, but I'll be filthy if we start slowly this year. Particularly, off the back of the end to 2017.

[CBDees 3,167]

I think that we will beat the Cats and are an even chance to beat the Crows.  The two games that have me slightly nervous are the Tigers and the Bombers, the latter because it is unknown how their massive recruitment of re-cycled players will transpire!

[Ethan Tremblay 31,243]

I think we’re going to come out absolutely on fire and go into the bye 9-2.  

[pineapple dee 2,892]

5 hours ago, loges said:

Can't actually see where we'll lose a game

Are you channeling Mick Malthouse???

[doc roet 1,302]

a round 3 win will do me!

[deelete my account 1,194]

If we're 9-3 then i guarantee we'll beat Geel, Rich & Adel and lose to Haw, Ess & StK. Pies / Nth losses are too much of a doomsday scenario for a saturday

Edited March 3, 2018 by Doodle Dee

[Diamond_Jim 12,687]

38 minutes ago, Doodle Dee said:

If we're 9-3 then i guarantee we'll beat Geel, Rich & Adel and lose to Haw, Ess & StK. Pies / Nth losses are too much of a doomsday scenario for a saturday

Understand your sentiments DD but I am trying to avoid MFCSS for 2018.

On a  serious note though our destiny will always be shaped by others. For example Richmond last year got a home final in the first week. It could so easily have been an away final against Adelaide or GWS. 

[brendan 3,444]

No idea why but [censored] I’m confident at the moment 11-0 or bust, I look at all those games and think geez we can win all those 

[loges 6,767]

20 hours ago, pineapple dee said:

Are you channeling Mick Malthouse???

It was a little tongue in cheek but really the losses to both Geelong and Richmond last year were greatly affected by injury, we've got to think we're a chance against all sides