Everything posted by Little Goffy
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Round 6 Non MFC games
And all because AFLHQ is still upset about the Swans 'ugly' premiership almost 15 years ago. Hmm, we start hoping that this year's draft has a kid of the quality of Sam Walsh? (Currently the best debut season by anyone ever)
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Round 6 Non MFC games
Not seen in over a century of football until recently. I wonder what it was that was wrong with women that was preventing them umpiring, that has been cured now? ?
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Round 6 Non MFC games
Seems to happen with a lot of things. So long as it is just something that drifts through and happens to be there, yep. But if you actually have to stop and make a conscious, deliberate decision to watch, you'll decide it isn't worth the trouble. Now imagine how many movie reruns you've watched over the decades that you would never have bothered with if you'd actually had to pick them from a menu! At least the football involves real people and a real contest and the storyline is at least a little bit different each time. Meanwhile, not sure what to feel about Carlton giving the Hawks a belting in the first half here. Does this confirm the theory that the Hawks aren't actually that great right now and we've got a chance to hunt them next weekend, or does it just mean (MFCSS warning) that the Hawks will cop a blast during the week and come out firing and disciplined against us?
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Max Gawn we feel your pain
Matsuo, as is screechingly obvious, I was responding to the way people were reacting to the article itself. And for what it is worth, your earlier claims about 'Pendles, Danger etc would not have throughts about finals not being guaranteed' are just ridiculous, even a perfect inversion of reality. I swear, you're coming across as one of those people who are addicted to "Be a Winner" seminars and "Rich Dad Poor Dad" style self-help books. So much anger stirred up in you against what is just basic, normal, and practical humility.
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Max Gawn we feel your pain
People are weird, hey? Quote: "Only actions can get us out of the fix we are in" Response: "Shows how mentally weak you are"
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Round 6 Non MFC games
Lol, come on now, it is not as if the Bulldog's player ran, from behind, clearly after the mark had been taken, directly through the area Scully was anticipating breaking loose into, when there was nobody else on hand to prevent Scully just scooting directly past his much slower opponent.
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Round 6 Non MFC games
Wow! You're not kidding there. First in 2016 and 2017, fourth in 2018 and now practically lapping the field in 2019. Interesting that their free kicks 'for' isn't that far off normal, but there is a consistent pattern of very few free kicks against them. It must just be the super-clean and honourable culture of the club... uh huh. And today's trivia - at this stage only one Bulldogs player features in the top 100* for free kicks against, that would be 19yr old Ed Richards, at equal 74th with 1.4 per game. Meanwhile, all of Macrae, Wallis, Liberatore and Bontempelli feature in the top-30 for free kicks in their favour, and 6 more feature in the top 100. *stats are average per game and don't include tonight's game against Freo.
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Round 6 Non MFC games
For what it is worth, our next two opponents are the two worst clearance teams (on differential) this season, and Gold Coast have just shown how vulnerable they are even from centre clearances. Meanwhile, something to watch for tonight just out of curiousity, Bulldogs have an incredible, as in, not credible, suspicious even, Free kick difference to opponents of 7.2 per game, with only Collingwood having more than 3 (3.7) out of all other teams. If someone can explain to me what is going on there, I'd love to know. It's not as if they are getting first to the contest or laying lots of effective tackles! Meanwhile, what ze ell, I've just been finding a commentary led by BT and I think even featuring Billy Bronwnless, amusing and informative. The world has gone mad. Surely it was just a flash in the pan, they can't keep this up, can they?
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CASEY DEMONS V RICHMOND VFL
Break-out game? But seriously, is that 14 posessions with a bunch of intercept marks and a haul of 1%ers, or are Casey's defenders just chipping back and forward nervously while Richmond block things up between the arcs?
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Round 6 Non MFC games
I've only got the online radio, and even then I can barely watch.
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Trade Petracca?
Actually, he is at present having his worst season for us, so this is actually as bad as it gets! He also, for what it is worth, is managing to average a goal assist per game, which is elite level especially when considering our overall scoring dysfunction. Between his goal assists and his goals, he's had a direct hand in close to 20% of our scoring this season. If you piece together the statistical picture of goals, goal assists, score involvements, contested marks, tackles inside 50 and marks inside 50, Petracca is second only to Melksham as our most effective forward. And our forward line is basically those two and fresh (perhaps foul) air. He is also playing close to 90% game time, a level normally only reserved for stay-at-home key defenders, so maybe he looks a bit slow at times because he is picking up slack while a bunch of kids and most of our midfield is getting a full 15 minutes extra rest each game? The more I dig, the more I feel that for all his highly visible fumbles and moments of apparent lethargy, he is actually playing a really important roel and is far from being a liability. In the time it took me to look things up properly since starting this reply, I've shifted my opinion. CHRISTIAN PETRACCA IS ACTUALLY AMONG OUR BEST PLAYERS THIS SEASON HE IS BEING HUNG OUT TO DRY BECAUSE HE HAPPENS TO BE HIGHLY VISIBLE STUCK IN THE MIDDLE OF THE WASTELAND CAUSED BY OTHER'S IMPLODING AROUND HIM That's right, bold and caps lock. I'm on the warpath. Lay off Petracca, he is being a trooper out there, wading through swamps that others wont go near for fear of being picked out for criticism in exactly the way we are currently picking out Petracca.
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Trade Petracca?
More sensible than the trade Brayshaw rumblings a couple of seasons ago, but I don't see us getting value in any given trade, and I still see the prospect of a match-winner. He could be our more brutish (but less mouthy) version of Akermanis, all things going well, and that's not something you toss away for at best a mid first round pick.
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Making the finals
Alright, here we go, here's how it would, could, might, in theory happen - Hawks aren't actually that good, they haven't beaten anyone impressive. The four days off trick will work and we will come in with a calmer mind and better focused on what needs to be done. Disposal efficiency climbs, workrate at least reaches adequate. Win number 2 goes on the board. We're 2-5 after 7 rounds. Suns just barely scraped their three wins against highly variable opposition and have had a bit of luck. They were exposed by an Adelaide side that still isn't really hitting great heights of their own. Their confidence will be down after being belted in Perth by an angry Eagles side. We go 3-5, and start to believe. I wont make any pretences about our chances against the Eagles at this stage. 3-6 after nine rounds and we are still right on the edge of season over. But just maybe we turn up with some fight and at least show we're still a meaningful team - part of the healing, redeption process. The Giants are still up and down and massively rely on a few stars to make them potent. Simon Goodwin pulls his first ever genius positional move and somehow matches the right players to lock down on Coniglio and Whitfield. Demons finally rediscover their forward connection and just barely come through in a low-margin shootout game for the ages. We are 4-6 and starting to believe. Round 11, we return to the Northern Territory to hunt Crows, and just like last season this is the game where things really turn. Just like last season, Adelaide wilts under the weight of lost contests and clearances. Not like last season's hammering, but an important win. We are 5-6 and looking like a menace. Queens Birthday at the MCG. We've begun to get some players back from injury, even if not stars, May, Smith, Vandenberg and Hannan have all been trickling back into the team and giving us a deeper team capable of holding their end up while the stars do their thing. Headlines start reading "Where were these Demons at the start of the year" and players respond with "we will never be caught napping in pre-season again". Incredibly, we are 6-6 at the halfway point of the season. With Lever coming back after the long break and the team finding a new solidarity and commitment, and the coaches having learnt a valuable lesson in flexibility and tactical initiative, the pieces come together and the Demons are now a team to take seriously for the second half of the season. Before you know it, we've knock over four quick wins against the unreliable Dockers, tiring Lions and Blues, and ever-stumbling Bulldogs. We are 10-6 and now the ONLY team in the competition that has managed a consistent run of wins. Suddenly, it is possible to speculate about our chances against in the Eagles, back up in the NT. It is like a whole new reality has dawned in ten weeks. So, there it is, each small delusion builds into the next. Each one only a moderate madness in itself, but when you get to the end you look back and go... naaaah, that is just total, absolute madness. If it happens, I expect not only to be given an award for my prediction, but to actually be given credit for the whole thing happening and installed as an assistant coach responsible for miracles.
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Round 6 Non MFC games
Well, in this month's edition of Ben Cunnington is a sniping *****, we have some kind of Marvel-inspired dance-attack elbow to the face of Brad Ebert. So... nearest the pin guesses what excuse the tribunal will find to downgrade it to a fine, or will he maybe even get a whole week this time?
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Won't someone think of the children? (seriously)
Falling is both faster and more alarming than climbing! Hmm, to be fair, I'm not sure how it compares to sitting at the bottom being gnawed at by rats that are in better shape than you are, which is roughly the 2013 experience as I recall it. Anyway, we do actually have a core of A-grade players, who have even managed to hold form during the slump. Surely the thing for kids is to focus on those great, hopefully charismatic players, to get through the rough times. Hell, for a few years there Matthew Richardson kept Richmond fans going just by the personal bond of knowning, even seeing, that he shared the pain and frustration. Even if it did slightly diminish him as a footballer!
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Four days off
It might not make a difference for every player currently out of form, but if it makes a difference for even one in three, while not doing any harm to the others, then it would be well worth it. Just by the odds it should come in handy, when you consider just how many players are well, well down on 2018 typical form, and that we have, as far as I can see, no players who have improved significantly on 2018. Meanwhile, players who are yet to even have a single game to the standard that was their average for 2018 include: Hibberd, McDonald, McDonald, Spargo, Lewis. And the list of other strugglers includes: Viney, Jones, Frost, Nibbler, Weideman, Petracca, Spargo, Fritsch, and even Jetta. Add it up, that's 14 players who were in or on the edge of our starting 22 most of last season, who are all well off form. Add in half a dozen injuries to the best 22, you've actually only got five players who have sustained respectable form into the new season: Gawn, Melksham, Brayshaw, Oliver and Salem Long story short, anything that might turn around the form of the 14, without risking that of the 5, is worth a try. And I'm quite happy to think short term right now because for me it is still all about clinging on with our nails until we get about a third of our best-22 back mid-season. I know it is fantasy, but beat the Hawks then beat Gold Coast...
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Get Adem Yze back to the Dees.
From an ancient (2014) article at Hawthorn " Yze played a key role in harnessing the Hawthorn players' elite kicking skills as they developed into the AFL's deadliest team in front of goal over the past two seasons. Since 2010, the team's accuracy has soared from 48 per cent to 57.1 per cent. " Of course, that could just be because Buddy left at the end of 2013 Ooh, actually, I stand corrected, even Franklin had dramatically improved his accuracy by the time he left. Oh, we've just got to get Yze in.
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Dusty Martin’s assault on Hibberd
I didn't see footage as I only had radio to work from, but the commentators there expressed a moment of 'ooof that looks nasty' about the throw, followed by a fair bit of chatter about the 'bad look' and 'leader shouldn't be doing that' of the repeated shoving and elbow. So, something happened and it raised some eyebrows, but that's all I can add.
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The 2019 Draft and Trade Targets Thread
A shame Alex Sexton signed up with Gold Coast, he'd be handy about now. Alright, others have already noted just how perfectly some of the big fish would suit us, like Coniglio and Tomlinson, so I'll see what might be in the bargain basement bin, since we'll probably have quite a few list spots to fill anyway... Nope. On further thought, I don't think we'll do much good with the bargain basement free agents at all. We need weapons, sharp slashing shiny blades, and I just can't see where they are available at the moment because even the 'just pretty good' ones are proving so useful as the cream on top of the well-organised cakes of the successful clubs, nobody wants to toss them out. Only thing to give hope is that these players rarely go right at the start of the draft so we can at least make a run at finding a few dangerous diamonds in the rough mid-to-late draft.
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What to do with Nathan Jones
Zero point trying to 'extend his career' by playing him in the less bash-and-crash roles, if the result is his career dribbles away ignominiously. Best option I can see is to throw him in the guts so he can do what he has always done, dig on in. We can't rely on always winning clearances and Jones at least has always been able to pile on and limit how often and how cleanly clearances break against us. He is a losing sides favourite onballer, so to speak. No, he wont do it to the kind of elite standard we like to see from Oliver and Brayshaw or an in-form Viney, but he will work hard at it and I think the simplicity and familiarity of the task will help him. In a way, oddly, it is a bit like giving simple instructions to young nervous players. In effect, he become the 'Preuss supporting Gawn' act of the inside mids. There to take his share of the hammering, and be competent and a factor the oposition has to plan for, but he is not the weapon. He's part of the armor. If we want to extend his career, we accept that he'll need to be rested a few times a season. But you've always got to try to put people in the positions they are most effective at, and our young mids are mostly a bit more flexible in their role than Jones.
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Goody Presser, nearest the pin
Well, we've got Hawks (1-1) Suns (2-0) Eagles (1-1) Giants (1-0) and Crows (2-0) coming up, so I guess realistically we should expect to be 5 wins 6 losses at the halfway mark of the season. Sounds good to me. Then we get all our injured players back and stomp home to sneak into the top 4 with 9 wins from the remaining 12 rounds, helped by the even ladder. Remember, we're still only two wins out of the 8, and three out of the top 4! Woo hoo!
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Goody Presser, nearest the pin
Am I too late to play, I swear I haven't seen any pressers yet. 1. Proud that we were able to play something like 'the Melbourne way' in the first quarter. 2. Proud that we showed a defensive edge and didn't leak goals under pressure in the second. 3. Disappointed that late in the game our concentration lapsed, which resulted in a scoreline that I thought we did better than. 4. We have something to work with and will go into next weeks game against Hawthorn with a much clearer view of what still needs to be worked on. 5. No, the season is not over for us, we have a great opportunity to play 'the Melbourne way' next week against quality opposition, and really set ourselves up for a return to form. I think our supporters can begin to believe that we are beginning to begin to turn the beginning of a corner.
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If we beat Richmond I will?
Will hold on tight for the white-knuckle ride to see if we can claw together enough wins to still be relevant by mid-season, by which time we'll have Smith, Lever, Vandenberg, Hannan and hopefully May all back. 5 players I'd all want in right now purely on type and role, all of whom would be directly replacing a serious underperformer. Makes the second half of this season a whole different proposition. OR If we beat the Tigers tonight, I'd have to believe that we could beat the Hawks next week and the Suns the week after. And then we'd be 4-4 after round 8 and anything is possible again. Aye, the delusions are back, doctor.
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Jack Petruccelle
I liked Petruccelle and like several Demonlanders was keen on grabbing him in that draft. My obsession at the time being, like most people, that we lacked speed, but also had and still have a running theme of 'we lack really dangerous players'. But having said that, the kid has all of five games to his name and that has included one really good game one the weekend, but still only one. Spargo's form was always very 'kid-like' last year and has fallen off a cliff to start this year, but he is not a write-off. Fritsch on the other hand is probably the highest-performed player of any that were available at pick 31, and remains so despite his weaker start to 2019. So, as much as Petruccelle is someone it would be great to have, I don't think it is useful to make 'if only' comparisons.
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2020 starts now ?
Nothing has become clearer than that our gameplan relied on having the greatest midfield dominance in the history of all time. A real Brisbane Fab-Four and West Coast mid-2000s style continuous control of clearances and scraps. And when our group of excellent young mids are all in form, with the game's best ruckman stomping around as well, that goes alright. But how can you rely all day, each week, on a gameplan that relies on not actually needing to defend much because you are always winning the ball? We could win 2-to-1 in the clearances, but if the other side actually works in their defense, it wont add up to much if we aren't working on ours.