The Jackson FIX

I want to know who is leaking Kozzy’s texts to a journo… if it is Kozzy/manager I am worried. If it is his mates/relatives then I am less worried.

Max AA ruckman at about $7 is the one I like the look of… they’ve written the big fella off!

It still doesn’t materially shape the odds. If bookmakers set the market poorly off the back of small fan-bets then they are exposed. There are bet backs from other corporates that can happen, peer to peer traders (eg betfair) who would prey on markets like this if meaningfully influenced by emotional punters etc. For a market like this they would have a specialist football trader who sets the market and then adjusts as money comes in but they’re only adjusting in scenarios where a material downside presents.

Port & Syd ooof

This is just not true. It can have some influence but the $5 & $10 bets that most supporters put on their own team are just a drop in the ocean compared to the money that the big guys stake.

Trapper stiffer than a two-day-dead possum to be overlooked for this fake side.

Howe can sit in the bin.

Roo using poor old TMac as a step ladder again 🤣

Apparently bad case of pneumonia over Christmas break and still recovering with family in Perth. But back soon.

He’s the voice for the ALFPA - his views are reflective of their self interest (arguing against longer pre-seasons another recent example).

Praying Reid never leaves West coast solely because I don’t think myself or this world is ready for the level of smug pollution from Sam Maclure re-inserting himself into the Harley Reid narrative

He might be happy there but not out of the realms of possibility that Freo just can’t get close to what he wants, particular given this recruiting spree they are on.

Hypothetical: Andrew Brayshaw (out of contract end of this year) wants to return to Vic - would we take a direct swap for Kossie? My assumption is Freo get band 1 comp for Brayshaw if he left which is probably around pick 10-15. (I think this is an unlikely fwiw)

My hope lies in the mystery of what we don’t hear

Yeah I much prefer reading these sort of articles after we’ve won a flag, not before round 1!

Whilst nice that iPad-Dave is saying some nicer things about us for a change, never forget that his assessment of Collingwood after witnessing 1 x pre-season training session last year was “I can’t see any other side getting near them this year”… They missed the finals.

Upside is we get a pensioner discount

Thanks for the updates all. A new bull in Langford to look forward to - very exciting

Could be our Lynch. Our best chance of nabbing him is a top 4 finish, Petracca endorsing the club as a changed place come year end, Oliver back to his 2021 ways and the forward line showing improvement but still with an Oscar-sized gap to fill. Go do it Dees.

If you are looking for top 5 picks in the short term then you’ll probably be disappointed. We pioneered future-pick trading some years back and I have some faith Tim and gang will be working through how we can be the first to master further-into-the-future pick trading (with Freo to be our first victim).

You’d be hard-pressed to find an opposition supporter with any knowledge of football that wouldn’t love to have him in their side.

But they will if future pick trading expands.

Recency effect. Just like Hawthorn being touted as flag fancies (currently 2nd in premiership betting). Seasons rarely pan out like general public opinion expects them to pan out.

Different circumstances. Both happened with limited notice and the buyers either didn’t have the collateral (Coll/Carl with Trac) or were solely aiming to buy on the cheap (Geel with Clarry). There is now a 12 month runway with Kossie and the extension of future pick trading should make both of the above scenarios unlikely.

If he pushes it, they’ll figure out a trade.