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9 minutes ago, binman said:

This is a good example of the point I was making in another thread about the usefulness of stats on terms of helping understand the game is dependent on the quality of the analysis and the importance of using mutiple data points not a single stat.

You are right to note that there is a strong correlation between distance of kick outs and our drop-off in the last few years.

I saw that in a later post you discuss the distinction between correlation and causation, which is an important distinction as too often the media and fans conflate the two.

So for example, in this instance some might conclude the cause of our drop off in form has been kicking long to Maxy less often.

When in reality that stat is an indicator, a symptom, of the change to our method from a territory team to a transition team.

There are any number of stats that evidence that change, and that could be analysed in conjunction, for example with the change to our kick outs data, to drill down on the reasons for our poor win loss ratio in the last two seasons.

Two such, interrelated, stats are the big numbers we are giving up on turnover and our points against.

Taken together with the changes to our kick outs the stats are indicators of the change to our method.

And they also point to the opportunities for improvement - turn the ball over less (eg by increasing the number of above average kicks, the method becoming instinctive, get fitter etc etc) and when we do turn it over defend turnover more effectively (eg bringing in key defenders with good acceleration, the sytem becoming instinctive, stable back 7 etc etc).

Another way stats can be useful are to help evidence anecdotal observations, and understand what factors might be involved.

For example, I've said heaps this season that Maxy's contested marking has gone to another level. I'm not actually sure if that is reflected in the data (ie Maxy's CM numbers have increased) but anecdotally that's my vibe.

I've wondered if a factor has been the anecdotal evidence that we are kicking long to Maxy less often, including from kick outs.

My theory is where previously Maxy was often competing for a mark in huge packs, which obviously decreases the chances of marking, when we kick to hom he is more often one on one now or when the oppo kicks to him.he is often pushing back in defence and competing in packs that aren't set and/or don't have many players involved.

The kick out stats wheelo posted support my hypothesis (and yes, there is a risk of finding data that supports a hypothesis and/or reinforces a confirmation bias).

Yep, a lot of vague stats remind me of "a little knowledge is dangerous". In general more marks or more inside 50s leads to more wins. But we've all seen in recent times how counterproductive rushing kicks inside 50 have been. It would be fascinating if - if - someone had been at our every game for the last five years and they recorded our set-up at every kick in. It may well be (alongside what you said about Gawn) that less of our players are finding space outside the arc leaving the full back only someone still close to the opposition goal as the last resort to resume play. Of course it could be poor tactical positioning or too many slow or less fit players but, yeah, if we improve next year, we'll probably have more success with the kickouts.

Edited by Go Ds

 
14 hours ago, Tarax Club said:

Neil that's got me scratching my cranium. From the clues provided Young Will Verrall? Time at the weights has increased his strength at the contest. He can hold his ground, ruck craft has come on nicely too. Needs to develop his game around the ground though. Add more strings for his bow. Otherwise Oliver Sestan? Plently of praise for his return game yesterday.

If a picture is worth a thousand words? Luker Kentfield has some smoke about him. Great physique, given some terrific cameo performances at VFL level. Has some inner steel about him. Where there's smoke there's fire. Going to enjoy Casey's finals campaign. Bring on '26.

Seaton, TC. Been pushing for him all year, and just when in serious contention he got injured.

 
On 31/08/2025 at 09:05, DeeZone said:

It really is a great watch, scrappy in parts but our youngsters and Casey boys played some impressive football YesitwasaWin4tgeAges.

Absolutely belted them, how about young ooooozzzzzeee!

Long may it continue.

👏👏👏👏🇱🇮🏆🥇

I just managed to see Noah Yze's goal clips on you tube.

Seven straight - is there any precedent for a rookie draftee becoming a senior goal kicking coach?? 🤔 His set shot kicking is just so smooth (although he does have the habit, so widely pilloried when it is Max or Tracc, of spinning the ball before his final lining up and executing).


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