Looking ahead ... the Path to September

[Diamond_Jim 12,526]

after the last few weeks I am not so worried about beating the Pies but I am worried about the team finding some across the board form.

I have no desire just to make finals. Want to win two at least if not the magical 4.

[What 18,810]

I just realised that if we win,  and if the Saints beat the TIgers, we will play RIchmond in the Elimination FInal.

Come on Saints, do it for Nick Riewoldt!  

[deelete my account 1,194]

5 hours ago, kurtneverdied said:

Roughly a 40 point difference in % to WC

A little concerning that their game is on Sunday, after Adel find out whether they have the minor premiership wrapped up.

Edited August 20, 2017 by Wrecked Owl Dees Function

[MT64 1,144]

9 hours ago, layzie said:

Well there is that deal in place still isn't there?

No. I believe the AFL would not renew it.

[layzie 33,740]

2 hours ago, MT64 said:

No. I believe the AFL would not renew it.

Evidently that is correct. Home finals at the SCG

[Straight Sets Simon 23,113]

If we lose 70 to 100 to Collingwood then our percentage drops to 104.5%.

If West Coast beat Adelaide 100 to 70 then their percentage rises to 105.8%.

If we held on to our 32 point lead against Brisbane when we were 92 to 60, then our percentage would now be 107.5% and West Coast would need to beat Adelaide by about 65 points (assuming that Adelaide score at least 70 points).

 

[kurtneverdied 238]

$1.02 with Sportsbet to make the 8. Surely we can't miss..

[GCDee 3,199]

15 hours ago, Mr Steve said:

Wrong. Its a lot closer then you think. they don't have to make up 8 9% if we drop 4 % they only need to win by 40 point. Granted it most likely won't happen . 

Mate, it literally needs to be a 160 point swing for the dogs to get us in % 

So yes if we lose by 90 and they win by 70 that gets them there they don't need to win by 160 alone. 

Will not happen. WCE are the only ones who can get us and that would need to be about a 45 point swing. 

[Straight Sets Simon 23,113]

1 hour ago, Clint Bizkit said:

If we lose 70 to 100 to Collingwood then our percentage drops to 104.5%.

If West Coast beat Adelaide 100 to 70 then their percentage rises to 105.8%.

If we held on to our 32 point lead against Brisbane when we were 92 to 60, then our percentage would now be 107.5% and West Coast would need to beat Adelaide by about 65 points (assuming that Adelaide score at least 70 points).

 

If we lose 80 to 100 to Collingwood then our percentage drops to 105.0%.

If West Coast beat Adelaide 100 to 80 then their percentage rises to 105.2%.

Edited August 21, 2017 by Clint Bizkit

[The Chazz 4,077]

38 minutes ago, kurtneverdied said:

$1.02 with Sportsbet to make the 8. Surely we can't miss..

I will be investing heavily on West Coast making the finals.  Happy to drop a couple of hundred if it turns out I lose my money.  On the flip side, a return of around $1500 ($250 on WC at $6) would soften the hurt that I would be feeling from missing out on a finals spot.

For the punters - you're welcome.

[kurtneverdied 238]

2 minutes ago, The Chazz said:

I will be investing heavily on West Coast making the finals.  Happy to drop a couple of hundred if it turns out I lose my money.  On the flip side, a return of around $1500 ($250 on WC at $6) would soften the hurt that I would be feeling from missing out on a finals spot.

For the punters - you're welcome.

Haha! A way of not losing but not quite winning either. Safe.

[The Chazz 4,077]

2 minutes ago, kurtneverdied said:

Haha! A way of not losing but not quite winning either. Safe.

Just ask yourself, how much are you willing to pay to see Melbourne play finals?

[KysaiahMessiah 725]

1 hour ago, kurtneverdied said:

$1.02 with Sportsbet to make the 8. Surely we can't miss..

$11 to miss, seems very generous

[kurtneverdied 238]

3 minutes ago, Travis16 said:

$11 to miss, seems very generous

Chuck $50 on WC and should be able to buy plenty of "stuff" to help get over missing finals.
Do it with others not alone in a greenhouse. I nearly stuffed up once. Thank god Courtney covered it for me.

Edited August 21, 2017 by kurtneverdied

[Jaded No More 68,855]

West Coast are crap. Adelaide will beat them easily. 

Sydney and Port will also win their games. 

What we need is for Saints to get up for Nick's last game so Tigers finish 6th then we must win and we get to play Tigers at the MCG. 

I need everyone to barrack for Saint Kilda. This is of vital importance!

[Jaded No More 68,855]

Playing Sydney is the worst possible outcome. I reckon they will win the flag or at least make the GF. They will destroy us. 

Port in Adelaide are a possibility. 

But first and foremost we must win on Saturday. Finals for the first time in 11 years. What an achievement that would be!

[layzie 33,740]

8 hours ago, Petraccattack said:

I just realised that if we win,  and if the Saints beat the TIgers, we will play RIchmond in the Elimination FInal.

Come on Saints, do it for Nick Riewoldt!  

That's it my friend. Will be crossing everything I have. Would like to know if many retirees at his level have starred in their last game.

[Ash35 425]

Does everyone on here that wants to play Richmond first week of the finals do so because it means you can go to the game, or because you think Richmond is the most "beatable" side of all the likely opponents?

[Straight Sets Simon 23,113]

8 minutes ago, Ash35 said:

Does everyone on here that wants to play Richmond first week of the finals do so because it means you can go to the game, or because you think Richmond is the most "beatable" side of all the likely opponents?

Both.

[Ash35 425]

1 minute ago, Clint Bizkit said:

Both.

I think for Melbourne that Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval is more beatable than Richmond at the MCG, but I can understand people wanting to play the Tigers as it gives the opportunity to attend the game.

[binman 42,607]

2 minutes ago, Clint Bizkit said:

Both.

Both x 10

[Sir Why You Little 36,955]

18 minutes ago, Ash35 said:

Does everyone on here that wants to play Richmond first week of the finals do so because it means you can go to the game, or because you think Richmond is the most "beatable" side of all the likely opponents?

We had Richmond by the Short and Curlies on Anzac Day, but we ran out of fit players. 

A return match has always been wanted. 

[The Chazz 4,077]

2 minutes ago, Sir Why You Little said:

We had Richmond by the Short and Curlies on Anzac Day, but we ran out of fit players. 

A return match has always been wanted. 

Same as the Geelong game, SWYL.

I only fear GWS and Sydney in the top 8.

[layzie 33,740]

13 minutes ago, Clint Bizkit said:

Both.

Couldn't be more correct

[deelete my account 1,194]

6 minutes ago, Sir Why You Little said:

We had Richmond by the Short and Curlies on Anzac Day, but we ran out of fit players. 

A return match has always been wanted. 

While thats true, there were 10 teams in the premiership race when fresh legs created no segregation in the pack. Richmond have been far more consistent in the last 3 months and should beat us, while Port haven't. A rich win would be a glorious upset and a signal that our early season form is back though.

Edited August 21, 2017 by Wrecked Owl Dees Function