Diamond_Jim

because we have a surplus of gun forwards

light winds (15-20kms) and 23

I see we're rated a 7/4 chance to make the 8. Lousy odds considering our win probabilities

Probability of making finals is around 0.28 in my guess based on 70% win probability tonight 50% against GWS and 80% against the Bombers Would be interested to know what odds the bookies are giving for us to make the 8.

Almost a 50% probability. When you remember it included GWS and GCS in their formative years it really is a rubbish record.

add in the Geelong loss perhaps

depends if you now follow the new group think that he was never for 2020 anyway. I have already identified the theme of this year's excuse for our general under performance ..(screwed by travel and scheduling) PS..made a relatively innocuous comment BTL in the Guardian on Dan's plan. Boy the responses I got back from the Defenders of Dan made the posters on here look so friendly. Back into my bubble I go !!

Freo flew up with us the other day. We were forced to wait for them...thus us flying on game day

our percentage is higher and they are one round ahead. The equation hasn't changed...need to win ten games which means we need to win the next three PS a loss by the Eagles makes it almost certain that we would play them in Perth if we made the eight

At $500k plus and contracted for another two years..... ?

Sounds nice ? Perhaps throw in day spa and a surf....not to mention a kebab or two

So mathematically let alone probability wise that's the end of the Bomber's season. Assuming our final round is a dead rubber who would you pick ?

Took me a minute to work out that cryptic comment Very true but I don't think they'll be rushing back

Has always amazed me how international soccer teams can deal with the two leg matches across continents. In October 2017 I went down to Melaka to watch the Socceroos play Syria in a play off to make the world cup. Syria had based itself in Malaysia for that years campaign due to the war in their own country. Few of its players were playing in international leagues so they had been here a while. Members of the Australian team flew in from all around the world 2 days before the game. As usual the temperature was 32-34 and the humidity in excess of 70%. The pitch was not lawn but more like very rough buffalo grass. Australia drew that first leg 1-1 that night and then two days later were playing the return leg in a very cold Sydney. They won and were off to Russia. AFL players have it easy

? It's still a soft cap.. just a "tax" consequence For a club like Richmond etc it's $1 per member Take it out of the salary cap.... now that could be a penalty

Lions v Pies Do we care? Would be nice for some Magpie angst I suppose but they're looking rather safe

Yep it was the suspended part of that fine Must say I was thinking the same thing

Reminds me of those old westerns where you are caught tried and hung in the same day.

And this lady is running their State........? "I know the AFL takes these issues seriously and will take appropriate action." Ms Palaszcuk

It was stuff up as the flight timing was cost neutral: The costs of flying to Cairns would usually be paid by the AFL who would in turn be paid by Qld Govt for putting on a game in Cairns. Swans would have had a half empty plane so no reason we couldn't go with them. The plane carrying Freo would be half empty but the fact remains you still needed the two flights as presumably three teams cannot fit on the one plane. Then there is the cost of an extra 2-3 nights accommodation...not that great in the scheme of things. Only a little thing but it's little things that make the difference between winning and losing and we stuffed up again

At least we can take solace that nothing is open in Maroochydore at 3am. Not sure about Cairns

just appeared... hours behind the other outlets Perhaps they needed to run it past their "editor"

Interesting test of the so called independent journalists in AFL media. Nothing obvious on the AFL website 2 hours after the story has broken

Agree... Balme in Melbourne and how many gaffs by Hardwick and his team.

Looks like they're gone..... Should they be sent home to Melbourne, as seems highly likely, this would leave the Tigers without two players, albeit Stack did not play against Fremantle on Wednesday night. It is a situation that is more fraught for the AFL than even the Tigers. https://www.theage.com.au/sport/afl/afl-investigating-tiger-pair-arrested-outside-gold-coast-strip-club-20200904-p55ses.html