Diamond_Jim

what I do know is that the 3 if not 4 of the usual suspects will be in the prelims That's Geelong Richmond and Eagles The fourth spot between Port and Brisbane with Pies and Giants as long range possibles

Was that a rhetorical question ?

Many of us never got off it. Starting to accept we are an 8-12 team at best.

A geelong premiership would really cap off a very special year

Collingwood: IN Ben Reid, Darcy Moore, Jamie Elliott, Scott Pendlebury, Will Hoskin-Elliott OUT Brayden Sier (Injured), Chris Mayne (Omitted), Jaidyn Stephenson (Omitted), Jordan Roughead (Injured), Tim Broomhead (Omitted) (Big Ins for the Pies) -

The definition of active cases is "no longer under quarantine". Apparently this period varies by how badly you have it from a minimum of 2 weeks to a period of 3-6 weeks. My guess is there are a lot of old folk in the figure and thus the slow decline. As an aside Singapore has had 50,000 plus cases among its foreign worker community due to cramped living conditions but not one death that I know of.

Yep that Geelong loss effectively finished our season. Posted this some weeks ago. Realistically we needed a win against Port or Brisbane to recover. The only thing to change from 4 odd weeks ago is that the Pies game has become 50/50 as perhaps so too has the GWS game. Still a very hard task and while possible on a game by game basis the cumulative challenge leaves little room for error.

One thing that has been bugging me about these stage three vaccine trials is that they are being done against a community background of masks, lockdowns, PPE physical distancing, limited movement etc etc when what we need is for the vaccine to be effective in an "open world" environment. One assumes they model the different scenarios but it can't be easy.

Tactics very important for this game. Likely to be a low scoring slog in the damp. Pies will go in favourites but it will be a toss up. About time we had some luck perhaps. On another point, pre season I posted that 8 wins would save Goodwin.That was based on a 22 game season.With a 17 game season he's safe with 6 wins so I think we can soon put that issue aside until next year.

Based on the statement below and at an Rt rate of 0.5 over a rolling two week average beginning today at 400 cases we can look at another possible 8 weeks in lockdown before you hit 20 a day. That's depressing to say the least. "Sutton said his message to Victorians was to “keep at it” and warned that restrictions would not be lifted until case numbers were much, much lower. We know that numbers are heading down but we could not conceive of opening up with 200 cases a day. We couldn’t do it with 100 cases a day. We have to head for the lowest possible number, including zero.” From Vic Govt Press conference today

source please

Break even points are influenced by many factors. Sure you can break even at the MCG with 20k IF they are all paying attendees IF you give priority to MFC, MCC and AFL members gate revenue = zero Sell a few beers and pies but you could probably make more at a busy Bunnings sausage sizzle.

Well one things for sure out of that game.... There's a coach more under pressure than Goodwin Atrocious performance by a highly skilled side

this is one instance in which I hope the world screws big Pharma and reverse engineers it immediately. Cost recovery only and a Nobel prize should be enough.

I follow it closely and Russia is just doing a slightly looser stage 3. Mass production if done would still be in the new year. Putin just loves playing mind games and he does it very well. The real question is even if successful how in the hell do you roll these vaccines out across the world. Usually that would be a five plus year process. I still hope for rapid cheap and accurate self testing. That would be a game changer

The problem is that's way below break even point

It'll be FDA approval first of that you can be assured

IMO best case scenario.... Stage 3 vaccine results are due just before Christmas. (let's say 1 December) Assuming success the vaccines need FDA etc approval... let's say Jan 1 Allowing for production and rollout realistically we are looking May to August before mass vaccinations completed. So unfortunately 2021 will be a lot like 2020 with at best limited crowds at least for the first half of the season When will intra Australia borders open up.... who knows (And then there is the big debate over to what extent vaccinations will be mandatory for mixing in large groups,flying etc)

It's going to be wet on Saturday. No confidence in Preuss but short of playing T Mac in ruck and Brown up forward is there much choice

That Essendon draw did us no good at all. Had Essendon lost it would have opened up 2 spots in the 8 for us to take...Pies and Saints with both Bombers and Suns trailing us. Bombers beating the Saints is good but it gives the Bombers a big leg up. If Saints win it gets harder to take their spot. Lose to Collingwood and we will be well out of the 8. Looking increasingly likely we will need ten wins to make the 8 which is probably at least one win too many for us. LH I believe a Blues win is best for us as it puts to bed any chance of Freo making the 8 and we are yet to play them GWS are vulnerable but hard to see them losing to the Swans

Not sure about that MFC has always relied on other teams losing. 1987 is the best example Nothing wrong with that... the ladder is both up an down

Plus the bus trip to the airport plus check in and wait time plus bus trip from Cairns airport to venue More like 4.5 hours door to door. Not ideal if done on game day

No mention of Baker or Dunkley. Are they in the hub?

Usually I think most on this Board over react to external criticism but as LH has pointed out Wallace is off the mark save for 2020. The time for Weid to play in unpressured games and develop was post bye 2019 but he was injured. His Casey form was usually middling at best. Lacked the fast lead and constantly pushed under the ball. Fix these two things and we have a long term FF

Yes if Viney goes No idea if he's worth it