Everything posted by Fat Tony
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Weid or Rooy?
Ben Brown was poor before TMac was injured. He needs to start clunking marks and kicking goals because he is a liability defensively and when the ball is on the deck and he picks and chooses when to put his body on the line. There is a massive gap between AFL defence and VFL, both in terms of quality of defender and the team defence aspect. I think Weideman is likely to be a better bet this year given his stronger body and experience, but you have to trust the coaches. If van Rooyen plays this year at all it will need to be soon.
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Ben Brown
DISLIKES - BEN BROWN Ben Brown has been targeted inside 50m one-on-one 45 times this season. He has taken one mark from those battles — a junk-time grab on Marcus Adams (Lions) late in the fourth quarter. He has been out-marked eight times. The Demons don’t trust Sam Weideman or Mitch Brown and so it’s a mighty concern for Melbourne as the absence of Tom McDonald — the swingman they attempted to offload in 2020 — aches. On Thursday night the Dees took six marks inside 50m, their equal fewest this season, and the disconnection is also disarming Kozzie Pickett and Charlie Spargo while Bayley Fritsch has been accused of being goal hungry. Contrast Brown’s numbers to Geelong goliath Tom Hawkins, who gobbles 38 per cent of his one-on-ones. The next best in the AFL is Darcy Cameron (Collingwood), who marks 25 per cent of his one-on-ones.
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CHANGES: Rd 18 vs Port Adelaide
The last full (shortened) game he played forward as well.
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CHANGES: Rd 18 vs Port Adelaide
The week off before finals means form can turnaround quickly. Why do the shock jocks make such stupid definitive statements?
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CHANGES: Rd 18 vs Port Adelaide
Not sure Dunstan comes in for Oliver on the big ground. We need the run this week. Hunt deserves to come into the 22, albeit I’m not sure Bowey out makes us better. Laurie played well in the VFL but Spargo would get 30 disposals and a couple of goals every second week at that level. I don’t see Laurie as an AFL player yet until he is strong enough to complete because he’s not quick or an elite long distance runner. Chandler would be an option to replace either Bedford or Spargo. He is more dynamic and has a good engine. I think our team will function better with another key forward, whether it be Weideman or Van Rooyen.
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CASEY: Rd 16 vs Geelong
Great to see Laurie get so much footy. He should be getting 25+ at that level if he wants to push for AFL. van Rooyen will be a beast at AFL level but I think he’s a 2023 story. Woewodin has a lot of composure and balance and plays like his father. I think he’s got a future. Rosman played well in the last quarter in particular.
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CASEY: Rd 16 vs Geelong
Good composure to come back and win after going to sleep for a half.
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CASEY: Rd 16 vs Geelong
That boundary throw in went at 45 degrees to our goal!
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CHANGES: Rd 18 vs Port Adelaide
I would have to re-watch (which I won't because we lost) to see if there is a solution other than Gawn taking more marks. I think some options would be to kick short down the centre occasionally. Or for a long option we could put Petracca and/or Oliver one-on-one on the opposite wing, with Kossie and kick that side and try to get off to the races.
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POSTGAME: Rd 17 vs Geelong
May is kicking in long and left under instruction. Goodwin needs to loosen the shackles a bit on our strategy. Petty was free at the 50m line up the middle all night.
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WELCOME TO THE MELBOURNE FOOTBALL CLUB - FRASER ROSMAN
Deakin Smith shows a bit but he has an iffy ball drop when he kicks. I could see him being an AFL player in time.
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CHANGES: Rd 18 vs Port Adelaide
For a fast break we obviously want to kick to leading players one on one and play checkers. But, for a slow play (when the opposition zone is set) having only one up means that the opposition can block our tall out and have their third man up take the mark. A lot of our set up is long kicks to our giant talls and having Petracca, Oliver, Viney and/or ANB at the front of the pack for the gentle crumb. Going inside 50 (when they have numbers back) the coaches obviously feel there is too much risk if we target a one on one with a short kick. (The risk is conceding a counterattacking goal.)
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POSTGAME: Rd 17 vs Geelong
Scott is an excellent coach. We need to mix it up a bit because while our predictability was a strength initially, it can become a bit of a weakness if Max isn't marking everything.
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CHANGES: Rd 18 vs Port Adelaide
Having two talls up in packs is deliberate and part of the game plan.
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CHANGES: Rd 18 vs Port Adelaide
Agree on Jordon, Brayshaw, Bowey and Sparrow. The key question the coaching staff needs to ask is if we can win the flag without another tall forward. Bedford played well against the Lions but we dominated the midfield battle and this was the key. Last night, when we failed in the middle, we could have used another tall target. I think we need to give Weideman an extended run to get him confident and marking well.
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POSTGAME: Rd 17 vs Geelong
Apart from Kossie, our small forwards are just good role players. I know we need a star key forward, but we don't have a great draft hand and it doesn't appear there is one in this draft. I think we could do worse than going for another small forward in the draft and trying to trade or use free agency for a key forward this year or next.
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POSTGAME: Rd 17 vs Geelong
Chris Scott spoke about our predictability in his post match conference. He spoke about how we regularly have two 200cm players going up in packs and how they stopped it by making sure the crumbs didn’t fall gently to the front where Oliver and Petracca position themselves. I would like to see us trying a few things before finals, such as occasionally attacking with short kicks through the heart of the opposition zone. While we might give away the odd turnover goal, it would make us less predictable.
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POSTGAME: Rd 17 vs Geelong
I was saying WE lacked another key forward because we failed to compete a few times. I think we went in with one too many small forwards.
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CHANGES: Rd 18 vs Port Adelaide
Jordon had a bad night but has been excellent this season. I would not be throwing the baby out with the bathwater.
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CHANGES: Rd 18 vs Port Adelaide
Salem has lost his drive and is only kicking 45m at the moment. I don't think we can put it down to role, which is not really changed.
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CHANGES: Rd 18 vs Port Adelaide
I am coming around to thinking we need to give Weideman time to get confidence and find form if we are going to win the flag.
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POSTGAME: Rd 17 vs Geelong
Hibberd looked every bit like a 32 year old coming off a 5-day break. He should have been rested (as suggested). The side also missed another key forward on the skinny ground. While this game was lost in the midfield, we have to be a bit smarter about selection on the short breaks. Our best 22 on paper is not always the best 22 to win the game. Since 2020 we are 1-4 on 4-day or 5-day breaks.
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CHANGES: Rd 18 vs Port Adelaide
I will reiterate my call for Hunt to be played as a forward. Hunt is a proven goal kicker and our small forwards are getting out marked too often and Hunt will give a better aerial contest than ANB, Spargo and Bedford.
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CHANGES: Rd 18 vs Port Adelaide
Alice Springs is a huge ground. I was all for Weideman playing tonight but the extra small might work on the bigger ground.
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POSTGAME: Rd 17 vs Geelong
We lost it in the clearances and particularly the centre clearances. Weideman should have been playing tonight on the skinny ground. Our rucks were ordinary. May was moving like Frankenstein and fumbled. The Cats planned well to nullify Lever. Fritsch is too selfish.