Everything posted by Fat Tony
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List management - this year's tricky decisions
I think Chandler has potential at AFL level. Fast, decent overhead, a long kick. He is just not strong enough and has not been given a real chance yet. KEEP.
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Farewell Luke Jackson
My sources tell me Tomlinson will look at moving to another club to play AFL.
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Farewell Luke Jackson
I think Goldstein or Ryder makes the most sense. We are in the window so we need a backup who is AFL standard straight away.
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CASEY: QF vs Sydney
Did Laurie make it through the game? Just 5 possessions as a midfielder is disappointing.
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CASEY: QF vs Sydney
Efficiency in front of goal aside (in the first half) that was a brilliant performance by Casey.
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CASEY: QF vs Sydney
TMac is moving extremely well. He might not play on Friday night but I think he will play AFL finals now.
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CASEY: QF vs Sydney
Will Casey pick it’s best 22+1? Or will MFC listed players get preference? Could any Melbourne players not get selected?
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CASEY: QF vs Sydney
It should be able to be streamed on the vfl website.
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CHANGES: QF vs Sydney
Can we forgo the Spargo as the third/relief winger experiment? Brayshaw would be a better option. Salem for Bowey will be the only change.
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Farewell Luke Jackson
Freo don't have a top 5 pick. While they could trade up for a higher pick, we will lose value to achieve this. Gold Coast fought tooth and nail to get a top 10 pick from Hawthorn for O'Meara and St Kilda did a great trade for them in order to broker the deal. Conversely, the Cats took a number of lower picks from WCE for Kelly, which, in aggregate, added up to more than pick 1 in value and was a better deal. I would prefer we take a collection of lower picks and let our brains trust work out how to push up or down the draft board. Brokerage is expensive in the AFL system.
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The Luck of the Draw
This system is fairer but it means we effectively have 2 sets of finals and a lot of dead rubbers. We also cannot release the full fixture until round 17 is done. If I was running the AFL, I would actually go the other way and look to maximise revenue while creating as fair a draw as possible. This means more double up games between Victorian clubs. For interstate clubs, they should play double ups against each other, including 3 local derbies each year. This would mean less unnecessary travel and that fans could attend more games. The double up games should look to promote relative equality in the draw, with each team playing an even number of high and low clubs. (They should look to equalise the competition through draft and salary cap rather than the draw.)
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The Luck of the Draw
We were unlucky that our bottom 6 double up was Collingwood and our middle 6 double up was Freo.
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Clayton Oliver now 2022 Brownlow favourite?
Jackson or Oliver could get 3 votes.
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TEAMS: Rd 23 vs Brisbane
I think Jordon is stiff to get dropped. We obviously want to play Harmes on Neale and that has forced a midfield reshuffle. Spargo would have been the one I would have left out.
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GAMEDAY: Rd 23 vs Brisbane
It’s go time Demons!
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CHANGES: Rd 23 vs Brisbane
Didn’t Chandler and Bedford have Covid though?
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Covid protocol breaches
You are surely not suggesting corruption at AFL House?
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Game plans, tactics and all that jazz
But I would argue that the percentages have now changed by the way we are being defended. The kick out strategy of going long to Gawn on the back flank is being set up for by the opposition and they are leaving plenty of space and free players down the centre of the ground. An AFL player should be able to hit an open 40m target at 80-90%. By taking these relatively free options more often, our Plan A becomes a higher percentage play. Similarly, we are kicking it long inside 50 on slow plays to Brown and Fritsch in the pocket against multiple opponents. Often we are ignoring free players 40m out. When our better users have the ball (Salem, Brayshaw, Petracca, Jordon, Rivers, Pickett, Spargo etc) they should be given more licence to go for these kicks. The other option for kicking into a congested 50 would be to go for a torpedo. The problem with our rigid game plan for inside 50 entries is has led to us making errors on fast plays. Against Collingwood, the strategy that cost us was that we were kicking long to a contest and ignoring loose players, instead of playing checkers,.
- Trade and Free Agency rumours
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Veil of Negativity
All 5 of our double up games have had a percentage greater than 104%.
- Trade and Free Agency rumours
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CHANGES: Rd 23 vs Brisbane
He needed the run because he had not played for 3 weeks, but you are right that he might not be selected off the back of a 5 day break.
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CHANGES: Rd 23 vs Brisbane
That is a discussion for another time and my mail is TMac is still unlikely. But I think probably Melksham will make way. I still think our best footy apart from our glorious September, was at the start of 2021, when we had TMac in place of Ben Brown or Weideman. That line up gives us the most manic forward pressure.
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CHANGES: Rd 23 vs Brisbane
I think Spargo has been lucky to hold his spot this year. 9 goals from 21 games is telling. (By comparison, Kossie has 34 goals from 20 games and Harmes 12 goals from 16 games.) I know we lose a bit of skill from swapping Harmes for Spargo but Harmes gives us more physicality around the contest and flexibility and he wins a lot more of the ball.
- Trade and Free Agency rumours