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Posted (edited)

Round 0, 2023 SCG - Swans vs Demons

How do you open a narrative about round zero after that opening performance?

By saying SFA and getting on to the numbers that's how!  🤐

Viney just pipping May for the No.1 mantle.  Tracc not far behind followed by Clarry.  Not a bad effort from Claz given where he was coming from but still a mile off his best.  A fair bit of daylight the rest.

Great opening salvo from the first gamer Howes!  Windsor also taking the winger's club honours by knocking off Langdon!

Billings posting a negative rating suggesting a not so good debut unfortunately.  Bowey with a low 48% game time due to the shoulder injury.

Bring on Round 1 back at the home base where there would have to be a wholesale improvement to have any chance of posting our first W against the Doggies.

Player Rating Rank
Jack Viney* 4.675 1
S May* 4.650 2
C Petracca* 4.250 3
C Oliver* 3.800 4
T Sparrow* 3.525 5
B Howes* 3.425 6
J McVee* 3.425 6
A Tomlinson* 3.175 8
C Salem* 2.900 9
Max Gawn* 2.700 10
A N-Bullen* 2.325 11
C Windsor* 2.300 12
B Fritsch* 2.100 13
Jake Lever* 2.075 14
J Bowey* 48% 1.950 15
T Rivers* 1.950 15
K Chandler* 1.900 17
Ed Langdon* 1.825 18
J V Rooyen* 1.700 19
C Spargo* 1.200 20
B Laurie*< 42% 0.775 21
J Schache* 0.700 22
J Billings*> 38% -0.050 23
Team Score 57.33  
Top 6 24.33  
Bottom 6 8.10  

* Only played one match, not an average rating

< Subbed out TOG

> Subbed in TOG

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

Edited by Demon Dynasty
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Posted

Melbourne v Sydney (Opening Round, 2024)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20240001

Key Team Stats

Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne.

Stat For Against Diff
Disposal Efficiency 71.1 68.9 +2.2
Kicking Efficiency 63.4 64.5 -1.1
Metres Gained 5534 6279 -745
Inside 50s 51 65 -14
Shots At Goal 21 29 -8
Shots Per Inside 50 41.2 44.6 -3.4
Contested Possessions 145 146 -1
Ground Ball Gets 109 98 +11
Intercepts 78 75 +3
Intercept Marks 14 18 -4
Centre Clearances 12 9 +3
Stoppage Clearances 22 36 -14
Contested Marks 3 8 -5
Marks Inside 50 5 9 -4
Hitouts 38 46 -8
Hitouts To Advantage 9 13 -4
Tackles 65 63 +2
Tackles Inside 50 24 13 +11
Def One On One Loss % 20.0 28.6 -8.6

Expected scores

Team Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. /
Shot
Shot
Rating
Overall
Melbourne 21 9.8.62 42.9% 63.7 −1.7 3.03 −0.08
Sydney 29 12.10.82 41.4% 79.7 +2.3 2.75 +0.08
General Play
Melbourne 15 5.6.36 33.3% 43.2 −7.2 2.88 −0.48
Sydney 16 7.8.50 43.8% 42.3 +7.7 2.64 +0.48
Set Position
Melbourne 6 4.2.26 66.7% 20.5 +5.5 3.42 +0.91
Sydney 13 5.2.32 38.5% 37.4 −5.4 2.88 −0.42
  • xScore: total expected score from all shots taken.
  • +/-: total score above or below expected score.
  • xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty.
  • Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal.

Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores.

 

 

Pressure

Team pressure

Quarter For Against
1 193 202
2 177 171
3 195 186
4 159 204
Match 182 190

Source: Herald Sun

Most Pressure Points

Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ )

Player Pressure
Acts
Pressure
Points
Season
Average
Tom Sparrow 31 71 71.0
Jack Viney 30 63 63.0
Kade Chandler 20 47 47.0
Alex Neal-Bullen 20 47 47.0
Clayton Oliver 25 46 46.0
Caleb Windsor 20 45 45.0
Blake Howes 12 34 34.0
Ed Langdon 18 34 34.0
Max Gawn 11 30 30.0
Christian Petracca 15 30 30.0
Christian Salem 14 28 28.0
Bayley Fritsch 11 19 19.0
Steven May 8 18 18.0
Adam Tomlinson 8 18 18.0
Jack Billings 6 17 17.0
Trent Rivers 10 17 17.0
Josh Schache 8 17 17.0
Charlie Spargo 8 17 17.0
Jacob van Rooyen 6 16 16.0
Bailey Laurie 8 15 15.0
Jake Bowey 5 11 11.0
Jake Lever 3 4 4.0
Judd McVee 1 2 2.0

Source: Herald Sun

Time in Forward Half

Quarter For Against
1 48% 52%
2 55% 45%
3 39% 61%
4 40% 60%
Match 48% 52%

Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations.

Score Sources

Summary

Category Score Against Diff
Kick-in 0.0.0 0.0.0 +0
Centre Bounce 1.1.7 0.3.3 +4
Stoppage (Other) 2.4.16 4.4.28 -12
Turnover 6.5.41 8.7.55 -14
Score Source For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Centre Bounce 7 7.0 3 3.0
Stoppage (Other) 16 16.0 28 28.0
Turnover 41 41.0 55 55.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Sydney.

Chain start region

Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective.

Category Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Centre Bounce Centre 7 7.0 3 3.0
Stoppage (Other) Centre 0 0.0 1 1.0
Stoppage (Other) Wing 7 7.0 26 26.0
Stoppage (Other) F50 9 9.0 1 1.0
Turnover D50 2 2.0 6 6.0
Turnover Centre 6 6.0 6 6.0
Turnover Wing 9 9.0 39 39.0
Turnover F50 24 24.0 4 4.0
Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
D50 2 2.0 6 6.0
Centre 13 13.0 10 10.0
Wing 16 16.0 65 65.0
F50 33 33.0 5 5.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Sydney.

Points from defensive half

For Against
Match Season Match Season *
8 8.0 27 27.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Sydney.

Centre Bounce Attendances

  CBAs CBA % 2024 % 2023 %
Max Gawn 21 88 87.5 64.9
Jack Viney 19 79 79.2 72.1
Clayton Oliver 15 62 62.5 81.4
Christian Petracca 14 58 58.3 61.1
Tom Sparrow 13 54 54.2 44.9
Christian Salem 9 38 37.5 0.0
Josh Schache 2 8 8.3 0.0
Alex Neal-Bullen 1 4 4.2 2.1
Charlie Spargo 1 4 4.2 0.0
Jacob van Rooyen 1 4 4.2 7.6
Trent Rivers 0 0 0.0 3.0

Ruck Contests and Hitouts

Ruck Contests

  Ruck
Contests
RC % 2024 % 2023 %
Max Gawn 89 85 84.8 57.5
Josh Schache 14 13 13.3 4.1
Jacob van Rooyen 2 2 1.9 13.1
Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0.0 0.0
Christian Petracca 0 0 0.0 0.4
Clayton Oliver 0 0 0.0 0.1
Steven May 0 0 0.0 0.0
Tom Sparrow 0 0 0.0 0.0

Hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
To Adv. %
(2024)
To Adv. %
(2023)
Max Gawn 89 37 8 21.6 30.1
Josh Schache 14 1 1 100.0 0.0
Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0   0.0
Christian Petracca 0 0 0   100.0
Jacob van Rooyen 2 0 0   31.1

Opposition hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
Brodie Grundy 76 33 13
Hayden McLean 24 10 0
Joel Amartey 4 2 0
Justin McInerney 1 1 0
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Posted

Team pressure in the last quarter.... gadzooks!

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Posted (edited)

Team & Player Ratings to Rnd 0, 2024 vs H&A Season 2023

A sea of red vs season 2023 average ratings bar Viney, May, Sparrow, Mcvee & Tomo.

Obviously the new fellas don't have a history & have a get-out-of-jail-free card this season (vs 2023 ratings).

Even though Salem posted a negative rating vs 2023, it was only a minor one and seems a fair result given his role change.

Take no notice of Bowey's numbers given only 48% game time.

Schache & Laurie... umm well let's just say their game wasn't great and the ratings reflect this.  And that's being very generous!

The team rating down a massive 18% on Season 2023's average team rating (top 22 rated players).

Having said that, the 2024 ratings from round 0 are a one off and we need to be patient.  At least 5 rounds or so needed before we start to see more meaningful ratings and form indicators/trends taking shape vs 2023 ratings.

Player 2024 Rating 2024 Rank 2023 Rating % Change vs 2023 2023 Rank Change in Rank vs 2023
Jack Viney* 4.675 1 3.707 26.11 4 3
Steven May* 4.650 2 3.213 44.72 8 6
C Petracca* 4.250 3 4.707 -9.71 2 -1
C Oliver* 3.800 4 5.002 -24.03 1 -3
T Sparrow* 3.525 5 2.811 25.40 16 11
B Howes* 3.425 6 - - - -
Judd McVee* 3.425 6 2.320 47.63 22 16
A Tomlinson* 3.175 8 2.915 8.92 14 6
C Salem* 2.900 9 2.993 -3.11 12 3
Max Gawn* 2.700 10 3.350 -19.40 7 -3
A N-Bullen* 2.325 11 2.532 -8.18 20 9
C Windsor* 2.300 12 - - - -
B Fritsch* 2.100 13 2.324 -9.64 21 8
Jake Lever* 2.075 14 3.131 -33.73 9 -5
T Rivers* 1.950 15 3.696 -47.24 5 -10
J Bowey* 1.950 15 2.820 -30.85 15 0
K Chandler* 1.900 17 2.265 -16.11 23 6
Ed Langdon* 1.825 18 3.057 -40.30 10 -8
J V Rooyen* 1.700 19 2.170 -21.66 25 6
C Spargo* 1.200 20 1.886 -36.37 29 9
B Laurie* < 0.775 21 2.235 -65.32 24 3
J Schache* 0.700 22 1.525 -54.10 33 11
J Billings* -0.050 23 - - - -
L Hunter - - 2.939 - 13 -
H Petty - - 2.718 - 17 -
K Pickett - - 2.101 - 26 -
T McDonald - - 2.054 - 27 -
Ben Brown - - 1.941 - 28 -
D Turner - - 1.825 - 31 -
J Melksham - - 1.599 - 32 -
T Woewodin - - 1.406 - 34 -
Team Rating 57.33   69.86 -17.94    
Top 6 24.33   24.43 -0.43    
Bottom 6 8.10   15.17 -46.61    

* Played less than two full matches (in total)

< Subbed out at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

> Subbed in at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

Edited by Demon Dynasty
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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, adonski said:

Howes!

Might need to check the algorithm if Sparrow was rated in your top 20

Very nice first up game from the youngster.

There's always the odd outlier when putting these ratings together Adonski and always room for improvement with the way the ratings are devised.  Far from perfect. 

However he did have the most tackles of any player on the night (9) and the equal lowest turnover count of any of the mids (alongside Max) so that probably bumped him up the table a little. 

Although the low turnover count could also be a reflection of less time spent through the middle vs others and/or less involvement at contest etc.  So who knows. 

Watching the game i also felt he was pretty ordinary.

A number of others that would also usually post higher ratings had a pretty poor night (statistically) also such as Max, ANB,  Rivers, Bowey (inj) & Lever.  Then there's the outs such as Kozzy & Hunter.

A better result from some of them and/or a few of the outs returning and you might see Sparrow getting shunted down the rankings somewhat.

Having said that, i don't think his game was worse than say Lever who's sitting at 14 which is a fair chunk away from the 20 you mentioned 

Have to agree though, his game didn't seem to be good enough to warrant a top 5 finish so might need to make a small adjustment and give it a trial run.   

Edited by Demon Dynasty
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Posted
10 hours ago, WheeloRatings said:

Time in Forward Half

Quarter For Against
1 48% 52%
2 55% 45%
3 39% 61%
4 40% 60%
Match 48% 52%

I’m having trouble understanding how those Quarterly numbers could result in the Match numbers.

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Posted
9 minutes ago, Fanatique Demon said:

I’m having trouble understanding how those Quarterly numbers could result in the Match numbers.

The quarterly values and match total are from two different sources. The match total is official - I have calculated the quarterly values myself from the data I have access to, but they won't necessarly align. I calculated the match time in forward half as 46% to 54%.

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Posted

Tom Sparrow pressure acts were high because he was constantly beaten to the ball by the Swans opponents. He just lacks pace over 5 metres and is beaten to the footy.  He tackled well but we need him to win the contest more.  

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Posted
12 hours ago, Demon Dynasty said:

Team & Player Ratings to Rnd 0, 2024 vs H&A Season 2023

A sea of red vs season 2023 average ratings bar Viney, May, Sparrow, Mcvee & Tomo.

Obviously the new fellas don't have a history & have a get-out-of-jail-free card this season (vs 2023 ratings).

Even though Salem posted a negative rating vs 2023, it was only a minor one and seems a fair result given his role change.

Take no notice of Bowey's numbers given only 48% game time.

Schache & Laurie... umm well let's just say their game wasn't great and the ratings reflect this.  And that's being very generous!

The team rating down a massive 18% on Season 2023's average team rating (top 22 rated players).

Having said that, the 2024 ratings from round 0 are a one off and we need to be patient.  At least 5 rounds or so needed before we start to see more meaningful ratings and form indicators/trends taking shape vs 2023 ratings.

Player 2024 Rating 2024 Rank 2023 Rating % Change vs 2023 2023 Rank Change in Rank vs 2023
Jack Viney* 4.675 1 3.707 26.11 4 3
Steven May* 4.650 2 3.213 44.72 8 6
C Petracca* 4.250 3 4.707 -9.71 2 -1
C Oliver* 3.800 4 5.002 -24.03 1 -3
T Sparrow* 3.525 5 2.811 25.40 16 11
B Howes* 3.425 6 - - - -
Judd McVee* 3.425 6 2.320 47.63 22 16
A Tomlinson* 3.175 8 2.915 8.92 14 6
C Salem* 2.900 9 2.993 -3.11 12 3
Max Gawn* 2.700 10 3.350 -19.40 7 -3
A N-Bullen* 2.325 11 2.532 -8.18 20 9
C Windsor* 2.300 12 - - - -
B Fritsch* 2.100 13 2.324 -9.64 21 8
Jake Lever* 2.075 14 3.131 -33.73 9 -5
T Rivers* 1.950 15 3.696 -47.24 5 -10
J Bowey* 1.950 15 2.820 -30.85 15 0
K Chandler* 1.900 17 2.265 -16.11 23 6
Ed Langdon* 1.825 18 3.057 -40.30 10 -8
J V Rooyen* 1.700 19 2.170 -21.66 25 6
C Spargo* 1.200 20 1.886 -36.37 29 9
B Laurie* < 0.775 21 2.235 -65.32 24 3
J Schache* 0.700 22 1.525 -54.10 33 11
J Billings* -0.050 23 - - - -
L Hunter - - 2.939 - 13 -
H Petty - - 2.718 - 17 -
K Pickett - - 2.101 - 26 -
T McDonald - - 2.054 - 27 -
Ben Brown - - 1.941 - 28 -
D Turner - - 1.825 - 31 -
J Melksham - - 1.599 - 32 -
T Woewodin - - 1.406 - 34 -
Team Rating 57.33   69.86 -17.94    
Top 6 24.33   24.43 -0.43    
Bottom 6 8.10   15.17 -46.61    

* Played less than two full matches (in total)

< Subbed out at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

> Subbed in at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

Thanks DD that is a huge drop off from our average 2023 numbers although great effort from JV, Clayton with disrupted preseason, Blake Howes, Judd McVee and The Duke stood up OK. I’m thinking it may take a few games and a bit of tinkering to adjust for Yze / McQualter changes in midfield coaching and managing the feedback from box to Goody. Poor start to season.

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Posted (edited)
4 hours ago, spirit of norm smith said:

Tom Sparrow pressure acts were high because he was constantly beaten to the ball by the Swans opponents. He just lacks pace over 5 metres and is beaten to the footy.  He tackled well but we need him to win the contest more.  

That would explain the high tackle count.  No doubt some great efforts to shut down the ball carrier but as you say, if he was being lead to the ball too often and giving up alot of first use then that would be to the detriment of the team regardless.

As per usual, the eyes tell the tale. 

Best to only use stats/models as a rough indicator of who 'might' have performed on the day and/or form trends over a period of 3 to 5 weeks or more if you desire.

Some refuse to look at them at all of course.  I prefer to use both eyes & stats, but never stats on their own.  Not without major caveats and only if i just cant get the time or wherewithal to watch the game eg;  overseas and no time / coverage etc.

Edited by Demon Dynasty
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Posted (edited)
3 hours ago, DeeZone said:

Thanks DD that is a huge drop off from our average 2023 numbers although great effort from JV, Clayton with disrupted preseason, Blake Howes, Judd McVee and The Duke stood up OK. I’m thinking it may take a few games and a bit of tinkering to adjust for Yze / McQualter changes in midfield coaching and managing the feedback from box to Goody. Poor start to season.

Yes time needed to rectify this as we are too far off our best for a miracle turnaround in one week imho DZ.

We are potentially two to three matches with an injection of NOS players coming back in and replacing the NQRs before righting a bit of a wonky ship me thinks.

Hopefully proven wrong next week.  Kozzy back and maybe even BB but i have no idea where he's at fitness / AFL readiness wise as i write this.

Will check on that soonish through the Casey praccy reports and see what's being said.

Edited by Demon Dynasty
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Posted

Round 0, 2023 SCG - Swans vs Demons

Heeney supposedly had the best game of his career according to some commentators?  Certainly a huge player rating and one that we would only see on occasions from the likes of Tracc and/or Viney.  Clarry on the other hand used to post these almost every other week or so when he was at the top of his game a few years back and before.  And occasionally higher up in the 7s & the rare 8!

So the question needs asking... is the tag now dead?  Shouldn't we have tagged him at some point with an ANB or a Sparrow or tried to (IF we didn't?).  Too me his stellar performance, that of Blakey and to a lessor degree Grundy's were the difference on the night.

It also begs the question...in the past Blakey has often been their running go to link up off HB.  It's pretty much Swans 101 that he will take the kick in out of the goal square, give it off and receive again with the old one - two then run the ball up the guts.  We curtailed this strat successfully last season in both games i believe?  So where were we with the counter strat this season?  Did we forget Blakey was playing or what their out-of-the-goal-square 101 was?  No one capable of running with him?  I think we used Kozzy in the matches last season to shadow him as he gave off the first disposal and make sure he wasn't able to get the next possession they usually attempt in that sequence.  I was fuming on the night about this and still am.

Swans

Player Rating Rank
Isaac Heeney  6.850 1
Brodie Grundy  4.325 2
Nick Blakey  4.300 3
Chad Warner  3.675 4
Tom Papley  3.525 5
James Jordon  3.350 6
Matthew Roberts  3.325 7
Dane Rampe  3.250 8
James Rowbottom  3.050 9
Justin McInerney  2.850 10
Harry Cunningham  2.800 11
Oliver Florent  2.525 12
Braeden Campbell  2.350 13
Jake Lloyd  2.025 14
Tom McCartin  1.900 15
Hayden McLean  1.875 16
Lewis Melican  1.825 17
Errol Gulden  1.650 18
Sam Wicks > 30% 1.625 19
Will Hayward  1.475 20
Logan McDonald  1.450 21
Robbie Fox  1.100 22
Joel Amartey < 43% -0.050 23
Team Score 61.10  
Top 6 26.03  
Bottom 6 9.13  

< Subbed out TOG

> Subbed in TOG

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

 

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Posted

Their  top 10 better than our and their bottom six better than ours as well. Poor effort all around.

Posted

Melbourne v Western Bulldogs (Round 1, 2024)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20240107

Key Team Stats

Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne.

Stat For Against Diff
Disposal Efficiency 75.5 73.2 +2.3
Kicking Efficiency 72.4 64.0 +8.4
Metres Gained 6369 5719 +650
Inside 50s 53 53 +0
Shots At Goal 28 24 +4
Shots Per Inside 50 52.8 45.3 +7.5
Contested Possessions 126 126 +0
Ground Ball Gets 69 82 -13
Intercepts 69 59 +10
Intercept Marks 20 15 +5
Centre Clearances 13 15 -2
Stoppage Clearances 23 19 +4
Contested Marks 12 9 +3
Marks Inside 50 12 13 -1
Hitouts 38 27 +11
Hitouts To Advantage 17 10 +7
Tackles 47 37 +10
Tackles Inside 50 7 4 +3
Def One On One Loss % 30.0 25.0 +5.0

Expected scores

Team Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. /
Shot
Shot
Rating
Overall
Melbourne 28 16.11.107 57.1% 83.3 +23.7 2.97 +0.85
Western Bulldogs 24 9.9.63 37.5% 67.4 −4.4 2.81 −0.18
General Play
Melbourne 13 9.4.58 69.2% 39.0 +19.0 3.00 +1.46
Western Bulldogs 10 4.3.27 40.0% 25.1 +1.9 2.51 +0.19
Set Position
Melbourne 15 7.7.49 46.7% 44.3 +4.7 2.95 +0.31
Western Bulldogs 14 5.6.36 35.7% 42.4 −6.4 3.03 −0.46
  • xScore: total expected score from all shots taken.
  • +/-: total score above or below expected score.
  • xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty.
  • Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal.

Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores.

 

 

Pressure

Team pressure

Quarter For Against
1 175 166
2 171 164
3 195 162
4 167 155
Match 177 162

Source: Herald Sun

Most Pressure Points

Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ )

Player Pressure
Acts
Pressure
Points
Season
Average
Jack Viney 30 62 62.5
Jack Billings 21 50 33.5
Kysaiah Pickett 21 48 48.0
Kade Chandler 22 47 47.0
Christian Salem 20 46 37.0
Christian Petracca 26 45 37.5
Alex Neal-Bullen 18 36 41.5
Tom McDonald 15 33 33.0
Trent Rivers 16 31 24.0
Clayton Oliver 15 29 37.5
Jake Lever 13 29 16.5
Tom Sparrow 16 28 49.5
Ed Langdon 14 25 29.5
Caleb Windsor 10 24 34.5
Marty Hore 9 20 20.0
Max Gawn 8 16 23.0
Steven May 6 16 17.0
Judd McVee 7 15 8.5
Ben Brown 9 11 11.0
Taj Woewodin 3 10 10.0
Blake Howes 4 9 21.5
Jacob van Rooyen 3 8 12.0
Bayley Fritsch 3 4 11.5

Source: Herald Sun

Time in Forward Half

Quarter For Against
1 49% 51%
2 38% 62%
3 50% 50%
4 47% 53%
Match 47% 53%

Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations.

Score Sources

Summary

Category Score Against Diff
Kick-in 0.1.1 0.2.2 -1
Centre Bounce 2.0.12 1.2.8 +4
Stoppage (Other) 5.5.35 2.1.13 +22
Turnover 9.7.61 6.5.41 +20
Score Source For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Kick-in 1 0.5 2 1.0
Centre Bounce 12 9.5 8 5.5
Stoppage (Other) 35 25.5 13 20.5
Turnover 61 51.0 41 48.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Western Bulldogs.

Chain start region

Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective.

Category Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
Kick-in D50 1 0.5 2 1.0
Centre Bounce Centre 12 9.5 8 5.5
Stoppage (Other) D50 1 0.5 0 0.0
Stoppage (Other) Centre 0 0.0 0 0.5
Stoppage (Other) Wing 20 13.5 6 16.0
Stoppage (Other) F50 14 11.5 7 4.0
Turnover D50 6 4.0 8 7.0
Turnover Centre 1 3.5 8 7.0
Turnover Wing 42 25.5 19 29.0
Turnover F50 12 18.0 6 5.0
Region For Against
Match Season Match Season *
D50 8 5.0 10 8.0
Centre 13 13.0 16 13.0
Wing 62 39.0 25 45.0
F50 26 29.5 13 9.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Western Bulldogs.

Points from defensive half

For Against
Match Season Match Season *
39 23.5 17 22.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Western Bulldogs.

Centre Bounce Attendances

  CBAs CBA % 2024 % 2023 %
Max Gawn 25 86 86.8 64.9
Christian Salem 22 76 58.5 0.0
Jack Viney 20 69 73.6 72.1
Clayton Oliver 20 69 66.0 81.4
Christian Petracca 18 62 60.4 61.1
Kysaiah Pickett 7 24 24.1 11.2
Jacob van Rooyen 4 14 9.4 7.6
Tom Sparrow 0 0 24.5 44.9
Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 1.9 2.1
Tom McDonald 0 0 0.0 5.7
Trent Rivers 0 0 0.0 3.0
Josh Schache     8.3 0.0
Charlie Spargo     4.2 0.0

Ruck Contests and Hitouts

Ruck Contests

  Ruck
Contests
RC % 2024 % 2023 %
Max Gawn 60 74 80.1 57.5
Jacob van Rooyen 21 26 12.4 13.1
Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0.0 0.0
Ben Brown 0 0 0.0 2.3
Christian Petracca 0 0 0.0 0.4
Clayton Oliver 0 0 0.0 0.1
Steven May 0 0 0.0 0.0
Tom McDonald 0 0 0.0 9.3
Tom Sparrow 0 0 0.0 0.0
Josh Schache     13.3 4.1

Hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
To Adv. %
(2024)
To Adv. %
(2023)
Max Gawn 60 35 17 34.7 30.1
Jacob van Rooyen 21 3 0 0.0 31.1
Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0   0.0
Ben Brown 0 0 0   0.0
Christian Petracca 0 0 0   100.0
Tom McDonald 0 0 0   20.0
Josh Schache       100.0 0.0

Opposition hitouts

  Ruck
Contests
Hitouts To
Adv.
Tim English 60 21 10
Rory Lobb 21 6 0
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Posted (edited)

Round 1, 2024 MCG - Demons vs Bulldogs

A nice uptick from many vs our first week.  Team rating nearly 4% up on Season 2023's rating.

Tracc, Maxy, Billings & a rampaging Clazz on the improve leading the way.

The return of Pickett made a big difference up forward with a few decent cameos through the middle as did BB.  Petty & McAdam on the mend plus Moniz apparently having a decent praccy hit out with Casey.  Petty still a ways off according to Mr Fence having barely touched the pill in just over a half of footy?

Lurved Windsor's game.  Not getting too carried away just yet and much work ahead but that was a nice MCG debut.  Had some tulip feels to it.

Not taking much notice of ANB's rating.  Thought he played his role well and finished nicely when the opportunity arose.  Bit of a run with on the Bont yet?  No easy task keeping him quiet.  The rating most likely missing this important aspect.

T-Mac very solid down back along with the defensive line as a whole.

Chandler's best game in quite a while!  Serviceable return from Marty.

The not so great?  Sparrow & Fritta a long way off the pace in this one.  Rivers had some moments but seemingly a fair way off his best as well.

Player Rating Rank 2023 Season Rating % Change vs 2023
C Petracca 6.000 1 4.707 27.47
Max Gawn 5.275 2 3.350 57.46
J Billings 4.575 3 - -
C Oliver 4.300 4 5.002 -14.03
J Lever 4.275 5 3.131 36.54
Jack Viney 4.100 6 3.707 10.60
T McDonald 3.950 7 2.054 92.31
C Salem 3.825 8 2.993 27.80
S May 3.750 9 3.213 16.71
Ed Langdon 3.475 10 3.057 13.67
K Pickett 3.125 11 2.101 48.74
K Chandler 3.075 12 2.265 35.76
B Howes 2.975 13 - -
J McVee 2.975 13 2.320 28.23
T Rivers 2.850 15 3.696 -22.89
C Windsor < 63% 2.675 16 - -
Ben Brown 2.375 17 1.941 22.36
M Hore 2.325 18 - -
J V Rooyen 2.200 19 2.170 1.38
T Sparrow 1.925 20 2.811 -31.52
A N-Bullen 1.325 21 2.532 -47.67
B Fritsch 1.050 22 2.324 -54.82
T Woewodin > 14% 0.550 23 1.406 -60.88
Team Score 72.40   69.86 3.64
Top 6 28.53   24.43 16.76
Bottom 6 11.20   15.17 -26.17

< Subbed out TOG

> Subbed in TOG

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

Edited by Demon Dynasty
  • Like 1
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Posted

Thanks DD much improved from the Swans game where we were mauled in the last quarter and a bit surprised that Rick’s stats are better than Steven Mays. I thought that May was our best back by some margin.😁

  • Like 2
Posted
15 minutes ago, DeeZone said:

Thanks DD much improved from the Swans game where we were mauled in the last quarter and a bit surprised that Rick’s stats are better than Steven Mays. I thought that May was our best back by some margin.😁

No worries DZ.  May is often taking the oppo's best / baddest (higher rated?) forward most weeks. 

This ratings system doesn't allow for these factors.  I thought May was ahead on the day also (at the ground and on the replay).  Would need to watch the replay again to be sure.  If i had the time!  Although i think there is a drill down of player highlights somewhere from memory on the AFL match day tab where they show all their involvements.  Is that still going?

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Posted

Round 1, 2024 MCG - Demons vs Bulldogs

Before i get to the Dog's ratings i forgot to post the Demon scoring efficiency numbers.  Much improved on last week...

Disposals Per Goal  24.50
% In50s Goal (AFL ave 27%) 30.20
Conversion % 55.20

Bulldogs

Player Rating Rank
M Bontempelli 4.975 1
J Johannisen 4.825 2
L Bramble 4.550 3
A Treloar 4.300 4
T English 4.225 5
T Liberatore  3.750 6
Ed Richards 3.525 7
Bailey Dale 3.125 8
B Williams 2.900 9
R West 2.400 10
J U-Hagan 2.300 11
C Weightman 2.050 12
H Gallagher 1.950 13
N Coffield 1.900 14
Liam Jones 1.750 15
C Daniel > 29% 1.600 16
B Khamis 1.575 17
L McNeil 1.550 18
R Sanders < 55% 1.450 19
A Naughton 1.100 20
J Harmes 0.975 21
L Vandermeer 0.900 22
Rory Lobb 0.625 23
Team Score 57.68  
Top 6 26.63  
Bottom 6 7.55  

< Subbed out TOG

> Subbed in TOG

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

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Posted

Surprising to see Kozz get 7 CBAs and Sparrow none, especially after Sparrow was in ~25% against the Swans and ~45% in 2023.

Seems about right for Kozz imo, get him in to shake things up but not wear him out.

Sparrow might have an injury? Seems odd not to use him in there at all. 

  • Like 3

Posted
18 minutes ago, Fromgotowoewodin said:

Surprising to see Kozz get 7 CBAs and Sparrow none, especially after Sparrow was in ~25% against the Swans and ~45% in 2023.

Seems about right for Kozz imo, get him in to shake things up but not wear him out.

Sparrow might have an injury? Seems odd not to use him in there at all. 

Yep, you're right that is curious Sparrow with zero CBAs. I didn't clock that.

Cant imagine he is carrying anything, otherwise surely he would have been subbed off.

And his TOG was 77%, ahead (just) of similar players in Salo, Viney and Clarry, so they weren't managing him.  

  • Like 3
Posted
34 minutes ago, binman said:

Yep, you're right that is curious Sparrow with zero CBAs. I didn't clock that.

Cant imagine he is carrying anything, otherwise surely he would have been subbed off.

And his TOG was 77%, ahead (just) of similar players in Salo, Viney and Clarry, so they weren't managing him.  

Thanks binman I was watching Sparrow in the replay but couldn’t work out what his role was, have Salo and Billing’s edged him out a bit.??

Posted (edited)

Team & Player Ratings to Rnd 1, 2024 vs H&A Season 2023

Player 2024 Rating 2024 Rank 2023 Rating % Change vs 2023 2023 Rank Change in Rank vs 2023
C Petracca 5.125 1 4.707 8.88 2 1
Jack Viney 4.388 2 3.707 18.37 4 2
Steven May 4.200 3 3.213 30.72 8 5
C Oliver 4.050 4 5.002 -19.03 1 -3
Max Gawn 3.988 5 3.350 19.04 7 2
T McDonald* 3.950 6 2.054 92.31 27 21
C Salem 3.363 7 2.993 12.36 12 5
J Billings* > 3.279 8 - - - -
B Howes 3.200 9 - - - -
Judd McVee 3.200 9 2.320 37.93 22 13
A Tomlinson* 3.175 11 2.915 8.92 14 3
Jake Lever 3.175 11 3.131 1.41 9 -2
K Pickett* 3.125 13 2.101 48.74 26 13
T Sparrow 2.725 14 2.811 -3.06 16 2
Ed Langdon 2.650 15 3.057 -13.31 10 -5
C Windsor* < 2.488 16 - - - -
K Chandler 2.488 16 2.265 9.85 23 7
T Rivers 2.400 18 3.696 -35.06 5 -13
Ben Brown* 2.375 19 1.941 22.36 28 9
M Hore* 2.325 20 - - - -
J Bowey* 1.950 21 2.820 -30.85 15 -6
J V Rooyen 1.950 21 2.170 -10.14 25 4
A N-Bullen 1.825 23 2.532 -27.92 20 -3
B Fritsch 1.575 24 2.324 -32.23 21 -3
C Spargo* 1.200 25 1.886 -36.37 29 4
B Laurie* < 0.775 26 2.235 -65.32 24 -2
J Schache* 0.700 27 1.525 -54.10 33 6
T Woewodin* > 0.550 28 1.406 -60.88 34 6
L Hunter - - 2.939 - 13 -
H Petty - - 2.718 - 17 -
D Turner - - 1.825 - 31 -
J Melksham - - 1.599 - 32 -
Team Rating 69.57   69.86 -0.42    
Top 6 25.70   24.43 5.20    
Bottom 6 13.49   15.17 -11.09    

* Played less than two full matches (in total)

< Subbed out at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

> Subbed in at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

Edited by Demon Dynasty
Posted
1 hour ago, DeeZone said:

Thanks binman I was watching Sparrow in the replay but couldn’t work out what his role was, have Salo and Billing’s edged him out a bit.??

I'm not sure Sparrow knew either DZ!

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