On 31/10/2010 at 01:28, america de cali said:

I don't like all this gushing optimism about the draw. Setting us up for a big dose of over confidence and already bookmarking "easy games" and "throwing in the towel" on others. I'd prefer to see every game as a unique challenge with its own variables. We don't yet know which opposition will have the form next season. I am a big believer in the "Take it one game at a time" philosophy.

To be honest with you, I really think people have 'pulled back' their optimism in this poll.

Most say more than what they voted.

Predictions beget expectations, and I understand that. But I will tell you one thing - Bailey will sit down with Connolly at some stage and parse this draw and assess their own internal expectations against it.

The bolded part - As is Bailey, except he would say to "take it one quarter at a time."

  On 31/10/2010 at 01:28, america de cali said:

I don't like all this gushing optimism about the draw. Setting us up for a big dose of over confidence and already bookmarking "easy games" and "throwing in the towel" on others. I'd prefer to see every game as a unique challenge with its own variables. We don't yet know which opposition will have the form next season. I am a big believer in the "Take it one game at a time" philosophy.

I see where you're coming from, but this is a supporter's forum and poll. Obviously, there's a distinction between supporter expectations/hopes and players' mindsets.

  On 31/10/2010 at 02:27, 45HG16 said:

I see where you're coming from, but this is a supporter's forum and poll. Obviously, there's a distinction between supporter expectations/hopes and players' mindsets.

IMO there's not much difference between the clubs and supporters expectations. They generally mirror each other.

  On 31/10/2010 at 01:18, nostradeemus said:

Next year is all stamping our brand in everyone's face! I cannot wait!

You're not Robinson Crusoe there. I want to see Melbourne cause some pain to other clubs. First and foremost Carlton

8th - 11th.

  On 03/11/2010 at 09:38, Bring-Back-Powell said:

8th - 11th.

This eems to be working again.

Interesting to see people's expectations - 85% believe we will go into the Port game over there with Finals on the mind...

Loving the ridiculous optimism of the 9 people who think we'll finish above Collingwood.

Back on.

A little analysis for naysayers (procrastinators); last years effort from Demonlanders produced this:

Finishing 12th: Correct. But we managed to only name 1 of the teams that we finished above correctly.

77% of posters had us winning 7-10 games, with the games that more than 50% of us believed we'd win leaving us with 9. This I will call correct.

Again, however, we struggled with the teams! Of the 8 wins we had, we only correctly picked Richmond (twice), Sydney, Port Adelaide and Essendon.

Less than 25% of us had us beating Brissie, 1% of us had us beating them a second time.

13% of us had us beating Adelaide.

On the flip side, 77% of us had us beating North and 70% had us beating West Coast.

So, somehow, we were able to pretty accurately predict number of wins and ladder position.

  On 05/11/2010 at 22:31, 45HG16 said:

Assorted analysis.

Well done, 45. I guess that just highlights how absolutely wild each year's improvers and sliders are. It might be relatively easy to pick where one team might finish if you know that team well, but it's damn near impossible to catch 'em all, so to speak.

  On 05/11/2010 at 22:31, 45HG16 said:

Back on............................

Excellent work 45. Thanks.

Hoping to be in the eight, and a big win Queen's birthday match.

  On 06/11/2010 at 02:40, 13thflag said:

Hoping to be in the eight, and a big win Queen's birthday match.

Looking at the fixture I came to a guesstimate of 13 wins. That was from marking x games as 'wins' and giving us 50% of the games I marked as 'maybes'.

However, at this stage in our development we're more likely to drop games than the reverse, so I'd vote 11-12.

That still relies on a few of our better players playing most of the season though - I shudder to think of a season without Jamar, for example.