Jump to content

Favourites again

Eth
Eth
in Melbourne Demons

Featured Replies

Posted

I was reading an article I got off this site and noticed Melbourne's odds are at $1.80 to win this week - North are $1.95. I think these odds should flip, because North have been inconsistent but their good showings against West Coast and Hawthorn (although they are not great teams) and their recent dominance over us should see them favourites IMO. And it is at Etihad Stadium.

So, what are your thoughts?

  • Quote
    •  

    Got the feeling these odd will stay much the same, maybe they will enter the game even money. Worth a go I'd reckon, I'll keep the faith!

  • Quote
    • Author

    Got the feeling these odd will stay much the same, maybe they will enter the game even money. Worth a go I'd reckon, I'll keep the faith!

    True, from a positive point of view these are great odds.

  • Quote
    •  

    We are not favorites at Etihad Stadium-That is a fact.

    We gotta earn that one-The Punters are pushing their luck if they think otherwise

  • Quote
    • Author

    We are not favorites at Etihad Stadium-That is a fact.

    We gotta earn that one-The Punters are pushing their luck if they think otherwise

    Clicky here

  • Quote

    Just proves my theory that these online betting agencies are run and used by cowboys.

    We havent won a game away from the MCG for 3 years!!!! How can we be the Favorite-Its absurd.

  • Quote

    Just proves my theory that these online betting agencies are run and used by cowboys.

    We havent won a game away from the MCG for 3 years!!!! How can we be the Favorite-Its absurd.

    Haven't won 3 in a row for about 3 years either

  • Quote

    Trenners / Scully / Bail / McKenzie hadnt won anywhere before this year.

    They dont seem to care much where they win and im not going to tell them otherwise.

    IMO - If we play with anywhere near the intensity we did on saturday we will smash North, who are a very average side.

    Go Dees!

  • Quote
    •  

    Don't be so sure.

    What worries me about North is the pressure they put on the ball carrier (similar to our own). Adelaide, Richmond, Brisbane and certainly Collingwood were all very poor with this. The only team that put this sort of pressure on was Hawthorn and we buckled.

    Now we are a far better team with significantly higher confidence than round 1, however, its defensive pressure that will bring us unstuck, force mid-field turnovers and force us to play wide.

    How to beat the demons:

    1. Defensive Pressure

    2. Zone the corridor

    Also we are not playing at the MCG. I think I might tip North.

  • Quote

    Just proves my theory that these online betting agencies are run and used by cowboys.

    We havent won a game away from the MCG for 3 years!!!! How can we be the Favorite-Its absurd.

    You can't help but understand the bookies being impressed with Melbourne's showing against Brisbane. They'd understand the confidence gained from such wins and the momentum gained, despite the poor record at Etihad. I think the odds are about right.

    I'll speculate that there would be quite a few Melb supporters who also love the punt. The bookies could be wary too.

  • Quote

    Don't be so sure.

    What worries me about North is the pressure they put on the ball carrier (similar to our own). Adelaide, Richmond, Brisbane and certainly Collingwood were all very poor with this. The only team that put this sort of pressure on was Hawthorn and we buckled.

    Now we are a far better team with significantly higher confidence than round 1, however, its defensive pressure that will bring us unstuck, force mid-field turnovers and force us to play wide.

    How to beat the demons:

    1. Defensive Pressure

    2. Zone the corridor

    Also we are not playing at the MCG. I think I might tip North.

    The noticeable thing from the weekend is we are not shy of the pressure and run in sufficient numbers to make a zone difficult.

    When the centre was zoned last week we switched wide very quickly which was effective.

    Critically we are not fumbling in pressure situations.

  • Quote

    The fact we are the Transition Kings TM means other team have little time to set up a zone.

    It has a lot to do with where and how we create turnovers.

  • Quote

    Trenners / Scully / Bail / McKenzie hadnt won anywhere before this year.

    They dont seem to care much where they win and im not going to tell them otherwise.

    IMO - If we play with anywhere near the intensity we did on saturday we will smash North, who are a very average side.

    Go Dees!

    I hope you are dead right mate, but the bottom line is we have played 5 in a row at the MCG and have not won away from their since 2007, so until the final siren blasts and we are in front i will not have us as favorites when playing away-not yet anyway.

  • Quote

    You can't help but understand the bookies being impressed with Melbourne's showing against Brisbane. They'd understand the confidence gained from such wins and the momentum gained, despite the poor record at Etihad. I think the odds are about right.

    I'll speculate that there would be quite a few Melb supporters who also love the punt. The bookies could be wary too.

    You could well be right HT. If i had taken the odds on Melbourne over the last 4 weeks i could have retired, sadly i didn't!!!

  • Quote

    Melbourne's odds are at $1.80 to win this week - North are $1.95.

    Betting odds are not probabilities. They reflect the way the punters are betting.

    If the bookies were taking bets on Sav Rocca winning gold in the Olympic luge, the more the punters plunged (just in case), the more the odds would wind in. Even though the actual probability remains fixed.

  • Quote

    Demons will win this in a canter.

    Absolutely nothing to worry about.

    I wasn't worried until I read this post :lol:

  • Quote

    • Archived

    This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

    Go to topic listing

    Featured Content

    • PREVIEW: West Coast

      Saturday’s election night game in Perth between the West Coast Eagles and Melbourne represents 18th vs 15th which makes it a tough decision as to which party to favour. The Eagles have yet to break the ice under their new coach in Andrew McQualter who is the second understudy in a row to confront Demon Coach Simon Goodwin who was also winless until a fortnight ago. On that basis, many punters might be considering to go with the donkey vote but I’ve been assigned with the task of helping readers to come to a considered opinion on this matter of vital importance across the nation. It was almost a year ago that I wrote a preview here of the Demons’ away game against the Eagles (under the name William from Waalitj because it was Indigenous Round).  I issued a warning that it was a danger game, based on my local knowledge that the home team were no longer easybeats and that they possessed a wunderkind generational player in Harley Reid who was capable of producing stellar performances playing among men a decade and more older than he.  At the time, the Eagles already had two wins off the back of a couple of the young man’s masterclasses and they had recently given the Bombers a scare straight after their Anzac Day blockbuster draw against the then reigning premiers.

        • Thanks
        • Like
      • 1 reply
      Demonland
      Demonland

    • NON-MFC: Round 08

      Round 08 of the 2025 AFL Season kicks off on Thursday with a must-win game for the Bombers to stay in touch with the top eight, while the struggling Roos seek a morale-boosting upset. Friday sees the Saints desperate for a win as well if they are to stay in finals contention and their opponents the Dockers will be eager to crack in to the Top 8 with a win on the road. Saturday kicks off with a pivotal clash for both sides asthe Bulldogs look to solidify their top-eight spot, while Port seeks to shake their pretender tag. Then the Crows will be looking to steady their topsy turvy season against a resurgent Blues looking to make it 4 wins on the trot. On Election Night a Blockbuster will see the ladder-leading Pies take on the Cats, who are keen to bounce back after a narrow loss. On Sunday the Sydney Derby promises fireworks as the Giants aim to cement their top-eight status, while the Swans fight to keep their season alive. The Hawks, celebrating their centenary, will be looking to easily account for the Tigers who are desperate to halt their slide. The Round concludes on Sunday Night with a top end of the table QClash with significant ladder implications; both Queensland teams are in scintillating form. Who are you tipping this week and what are the best results for the Demons?

      • 59 replies
      Demonland
      Demonland

    • PREGAME: West Coast

      The Demons hit the road in Round 8, heading to Perth to face the West Coast Eagles at Optus Stadium. With momentum building, the Dees will be aiming for a third straight victory to keep their season revival on course. Who comes in and who goes out?

        • Thanks
      • 467 replies
      Demonland
      Demonland

    • REPORT: Richmond

      The fans who turned up to the MCG for Melbourne’s Anzac Day Eve clash against Richmond would have been disappointed if they turned up to see a great spectacle. As much as this was a night for the 71,635 in attendance to commemorate heroes of the nation’s past wars, it was also a time for the Melbourne Football Club to consolidate upon its first win after a horrific start to the 2025 season. On this basis, despite the fact that it was an uninspiring and dour struggle for most of its 100 minutes, the night will be one for the fans to remember. They certainly got value out of the pre match activity honouring those who fought for their country. The MCG and the lights of the city as backdrop was made for nights such as these and, in my view, we received a more inspirational ceremony of Anzac culture than others both here and elsewhere around the country. 

        • Love
        • Thanks
        • Like
      • 0 replies
      Demonland
      Demonland

    • CASEY: Richmond

      The match up of teams competing in our great Aussie game at its second highest level is a rarity for a work day Thursday morning but the blustery conditions that met the players at a windswept Casey Fields was something far more commonplace.They turned the opening stanza between the Casey Demons and a somewhat depleted Richmond VFL into a mess of fumbling unforced errors, spilt marks and wasted opportunities for both sides but they did set up a significant win for the home team which is exactly what transpired on this Anzac Day round opener. Casey opened up strong against the breeze with the first goal to Aidan Johnson, the Tigers quickly responded and the game degenerated into a defensive slog and the teams were level when the first siren sounded.

        • Clap
        • Thanks
        • Like
      • 0 replies
      Demonland
      Demonland

    • PODCAST: Richmond

      The Demonland Podcast will air LIVE on Monday, 28th April @ 8:00pm. Join Binman, George & I as we analyse the Demons 2nd win for the year against the Tigers.
      Your questions and comments are a huge part of our podcast so please post anything you want to ask or say below and we'll give you a shout out on the show.
      If you would like to leave us a voicemail please call 03 9016 3666 and don't worry no body answers so you don't have to talk to a human.
      Listen LIVE: https://demonland.com/
      Call: 03 9016 3666
      Skype: Demonland31

        • Thanks
      • 29 replies
      Demonland
      Demonland
    View All