Melbourne can still make the 8!

Posted July 15, 200916 yr

All this talk of tanking and resting McLean, Moloney, Jurrah etc while putting Zomer on the ball and Valenti at full fwd should be put to bed.

We can still mathematically make the 8!

This the ladder predictor I came up with and I have us playing Essendon in week 1 of the finals - if all goes to plan

Predicted Ladder # Team Pl W L D PF PA Perc Pts

1 St Kilda 22 21 1 0 2375 1583 150.03 84

2 Geelong 22 19 3 0 2463 1787 137.83 76

3 Collingwood 22 17 5 0 2306 1900 121.37 68

4 W Bulldogs 22 14 8 0 2458 1973 124.58 56

5 Adelaide 22 14 8 0 2049 1907 107.45 56

6 Essendon 22 10 12 0 2111 2133 98.97 40

7 Melbourne 22 10 12 0 1864 2125 87.72 40

8 Carlton 22 9 13 0 2173 2165 100.37 36

9 Bris Lions 22 9 13 0 2046 2074 98.65 36

10 Port Adel 22 9 13 0 2058 2222 92.62 36

11 Hawthorn 22 9 13 0 1921 2174 88.36 36

12 West Coast 22 8 14 0 1926 2140 90.00 32

13 Sydney 22 7 15 0 1895 2176 87.09 28

14 Nth Melb 22 7 15 0 1757 2129 82.53 28

15 Fremantle 22 7 15 0 1794 2318 77.39 28

16 Richmond 22 6 16 0 1877 2267 82.80 24

http://afl.allthestats.com/misc/ladderpredict.php

Edited July 15, 200916 yr by Bring-Back-Powell

Quote

July 15, 200916 yr

All this talk of tanking and resting McLean, Moloney, Jurrah etc while putting Zomer on the ball and Valenti at full fwd should be put to bed.
We can still mathematically make the 8!

This the ladder predictor I came up with and I have us playing Essendon in week 1 of the finals - if all goes to plan

Predicted Ladder # Team Pl W L D PF PA Perc Pts

1 St Kilda 22 21 1 0 2375 1583 150.03 84

2 Geelong 22 19 3 0 2463 1787 137.83 76

3 Collingwood 22 17 5 0 2306 1900 121.37 68

4 W Bulldogs 22 14 8 0 2458 1973 124.58 56

5 Adelaide 22 14 8 0 2049 1907 107.45 56

6 Essendon 22 10 12 0 2111 2133 98.97 40

7 Melbourne 22 10 12 0 1864 2125 87.72 40

8 Carlton 22 9 13 0 2173 2165 100.37 36

9 Bris Lions 22 9 13 0 2046 2074 98.65 36

10 Port Adel 22 9 13 0 2058 2222 92.62 36

11 Hawthorn 22 9 13 0 1921 2174 88.36 36

12 West Coast 22 8 14 0 1926 2140 90.00 32

13 Sydney 22 7 15 0 1895 2176 87.09 28

14 Nth Melb 22 7 15 0 1757 2129 82.53 28

15 Fremantle 22 7 15 0 1794 2318 77.39 28

16 Richmond 22 6 16 0 1877 2267 82.80 24

http://afl.allthestats.com/misc/ladderpredict.php

Craig Cameron still posts here..

Quote

July 15, 200916 yr

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

(wipes tears from eyes)

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Quote

July 15, 200916 yr

All this talk of tanking and resting McLean, Moloney, Jurrah etc while putting Zomer on the ball and Valenti at full fwd should be put to bed.
We can still mathematically make the 8!

This the ladder predictor I came up with and I have us playing Essendon in week 1 of the finals - if all goes to plan

Predicted Ladder # Team Pl W L D PF PA Perc Pts

1 St Kilda 22 21 1 0 2375 1583 150.03 84

2 Geelong 22 19 3 0 2463 1787 137.83 76

3 Collingwood 22 17 5 0 2306 1900 121.37 68

4 W Bulldogs 22 14 8 0 2458 1973 124.58 56

5 Adelaide 22 14 8 0 2049 1907 107.45 56

6 Essendon 22 10 12 0 2111 2133 98.97 40

7 Melbourne 22 10 12 0 1864 2125 87.72 40

8 Carlton 22 9 13 0 2173 2165 100.37 36

9 Bris Lions 22 9 13 0 2046 2074 98.65 36

10 Port Adel 22 9 13 0 2058 2222 92.62 36

11 Hawthorn 22 9 13 0 1921 2174 88.36 36

12 West Coast 22 8 14 0 1926 2140 90.00 32

13 Sydney 22 7 15 0 1895 2176 87.09 28

14 Nth Melb 22 7 15 0 1757 2129 82.53 28

15 Fremantle 22 7 15 0 1794 2318 77.39 28

16 Richmond 22 6 16 0 1877 2267 82.80 24

http://afl.allthestats.com/misc/ladderpredict.php

i love it were gona play finals, go demons, read it and weep you [censored] tanks. :lol:

Quote

July 15, 200916 yr

What are the odds from here of:

MFC winning 7 of 7 including beating both Saints (1) and Geelong at cattery (2)?

Freo winning 4 more games??

and Richmond winning 3 more games???

Plus WCE 4 more when they play MFC Freo and Nth Melb in their 7????

Dreaming!!! :lol:

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July 15, 200916 yr

Nice thread

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July 15, 200916 yr

You're off your head.

Quote

July 15, 200916 yr

All this talk of tanking and resting McLean, Moloney, Jurrah etc while putting Zomer on the ball and Valenti at full fwd should be put to bed.
We can still mathematically make the 8!

This the ladder predictor I came up with and I have us playing Essendon in week 1 of the finals - if all goes to plan

Predicted Ladder # Team Pl W L D PF PA Perc Pts

1 St Kilda 22 21 1 0 2375 1583 150.03 84

2 Geelong 22 19 3 0 2463 1787 137.83 76

3 Collingwood 22 17 5 0 2306 1900 121.37 68

4 W Bulldogs 22 14 8 0 2458 1973 124.58 56

5 Adelaide 22 14 8 0 2049 1907 107.45 56

6 Essendon 22 10 12 0 2111 2133 98.97 40

7 Melbourne 22 10 12 0 1864 2125 87.72 40

8 Carlton 22 9 13 0 2173 2165 100.37 36

9 Bris Lions 22 9 13 0 2046 2074 98.65 36

10 Port Adel 22 9 13 0 2058 2222 92.62 36

11 Hawthorn 22 9 13 0 1921 2174 88.36 36

12 West Coast 22 8 14 0 1926 2140 90.00 32

13 Sydney 22 7 15 0 1895 2176 87.09 28

14 Nth Melb 22 7 15 0 1757 2129 82.53 28

15 Fremantle 22 7 15 0 1794 2318 77.39 28

16 Richmond 22 6 16 0 1877 2267 82.80 24

http://afl.allthestats.com/misc/ladderpredict.php

can i have some of what your on??? :blink:

Quote

July 15, 200916 yr

Melbourne can still make the 8 ..yeah can see it.. Now would you like to watch that from the wonderful vantage point of your new bridge ?? ..have one for sale B)

Gotta love the confidence though

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July 15, 200916 yr

Gave me a chuckle.

Quote

July 15, 200916 yr

All this talk of tanking and resting McLean, Moloney, Jurrah etc while putting Zomer on the ball and Valenti at full fwd should be put to bed.
We can still mathematically make the 8!

This the ladder predictor I came up with and I have us playing Essendon in week 1 of the finals - if all goes to plan

Predicted Ladder # Team Pl W L D PF PA Perc Pts

1 St Kilda 22 21 1 0 2375 1583 150.03 84

Who did St KFC lose to?

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July 15, 200916 yr

Who did St KFC lose to?

Has to be us.

Quote

July 15, 200916 yr

"Has to be us."

Feasible in these slightly improbable circumstances, since StK would be at least 3 games clear on top, with no incentive in round 22, while we'd be playing for our lives.

I remember in 1987, after16 rounds, we'd won 6 and lost 10. I suggested to my mates before the round 17 match that we could make the 5 (or was it 6 then?). They scoffed. This is a tad less likely, but would raise its head if we(on a 2 game winning streak), beat Geelong(on a 2 game losing streak ) on Sat.

Having said that, I pray that we only win one(or none) more.

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July 15, 200916 yr

That would be 9 wins straight, almost garuanteed to win the premiership with that kind of form going into the finals.

But we'd only get pick 16 in this scenario!!! A shocking return for the year.

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July 15, 200916 yr

Jeepers! We are making the finals? Better make sure i renew my MCC membership in time.

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July 16, 200916 yr

Gold

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July 16, 200916 yr

You can get 100-1 on Betfair for the Demons to make the top 8. Put your money where your mouth is!

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July 16, 200916 yr

You can get 100-1 on Betfair for the Demons to make the top 8. Put your money where your mouth is!

That's a bit short really. It'd be at least 100-1 about the Dees getting up against both St Kilda AND Geelong, never mind the rest.

Quote

July 16, 200916 yr

We can still mathematically make the top 4. Here's what my prediction looks like:

1 St Kilda 22 21 1 0 1543 1219 126.58 84

2 Geelong 22 19 3 0 1665 1507 110.48 76

3 Collingwood 22 14 8 0 1499 1282 116.93 56

4 Melbourne 22 10 12 0 3252 1560 208.46 40

5 W Bulldogs 22 10 12 0 1694 1333 127.08 40

6 Adelaide 22 10 12 0 1373 1228 111.81 40

7 Essendon 22 10 12 0 1448 1398 103.58 40

8 Bris Lions 22 10 12 0 1407 1405 100.14 40

9 Port Adel 22 10 12 0 1398 1522 91.85 40

10 Hawthorn 22 10 12 0 1293 1451 89.11 40

11 West Coast 22 10 12 0 1277 1443 88.50 40

12 Carlton 22 10 12 0 1539 1766 87.15 40

13 Sydney 22 9 13 0 1358 1705 79.65 36

14 Fremantle 22 8 14 0 1278 1939 65.91 32

15 Richmond 22 8 14 0 1242 1891 65.68 32

16 Nth Melb 22 7 15 0 1109 1726 64.25 28

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July 16, 200916 yr

As they said in the Castle!

Tell'em his Dreamin!

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July 16, 200916 yr

We can still mathematically make the top 4. Here's what my prediction looks like:
1 St Kilda 22 21 1 0 1543 1219 126.58 84

2 Geelong 22 19 3 0 1665 1507 110.48 76

3 Collingwood 22 14 8 0 1499 1282 116.93 56

4 Melbourne 22 10 12 0 3252 1560 208.46 40

5 W Bulldogs 22 10 12 0 1694 1333 127.08 40

6 Adelaide 22 10 12 0 1373 1228 111.81 40

7 Essendon 22 10 12 0 1448 1398 103.58 40

8 Bris Lions 22 10 12 0 1407 1405 100.14 40

9 Port Adel 22 10 12 0 1398 1522 91.85 40

10 Hawthorn 22 10 12 0 1293 1451 89.11 40

11 West Coast 22 10 12 0 1277 1443 88.50 40

12 Carlton 22 10 12 0 1539 1766 87.15 40

13 Sydney 22 9 13 0 1358 1705 79.65 36

14 Fremantle 22 8 14 0 1278 1939 65.91 32

15 Richmond 22 8 14 0 1242 1891 65.68 32

16 Nth Melb 22 7 15 0 1109 1726 64.25 28

ooze to juice wow

how things have changed.

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July 16, 200916 yr

We can still mathematically make the 8!......................

magic thread...let's go for it !!!! Now let's start with Geelong

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July 16, 200916 yr

Ooze2juice, are you factoring in a series of 200 point wins? Our percentage looked pretty good in your model.

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July 16, 200916 yr

All our wins were entered as 300 to 0. Jurrah to kick 200 goals in the remaining 7 games.

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July 16, 200916 yr

[quote name='Ooze2Juice'

I like your style, Ooze!

Quote

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