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binman

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Everything posted by binman

  1. Speaking of defensive stats, i reckon Isaac Quaynor is the best medium defender in the AFL. And so is a good reference to get sense on how the juddster is traveling given they play a not dissimilar role. There are different stats you could look at, but arguably the most important stat for that role is 'Percentage of defensive one-on-one contests lost'. Quaynor, considered the best one on one medium defender, only loses 8.3% of his defensive one-on-one contests. The juddster does not suffer badly by comparison, losing only 9.1% of his defensive one-on-one contests - the best of all our defenders (Salo has yet to have 10 contests this season, so is not counted, and surprisingly nor has Gus) Here are the Percentage of defensive one-on-one contests lost numbers for some of our other defenders: May 21.4 % Lever 15.4% Bowey 15.4% Rivers 13.3% https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_stats.html
  2. I know there is probably lots of logistical reason why this game couldn't be on the Monday, but it would have been great if it was on at Vic Park, or the Glass House at say 11am so fans could go prior to the AFL game. I def would.
  3. Can't argue with the numbers for our game. It's science. Go dees.
  4. Yeah, that's what i mean - that's exactly what the Lions try to engineer ie the receiver blocking Koz so he can't pressure Rich. But Koz often gets around the shepard and still gets to Rich, one because he is running from a distance at speed so is traveling quick when he gets close to Rich, and two Koz has brilliant closing speed, lateral movement and agility he uses to get around the block/shepard. And as you say if the receiver chooses not to give it back to Rich (or dacios) because of Koz than that's a win.
  5. Yeah, but the same scenario happens in the Rich examples. ie the receiver tries to block Koz getting to Rich. Daicos plays on, short kicks to say Murphy and runs past for the handball receive, Koz sprints to him as soon as Daicos plays on and follows him and tries to disrupt the handball receive, and if he cant put pressure on the next Daicos kick
  6. Great point. In response to a great observation from DD about why and how they use Daicos as the person kicking out, something that i had not considered or heard anyone in the media talk about. The Lions use Rich in a not dissimilar way - though he doesn't have the speed over the ground, running power or tank of Daicos and so doesn't really track the ball up the ground to create an outnumber and/or a receiving option in the same way Daicos does. But the lions love to have Rich either: kick out short to a player who gives it back to him and then he belts it 60 metres down the line to a contest, meaning the ball is now nearly at the wing and their tall forwards push up the ground to compete for it in the air receive the short kick from the player kicking out, and belts it 60 metres down the line to a contest Goody uses Kozzie in both instances to get across super-fast and really harry Rich, tackle or box him in if possible and put huge pressure on the Rich kick. It is a big part of how we look to disrupt their game plan. He could do exactly the same with Daicos - and has the speed and tank to follow Daicos up the ground. Or perhaps more likely, hand off to Nibbler, who i was thinking this morning would be the perfect player, given his tank and discipline, not so much to hard tag Daicos but more to track him. Nibbler runs up and down the ground all game anyway, so following Daicos, who does much the same thing, albeit from a diff stating point, would not be dissimilar to the role he plays.
  7. Sorry, can you please clarify what this means. Is Oliver not playing but will still train tomorrow?
  8. Shows how little free to air tv i watch - that's the first I've heard about two FCs
  9. Well, you have to give them credit for being leaders in building racist cultures - the Hawks are mere followers.
  10. Maybe if we have a healthy lead with 10 mins to go we can all start chanting: "Colllllllllllllliwobbbbbles!!!!!!"
  11. There's two? Many years ago I watched it religiously. Haven't seen an episode in years.
  12. I was refering more to not having to travel as much, less short breaks between games and mutiple games at the G (six of our last eleven). But on the difficulty of the run home, we have 11 more games and of teams currently in the top 8, we play the Pies, Lions , Cats away and Saints at Marvel. The other seven games are against teams currently outside the 8, including games against the Crows (who can't win away) at the G, Roos, Hawks, Blues again and the Swans, who are paddling, away in the last round. The Pies are slight favorites with the bookies, the Cats will be favs but at home we will be close to even money against the lions, maybe favs and we'll be short odds against the Saints. So of our last 11 games we will likely start favorite in 8, maybe 9 of them. And no longer than say 2.30 (against the cats) That's not a hard run home, particularly if you compare it to last season. It's very similar to the difficulty of the Cats' run in to the finals last season i reckon.
  13. Round 21 it was and we went down fighting by seven, looking gassed and only scoring 3 goals in the second half. But the thing too remember is we smashed them in the first half. The numbers were all our way They only stayed in it because they kicked everything (five zip in the first) and we were wasteful. It was 10.7 to 8.2 at half time. Seven more scoring shots for only a 17 point lead. From memory, we were something like plus 35 expected score.
  14. Won't help their running game much if lupinski is under done. On outs, we have really missed petty.
  15. Leaving aside the comments about the dees, you'd reckon they'd talk a bit more about the impact of their outs. Demonland would be if we were missing players of the quality of de Goey and Sidebottom, not to mention players like Mcstay, Elliot, mcreery and hoskin-elliot under an injury cloud.
  16. The blisters were - i haven't heard he is in hospital! Hopefully they were joking
  17. I suspect if they choose to play Mcstay, the idea will be to force our hand play a third tall defender (which i think we will anyway - Tomo will stay in) and look to exploit tomo one on one
  18. Recovery time for that injury Webs?
  19. Yeah, you mght well be right.
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