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Everything posted by bing181
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THE DROUGHT IS OVER by George on the Outer - POST MATCH DISCUSSION
bing181 replied to Demonland's topic in Melbourne Demons
Plan B? More like executing Plan A properly. "As I said to the boys at quarter-time, it was just about getting back to what we trained for all summer and getting back to the style of play that we know has been really successful for us." -
THE DROUGHT IS OVER by George on the Outer - POST MATCH DISCUSSION
bing181 replied to Demonland's topic in Melbourne Demons
No. If there's any difference between Goodwin and Roos it's that they have different players at their disposal. In particular ... Lewis. Arguably our best player in the first quarter, and just having him out there each week is going to make a huge difference. -
THE DROUGHT IS OVER by George on the Outer - POST MATCH DISCUSSION
bing181 replied to Demonland's topic in Melbourne Demons
Great win. One negative is that if Smith is unavailable, backline choices becoming seriously problematic. Add him to Hibberd, Garland, White, Wagner and Frost. The cupboard looking very bare. -
Wasn't the only one in that vein.
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Not you, that was clear from your first quarter remarks.
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re The Big Surprise. You can tell us. No one will say a word. Promise. Cross my heart and hope to die. Honestly.
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If Garland doesn't get picked with those 3 out, then he's almost certainly played his last game for the Dees.
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Not disagreeing but Le Cras (and a few other Eagles' players) are elite, and they're going to get off the chain from time to time, whatever happens. Best solution is to cut off supply further up the ground, which is where the turnovers really hurt us.
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No-one's immune to cognitive biases in the same way that no-one's immune to optical illusions. This includes you, and "no-one else can see what's in front of their eyes but I can" is as good an illustration of Bias Blindspot and Confirmation Bias as you'd find. Tom's main problem is that he looks gangly and uncoordinated - the Halo Effect* does the rest. (*the tendency to think that because someone's good/bad at A, they'll also be good/bad at B, C, D etc.)
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JLT Round 4, Thursday 9th March - West Coast at Subiaco
bing181 replied to McQueen's topic in Melbourne Demons
Yes, I know. Paul Roos, terrible match day coach. -
JLT Round 4, Thursday 9th March - West Coast at Subiaco
bing181 replied to McQueen's topic in Melbourne Demons
Take Harmes and ANB out of that side, and we'd cut back on a lot of these turnovers that are gifting them possessions. -
JLT Round 4, Thursday 9th March - West Coast at Subiaco
bing181 replied to McQueen's topic in Melbourne Demons
It never is. Setting up well for the most part, a few mistakes have let them in. -
Availability Heuristic: vivid events effect our judgement more than less-memorable events. It's why we think shark attacks are a greater risk than falling coconuts. Also, the difference in how we assess the seriousness of back vs forward line clangers reflects our inbuilt aversion to loss in comparison to equivalent gain. Turnovers in the backline are potentially much more costly. There's a PhD in Behavioural Economics here for someone. (Agree about Harmes.)
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Agree, though a more accurate match to describe this kind of cognitive fallacy is the Bandwagon Effect. When it comes to Tom Mac., plenty are on it. Other biases playing a role here include the Illusory Truth Effect (we equate repetition with truth or increased believability), and the Frequency Illusion (once you notice something, you start to see it everywhere). Though one dud kick from Tom is enough to feed our Confirmation Bias (seeking information that confirms what we already believe, while ignoring information that contradicts it). Groupthink is a pressure to conform, to not rock the boat. It's suppression of dissenting views, including self-suppression. All of these cognitive behaviours lead to irrationality in decision-making in a group or social context. Ahem.
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Up until last year, the international streaming was separate. I was taking that plus an armchair membership, just to be a member. You can still do the two separately, but I was under the impression that it was cheaper to do International + WatchAfl through the club. The quality or otherwise of the streaming content has been largely covered in the Live Pass thread. Everyone accepts that the AFL + Internet is nowhere close to being what it could and should be, and mailing MFC to remind them is to be encouraged. Though I think they're only too aware of it ...
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Confirmation bias is seeking information that confirms your existing views, while rejecting information that contradicts them. It's not about confirming information, it's about confirming your own views. Whether those views are true or not doesn't come into it.
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It would only be validation if it was confirmed by a different source. If it's just someone running with something they read here, that's not validation, it's repetition. To be continued ...
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Demons to play 'Fearless Football': Goodwin
bing181 replied to Lucifers Hero's topic in Melbourne Demons
MMGA -
Absolutely. I remember when I was living in Brussels a few years back, and all the local footy was switched exclusively to internet. Must have made sense financially. The thing that gets me as well is that streaming on a computer or phone is a whole other experience, with other possibilities (technically). They should be offering multiple cameras, your own instant replay, and the biggie I always enjoyed from the dark days of streaming (when it's all there was ...), real-time comments from fellow viewers. At times it was almost like being there: "goooooaaaalllll !!!" (etc. etc.) With the international WatchAFL service, they're also missing out on revenue, because they just stream the Australian ads, which are completely wasted on we expats. Should be a big opportunity for airlines and travel companies etc. to target a niche market, but no-one at the AFL seems to have their heads around the possibilities. They still seem to think that by putting up TV-on-a-computer, they're offering a service.
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I'd complain heartily. I'm on the international subscription, where we watch through the watchafl site, but a) the subscriptions through the clubs were only put in place a few days ago and b) the subscription procedure doesn't work. Someone in the Membership Dept. very kindly hooked me up manually as it were. Once again, for all things Internet, the AFL are back in the dark ages. You get the feeling they wish it would all just go away.
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Training - Wednesday 15th February, 2017
bing181 replied to Whispering_Jack's topic in Melbourne Demons
Quite the comeback. -
You can lead a Biff to Altona and Paris, but you can't make him think.
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Yes, you're blinkered, and have nothing to back up your sweeping and bigoted generalisation. The only people who don't want to live alongside muslims in large numbers are people who've never lived alongside muslims in large numbers. They're just people, like the rest of us.
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The mind boggles.
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Trump had nothing to do with Ford's plans, and they'll still be building cars in Mexico. No jobs were gained, and none were going to be lost (deal with unions).