Everything posted by old55
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2023 Best and Fairest
Fascinated to see if Maynard tries to jump on Steven May at the first opportunity in next year's KB match like he did on Ed Langdon in last year's ...
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2023 List and Contract Details
I don't have confirmation on these, but I think I heard in association with the new CBA that: The extra Veterans list spot was not agreed Mid season Rookies can stay on the Rookie list for an extra year so it may not be compulsory to elevate Disco
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2023 AFL National Draft prospects: The next batch
I think there was some discussion associated with the new CBA that mid season rookies could stay on the rookie list for an extra year, so you might be right about Disco's elevation able to be delayed. Reports from the BnF, BBB told posters that he's playing on.
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2023 AFL National Draft prospects: The next batch
At this stage I only see 3 primary list vacancies to take to the draft. Off (6): Harmes, Grundy, Hibberd, Melksham (re-rookied), Jordon, Dunstan On (3): D.Turner (elevated), McAdam, Fullarton One of those 3 will be Kynan Brown with a late pick, so we'll only be taking 2 live picks to the draft. We'll be trading up, trading out to 2024 or both.
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Any word on Angus?
Gus would have finished a clear 3rd in the BnF too if the "accident" hadn't happened.
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Any word on Angus?
Thanks, what is his alignment, do you know? I think this is an important consideration.
- The GCS Pick 4 Thread
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Any word on Angus?
Is Jeff Gleeson aligned with Collingwood? Can you please provide a link?
- Trade Rumours 2023
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Yze gets the Tigers Coaching Job
Macrae from the bench, Fagan from the box ...
- Welcome to Demonland: Tom Fullarton
- Welcome to Demonland: Tom Fullarton
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Xavier Duursma
Buy low.
- Trade Rumours 2023
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AFL Trade Radio
Twomey and Beveridge are two of the best analysts and most informed AFL journos. You fancy yourself in the draft and trade space, surely you must acknowledge that Twomey is very good in this area.
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Matt Flynn
Don't cut off your nose to spite your face ...
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Melksham set to play on in 2024
Makes sense if we cycle him to the Rookie list
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Matt Flynn
If they believe the deal will advantage them they'll still do it.
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North Melbourne Assistance Package
and get JVR instead ...
- Trade Rumours 2023
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Operation Mihocek & Frampton
Sorry it was my mistaken axes labelling - the x axis is time and the y axis expected score and win probability. So as you expect. Don't blame the author for my mistake (now corrected above in the original post for first time reader clarity) The goal scoring position charts are very informative. I am old school on this, a big fan of Edward Tufte. He would be happy with the work we're discussing. Suggest you look just a little bit harder. Did you actually expand the Tweet?
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2023 GRAND FINAL
One major factor in Collingwood's win, despite their overall inaccuracy, was their finishing from set shots outside 50 at crucial times. Crisp x 2 (he did it against us too from exactly the same spot), De Goey and Sidebottom all nailed long goals - we very rarely do that. There's ball to be marked around the 50 and we can do that but we rarely convert from there - either the long kick to the pocket for a stoppage or take the risk of a point and turnover. Who do we have with the range and accuracy? Petracca, Sparrow and Rivers definitely have the length. Melksham has both but will be out - maybe McAdam can do it? Petty and Joel Smith may be able to - not enough examples yet. Salem probably used to be able to but seems to have lost a lot of depth. This is a very important asset when the 50 is crowded.
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2024 AFL National Draft prospects: The next batch
I think it's important to get elite talent from developing states to the clubs in those states. Take away the points discount and enforce that the first matching pick has to be within one round ie 18 picks of the bid. Firmly re-instate that picks must equal available list spaces. That will ensure fairer value is paid.
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Operation Mihocek & Frampton
It's a very good graphical representation of the data. The x axis is time, the y axis is expected score and the dotted line is chance of winning. One thing I saw immediately from the score charts was confirmation that Collingwood kicked 4 goals from set shots outside 50. That was a huge difference in this game.
- Welcome to Demonland: Shane McAdam