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old55

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Everything posted by old55

  1. old55 replied to Random Task's post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    Fascinated to see if Maynard tries to jump on Steven May at the first opportunity in next year's KB match like he did on Ed Langdon in last year's ...
  2. I don't have confirmation on these, but I think I heard in association with the new CBA that: The extra Veterans list spot was not agreed Mid season Rookies can stay on the Rookie list for an extra year so it may not be compulsory to elevate Disco
  3. I think there was some discussion associated with the new CBA that mid season rookies could stay on the rookie list for an extra year, so you might be right about Disco's elevation able to be delayed. Reports from the BnF, BBB told posters that he's playing on.
  4. At this stage I only see 3 primary list vacancies to take to the draft. Off (6): Harmes, Grundy, Hibberd, Melksham (re-rookied), Jordon, Dunstan On (3): D.Turner (elevated), McAdam, Fullarton One of those 3 will be Kynan Brown with a late pick, so we'll only be taking 2 live picks to the draft. We'll be trading up, trading out to 2024 or both.
  5. old55 replied to pitmaster's post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    Gus would have finished a clear 3rd in the BnF too if the "accident" hadn't happened.
  6. old55 replied to pitmaster's post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    Thanks, what is his alignment, do you know? I think this is an important consideration.
  7. old55 replied to Stiff Arm's post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    If they encourage him to nominate they'll have to take him. Too much bad faith if they don't.
  8. old55 replied to pitmaster's post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    Is Jeff Gleeson aligned with Collingwood? Can you please provide a link?
  9. old55 replied to Random Task's post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    You don't want McAdam, but you do want Mathieson. OK ....
  10. Macrae from the bench, Fagan from the box ...
  11. Future 4th would be preferred- then we can still trade our F1st.
  12. I think you'll be disappointed if you're hoping for "battering ram".
  13. old55 replied to Demonland's post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    Buy low.
  14. old55 replied to Random Task's post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    Did you see him marche on Le Champs Elysees?
  15. old55 replied to Whispering_Jack's post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    Twomey and Beveridge are two of the best analysts and most informed AFL journos. You fancy yourself in the draft and trade space, surely you must acknowledge that Twomey is very good in this area.
  16. old55 replied to old55's post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    Don't cut off your nose to spite your face ...
  17. Makes sense if we cycle him to the Rookie list
  18. old55 replied to old55's post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    If they believe the deal will advantage them they'll still do it.
  19. and get JVR instead ...
  20. old55 replied to Random Task's post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    I agree Watson's kicking seemed rushed and a bit erratic in that GF but his ball winning and handling at full pace (and his is fast) was very impressive.
  21. Sorry it was my mistaken axes labelling - the x axis is time and the y axis expected score and win probability. So as you expect. Don't blame the author for my mistake (now corrected above in the original post for first time reader clarity) The goal scoring position charts are very informative. I am old school on this, a big fan of Edward Tufte. He would be happy with the work we're discussing. Suggest you look just a little bit harder. Did you actually expand the Tweet?
  22. old55 replied to Demonland's post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    One major factor in Collingwood's win, despite their overall inaccuracy, was their finishing from set shots outside 50 at crucial times. Crisp x 2 (he did it against us too from exactly the same spot), De Goey and Sidebottom all nailed long goals - we very rarely do that. There's ball to be marked around the 50 and we can do that but we rarely convert from there - either the long kick to the pocket for a stoppage or take the risk of a point and turnover. Who do we have with the range and accuracy? Petracca, Sparrow and Rivers definitely have the length. Melksham has both but will be out - maybe McAdam can do it? Petty and Joel Smith may be able to - not enough examples yet. Salem probably used to be able to but seems to have lost a lot of depth. This is a very important asset when the 50 is crowded.
  23. I think it's important to get elite talent from developing states to the clubs in those states. Take away the points discount and enforce that the first matching pick has to be within one round ie 18 picks of the bid. Firmly re-instate that picks must equal available list spaces. That will ensure fairer value is paid.
  24. It's a very good graphical representation of the data. The x axis is time, the y axis is expected score and the dotted line is chance of winning. One thing I saw immediately from the score charts was confirmation that Collingwood kicked 4 goals from set shots outside 50. That was a huge difference in this game.
  25. Is everyone on the streets of Adelaide talking about the McAdam trade? I knew it was a bit boring there but that is a surprise!