Engorged Onion

We beat up on them by 10 goals at the Gabbitoir* in August and then we got done at the G when 1/3 of a team was significantly crocked in September. The beat us with our ruckman going down for what was feared an ACL in the first 10 mins of the match last time. Which one is the more accurate represenation of the teams? Don't buy into your anxiety @beelzebub We match up well... and without Fritsch and Oliver, we may lose it - and it's still not a 'true' reflection of our system vs theirs. *I back our capacity to beat them at the Gabba, Port in Adelaide, and clearly the Magpies at the 'G' in the finals.

Why would that be different to last time he played (and lost there) whether he 'sets up' or not, he externally has said, it's everyone else's concern and not internally within the club. Further, should he chose to, he can communicate as much as he wants to the players how important it is to win on the 'g' for a range of valid reasons, they've still got to beat our system, by using their system. If you're using external motivation (eg: it's Johnno's 200th, or 'we need to win at the 'g' to prove to ourselves that we can win at the 'g') to try to win, then it's problematic longterm psychologically, as it moves the focus (behaviours away) from your own system/method/philosophy. It's the same retrospective superficial analysis that says, a team wasn't 'up for it' or ' weren't switched on' - that fails to give credit to the other team.

Biggest Predictor of Premiership success is people on the park (key ones in particular) We could easily have won 2/3 more matches due to a few kicks (sure and lost to the Suns and Tigers). Over the next month, we get Salem, BBB and Gawn into better form, and perhaps Clayton and then finally Fritsch, and that is a premiership winning team, that has been spluttering due to injuries.

I always liked Kane 🤷‍♂️😍

How do you make sense if of the Lions getting smashed by 10 goals on their home deck by us and then bundling us out of finals a month later in 2022?

Something to ponder (hold on to??) I meandered up to the Gold Coast and visited the Gabba in August 2022 whereby we smashed Brisbane by 10 goals or so.. and thought 'we're on for the Granny here... A sobering reality check about a month later with Brisbane beating a 'crocked' Melbourne and tumbling out of the finals in straight sets. Whatever happens this Friday night, has no bearing about what happens in the finals.

Was pleased to see Bowie take 1 (or a couple?) of marks in traffic, he' s better overhead than I have given credit for.

See, still inflexible and stubborn tho'.

19 scoring shots - and a nice little regression back to the mean. 63.15% and 3(?) posters

I have nothing to add, as to why it would be the case, but it felt pretty pronounced early in the last when Max took a contested mark, I thought I have barely seen him hold one all year... and I then thought, we'd be on for the win.

He must have got lucky right? 👌

It is perhaps worth considering that AFL is an entertainment product, not a football code. And if you take that as a truth, then you can see why there are many many narratives, particularly towards those that have high memberships (higher clicks, greater purchasing power) Sure, once in a while the 'feel good fairytale' will occur (Western Bulldogs, Melbourne) and, those don't provide a profit, particularly when trying to claw back missed revenue during Covid.

Would you take it if Joe Daniher kicked 19?

Wtf does that even mean? 😆🤷‍♂️

pies conversion a "disgrace" in near perfect conditions for a premiership favorite, 28% 🤷‍♂️

Staying at Crown tonight with my young one and just went to the food court. With the Collingwood, Dogs match, I’ve never been surrounded by so many dead set bogans. It was getting unruly in the public section!!

@Lucifers Hero - in all your trawling though supporters forums for other teams - do other forums discuss 'loading'/'high intensity blocks' etc...?

Correct 99* not out. I'll be there to farewell Jake and cheer on Taj - birth, family legacy, rebirth and death! It's all existential this week at Marvel 😇

Well, they got James to 150. Congrats and thank you.👏

Still the best team we have fielded in my lifetime, and people still get upset, looking purely at the W/L column. It's far more nuanced than that. We're not far off it at all. Imagined if we weren't conditioned to sensationalist media... 🤷‍♂️

That is a really salient point, that emotional posters either don't know, or choose to forget. The injury list is THE biggest predictor of premiership success. I also hope that all your follow up posts also take this into account... because all your previous certainly don't.

I'm attending my first Marvel Match...with my 7yo. Anyway, what I am looking forward to is BBB kicking 6 goals on his favourite deck. It's a lock.

it's just not good enough 🤷‍♂️

Apologies for starting a random thread so far out - any recommendations for a supporters hotel in Launceston for the North match?

They are some beautifully horrifying stats... imagine when we regress back to the mean 👌😇