A Day at the Races

[Diamond_Jim 12,591]

34 minutes ago, ProperDee said:

Keep selecting those leaders at Caulfield binman

The winner of the first led and should have been run down but kept them all at bay down the straight. 

brilliant run by the riderless horse in the  second at Caulfield

Couldn't help but be impressed by the way he kicked back in the straight to come again on the line

[binman 43,012]

13 hours ago, ProperDee said:

Homesman is the one for me.  Should jump to the front on a leaders track and a big weight drop makes it a very good chance.

Too late. I put all my bets on before the first so locked in. The second was not so leader dominated, but still i think horses will need to be in the first 4 or 5 (which is what i planned for), at least until late in the day. 

Edited October 20, 2018 by binman

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

What’s going on here? I’ve missed the first 3 races, where’s Francesca Cumani?

[binman 43,012]

43 minutes ago, binman said:

Too late. I put all my bets on before the first so locked in. The second was not so leader dominated, but still i think horses will need to be in the first 4 or 5 (which is what i planned for), at least until late in the day. 

Cost me there. Changed from From Within

[Macca 16,972]

Good start from the team thanks to @Wadda We Sing 

Thinkin' Big very impressive.  Never in doubt and the horse looks a decent prospect.

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

DEAD HEAT!!!!

Mask Of Time refused to lose, great finish to that one. 

Edit: The aerial view showed some contact close to the post, will we hear more?

Edited October 20, 2018 by Dee Zephyr

[Macca 16,972]

6 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

DEAD HEAT!!!!

Mask Of Time refused to lose, great finish to that one. 

Edit: The aerial view showed some contact close to the post, will we hear more?

Looks very similar to the Avilius finish from 2 weeks ago.  They dismissed that protest and they should allow for a bit of buffeting over a 2000m race.

But who knows DZ?

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

1 minute ago, Macca said:

Looks very similar to the Avilius finish from 2 weeks ago.  They dismissed that protest and they should allow for a bit of buffeting over a 2000m race.

But who knows DZ?

A 1st vs 1st protest, I’m sure it’s happened before but I can’t remember the last time.

Gytrash left its run too late imo by the way Macca. 

[Macca 16,972]

4 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

A 1st vs 1st protest, I’m sure it’s happened before but I can’t remember the last time.

Gytrash left its run too late imo by the way Macca. 

Yeah that straight at Morphettville can be both short & long on occasions!  Gytrash just didn't quicken when it should have. 

Anyway the team has gone 1.5 from 4 today or should we level things off at 2 from 4?  ha ha

[Macca 16,972]

Best Solution too good ... Homesman was game but there's often a fine line between winning and being an also-ran. 

Full credit to the winner though as it had to carry top weight,  had the wide barrier and it had the Group 1 winning form.  Started 4th favourite so it was well supported. 

 

[Biffen 12,943]

Well done to the towels.

Lock up your camels tonight.

Edited October 20, 2018 by Biffen

[Macca 16,972]

Over to Adelaide for the last 2 ... I'm going with JJ's tips as my picks have been all-at-sea today ?

 

[Biffen 12,943]

3 minutes ago, Macca said:

Over to Adelaide for the last 2 ... I'm going with JJ's tips as my picks have been all-at-sea today ?

 

Thanks Macca-is "all at sea " a euphemism for "completely retarded"?

[Macca 16,972]

Finally a winner with Mahalangur ... would have much preferred the trifecta in the same race though.

Had the placegetters marked but you can't include them all.  Paid 6k plus with one of the favoured runners winning

[binman 43,012]

3 hours ago, binman said:

Cost me there. Changed from From Within

Ouch. Paid the price today for doputting bets on early. Despite the soft track has favoured leaders all day. Infuriating. Was evident early but too late to change.

Punters lament: changed my selections to trailing horses from Shamook, From Within, Best of Days and Thinking Big. Double ouch 

[Macca 16,972]

JJ tips are handy for the exotics ... got 2 decent exacta's from his tips today including 1 in the lucky last.  All that effort to barely break even.  haha

There again,  breaking even is like winning in the final analysis.  Lesson learnt again ... don't invest too much into the big feature races. 

[Macca 16,972]

The British Champion's Series of races from Royal Ascot are on later tonight and the good news is that the event is being shown on the free-to-air channel.  4 Group 1 races over the classic distances and a 2 mile Group 2 race as well are on the card. 

Stradivarius,  Roaring Lion & Cracksman should dominate 3 of the races and all 3 will start very short.  Lah Ti Dah & The Tin Man are also worth looking at in the other 2 Group 1's.  

Full Race Card - Royal Ascot

 

 

 

 

Edited October 20, 2018 by Macca

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

2 hours ago, Biffen said:

Thanks Macca-is "all at sea " a euphemism for "completely retarded"?

Mine were too. Did you have any selections on the day Biff?

[Macca 16,972]

3 hours ago, Biffen said:

Thanks Macca

I was having my worst day for quite some time but got a couple of late collects to save face.  I've had a decent month though so can't complain. 

Might have helped if you'd put forward your Sydney Quaddie Biff - what happened there? ... last week I used a couple of your race selections to get a few collects in the exotics

Edited October 20, 2018 by Macca

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

4 hours ago, Biffen said:

Well done to the towels.

Lock up your camels tonight.

I’m shocked Biff, seriously....how did you know I had a pet camel?

Edited October 20, 2018 by Dee Zephyr

[Macca 16,972]

And Royal Ascot pays off late ... Stradivarius,  Roaring Lion,  Cracksman.  You've gotta love a treble.  Ripper!

[Macca 16,972]

Couple of feature races at Sha Tin later today that might be worth a look.  Some familiar names involved with both races.  

The winner of the Sprint should come from the 3 favoured runners whilst either 'Beauty Generation' or 'Pakistan Star' should win the Mile classic although 'Rise High' may feature with the low weight.

Race 7  The Premier Bowl 1200m Group 2

Race 8  Sha Tin Trophy 1600m Group 2

Edited October 21, 2018 by Macca

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

Looks like today’s Cranbourne meeting has been postponed. Just tuned in to hear there was some kind of fall in the 4th. Higgins and  Brad Rawiller the jockeys involved. Not sure the extent, but ambulances have been on the track for a while now. 

El Magnificence will have to wait for another day. 

Jockeys seem to be ok according to one of the stewards just now. Good to hear.

Edited October 21, 2018 by Dee Zephyr

[Macca 16,972]

Australian Group & Listed Races

Best Bet Strike Rate

44: 15 - 5 - 8

And here's a few replays from yesterday ...

 

 

 

 

[Macca 16,972]

Geelong Cup on Wednesday and it looks a good betting race too ... the locals (or newly acquired locals ?) have real claims as do the overseas contingent. 

If chancing your arm on the exotics a mix of locals & newly arrived horses is probably the go.  The 1, 3 & 6 are all having their first start in the country and all 3 have decent overseas form for this sort of race. 

Geelong Cup 2400m $350k Group 3