Macca

Australian Group & Listed Races Best Bet Strike Rate 40: 13 - 5 - 7

Yeah ... it is probably the go Wadda (slow burn) although I have had a few collects over a shorter time span. What the slow burn does do is give the option of cashing-out or alternatively, one can take a shorter time-span smaller multi within the bigger multi such as what I did. We're not talking big stakes here but the payoff can be really good ... my strategy might be that the 1st pick out of my 2 could be more of a 'sure-thing' and for that pick to be decided earlier than the 'spec' later pick. I valued my 2 picks over this weekend as equal this time, all the same. Just my thoughts moving forward.

If Jesse ends up staying it will be business as usual and he and the club will move on and get on with it. If he wants that next big long term contract wherever that might be, he'll need to perform whenever he sets foot on the ground. I can easily deal with either outcome. Like it or not, players are now commodities and commodities can be sold off or kept as assets. Either/or. No emotion, no drama, no attachment - sell or keep. Like it is with numerous individuals in sport the World over. Loyalty is a 2-way street. So it might be time for a few to take some old-school chill pills ...

Here are the other 3 replays from yesterday including one from Newmarket (UK) raced last night ... the winner of the Dewhurst Stakes (Too Darn Hot) is set for a Guineas & Derby career over there. Definitely one to watch.

Australian Group & Listed Races Best Bet Strike Rate 36: 13 - 5 - 7 And @Biffen's Sydney Qauddie fell 1 leg short first time up. Anyway, here's some replays from yesterday ... I've broken them up into 2 posts for loading purposes.

Benbatl ran just 0.46 seconds outside the 2000m track record at Caulfield yesterday carrying 59kgs at WFA level. Winx at her best should win the Cox Plate but she's got some real competition. And 'Blair House' only got beaten by Benbatl by a nose yesterday so it has real claims as well. Humidor which lost out to Winx by only half a length in last year's Cox Plate was 2.5 lengths behind Benbatl & Blair House yesterday. It is going to be one hell of a race. As for the Caulfield Cup & Melbourne Cup and even the Moonee Valley Cup, Geelong Cup & the Hotham Hcp your guess is as good as mine. There are a few locals with real claims but the overseas contingent are sure to feature including 'Yucatan' from yesterday which was very impressive.

And the notion of a combined multi is starting to serve a good purpose ... we've got a couple of days to wait Wadda but that anticipation feels good knowing that we haven't risked much and we have the cash-out option as well. And for what it's worth, the last time I won a very good amount involved a MNF NFL game so there's another omen. Well done Norway and well picked @Dee Zephyr

Hope this an omen ... At Newmarket tonight 'Norway' won the first race whilst there was another horse in the race called 'Sydney Opera House'. The racing is on the free-to-air racing channel. So come on Norway in the Nations League!

@Diamond_Jim ... here's a link (below) to the Pegasus race meeting. There has been some talk that the Everest could have the same sort of issues especially if the slot-holders keep making losses without a line-up of ready-made replacements. It should be noted that a $7Million turf race has been added to the Pegasus card and that the organisers of the event were pursuing Winx to run in the new race. Meanwhile, the Everest is set to have prize money of $15Million next year. Should they just give the race to Redzel now? ha ha Anyway, here's the link ... Pegasus World Cup

Thanks for that DZ ... did not realise it was on. Tuned in now. I've hopped on to Sha Tin tonight and am following Zac Purton by putting his mounts in a few multiple trifecta's. So far, so good!

Actually I got that wrong ... I need Spain to win in that 4pick as well. Just had a look at the cash-out offer and realised I've only got 2 of the 4 legs up ... and Spain don't play England until Tuesday so the bets are a bit of a slow-burn hey DZ. Anyway, if our bets are all still alive by Tuesday we'll be barracking against England - and then later on barracking for the Packers. That's gotta be tough for a Bears fan ?

The Autumn Sun - Awesome! Cox Plate next? Carrying 49kgs you'd reckon it's a no-brainer. It's only an extra 400m and the horse looks like it can cover extra ground quite easily. And Winx needs some competition!

I don't think so ... the connections have starting taking a more open-minded stance and I read that as they will go on with the horse. The Queen Elizabeth Stakes is worth $4Million next Autumn and Winx will still only be a 7yo then. I wouldn't even rule out another Spring campaign. The money is way too good to retire a horse too early ... Rupert Legh is now talking about taking an 8yo Chautauqua to the USA. And why not?

The overseas form for the staying races just can't be ignored but I'm taking full notice - snagged a reasonable percentage of the trifecta in the Caulfield Stakes and that dividend was way overs if the true form was taken into account. Winx might not have it all her own way in Cox Plate - Benbatl is a serious racehorse.

The Pegasus has been de-valued down to around about the $8Million mark DJ ... stand corrected on that one but I'll find out for sure later.

Redzel just way too good (again) in the Everest. Trapeze Artist & Le Romain boxed on well but the 3rd placegetter Osborne Bulls ran a terrific race racing down the Grandstand side. Really smart ride and picks up $1.2Million for the connections and in turn boosts up the exotic dividends. Ist & 2nd were no-brainers in hindsight but I wouldn't have had Osborne Bulls anyway. Over 10k for the First4. That's decent.

But if you can snag the tri or F4 at least you know it will be a healthy dividend DJ. With the heavy track a few can be kinda ruled out but who knows? Le Romain's heavy track form is excellent and I'm having a go at the boosted odds of 15-1. It's best form is very good anyway.

I put on a pick4 with the first 4 picks that were posted and a pick6 when the last 2 tips came in ... so just need Norway to get up for the early collect. Not sure I've ever cheered for Norway before though DZ - another first! Wadda did well with the Hartnell pick - classy horse.

Yep ... and after winning the Edward Manifold just 1 week ago - flew home! Our pick Smart Melody looked like it found the distance a bit too long. Anyway, DK Weir does it again along with Craig Williams. The Wakeful and/or the Oaks now. Although as Darren Weir said, the horse has done enough already after winning this Group 1 race.

I have boxed your choices in race 9 in a trifecta ... the track up there isn't playing too badly at all. They are a couple of seconds off the better times but the gap isn't that much at all, all things considered.

Sunlight - all class! The day starts well again.

Well they ran 59.70 for the 1000m in the first at Randwick which isn't that slow ... they didn't seem to cut the track up too much either. We'll know more after a couple more races. 'Champagne Boom' looked very impressive winning the first at Caulfield ... cruised to the line and the Hayes group looked to have unearthed another classy type.

Seeing we're on a new page here are our best bets again collated by Wadda (above) The Randwick track is rated as a Heavy9 and showers are predicted for the late morning and the late afternoon. There's been a lot of scratchings up North and the heavy track form will come to the fore especially in the 'Everest'.

I am really enjoying these Nations League games ... the big match-ups are a great departure from the often lop-sided fixtures that can happen with 'Friendlies' As time goes on, the countries will take the games very seriously as a number of Countries already are.

Click on sports at the top and then the 7th category down on 'Quick links' is UEFA Nations League ... click on that and all the matches will appear.