Everything posted by Demon Dynasty
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GAMEDAY: Rd 06 vs Richmond
You mean Jeffy? If we get a result like that after stinking it up like that CB I'll be throwing my own private party!
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PREGAME: Rd 06 vs Richmond
Was our No.1 tackler inside 50 in 2018 so must have done a little chasing / tackling at times. Not saying he couldn't do better but there it is. Jeffy is also our No.1 (non KPF) goal scorer of 2018 from those that remain on our list. A specialist deep forward player that you put there to feed off the crumbs of the Key Talls, clean up and try and score or run into space for the loose ball and score. Emphasis is on making something out of nothing or being where you would expect someone in this role to be in order to finish and kick goals. Chasing down where possible but if you kick the goal there is NO chasing required. You say he is lazy and not chasing his opponent. I'm not saying this doesn't happen at times when he is off. I seem to recall a bit of this also. But what if...his opponent is a reasonably ordinary user of the ball and coach instructs Jeffy to stay at home within a certain distance from goal and not chase outside that area (or if opponent is a fair way off when starting his rebound)...leave that to others to peel off in the zone up field and pressure and conserve energy to - take advantage of potential turnovers for the joe the goose or easy hit ups on a lead? Effectively a plus one up forward on the turnover for the opportunist goal. Unfortunately we really don't have anyone else capable of playing this specialist crumbing / goal kicking role. The closest we had were.... Kent - Was ranked 3rd highest in average goals per game in 2018 just behind T-Mac & Hogan (in that order). Bugg - Ranked 7th Spargo - Ranked 12th. Had moments last year but is now sadly way off AFL level for now for whatever reason...injury / poor form? Hannan - Ranked 5th. Not so much a stay at home specialist around goal playing a fair chunk higher up. Now injured of course. ANB - Ranked 9th - More a run with player / opportunist ...but badly out of form in his 3 matches so far. Hopefully he can find some form tonight. Melk - 6th / Tracc - 10th. More half forwards / pushing into mid. Having said that i think Jeffy (in some decent form) is a perfect foil for Pruess when playing deep in the square. But the old curse has struck again. Will have to wait a little longer.
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Jack Petruccelle
I agree re: growing potential and putting on bulk but both have inches on Pet and can play tall as well as through the mid field. Versatility is invaluable in today's game. Tracc is someone similar who we are all hoping can reach the heady heights of a Cripps or Fyfe (but even he is a bit on the shortish size in comparison). Pet could be amazing but this club isnt exactly in a postion to risk another potential skinny smallish framed kid coming through IMO. We need some big framed boys who we can call on reasonably quickly after a few seasons down at Casey honing their craft and hopefully learning the Goody game style whatever it might become (i suspect it will change considerably from the current version).
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PREGAME: Rd 06 vs Richmond
The days of Garlett going hell for leather at Casey are well and truly over, if they were ever there at all Jnr. He is obviously only interested in playing at AFL level. I'm surprised some people still think he is going to (needs to) light things up at Casey in order to earn a call up. While I agree he sometimes doesn't set the world on fire at senior level either, he at least knows where the goals are if given the chance and usually makes the most of an opportunity. And it's slim pickings for us in this regard right now. Any smaller forward who can crumb a little and finish is better than none.
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PREGAME: Rd 06 vs Richmond
I agree with that frankie. One reason I'm happy to see Lewis back for a while longer. Doesn't take any BS and happy to dish it out. May should be handy in this area also IF he can get his [censored] together.
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Jack Petruccelle
We live in hope OD...One day!
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Jack Petruccelle
Powerful @ 73kgs? Maybe as a jockey. Not another skinny kid (ANB type) i hope. Have alot of respect for Bucks but i prefer the power and height (contested marking ability) that someone similar to a Cripps/Fyfe brings. Very hard to match up on and shut down and can play in multiple postions in smaller or taller type roles. The "tidy up his kicking" another worry. It is no accident we are presently the worst disposal team in the AFL and this area has to be targeted big time and improved upon in a massive way via recruiting selections if we are ever going to win regularly and pick up some silver along the way.
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PREGAME: Rd 06 vs Richmond
That was a very scary day indeed. I'm just glad i was down the opposite Punt Rd end and only saw the Sheedy lead rent-a-hare krishna crowd on the big screen. Just saw them as an orange blur of bald heads. I can't recall but did we overrun them in the last quarter or was it an ugly close outcome?
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PREGAME: Rd 06 vs Richmond
ZERO Expectations... upset looming!!
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PREGAME: Rd 06 vs Richmond
At least we are consistently good at something Jaded!
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Stats-file 2019
Round 6, 2019 Tigers vs Demons MCG (ANZAC Eve) Pure Stats Predictor has the Tigers winning by 26 points Team weighted score (includes best estimate for official Ins/Outs) Tigers 65.58 Demons 60.78 Top 6 ranked players (weighted statistical composite) last round Tigers Demons Bottom 6 Tigers Demons *Omitted this round (6) 2019
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Stats-file 2019
Cheers Buck. Contested we are doing fine and are still in the top 2 in the league (dropping only one place since 2018 so far). We have no major issues with inside mid field coal face contested / clearance work (yet) and i would argue we are still right up there with the top 4. Yes we may need to tweak set ups / structures around stoppages which might help a little with our ability to cover the outside mids of the opposition when they escape with their own clearance work (run & spread). Our options to cover impacted by injuries / late pre-season etc impacting in the short term!?? Probably. On the flip side we might also be shizen on the spread eg., too many at the contest, winning the contest but then not being able to escape the contest with decent speed / agile outsiders (lacking!?) resulting in another stoppage or worse, a turnover with the Opp then escaping quickly again and off to the races with their more capable / talented outsiders, our ability to close down poor? So much of the game to work on and get right. Never easy at any point, especially when you lose some of your best troops and start dialing up the rookies. Something that we really need to work on at Casey now that we know our depth is virtually non existent, in particular with the spread / speed / crumb & finish (up forward also). I wouldn't say we are always too slow coming i50 either. Just the method of delivery. We talk about chaos footy. But if we are bombing the ball on top of our forward's heads far too often around the hot spot, that is hardly chaos. That's predictable footy and something the opp coaches would be licking their chops at. Tough comp but Goody & Co. need to be better in so many areas, including the ability to seek out an opponent's weekness/s AND train / play to exploit them (wherever possible)! Example: Port realised they were facing an extremely tough back 6 vs the Eagles. They knew they wouldn't have much time to play precise footy through the middle against the quality pressure the Eagles usually bring. Port also knew that regular bombing wasn't likely to work against such a formidable mark/intercept team. It was also raining (yes this may have happened on the fly!)....but they tried this change of i50 entry method against the reigning premiers on their home turf....and it worked a treat! https://www.afl.com.au/video/2019-04-23/did-port-show-us-a-new-way-to-beat-the-eagles
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Stats-file 2019
Interesting to see and, for those players caught by the ratings, a very decent guide as to how they are trending / impacting the game (in a positive way) over the last few seasons vs their peers!
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Questions that need to be answered.
We are No.1 in center clearances Wrecker. We have improved 5 places on stoppage clearances from last year as well to be ranked 6th (from 11th place in 2018). No.2 in contested possessions. The engines doing fine..it's what is happening after we clear it. Too many turnovers, smashed on the outside spread when we do (last in uncontested). Stoppage set ups needing work to cover the Oops outlets more effectively and utilise our own better including who we play through there? Bombing into the 50 far too often on top of players heads. That is NOT chaos football. Overly aggressive press crowding out our 50 making it way difficult to convert opportunities. Lack of quality zippy smaller forwards to clean up / convert and provide occasional lead options into space on 45s. Lack of to space for anyone to lead into in general due to the aggresseive press (overcrowding) issue. Aggressive press and big turnover numbers resulting in quick sling shot transistion for Opp far too often, impacting scoreboard and effectiveness / confidence of defenders ie; the Opp converts more often than us as they are taking it into a more open funtional forward line vs our dysfunctional overly crowded one (effecting our conversion and turnover rate i50) even though our i50s are usually much higher than the Opp! Also the way we bring it in to 50 and out of form Key Forwards probably not helping. Delivery generally and skill levels right off the scale vs last year (Casey call ups not ready or up to AFL level) as a result of injuries etc. Ranked last in Disposal Efficiency vs 14th last year and last in effective disposals vs 9th last year.
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2020 starts now ?
This is one of the great posts of 2019 AF if not THE post of the year! The other point is....under this severely crowded forward line (in comparison to other game styles which don't rely on such an aggressive high press and resulting in more open forward lines like the Saints on Sat)... 1. Your key forwards must somehow perform their role ie; taking marks on the lead, the odd contested mark inside 50 and converting at a decent % OR bringing the ball to ground for crumbers front and square; and 2. Your small forwards need to crumb front and square or occasionally out the back on a fast break from a long chaos ball deep, try to create something and score occasionaly from ground balls and also place pressure on opponents when we lose possession. For various reasons including some poor form, lack of Key Forward talent?, lack of quality smaller forwards (injuries to Hannan / Garlett and no other viable alternatives at Casey) ...our forward line has failed to be effective at No.1 & No. 2 so far. Example re No.1... So far this season our 2 key forwards Tom & Sam have averaged between them.... 1.2 goals per match; and 2.2. marks inside 50. However, the ability to be effective is, as you say, being impacted significantly by an overly crowded forward line caused by Goody's stubborness to review and adjust this part of his game style. The engine room is still running ok on the inside. The outside needs fixing. The defense is leaking badly but IMO only because of the sling shot effect /Joe the goose you have highlighted above. Fixing/adjusting this aggressive press should go a fair way towards assisting our ability to defend until Lever & May (if he makes it back for 2019) return. Goody addresses this and drills the change up into the playing group and we might start to win more often. Other fixes (outside run, zippy small forwards needed who can FINISH) can be addressed in next season or two if we are smart at the recruiting / trade table. Nice work AF
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Stats-file 2019
Select Season Stat Rankings - 2018 v 2019 (inclusive to Rnd 5)
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Stats-file 2019
A DEElightful set of numbers SW.... ok here's a summary of our highs and lows for the 2019 season to Rnd 5. It would appear the mid field still has a heartbeat but the remainder is on life support There is still effort (tackling) but we are equally the worst ball handlers in the league (No.1 in clangers) along with the Tigers (yes there is hope tomorrow night folks!). Anyone have access to pressure point stats 2018 v 2019? P.S. Don't take too much notice of clangers. Turnover stat is a little more meaningful IMHO. We are only ranked 3rd here (yikes!) ...the Tigers 13th (lower ranking is better in this case in case anyone is wondering) ?... High Rankings Low Rankings ● Ranked 4th in Tackles Per Game ● Ranked 2nd in Hitouts Per Game ● Ranked 3rd in Inside 50s Per Game ● Ranked 2nd in Clearances Per Game ● Ranked 1st in Clangers Per Game ● Ranked 2nd in least Opponent Hitouts Per Game ● Ranked 1st in Team to Opponent Hitouts Per Game Diff. ● Ranked 3rd in Team to Opponent Inside 50s Per Game Diff. ● Ranked 2nd in Team to Opponent Clearances Per Game Diff. ● Ranked 1st in Team to Opponent Clangers Per Game Diff. ● Ranked 16th in Kicks Per Game ● Ranked 15th in Handballs Per Game ● Ranked 17th in Disposals Per Game ● Ranked 18th in Marks Per Game ● Ranked 14th in Points Per Game ● Ranked 17th in Rebound 50s Per Game ● Ranked 15th in least Opponent Kicks Per Game ● Ranked 16th in least Opponent Handballs Per Game ● Ranked 16th in least Opponent Disposals Per Game ● Ranked 18th in least Opponent Points Per Game ● Ranked 18th in least Opponent Tackles Per Game ● Ranked 17th in least Opponent Goal Assists Per Game ● Ranked 16th in least Opponent Rebound 50s Per Game ● Ranked 17th in Team to Opponent Kicks Per Game Diff. ● Ranked 14th in Team to Opponent Handballs Per Game Diff. ● Ranked 16th in Team to Opponent Disposals Per Game Diff. ● Ranked 17th in Team to Opponent Marks Per Game Diff. ● Ranked 17th in Team to Opponent Points Per Game Diff. ● Ranked 16th in Team to Opponent Tackles Per Game Diff. ● Ranked 17th in Team to Opponent Goal Assists Per Game Diff. ● Ranked 16th in Team to Opponent Rebound 50s Per Game Diff. Stats: Courtesy of footywire.com
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Dees honesty session.
According to Jones the honesty session never took place and was a press beat up. Just saying...
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"Professionals"
Wise to give less attention and rigour than you might normally do to any smashing, especially one nearing the pinnacle of this profession (prelim final), is a VERY foolish move IF that is what has occured. And i'm not saying in concrete the FD didn't fully review as per normal, but all "press speak" from Goody would suggest that he and/or the FD didn't review as deeply as they might usually do (assuming they do so as a matter of course when a match is lost etc). Assuming he isn't lying to the press and us as members (a dangerous assumption i realise but we can only take what Goody says on face value) then for whatever reason he has not been as professional as he normally would because of his own beliefs.....rather than, potentially, the cold hard facts of the outcome following an in depth inclusive review, by his entire review team (whoever that might be). If the above is in any away close to the truth, then as the Head Coach, Goody has let himself, the players/members and club as a whole, down very badly and as a minimum he has not carried out his role professionally, in this particular instance. Luck has certainly played a part in the systemic fall from grace through pre-season injuries/surgeries as has some ordinary (or worse) form from a select group of players. The players should not be completely exonerated in some cases (others are performing at a reasonable level or have even improved on their 2018 so far and should be encouraged). No, our current fall doesn't all lie at the foot of SG & the FD. But i'm afraid it would appear (as an outsider) that SG also played a very big part in the present sorry state of affairs on the field by playing down a Prelim Final result that, if he was being honest, should have received at least the same, if not double, the scrutiny of a normal ugly H&A loss. With the extended number of outs early in the season this has also exposed how ordinary our list actually is, outside of our best 22 (when fit). Most players outside our best 22 are simply not up to AFL level in any way shape or form (now....some might be in years to come). The cupboard is pretty much completely bare down there. If the club decides at some point (IF SG & Co. can't right the ship by mid season) that a mid season review of all levels is required, then the present 'depth' (or lack thereof) debacle, needs to be at the top of that review list. Regardless that aspect needs a full review ASAP. It's one of the major reasons the SG game style is now flopping in front of our eyes.
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Questions that need to be answered.
Pretty decent summary shorty
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Changes vs Richmond
We are in a bit of a fix Doc. Cant argue with any of that. The impact of an in form and fleet footed Hannan in the 2nd half last year as well as the injection of the hard hitting & clever decision making of AVB after his comeback, were both significant factors in us making finals and going deep.
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Changes vs Richmond
Tongue in cheek D11. He does seem to be carrying a little too much though when you look in the flesh. Who knows he might shed a little (muscle!) and find half a yard as the season wears on. I'm probably seeing it all [censored] up but i think he hasn't been as bad as some are suggesting, given the poor form of the team as a whole. If we were somewhere near our form of last year he might be smashing it.
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Changes vs Richmond
Personally from what I've witnessed he looks fine other than skin folds!?? ? He is big and mobile and hard to tackle if he hits the contest hard. We played him there in small doses last season and wouldn't mind seeing him play there a tad more. Rjays idea of Viney at HF (or even deeper) has merit alternating with Tracc in the middle. Might also help Viney shake off any tag a little. Play him off the circle a little and tell him to run through anyone that gets in the road (eyes only for the pill of course!)
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Jordan Lewis is absolutely cooked, never pick him again
Half forward yes but you still need speed out wide on the G to break a game open and/or defend against a fast break from a shallow entry into our forward 50. And if a sluggish wingman's opponent gets out the back on a fast break our defenders are toast . And with sluggish wingman you can't afford to push too high on a hard forward press. That almost kills the raison d'etre for the entire "lock the ball in our 50" strategy as the Opp will place a few quick smaller defenders to run off into space and hook up with anyone faster than our wingman out wide over the top! And as you say, their wingman don't have to be that quick...just quicker than ours...which isn't hard against Jones and Lewis. And thats exactly what the Saints did. Too easily picked off on either side on the fast break for multiple joe the gooses into forward 50 and a few joe the gooses beyond that, running into an open goal. In the case of Jones and Lewis they are unable to cover that option meaning the Opp can switch to either fat side and potentially gain an advantage with a slightly speedier match up if they move the ball reasonably quickly and accurately, which the Saints did very nicely for much of the game. Yes you might be able to cover one sluggish wingman IF you have HBs that are able to cover enough ground quickly enough to close down space on their opponent and play them closely enough when the switch is on. But even then you are still going to have a spare if they get away from a Jones or Lewis at any stage, creating an overlap player that's coming towards or inside 50 under little or no pressure. Easily able to hit up forward targets on a lead etc or even run into an open goal from or around the arc. Defenders have no chance covering this effectively much of the time as the Opp can pick either side of the ground at will and bring it in under little pressure with solid accuracy. You simply can't play sluggish players or even one on the wings at the G for long periods of a match against quality opposition and not expect to be severely punished in today's super professional game. Any coach who believes this is an option is going to be torn a new one by any half decent opposition. A great team will absolutely pulverize it and make it look like a training drill. Also you say as soon the HBs & HFs dropped off Lewis & Jones were toast. Chicken and Egg DS. We gave them a massive incentive to make multiple switches and do just that as they knew their wingman would eventually get the better of both our old boys out wide. If they can't see or don't believe that opening is in front of them they are less likely to try it as often leaving our HBs & HFs a tad less exhausted and probably able to punish more effectively going the other way or be more accurate at goal when having a shot. All the little wins (or losses) on the day add up!
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Jordan Lewis is absolutely cooked, never pick him again
Lewis only has a few limited assets left including his ability to read the play and intercept across HB, then feed off. Goody would have been about the only official in the football that would have felt Lewis (and Jones) should be played off a wing (at the G). Don't play him at all if he can't play his usual HB role in that case. It was an amateur call as was the idea of putting Jones on the other wing. By the times Lewis and Jones run "Hard" backwards the ball would already be rebounding (after having gone there already) and be sailing over their heads before they've gotten half way there. It's the quickest part of the ground, you don't play your slowest through there. Yet that's what our senior coach did from the get go. The Saints coaching group must have been laughing and licking their lips on seeing that set up at the first bounce but initially must have thought "settle boys....it's just a ploy....they won't continue with that one!".