
binman
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Viewing Topic: CASEY: Semi Final vs Frankston
Everything posted by binman
- Stats Files - 2024
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Stats Files - 2024
Sure, of course. But only in so far as those stats reflect the performance of the entire team, not just the 3-4 mids who attend the majority of the stoppages We were smashed in cp early, but evened up by game's end. Pressure was ok early but fell away badly by game's end. And we were smashed for the others - most worryingly post clearance cp. Sure the mids play a role, but we play an all team defensive sytem so you cany blame the mids for tgose sort of poor team stats (which I'm not suggesting you are doing TA) Particularly given viney and Oliver were one and three respectively fir most pressure applied and I'm guessing came close to having the most contested possessions (I haven't checked). And I'd add that post clearance contested possessions is by definition a stat that usually only tangentily attributal* to the mids as it is the possession after the clearance from a stoppage- and the mids are at the stoppage, not down field *ie the more pressure our mids put on an opponent who wins a clearance the easier it is for us to win the next possession because of say a scrubby, under pressure bail out kick. And the converse is true. The cleaner a mid is when they win a clearance the better our chance of winning the next possession. The above two scenarios also apply to turnovers and turnover marks (but again, it's nor usually the mids winning turnovers because they ate at the contest).
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Stats Files - 2024
All true. The third stat being the key one. But on centre clearances, apparently we were totally smashed by the blues last week because they scored 3 more goals from them then us. Well, by that logic, given we scored 3 more goals (+18 and 25 points on total - twice our season average) from centre clearances we smashed the Eagles this week. We were +3 for scores from stoppages (+7 for total clearances fom general stoppages, so +5 for total clearances ie cc and around the ground). So we nearly plus four goals (+21 points) for clearances. Not bad for a supposedly a woeful midfield. I mean, we won total stoppages and scores from stoppages by nearly four goals - two pretty important indicators for a midfield I would have thought.
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NON-MFC: Round 10
Or opening any product with instructions to 'peel here to open'. A cosmic joke.
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GAMEDAY: Rd 10 vs West Coast
A very much under rated fact. So much emphasis is placed on our straight sets finals exit in 2022 and 2023 that it obscures how successful we have been in the last 3.5 seasons. Since the start of 2021, no team has won more games than us. And as you note a big factor is we don't lose many game we 'shouldn't'. Of the top of my head the last one was our loss to the giants in the Alice last year. And I'd add that another factor in our success is our ability to maintain a good percentage by not getting hammered Watching the blues getting smashed and the suns monster the cats i wondered when the last time we were were smashed like that. Sure, both sides were hit by injuries, but there have been any number of games we have lost where being decimated by injuries has been a big factor (including games where we have lost key players during the game) - and unlike the blues and cats, not got smashed. And it makes a big difference. At the end of this round we could be plus 20% against the blues, plus 12% against the blues and plus 10% against the giants. A long way to go in the season, but anything over 10% at season's end is almost worth 4 points.
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CASEY: Rd 08 vs Brisbane
That's a great sign as I reckon the need for repeat efforts is the penny that needs to drop for Jefferson.
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NON-MFC: Round 10
Did we break the blues too?
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NON-MFC: Round 10
We could be 4 points and more than 20% clear of the blues by the end of the round.
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NON-MFC: Round 10
I think my +15 line bet is safe now.
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PREGAME: Rd 10 vs West Coast
I meant at the start of the season dd about bb. I didn't mention McAdam. On Petty I meant underdone in terms of his physical readiness no form. Which makes my point. They obviously felt it was better for Petty to fine full fitness playing AFL football not playing at VFL level. An approach consistent with my point about Selwyn's philosophy.
- PREGAME: Rd 10 vs West Coast
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PREGAME: Rd 10 vs West Coast
Its been that way since Burgess took over the high perfroamnce program. As evidence Selwyn has the same philosophy, just this year alone we have had Tmac, BBB, Petty, Oliver and Bowey all coming back from injury (with the first four clearly being a little underdone) and being selected in the ones as opposed to coming though the magoos. Salem will make it six such examples this weekend.
- WARNING by William from Waalitj
- WARNING by William from Waalitj
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NON-MFC: Round 10
Hats of to the suns, they obviously prepared super well. But it's worth noting that the cats were also playing their 3rd game in 12 days. The first was their incredibly taxing loss against the dees. Six days later, they come out flat as a tack on a chilly friday night in geellong against port, flighting their way back to a close loss in another taxing match. Six days later they are playing their third game in 12 days in 30 plus degree heat and humidity just about as far north from kardinia Park as you can get. Without their two best players and choosing to rest others. Great preparation by the suns, they obviously set themselves for the darwin double, a ground they have won their last 5 at by an average of 50 plus points. But the cats simply could not handle those conditions at all - totally gassed from the get go. Witches hats. Makes our effort in similar conditions against the swans look more meritorious.
- WARNING by William from Waalitj
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NON-MFC: Round 10
Against us they were off. Against Port he ranted about the umpires. Scott bingo. What will his excuse be in this presser? I'm picking schedule. Conditions are tough.
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NON-MFC: Round 10
Cats have giants next week.
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NON-MFC: Round 10
But there might be some pumping up the sun's strategy. Back to back games in Darwin, off a 5 day break. They rested 5 players I think.
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NON-MFC: Round 10
Are you watching the sun cats game?
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NON-MFC: Round 10
Won't be many pumping up the cats strategy of managing players after the last three games.
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NON-MFC: Round 10
The cats have currently lost a tick under 13%.
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NON-MFC: Round 10
This has now actually become a pretty big game for us. Cats could end up losing 10% plus. Say we add 3 or 4%. We finish tge round equal points with the cats, and 13% plus clear. And the blues play the swans at the scg. The blues are also on 24 points but are only on 109% If the blues lose, we could be a game and 15% plus clear of them. That's a big gap for the blues to fall behind us Dogs beating the giants would be the cherry on top.
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NON-MFC: Round 10
Live ladder has cats second on 28 points, with their percentage dropping to 112.5. We are 24 points on 121.1%. Keep going suns.
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NON-MFC: Round 10
We broke the Cats.