binman
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Everything posted by binman
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An interesting interview with some good questions - a couple of which goody did the classic politician strategy of answering without actually addressing the substantive part of the question. I always find those examples interesting for what the subtext might be. By the by, it annoys me when media people ask a question with muriple elements, or ask several questions at once. It allows the interviewee to cherry pick which element or question they want to answer - and more significantly the which ones they want to ignore (although that choicr can be instructive).
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Good questions - 'll make sure we cover in the pies pod. But a short version of my response is yes, yes, yes, agree. And i think there are a couple of other factors, which I'll save for the pod As I said on the pod I suspect we might revert to our forward half method on Monday as there is a lot riding on the game. And interestingly, the pies, who for the first 5-6 games were playing a front half game (I think because they were not fit enough yet to play their turnover, transition). But since then have reverted to their turnover, transition game - its no coincidence they look way fitter and are covering the ground better.
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Perhaps I was unclear. I wasn't citing Buckley's comments as evidence of being hyper fatigued from a loading block. I was agreeing with him that we are not at optimal fitness. Which is why I cited it as a possible explanation for our week to week, inconsistency and inability to play 4 good quarters. Perhaps that lack of fitness was exacerbated by a heavier training block, but I doubt it. More likely just the normal accumulative fatigue all teams are impacted by at the half way mark of the season, particularly those clubs, like us, with a ot of young regular best 22 players. I wonder whether it is partly by design ie plan to develop their fitness as the season goes on with the goal of minimising the impacts of training so hard for 6 months that perhaps makes it too hard to be in peak shape in September And there is no doubt the impact of having mutiple players in the team off interrupted preseasons who still clearly are not fully fit yet is having an impact- but are choosing to play them anyway (which intersects with the philosophy I'm wondering about above). As George noted, quoting Libby birch in the age article about the spate of injuries and demands of the game, and length of season, clubs are having to change their high performance programs and are training hard in multiple blocks. For example the pies were def not in optimal shape for the first 5 weeks or so, as evidenced by their method and results, and there was a suggestion that was by design. And that staggered approach might help explain why the cats and giants can look like world beaters for the first 7 weeks of the season then lose 4 and 3 games in a row respectively and look mid table teams. Or help explain why the dogs suddenly look so much more dynamic That's the glass half full take. The other possibility of course is that they have got the program wrong and/or the players have not done the work. If the latter is the case we are toast. Either way, as I noted on the pod the Selwyn and the high performance team deserve scrutiny - scrutiny they are not getting much of on demonland. I'm of the view that the high performance manager is almost as important, perhaps even more important, than the coach in terms of a team's chances of winning a flag. And should be critiqued accordingly.
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This article is exactly the sort of analysis I wish there more of. It extensively quotes 'an opposition team analyst with experience planning for both teams'. Really good insight, and it uses stats and data in support of a thesis as opposed to data being used in isolation, as is usually the case, as if in isolation data explains causality. Data is the equivalent of symptoms for a doctor trying to diagnose a patients health issue. Symptoms are not causal factors - they provide evidence, particularly when triangulated and/or aggregated, of the undelying health issue (eg fever, chills, muscle ache suggest the patient flu might have the flu). By the by, one symptom noted in the article provides evidence that does not support the diagnosis from Doctor Demon Myths that our midfield is a major concern: 'For the Demons, their major strength is limiting opposition scores from clearance (25.0 points, ranked No.1)'
Absolutely. 100% agree. The fact they haven't felt the need to as of yet demonstrates they don't see our midfield as a big issue atm. And they might even decide they have enough coverage in the middle - particularly if they think kolt can become a midfield gun The reality is the game has changed. Teams now only need 3 elite mids. Ten years ago they needed 5 or 6. They now need 5 or 6 elite high half forwards, half backs or wingers who have elite endurance and speed. Which is why of course we used a critical top 10 draft pick (who knows when we will get another one?) on Windsor. Look at the swans. They have the best performing midfield atm built around three gun mids. One of their starting mids last year, Luke Parker, has been kicking around in the magoos picking up 30 plus possessions and can't force his way into the side. Because he is an absolute A grader Mills will come back in when fit you'd think. But that will create a challenge fir them in terms of the mix of player types as they will he loathe to drop a runner. We have three A graders - oliver, tracc and viney. Understandably given his interrupted preseasons, Oliver is not yet back to his best, though still performing well. In all likelihood he will get back to his best. Even if one was available, is there any point chasing an A grader to trade in? I don't think so. I reckon the go is to try and find a potential gun mid in the next draft.
That's an interesting point about being a ruck option. Would make sense, as we need cover for JVR. And Casey is desperate for a ruck, so perhaps rather than cutting g Jefferson's lunch the lurker can develop his ruck craft by being rhe number one ruck, who rests forward, for the rest of the year at Casey.
That's an interesting point about being a ruck option. Would make sense, as we need cover for JVR. And Casey is desperate for a ruck, so perhaps rather than cutting g Jefferson's lunch the lurker can develop his ruck craft by being rhe number one ruck, who rests forward, for the rest of the year at Casey.
Indeed. Of course we need to strengthen our midfield. We lost a starting mid, a top 3 draft pick no less, after (understandably) trading a possible staring mid in jordon and depth in harmes. As you suggest we have some options, though of that list I think only laurie, the kolt and woey are any chance of being regular starting mids. (by the by, the fact that none have been rushed into the side, particularly laurie who is AFL ready and played a full season as a mid at Casey, show the level of concern currently about our midfield. Compare and contrast to the decision to bring a defender, Turner in as a forward). Kolt looks ready made as an inside mid and might be pushing for a spot next year. I wouldn't have previously thought woey was a mid option - he hasn’t played as one at Casey or in the ones - but I've been impressed by his contest work and physically he is becoming a bit of a bull, so he might be a chance of becoming a decent mid. So we have got options going forward. But with our draft picks it is very unlikely we will draft a kid good enough to slot straight in to our midfield next season. Which leaves trading in a mid. I have no idea who might be available. But there is zero point trading in a mid who is not an automatic starter, ie we don't need another depth player. In a similar vein to your comment old about there not being an AFL ready mid kicking around in the WAFL, VFL or country leagues, it's not as if there's a surfeit of gun mids playing AFL who are both good enough to slot into a top 4 team's midfield and available (not to mention affordable). The trade whispers about who we might be targeting will give us some insight into how big an issue the club thinks our midfield is.
It's the annual AFL mid season confected controversy. Gotta get that sweet content.
It says a lot that this is more a statement of fact than supposition.
Thank @Watson11. Straight into my mental stats file (and the post above!). You're right, that is a hugely impressive stat for a kid who turned 21 only last month. I have to say, he looked much fresher this week after a week out.. More dynamic. Personally I'd love it of he didn't have to be the back up ruck. It's a massive ask for a kid to carry that sort of work load. But it really shows how important he is to our side as there's really no other option atm as verell is not a forward and I'm not sure Fullarton had a spot in the team. And even if they were good options, petty, JVR and frtter are all locks, sof one of them was selected they would need to replace a medium (McAdam or melk) or small (koz, Chandler or nibbla). I can't see us going with 3 genuine tall forwards, at least not for the foreseeable future.
