binman

At 11-1, and a bye after the pies game, I would be happy for them to give langdon a week off and Salem too ( carrying a niggle). Would give both players a really good breK, langdon in particular. Tbey won't want to make too many changes, as much as anything to respect the mnd game. And he probably wouldn't want to not play, but giving maxy a mini break wouldn't be such a bad thing too. 3 week spell so he can get set for a big second half of the year. Id bring bowey in for Salem. Like for like and he gets a taste of afl, which might be important if he is needed at at a later point.

As I predicted would happen, we lost the centre square clearnces and won the around the ground stoppage clearnces.

So sorry for your loss DO. Puts things into perspective. As Tracc said on 360 the other night - it's just a game.

Indeed. I punt on footy, but as rule not on the dees unless there is real value (Weed kick the bloody goal!). And there is a little bit of value in this game - though i predict it won't last. Currently the lions are - just. 1.84 to us at 2.00. But objectively we should be favorite for this game. Don't get me wrong they represent real challenge, but they are yet to win outside of Qld and sure, they have won 7 straight, so are clearly in form. But we are 10-1 and at this point of the season the best side in the competition, having beaten three of the genuine flag contenders (four if you count the swans). We are the benchmark. They are the challengers. We travel well and this game doesn't represent a particular disruption. We were travelling anyway - and in some senses trip to Sydney is easier and less hassle than a trip to the Alice, particularly if there COVID restrictions in place. We play the ground well, having won there twice last year. The dimensions really suit us too, at least in terms of the defensive structure, as whilst it is a touch longer than the G it is only 128m wide (the g is 138 wide) and so the lions will find it super hard to transition and get through our zone (just as the dogs dis and the equally narrow marvel). We will block the corridor again, so that option will be taken away. They won't try and switch as much as the dogs as, one Langdon isn't playing, and two they are happy to go down the line and force a stoppage. However in doing so they will end up kicking to our talls a lot. Hopefully maxy can clunk his marks tonight. The other advantage we have - and it is one that we have over every other team atm - is that they will find it it much harder to negate our strength then we will theirs. They play much differently to the bulldogs (more deliberate, less frenetic, more patient transition) but like the dogs their key strength is their ability to score from stoppages. But their focus is much more on winning around the ground stoppage clearances, as opposed to centre square clearances, and scoring from them. If we can match them in that area they will struggle to score. And there is no reason we wont match them at around the ground stoppages. We have the best ruck in the AFL, whose strength is stoppages, and a gun midfield. And Harmes is back as everyone's favorite tagger. I expect he will go to Mcluggage. Or pehasp Zorko. Putting Rich under pressure when he kick will also be important, so Hunt and rivers coming up the contest will help. I'm predicting the clearances numbers will be the opposite to the dogs games ie we lose centre square clearances and break even or win around the ground stoppages. Their other obvious strength is their forward line - a fantastic balance of gun talls and mids. But we have tools to negate that set up that other teams don't. One, we will make it hard for them to actually get in there. Two, if on, we will apply enough pressure to make their inside 50 kicks messy. And three we have the best defence in the AFL. They will let Danaher push up the ground and May will have the strength to take Mcstay. Hibberd will do a job on Cameron and i reckon Petty has the athleticism to go with Hipgood. And Lever is in rare form so will be there to do what he does. They of course will look to negate our strength - which might mean for instance running a defensive forward on Lever and/or Salem. And they will do a better job than other teams of avoiding dump kicks into their forward line for us to intercept and bounce off half back. Even so, our post clearance pressure is the best in the AFL and we will win our share of ground balls inside their 50. But negating a defensive strength is less impactful than negating an offensive strength (even though we do score a bit from the back half). And running defensive forwards has a downside as it make is harder to score - as was the case for the Swans. For me the key to the game is how well we trap them in our forward half. And critical to that is forward half pressure and making sure any exit kick is under maximin pressure. Stopping Andrews taking intercept marks will also be important. If we trap in our forward half them well, and the width of the ground will help, and match them at round the ground stoppages i think we win. For all those reasons i have tipped us tonight to win by 27 points. Because that show much we win by. And that is also why i think the odds are skeweiff. Neale's inclusion gave them a bounce but the pools are pretty small at this point. The big punters will step in soon and i suspect we will either start a narrow or equal favourite. As we should. But all that is predicted on us bring our full heat. Because i have no doubt they will. And i expect them to be very physical, so it will be interesting to see how we respond. And to be clear, i won't be at all surprised if they win. Should be cracking game. Can't wait. Good thing i don't have to wait long. Just love these Friday night games! Go Redlegs

https://youtu.be/ryDOy3AosBw?t=9

Only on a phone. Suffers from situational height dysfunction

Is that a new hair style the kids are getting around in these day? Was going to get a hair cut soon. I'll ask my barber to give me a coastal fringe. Though, no matter what i ask him for it will look exactly the same.

Yeah, that would work actually. Good call. In addition to having the tank and making good decisions, nibbler role is very similar to langdons, in so far as it involves lots of defensive running between the arcs, much it near the boundary. In that scenario JJ stays in the middle and Captain Jack takes nibbler's role - a position he has played so is familiar with. Minimal change and captain Jack is not thrown to tbe wolves first up against a super midfield. Club house leader Kenty

And for the same reason, ie consistency, I suspect jj will play wing and captain Jack the inside mid role jj has been playing in vice captain jack's absence. Minimises positional movements

Captain Jack is back!

Maybe we should wear a prison bar jumper!

That's exactly what i was thinking. Sure there will be plenty of Pies fans in SA, but they can't get cant get 20, 00 people to their games in Victoria. How many neutrals are going to want to come watch a team that cant kick a goal in a half of footy in perfect condition, and whose coach is happy with that?

Completely different contexts though pates. In Europe, they are travelling to countries where there are still thousands of cases a day. The sytems are in place to protect the players from getting covid. Here the systems are designed to stop the players spreading covid in states where there are zero cases and no community transmission. So the goal is to protect the population.

That's a bit tough. Never heard of leather poisoning?

Seven day lockdown.

Would make sense. If they made it a week, it would lift Friday week. And then after 2 weeks in lockdown people are going to want to get out and about, including on the public holiday Monday. Very frustrating, but probably good risk management. Throws the bombers clash into doubt crowd wise The Feds should come to the party, get as much vaccine to victoria as possible and support the vic gov to have use the lockdown period to vaccinate as many people as humanly possible. use the army to support Starting with the poor buggers in disability accommodation, aged care facilities and all the related front line workers. Set an ambitious goal. Make it a war footing. And vaccinate Victorians. This is not state issue. This is a national issue. For Christ sakes we are a country, not a series of self governing islands. The feds need to step up. Leaving potics aside it is an abject moral fail that the feds have not sorted the vaccination to the disability accommodation, aged care

The design has a prominent white collar.....

Ta. They're pretty good numbers. In terms of the question of the thread I'm actually of the view that it is in large mental. My gut feeling is he puts too much pressure on himself. And gets down on himself too quickly and too often , so gets tight. In 2020 tmac was out of the side and Jackson was a baby (still is). So Sam's spot was locked in. Played with some freedom. This season he probably feels he is in competition and has to take every chance. He is a good cricketer. Batting is all about getting into the flow state. Freeing the mind and focusion on each ball, and only on rhe ball. He should try and bring that accross to footy. But marking isn't my concern really. My issue with Sam is i don't think he plays with enough intensity. That applies to his attack on players with the ball and one on one. Too many half efforts. That is totally fixable.

I might be wrong, but I suspect the dr is not really a dr

Yes, well part of the problem with the vale of this number is the other stat you put up about the distance he covered in 2020. I suspect most of his marks in 2020 were taken well up the ground and mist were uncontested. The threevreal stats you want to know for a key forward is marks inside 50 contested marks total AND contested marks inside 50. How did Sam fare in 2020 on those metrics?

Nothing wrong in tbe trip to nsw. But the peanut first experienced symptoms on 25 may. Worked s a afull day in an enclosed office 26 may. Thank God for lockdown because didn't get tested unti yesterday. Did however go shopping in tbe city on Sunday. Tool.

It was before lockdown

Apart from running harmes on a mid, I reckon they will just go head to head. I'm pretty sure the lions don't bring an extra to the stoppages. Like us they just rely on how good their mids are at winning clearances. We'll miss viney in this game. I reckon the problem the lions will have against us is they are pretty methodical in transition, which gives us time to set up our defensive structure. And they rely very much on winning around the ground stoppage clearances and scoring from them. If we can match them in tbat area they will struggle. Funnily enough the clearances numbers might end being opposite to the dogs games ie we lose centre square clearnces and break even or win around the ground stoppages

Since the Victorian outbreak began, NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian has kept the state border open, and earlier in the week said that the 5-kilometre limit imposed on Victorians would protect her state. "When Victorians aren't allowed to travel more than five kilometres outside of where they live that obviously does not concern us because they can't travel and get to NSW," Ms Berejiklian said on Monday

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