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Everything posted by bing181
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A few things in life are inevitable, but this isn't one. Hindsight Bias.
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Hard to see what or who we can trade at this level. The Lever deal would clean us out of our first round pick plus plus plus.
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MATCH PREVIEW AND TEAM SELECTION - ROUND 23
bing181 replied to Demonland's topic in Melbourne Demons
Frost not even in emergencies. -
"but I thought his second half, he had a big impact in the game."
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If someone had said at the beginning of the year that we'd lose Hogan and Gawn for half the season, plus other leading players for long stretches, most of us would have been happy with being around the mark of last year. Instead, we already have 12 wins, including wins away and against top teams, and will probably play finals. Success, whatever happens this weekend.
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Or RV (with Robin Williams).
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Daniel Kahneman got a Nobel Prize for this back in 2002, the split between the experiencing self and the remembering self.
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Not sure if that's as much down to Tyson as it's down to how good the opposition mids are. In any case, Tyson was 4th in our B&F last year, and will be around that mark this year and isn't about to be dropped.
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Agree we need to beat the Pies, and agree, it could easily swing against us - but the calculation is more complicated than that - though it needs someone more articulate about maths than me to elaborate further. But largely, it depends on how high/low scoring a match it is, and how high/low the total points scored for the season are.
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And just to add: - Dusty is currently ranked first in the league for a) clangers and b) turnovers - Dusty wasn't getting the kind of performance figures he's getting now when he was Tyson's age or with Tyson's no. of matches. These are coalface players. It gets messy.
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You would hope so, but he was poor the last few matches he played, closing speed or not. Apparently played well at Casey, so hopefully he has his mojo back. He's still a heart-in-mouth player with ball in hand though.
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And what did you omit? 14 contested possessions, only just behind Beams and Oliver, and ahead of 41 other players out there today. Confirmation bias in action.
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You don't know that. He could just as easily have given away 3 or 4 goals through turnovers. People have got to stop running this film of "what might have happened" in their heads as if it's reality - and then arguing from that as if it did.
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The last game Frost played he was nowhere near it, regardless of his height and pace.
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Great win, and great to win, especially under the circumstances. But against better sides, the poor disposals of some of our players will find us out. Amongst them, Jayden Hunt isn't so much a turnover merchant, it's just that half the time you wonder even what he was intending. And not sure what's going on with Stretch. Has a reputation as a smart footballer, puts together a string of really good perfs. in the VFL, but then looks uncertain and hesitant every time he gets a game. Perhaps it's a confidence issue. Selection will be interesting next week, especially given that in theory we should have virtually our entire list to choose from. Viney, Watts, Salem in?
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Salem for Wagner.
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Don't kid yourself, they've been very good. Enough of their players are decent, and can be damaging.
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Brisbane good, play(ing) much better than their ladder position. Making us work. We can go up a gear, but will we? Still plenty not getting into the game - and to state the obvious, we really miss Viney. Pedersen another decent game, though should have nailed at least one of those goals.
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Also picks up a lazy 9 disposals in a quarter. 78% efficiency. Confirmation bias: you remember ever fluffed disposal, while ignoring the majority that aren't.
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MATCH PREVIEW AND TEAM SELECTION - ROUND 22
bing181 replied to Demonland's topic in Melbourne Demons
No, it's not the truth at all, at best it's your opinion. One obviously not shared by the medical and conditioning staff. -
MATCH PREVIEW AND TEAM SELECTION - ROUND 22
bing181 replied to Demonland's topic in Melbourne Demons
Great to see so many doctors and specialists (of the medical variety) on Demonland. I have an appointment with a cardiologist next week for a slightly dodgy ticker, but obviously I can just cancel it and get informed and expert opinion here on treatment and recovery. -
MATCH PREVIEW AND TEAM SELECTION - ROUND 22
bing181 replied to Demonland's topic in Melbourne Demons
Think the only real question here is who of Stretch or Maynard replace Viney. -
MATCH PREVIEW AND TEAM SELECTION - ROUND 22
bing181 replied to Demonland's topic in Melbourne Demons
Viney out is worrying. There are many injuries you can play through or work around (see Hogan), but not foot injuries. -
This is one of Demonland's ongoing myths. No, he should not/need not dominate at VFL. On the other hand, he should work on/execute what he's been sent to the VFL to work on/execute. If that results in him dominating, so be it, but it's not the criteria. Good VFL players have been dominating at VFL level for years, but that does not make them AFL players. And vice-versa. My understanding is that Watts played largely in the ruck, where he's only really a pinch-hitter and is never going to dominate. Did he do enough? It's for the coaches to decide, only they know what they were looking for in his performance.
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"I felt that he played a strong role in creating aerial contests for us to bring our ground level players into play. In the last quarter, when we needed players to stand-up and compete, he took two strong contested marks and kicked a goal. He also set up another goal. When we needed him the most on the weekend, he was there. It was great to see the young man influence the game in the last quarter." etc. etc.