Everything posted by Little Goffy
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Oscar McDonald
I wonder how many of the mystery injuries and unexplained absences even from the Casey teams might be something similar? No harm trying it if the player is struggling to find form while playing. Clear their head, give them set focuses and no screaming gits each weekend.
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Michael Walters Acting
Well, we can take some comfort in watching him bounce pathetically off Viney over and over. Sydney Stack, he ain't. Edit: Holy crap, I just looked at another angle of Walter's dive and he was already dropping his knees before Jones made contact! Took both feet off the ground and let himself fall forward onto Jones. Sniper and 'simulator' all in one game. I fear I'll be getting some 'behavioural awareness' attention next time we play freo.
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Margin Call: Should we trade our early pick/s?
Keep the pick if it is very very early or if there is a particular player we are very keen to make sure of. If it (hopefully) drifts down to the 7 or 8 range, then it becomes tradeable, though we must keep one live pick in the first round and I also think keeping ourselves with a reasonably early option is appropriate. I'm not keen on any 'top draft pick for a player' trades unless it is a truly exceptional player. And no, I don't count Ben Brown in that category, sorry.
- The Jack Viney Made Me Cry Thread
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Oscar McDonald
Depth tall defender, currently out of form, has shown better form in past. Not one you'd expect to cut from the list but also not, on any recent showings, one you'd expect to be pushing for senior selection unless there were injuries opening the door for him. And is there any chance people can accept that is where he is at without trying to pin every frick'n loss and stuff up in our entire season on him personally? Doesn't look like it, there will always be some with a bit of the 'ol predatory self-esteem.
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What's more important for us...
Mathematically, Carlton can still finish 1st. My brother is a Blue and also an analytical genius. Would you believe that Carlton-to-1st scenario actually requires every club to win 11 games exactly?
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What's more important for us...
Wins and strong performance and presenting ourselves as a united and purposeful club. Sure, it might make a few places difference in draft order. But that handful of slots in the order is instantly balanced by the better hand we've dealt ourselves when it comes to having a choice of trade targets and of players keen to join us. And all of that evaporates in comparison to even one quality free agent deciding they prefer us. It is one of those impossible to know probability things; if we get six more wins for the season, instead of three, does that make Lachie Whitfield pause and think 'I'll hold off signing with GWS a little longer, see how Melbourne go next year, because I know I would be a super-valuable player there and it could all come together perfectly.' I'd happily move from, say, 4th to 8th in the draft, just to keep alive the possibility of getting Whitfield as a free agent! Plus, paradoxically, a team performing well has an easier time re-signing players at lower salaries.
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WELCOME TO THE MELBOURNE FOOTBALL CLUB - STEVEN MAY
Funny, I've always thought of Frost as being a bit of a free wheel. Or was that... loose wheel? (I should put out a tips jar)
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Round 14 Non MFC Games
You're just saying that because he has had a longer tenure already than any St Kilda coach except Allan Jeans. Fun fact - even if Richardson coaches out the full season, finishing with an entire season longer in charge than Thomas or Lyon, he will still have coached fewer games than either of them!
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Round 14 Non MFC Games
I really didn't think we'd be passing anyone on percentage this season, but the Saints look like they have decided to dangle that particular carrot in front of us. Compared to their early season run, it would seem that it is their defensive side which is really falling away. Scores against the Saints Rounds 1 to 5 - 84, 65, 71, 69, 55 = 68.8 Since round 6 - 97, 114, 88, 112, 55 (Blues), 139, 76 = 97.3 And tonight's running tally of 113 with 20 minutes to go.
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WELCOME TO THE MELBOURNE FOOTBALL CLUB - STEVEN MAY
Seems to be bringing out the adventurer spirit in Sam Frost, that's for sure. Not pretending he's perfect, but it does feel comforting to know we have a strong tall defender who is pretty reliable for skill and composure with the ball. For us in the stands and for everyone within the club, I'd guess.
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Brad Hill
I didn't realise Brad Hill was still only 25 (26 in a couple of weeks). Interesting to see his recorded disposal efficiency (generally between 65-68%) isn't super high as might have thought it would be. However, he does get the ball inside 50, and effectively, he gains a LOT of ground, which you'd expect since he kicks three times more than he handballs. He is not a god of football, not a perfect player, but oh yes he would be supremely useful for us right now and for the forseeable future. Stephen Hill is a bit old but also a free agent. Would be a tricky balancing act of risk-reward given that he is showing signs of aging (with the recurrent quad problem the headline), a particlarly problem when your game uses so much speed and agility. I worry that if a trade did happen, Freo might want to use Hill as part of a package (swap of 1st-rnd picks) to get right to the top end of the draft, and I'm not keen on giving away any early pick that might come our way. Best solution as I see it, is for us to win a bunch of games, end up with our first pick being around 7 or 8, so we can talk about pick swapping without the angst of giving away a shot at absolute top-end talent. As with all things, best solution is to win more games.
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Try OMac at CHF at Casey
Magner to a pocket.
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AFL and 18 Clubs apologise to Adam Goodes
Pretty sure Winmar was a diver, y'know. Ducking his head for frees and all that.
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Should we be Chasing Darcy Parish
He's a high quality young player. but he's at a club that needs him more than we would need him, and he would cost more than would be appropriate to pay (in pick-equivalent and dollars). I think our trade-recruiting should be very focused on picking out specific players who meet our specific needs, and I don't see Parish as in that category. Overall I think we should also be very much looking at managing salary cap and keep a stash prepared to go after free agents, because that bypassing of trade/draft 'cost' is a huge bonus for building a list to reach the very top. Plus, I'm expecting pretty significant turnover from the tail-end of our list at the end of the season, so I really think we should be trying to hold onto multiple good draft picks to make sure there is some serious quality coming through the new kids.
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Dees Confirm Chase for Arsenal Fitness Guru
What I want to know is, can he book travel and accommodation, take the minutes for board meetings, and answer calls at reception?
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Angus Brayshaw to Fremantle Rumours
Nah. I could argue the point, I even typed it out, but now I've deleted because it is just going to end up being one of those odious back-and-forth threads where gradually people become more irritated and actually pump up their original soft opinions into more extreme versions just to annoy the other person who is annoying them. So just, nah. Brayshaw good. Better value than what we'd get in a trade. Our inside midfield is not actually that deep, either, so not an area we should talk about trading quality players out of.
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Jason Taylor Resume
NooooooooOOOOOOOooooooOOOOOoooooooo Cue another 20 pages on the thread.
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Jason Taylor Resume
lol, wasn't that SOS? 2011-2014, a drafting period so bad that it is probably the reason GWS don't have three premierships by now. He really put his stamp on the 2012 draft. Picks 1, 2, 3, 12, 14, 27, result: Lachie Whitfield, with 1. 2014 was a special one, three picks in the top ten and their best selection was Caleb Marchbank. Overall would have been the worst draft by any club ever, except for the academy picks Steele and Finlayson. Actually, thinking about that 2014 draft, aside from De Goey there aren't many 'hindsight' better options who were actually available (not F/S or academy), compared to Petracca and Brayshaw. Maybe Lever.
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Fans Behaving Badly?
Funny thing is, there wasn't anything like the level of crackdown or heavy-handed tactics wheeled out to deal with people getting hopelessly trashed and hurling abuse or starting punchups at Auskick and other kids-level footy games. Local community clubs were practically left to handle it themselves. And the 'behaviour' thug squads at Docklands didn't seem to do much to actually stop the really serious incidents of people dishing out constant vileness at anyone around them for a whole game, thanks to true gits lathered up with some generous 'preloading' of alcohol and kept slippy by the stadium's complete failure to actual do any basic responsible service of alcohol checks. Nobody looks at the chest-puffing lurkers the stadium calls protective and thinks 'oh, I'll ask those friendly looking fellows to come over and use their extensive training in conflict resolution and dealing with unruly behaviour, I'm sure they can take the heat out of the situation effectively and calmy'. No, lets not have any effort directed at the actual problems in the crowds. We've got themed rounds for all that [censored]. Meanwhile, I see the social injustice warriors have decided it is all part of the neo-marxist militant feminist gaygenda. Whoopeee do. One might almost think that the AFL knew they'd get away with anything, thanks to the right kinds of nuffies getting worked up and making it about their own wacky persecution complexes to the point where nobody else wants to go near it.
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Can we still make the 8?
Hmm.. let's see... how much longer before it becomes a mathematical impossibility, even allowing for crazed gains in percentage? Current situation is we need, over the course of ten games: +4 wins (and %) over the single worst performer of Brisbane, Fremantle and Richmond, AND +3 wins (and %) over ALL of Port, Essendon and St Kilda. +2 wins (and %) over ALL of Hawthorn, Kangaroos and Bulldogs. If you accept the realistic view of our percentage then you need to turn those figures into +5, +4 and +3. Does anyone need a more solid 'nope' than that? I do! I'm just going to keep saying 'one more win' to myself until the end of the season. Like the players and coaches should be, except I'll also be maintaining my mad delusion.
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Jason Taylor Resume
To be clear, by ordinary I meant just average, not 'ordinary' in the Australian euphemism sense! I'm also referring to the relatively recent drafting, within a timeframe that could be compared to Jason Taylor. Darling, McGovern and Shuey are all recruits from 2010 or earlier, and as I said, 15 of the Eagles best-22 have been in the system for at least 8 years. Oh, Happy Birthday to Andrew Gaff, who turned 27 today and his age was updated as I was looking at the tables! Ryan, Petruccelle, Rioli and definitely top value selections (and, annoyingly, a collection of what we wish we had more of) but not the kind that pull a team up. Fact is the foundations of the Eagle's side were laid a long time ago. If the Eagles had been in our position six years ago, their drafting/recruiting (even giving them a bonus to account for our better first-round picks) woudl not have ben enough to transform them to a top-level side. West Coast starting players 27 years or older: F: Kennedy HF: Cripps Darling C : Redden Gaff HB: Hurn McGovern Sheppard B: Jetta Schofield FOLL: Naitanui Shuey Int: Vardy, Hickey, Hutchings, Masten Even dropping one of Vardy/Hickey, that means the Eagles only need to fill seven spots from the last nine years of talent coming into the AFL system. That balance is almost a precise reversal of the Demon's situation. They clearly got something hugely right in their recruiting 'back in the day', but since the convenient separation point of the 2011 complete fail draft (which we also shanked massively), they have been only ok.
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Jason Taylor Resume
Joining in the effort to assemble something to compare Taylor's record to - here we have the Eagles. For brevity I've only included the 'good' or adequate enough picks, and any first rounders. 2018 - Nothing to report yet, though also no first rounder. 2017 - Jarrod Brander in the first round, no action so far. Oscar Allen, Liam Ryan and Jack Petruccelle making this draft look like a winner. 2016 - 1st round, Daniel Venebles. Then Willie Rioli and Jake Waterman of note, later. 2015 - No first round, and only pick playing regular games is Tom Cole 2014 - First Round Liam Duggan, only other is Jackson Nelson 2013 - First Round Dom Sheed, then Tom Barass. 2012 - no first round, then Mark Hutchings and Callum Sinclair 2011 - no first round, and Fraser Mcinnes? An entirely failed draft. 2010 - First round Gaff, priority pick Darling (it pays to tank, eh) also Scott Lycett and the rookie drafting of Jeremy McGovern 2009 - Brad Shepphad at pick 7, nothing else. 2008 - first round Nic Naitanui, priority pick Luke Shuey (ohh boy, isn't tanking awesome) My read of it - aside from nailing their tanking seasons way back in 2008 and 2010, West Coast have actually been pretty ordinary with drafting. They also traded in Josh Hill, then Sharrod Wellingham (for pick 18... Brodie Grundy), Elliot Yeo (for pick 28), Jack Redden (for pick 21), Lewis Jetta (for Callum Sinclair), and Nathan Vardy (for pick 72). I'd say our list selection has been overall better than West Coast in recent years. Consider the Eagle shave 15 players in their current best-22 who are Gaff's age (26) or older, of whom 5 are over thirty, I don't think their recent drafting is a part of their success story. In fact, for West Coast, it all comes back to successful tanking, and the Judd trade, of course.
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Round 13 Non MFC Games
Odd numbered year. Always in trouble. Been 28 years (1991) since we last won a final in an odd numbered year. 10 even-numbered-year finals wins since then.
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AFL and 18 Clubs apologise to Adam Goodes
That piece of news popping up for some reason made me go back and check his playing career stats, and awards. Also spent some time just reminiscing about his playing style and roles. Setting everything else aside for a moment, is it just me or would Adam Goodes be the precisely perfect player to add to our 22 right now? Plenty of goals, a huge load of goal-assists, really effective at getting the ball to dangerous places and doing it quickly and decisively, good at offering leads backed by top workrate. And as a bonus he contributed most of that right from the start of his career (hence the 372 games). Oh, and uh... just for the people still splurting on as if his 'playing for frees' was an actual thing and not just a shameful beat-up... his career average for 'Frees For' was one a game, which doesn't even put him in the top-100 for 2019. His highest season average for frees was 1.3, which just barely sneaks him into the current top-70 for 2019... and that average is when he was playing primarily as an undersized ruckman/mid. If he was flopping and diving for frees an unusual amount, then clearly it was also the one and only aspect of Australian football that he wasn't elite at. Oh, to have a pick 43 the likes of Adam Goodes.