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Strike Rate of Top 10 Picks to All Australian

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Demonland Legend

Demonland   70,458

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28% from 2005 to 2015 because players from 2016-2020 haven't had enough time to establish themselves. 

Of the 110 players taken in the top 10 in that time period, 31 have worn All-Australian blazers – a 28 per cent strike rate.

And of those 31, a combined 10 have come from either the 2005 or 2012 drafts.

Most years you have closer to a 20 per cent chance of landing an All-Australian calibre player in the top 10, but 2005 and 2012 both had strike rates of 50 per cent.

2005

Marc Murphy (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Dale Thomas (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Xavier Ellis 

Josh Kennedy (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Scott Pendlebury (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Beau Dowler 

Paddy Ryder (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Jarrad Oakleigh-Nicholls 

Mitch Clark 

Marcus Drum
5/10

2006

Bryce Gibbs 

Scott Gumbleton 

Lachlan Hansen 

Matthew Leuenberger 

Travis Boak (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Mitch Thorp 

Joel Selwood (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Ben Reid (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

David Armitage 

Nathan Brown
3/10

2007

Matthew Kreuzer 

Trent Cotchin (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Chris Masten 

Cale Morton 

Jarrad Grant 

David Myers 

Rhys Palmer

Lachie Henderson 

Ben McEvoy 

Patrick Dangerfield (ALL-AUSTRALIAN)
2/10

2008

Jack Watts 

Nic Naitanui (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Stephen Hill 

Hamish Hartlett 

Michael Hurley (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Chris Yarran 

Daniel Rich (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Ty Vickery 

Jack Ziebell 

Phil Davis
3/10

2009

Tom Scully 

Jack Trengove 

Dustin Martin (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Anthony Morabito 

Ben Cunnington 

Gary Rohan 

Brad Sheppard (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

John Butcher 

Andrew Moore 

Jake Melksham
2/10

2010

David Swallow 

Harley Bennell 

Sam Day 

Andrew Gaff (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Jared Polec 

Reece Conca 

Josh Caddy 

Dyson Heppell (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Dion Prestia 

Daniel Gorringe
2/10

2011

Jon Patton 

Stephen Coniglio 

Dom Tyson 

Will Hoskin-Elliott 

Matt Buntine 

Chad Wingard (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Nick Haynes (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Billy Longer 

Adam Tomlinson 

Liam Sumner
2/10

2012

Lachie Whitfield (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Jonathan O’Rourke 

Lachie Plowman 

Jimmy Toumpas 

Jake Stringer (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Jack Macrae (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Ollie Wines (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Sam Mayes 

Nick Vlastuin 

Joe Daniher (ALL-AUSTRALIAN)
5/10

2013

Tom Boyd 

Josh Kelly (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Jack Billings 

Marcus Bontempelli (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Kade Kolodjashnij 

Matthew Scharenberg 

James Aish 

Luke McDonald 

Christian Salem 

Nathan Freeman
2/10

2014

Paddy McCartin 

Christian Petracca (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Angus Brayshaw 

Jarrod Pickett 

Jordan De Goey 

Caleb Marchbank 

Paul Ahern 

Peter Wright 

Darcy Moore (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Nakia Cockatoo
2/10

2015

Jacob Weitering 

Josh Schache 

Callum Mills 

Clayton Oliver (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Darcy Parish (ALL-AUSTRALIAN) 

Aaron Francis

Jacob Hopper

Callum Ah Chee

Sam Weideman

Harry McKay (ALL-AUSTRALIAN)
3/10

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Mach5 Redleg

Mach5   4,701

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Good on them for doing a fair bit of legwork, but I think the results aren’t terribly informative. The All-Australian team theoretically has only around 5-7 mids (although absurdly they will get squeezed into a HFF too), but it is quite possible if not likely to have a league-wide top-20 or even top-10 AFL player who does not make it into the AA team of 22 because of a midfield glut.

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Ollie fan Redleg

Ollie fan   3,134

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That sets out the All Australian team and their draft selection. 
 

Only 1 no 1 pick. 5 picks over 40 including one rookie draftee.

 

I have always thought the draft is overrated and I think a club is mad to trade a good player for a draft pick. A draft pick is the hope of a good player; a good player is an actual good player.

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Mach5 Redleg

Mach5   4,701

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13 hours ago, Ollie fan said:

That sets out the All Australian team and their draft selection. 
 

Only 1 no 1 pick. 5 picks over 40 including one rookie draftee.

 

I have always thought the draft is overrated and I think a club is mad to trade a good player for a draft pick. A draft pick is the hope of a good player; a good player is an actual good player.


Although it does highlight another issue with this list - Hawkins would have been top ten if not a Father-son selection, and May I believe would have been top ten if not a priority selection from NT by GC.

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La Dee-vina Comedia Legend

La Dee-vina Comedia   16,664

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On 10/2/2021 at 6:23 PM, Ollie fan said:

That sets out the All Australian team and their draft selection. 
 

Only 1 no 1 pick. 5 picks over 40 including one rookie draftee.

 

I have always thought the draft is overrated and I think a club is mad to trade a good player for a draft pick. A draft pick is the hope of a good player; a good player is an actual good player.

In essence I agree with your point, but sometimes good players are traded out for reasons such as homesickness, age profile, salary cap management and player behaviour (ie, off field issues).

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