Everything posted by Macca
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A Day at the Races
Good call again JV
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A Day at the Races
That's the way we race in Australia ... and I doubt it will ever change Other jurisdictions around the world it is way different. Here - its often a free-for-all but luck works both ways just not your way today.
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A Day at the Races
Race Day! And the Demons are playing for a finals spot. Bit like the old days when if you couldn't get to the game you'd listen in on 3DB or 3UZ (the racing channels) And we were often broadcast on either of those 2 channels. 7 total minutes of footy action over the 3 hours!
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A Day at the Races
Seeing we're on a new page I've quoted the exotic combo post. And it must be said that the racing up at Randwick is first rate tomorrow as well. Verry Elleegant looks the winner in the George Main G1 but Avilius might not be done with yet. And both Paul Joice & Ron Dufficy have picked Life Less Ordinary (was 20-1, now 12-1) in the Kingston Town Stakes (Race 8) Should get a nice run in the race. They also both like Prime Candidate 6-1 (Race 1) and Think it Over 9-1 (Race 3) ... bit of value there. Gator's tips are up on the Racing.com site (under the guise of best bets)
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A Day at the Races
I'm doing something very similar Gorg ... the wide exotic (F4 esp) acts much like the multi Small outlay for an excellent return. If you win with the right combo. Got to throw in a value runner or 2 though. And we've done that with our 6 picks It's good fun focusing in on one race as a group. I can trust my teammates. But even if Behemoth wins the exotics can pay well. Especially if Dollar for Dollar & Pretty Brazen get into the finish. I tried the low percentage wide F4 today at Newcastle and ended up doubling my total outlay on the 3 races. And I just missed the last race F4 which paid over 3k. I went 3/7/7/7 instead of boxing the 6. Got the winner in the 3 races but that's the beauty of group racing. Finding the winner is easier compared to benchmark races (IMV) Mugatoo won well again ... an ADATR Blackbooker!
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A Day at the Races
Don't mozz things Gorg!!! Don't you know the golden rules of punting (unwritten) ? Shoosh! Let's face it, there's a heap of chances but you can't have them all. But I know this, if we do land a Tri or F4 with these picks (in the right combo) the dividend will be healthy. Esp if Behemoth is run out of the finish. But the big boy is the horse to beat. It's drawn well and Williams shouldn't have too much trouble getting the horse out in a (probable) truly run race. The topweight at 60kgs but the lightweight horses are carrying 54kgs (instead of 52kgs) As always, you need a bit of luck.
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A Day at the Races
So we"ve got our 6 choices for the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes. If there's a scratching in the morning Wadda can post up the sub choice. And we can all get our chance to post up the possible sub (in rotation) but you've got to be available to do so on a Saturday morning Might be best to hold off on having a bet in the race post the morning scratchings. Just a thought. But let's hope we can get a collect first time up. All our choices have been winning or running on well in good company so we're definitely in with a chance. Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes 1400m Group1 $500k #1 Behemoth (Default Pick) 7-2 #4 Cascadian (DZ) 12-1 #5 Superstorm (Macca) 9-1 #6 Dollar for Dollar (JV) 25-1 #11 Age of Chivalry (Gorg) 9-1 #13 Pretty Brazen (Wadda) 15-1
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A Day at the Races
#5 Superstorm is my choice I will post up the list later in a separate post but the other 5 choices are in the quoted post The all important numbers are ... 1, 4, 5, 6, 11 & 13. Use them any way you wish.
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A Day at the Races
3 x Group 3 races today at Newcastle (including the Newcastle Cup) All decent fields too ... Mugatoo being the hot favourite in the Cup But I'm doing a few small F4 bets (testing the water for tomorrow!) Go to Racenet.com for the fields & form
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A Day at the Races
And we now have 5 choices for the 6 pick exotic (Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes) #1 Behemoth (Default Pick) #4 Cascadian (DZ) #11 Age of Chivalry (Gorg) #6 Dollar for Dollar (JV) #13 Pretty Brazen (Wadda) If there aren't any more takers by 6pm tomorrow I'll post up a choice. But I like all the choices so far anyway ... My first 3 choices have been taken up but in such a wide open betting race, there's a few others to choose from So we should have it all finalised by tomorrow evening. Putting a bet on is optional of course and up to the individual in any way they prefer. I'm tossing up between a Tri & F4 but I might split my outlay and have 2 smaller bets on either exotic. And a small percentage can still deliver a very decent dividend. Thanks in advance for participating.
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A Day at the Races
And we have 3 choices already for the 6 pick exotic (Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes) #1 Behemoth (Default Pick) #4 Cascadian (DZ) #11 Age of Chivalry (Gorg)
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A Day at the Races
Some nice value there fella's I've already worked out a few doubles and a treble as well as using 1 or 2 picks as place options (in small multi's) The big multi only has to cost the price of a coffee but there is always value within all the picks. And there's still a couple/few best bets to come in. This is the bounce-back weekend, I know it ?
- Monkey Business
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A Day at the Races
Best Bet (Saturday) Caulfield Race 4 No.7 Front Page (Win) $3.10
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NFL
@layzie @Gorgoroth @DemonDave @Dr. Gonzo @JV7 @Dappa Dan @titan_uranus @DeeSpencer @Clintosaurus @Dee Zephyr @Go the Biff Might copy & paste the above when I think of it Anyway, 2 points on offer in the tipping comp this week. No leaderboard yet as we're all still in the barriers (Chautauqua style)
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A Day at the Races
@Wadda We Sing @Dee Zephyr @JV7 @Biffin @rolling fog @Gorgoroth The Team Exotic (for want of a better term) The choices (6) can be used for your favourite type of exotic bet (Quinella, Exacta, Trifecta, First4) A total of 6 nominated horses only in a chosen event (so get in early) n.b. One choice each only If your choice gets scratched you get another choice (once alerted) All choices will be collated at the end of the week for your perusal (Friday or Saturday) Nominate 1 horse only - it's not multi choice. No pre-empting please. If possible, nominate your choice along with your best bet (in the same post) Remember, it's all about the team! This week's nominated race is the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes so good luck! Executive decision - unless anyone has any objections, we can include 'Behemoth' as the default 1st pick. That way, everyone else can look for some value. So we're really only looking for 5 more choices. And I don't mind in the least if I miss out first time up ... so go to it ladies and gentlemen. First in, best dressed. I'll make a choice on Friday if all the slots aren't filled by then.
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A Day at the Races
A total of 9 Stakes races at Caulfield & Randwick on Saturday including 2 x G1's, 2 x G2's & 4 x G3's Main interest will be with the G1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (our nominated 'Team Exotic') & the G1 George Main Stakes. Some great racing to be had Randwick Saturday (full card) ... Stakes Races 4, 5, 6, 7 & 8 Caulfield Saturday (full card) ... Stakes Races 6, 7, 8 & 9 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes G1 1400m $500k (Field, Form & Odds) George Main Stakes G1 1500m $500k (Fields, Form & Odds)
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A Day at the Races
@Wadda We Sing ... executive decision time. If you're going to be around on Saturday and we get a late scratching, just add one yourself. But you're going to have to do it early as people here won't want to hang around or wait too long. I barely get 5 minutes to scratch myself on a Saturday so I don't want to be checking in here too much. Not everyone is idle during Covid-19. Half I know are flat out like I am. The other half are bored witless. Or just leave it at 5 choices (if we had 6 nominated) ... I'll leave it up to you. We can worry about rotating the sub choice later on but from a personal point of view, it won't bother me at all if there are only 5 choices ... I'll just add 1 or 2 myself. Preview to follow
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A Day at the Races
If it goes from 6 nominated to 5 because of a Saturday scratching I don't believe we should be too fussed. Make it low maintenance Individuals can add their own private choice or choices from the 5 left over if there's a Saturday scratching. If the scratching happens Friday or earlier the person gets another go if they are alerted and aware. Otherwise the thing becomes too cumbersome with too much moderation for any individual (and it won't be me as I work Saturdays) Any earlier scratching can be worked the same way we work the best bets. By the way, with the best bets, I don't view the choices as a 5 or 6 pick multi as first port of call. Others can but that's their choice. I'd much rather single bets, a double or 2 and maybe a treble. I'll still have a coffee on the bigger multi but with zero expectations.
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A Day at the Races
I replied to this post in the post above Wadda but the post didn't quote--up (so to speak) But as for the exotic 6(?) pick should we just include Behemoth as the first choice so we can all pick something else. Solved the problem of finding the 6th participant as well. 6 picks and then people can do whatever they like with them ... allows everyone to have their own flexibility. So we just list the 6 picks once the 6 are in. Any scratchings and again, allow each individual to adjust on their own terms Keep it as simple as possible. Otherwise, it's too cumbersome and high maintenance. Behemoth as the standard bearer (?) So we then only need 5 others. We'll probably be done by Friday is my guess. I might go 3/7/7/7 but adding my own choice to the 6 (but not publicly)
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A Day at the Races
No worries Wadda I reckon the banter is great on race day ... terrific reading for those who read it later. And lets face it, it can become a bit of a free-for-all with tips aplenty (which is also terrific) But for an organised group bet we need to start as early as possible. For instance, JV7, Gorg, myself & DZ like to get in early. And yourself as well on occasions. So we'll have it all covered early if I'm reading the tea leaves right. Those who come in late run the risk of missing out. After 11.00am Saturday as a cut off time(?) Just a thought I also appreciate the work you do in collating all the best bets. Kudos. I'll post up some replays & preview later on ... as usual, flat chat at work!
- Monkey Business
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CYCLING
Richie Porte up to 6th and riding really well. Only 2'13" off the lead with a top 5 finish beckoning and a podium finish not far out of reach. His team is working well for him too. Pogacar looked strong last night and last years winner (Bernal) was dropped and is now out of contention. Roglic still leads. In the Alps tonight as well as tomorrow and Thursday. A flatter stage on Friday with the time trial on Saturday. There is still a lot to play out.
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NFL
Listened to both games today (on & off) ... none of the teams today look all that threatening although the Steelers might be half decent. As is often the norm no one picked up any points in the tipping comp. 2 out of 3 ain't bad but it ain't good either when looking for 3 road winners. Colts & Eagles put most out. My 3 standout winners for the week - Seahawks, Patriots, Ravens. Rams, Packers, KC & Saints all did what they needed to do. Teams to post a significant loss - 49ers, Colts, Eagles, Vikings.
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A Day at the Races
Showmanship out for the Spring with a tendon injury. Hopefully back in the Autumn. Such a shame as the horse was looking a real force for the Spring. Behemoth now favourite for the G1 Rupert Clarke Stakes ($3.50) but after that there are any number of chances. Dare I say it, a good betting race! 6-1 up to 15-1 ... Buffalo River, Perfect Jewel, Tagaloa, I Am Superman, Superstorm, Age of Chivalry, Cascadian & Begood Toya Mother are all not without chances. Some great value amongst the roughies too (that'll suit Biff) 25-1 up to 33-1 Reykjavik, Harbour Views, The Inevitable, Heptagon, Blazejowski Not a bad choice for a F4 team exotic (hint hint)