Everything posted by speed demon
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PREGAME: Rd 12 vs Carlton
I’m a “reader” and not a “poster” as evidenced by my 144 posts in 13 years. I’ve also never taken a fellow Demonlander to task before. Yet, your post kept me awake last night. I only post this now because of the high regard I hold for the quality of your posts and your influence on other Demonlanders. As an additional preface, I want to make clear that I share your concerns with all the issues you have raised about the present state of the game. I have not followed the game for as long as you. However, in the 35 years I have followed the game, people have always complained about the umpiring, the rules, the tribunal and the administration. Furthermore, there have always been those who have claimed the game is at its lowest ebb. I suspect it has always been such and always will be. This discussion need not be restricted to football. People make similar comments about the state of society generally. So, I am naturally sceptical of such claims. What is missing from your post and similar lamentations is balance. For all the negatives you have identified – and with which I agree – there are positives. Most obviously is the phenomenal success of women’s football and the explosion in participation. This is great for the game, gender equality and public health more broadly. Football clubs and matches (AFL/VFL and local) were once places of open racism that was not only tolerated but encouraged. Racial slurs were seen as a legitimate way of putting an opponent off their game. Whatever you think of clubs taking a stance on the Voice, surely we can agree that there is less racism in football today and that is a good thing. What was once glorified as toughness has been better identified as thuggery and the game is cleaner. Does anyone really think we need more players running past the ball to shirt front an unsuspecting player? Toughness is better appreciated as playing the ball and never shirking a contest. Viney, along with Oliver and Petracca, are outstanding examples of tough and clean players. The players are bigger, stronger, faster and more skilful. The tactics and strategy are more complex. Fundamentally, when you strip away inconsistent umpiring and ambiguous rules, the game is still fascinating and spectacular. I look at my young boys. They love playing this athletic and skilful team game with an odd-shaped ball, just as I did at their age. They have no awareness of the concerns I have about the direction of the game. Though I’m sure they will when they are my age, when their own kids develop their love of the game and I bemoan how the game is not what is was in the 2020s when the MFC won a cabinet full of premiership trophies. My point is, just as the game and society change, so do we. Psychological research shows we have a tendency towards preferring to maintain the status quo as we age. We also have a cognitive bias towards negativity and we weight losses more than gains (i.e. the negative effect of losing $100 is greater than the positive effect of winning $100). Evolutionary psychology theory argues we have evolved thus because this confers a survival advantage (at the expense of our happiness and with the burden of anxiety). So, the negatives are easy to identify and we tend to overestimate their magnitude. We may need to look harder, but the positives are there as well. Across the course of my life, on balance, both football and society have changed for the better. Thanks for your great insights and humour over the years. I trust you will receive this post in the spirit with which it was intended.
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2023 Injury List
What is going on is that a journalist is trying to stay on top of a news story despite an absence of intelligent information.
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PREGAME: Rd 10 vs Yartapuulti
At the start of the year, I would not have thought Salem, Bowey and McVee play in the same team. Nor Pickett, Spargo, Neal-Bullen and Chandler. Yet here we are with all of them playing. Loving the way the club is prioritising fast and accurate ball movement and experimenting with personnel.
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PREGAME: Rd 10 vs Yartapuulti
In the excellent Demonland podcast interview with Selwyn Griffith, Selwyn makes a point about the high performance team striving to have injured players return "AFL ready" (ie without the need to return via VFL). He goes on to describe some of the strategies used to achieve this. Seems they didn't get it right with Salem last year. That doesn't mean don't try again. Hopefully, they've learnt from the experience and prepared him better this time. Will make for very a interesting subplot to a great match.
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Tasmanian AFL Team
I don't buy issues with player retainment being an inevitability. Build a great club - good coaches, players, staff, facilities, supporters, community engagement - and most players will be keen to stay for the enjoyable environment, positive culture and prospect of success. If perennial warm weather and density of night clubs is a player's highest priority, well, perhaps they are not the type of player that makes great clubs.
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PODCAST: Steven May Interview
Andy, thanks for providing such outstanding content. Interviews such as this are simply not available in the commercial media. Compliments on your excellent interviewing technique; conversant with the subject matter, well-prepared with a diverse range of engaging questions and your subject at ease. Great insights in Maysie and the MFC. Superb work.
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Fresh problems for Liam Jurrah
I spent a week working in Yuendumu. Coincidentally, the same week Jurrah made his debut for the Dees. Hard to put into (concise) words the experience of being in the community. Needless to say, to make it to the AFL from Yuendumu takes a rare talent indeed. Really sad to hear this news.
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What a waste of a season!
Agree this needs to be looked at. There were rapturous articles about Petracca getting back into training very early in the off season. His form peaked in rounds 1 and 2. Haile Gebreselassie, one of the all time greatest distance runners, who would easily run >200km per week during a training cycle, spoke of the importance of complete rest at the end of the season. No running at all for a couple of week. Eat well. Let niggles subside. Then climb back up the mountain...
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Why did we fade out in games?
Great post. Elite sport is tainted with pseudoscience masquerading as properly conducted science. The temptation of fame and money magnetises people to new technology & ideas, while repelling them from boringly adhering to scientific principles. Seems like this year we overtrained and underperformed. Happens all the time in athletics (and I'm sure other sports). Once an athlete reaches an 'overtrained' state that's it for the season. There's not returning to peak fitness. This is clearly different to the concept of loading/periodisation; but it is what happens when loading/periodisation is overdone. I'm sure the club will be reviewing this closely and learning from it. At least we have a core group of players who've done a lot of work over two years. Get the training load management right and I think we'll be back to running out games well next year.
- Overseas Dees - How are you watching the finals?
- Overseas Dees - How are you watching the finals?
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Premiership Metrics - what do the last ten premiership teams have in common?
Great thread. Thx @WheeloRatings. @binman, I agree with what you posted above based on my experiences in distance running. 800/1500m runners can maintain their form at peak for 6-8 weeks if they manage their volume and intensity carefully. Sometimes, doing so is necessary to hit qualifying times and still perform at peak in the championship 8 weeks later. The marathon is the other extreme and runners adopt the strategy of aiming to peak on the day (and usually won't do a hard running session for four weeks afterwards). AFL is probably most comparable to 5,000/10,000m running in terms of load. There are numerous examples of 5,000/10,000m athletes performing personal best times - even world records - across a 4-5 week span. Even if there was a small potential gain in aiming to peak at PF or GF, this gain would be offset by the greater risk of not making the PF/GF. Additionally, the is also the positive effect on morale of hitting peak form leading into the finals, which should not be underestimated. So, my best guess is that a club believing itself to be a genuine premiership contender would plan their training to reach peak fitness for the final round of the season. With the following week off and with a QF final win this would mean 4 games over 6 weeks which would provide enough intensity as well as recovery to maintain peak fitness through to the GF.
- Overseas Dees - How are you watching the finals?
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CHANGES: Rd 23 vs Brisbane
Adds to the case against Harmes with the short break and tough slog. I'd like to see more run from half back and the nearside (non-Langdon) wing so I'd be interested in seeing: Bowey into the back line. Hunt to the wing. Jordon to the mid-field (can he tag?). Sparrow out. Main concern with the above is what to do about tagging Neale.
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Farewell Brodie Grundy
I hear what you're saying and of course the medical staff would need to go their due diligence but from the superficial details available about Grundy's injuries we need not be scared off. A PCL tear is a common injury for ruckman - so we shouldn't hold that against him - and most make a successful recovery. That he sustained a stress fracture after his recovery from the PCL injury says more about load management during his rehabilitation rather than a tendency to be injury prone. Perhaps they pushed a little too aggressively with the prospect of a deep run into the finals on the horizon? A year out of the game at 28 for ruckman gives time for other injuries to settle and may actually prolong his career.
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Farewell Brodie Grundy
Worth considering. Part of the appeal of Grundy at the Dees is that he is NOT at our premiership rivals Geelong and Pies. However, would he not prefer Geelong and be #1 ruck?
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In Season - Loading/Periodisation: Put your conjecture here.
The New Zealand athletics coach Arthur Lydiard popularised periodisation training when his runners came from nowhere to be world beaters in the early 1960's. His own explanations for the physiological benefits of periodisation training were a bit inaccurate but science caught up by the 1980's to provide a physiological basis his methodology . If professional sports team, replete with fitness staff, are not using these principles now that would be akin to a pilot insisting the Earth is flat.
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Eddie Betts opens up on the weird camp
On the topic of leadership, I think Max is the right leader for the times. He displays the best traditional values associated with elite performance - competitiveness, toughness, high standards, continual self-improvement - and the best progressive values - accepting uniqueness, embracing diversity, compassion for team mates and proves that the two styles need not be mutually exclusive.
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Welcome to Demonland: Country Road
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Welcome to Demonland: Country Road
Manchester - if that's the right word - is not my thing. I was vaguely conscious of new towels appearing in our house several months ago and that they were of particularly high quality. After reading your post, I noticed for the first time they are from Country Road. Naturally, I have now complimented my wife on her exquisite taste in towels and informed of the 20% discount on future such purchases. Thx for your post!
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In Season - Loading/Periodisation: Put your conjecture here.
Ha! Yes, I thought that was uncharacteristically lame.
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In Season - Loading/Periodisation: Put your conjecture here.
There's a difference between being an expert on football and an expert at analysis and therein lies the problem with football commentators. They may have great knowledge of the game (e.g. tactics at stoppages, defensive set ups or forward craft) but they show a lack of understanding of basic principles of data analysis and interpretation (e.g. consideration of data quality, causal direction, confounding factors). They also express common cognitive biases such as recency bias (David King ) and overconfidence bias (Dermie). This is to be expected; just as it takes years to develop a knowledge of the game so to it takes years to acquire proficiency in data analysis & interpretation. Alas, sophisticated analysis and interpretation would make for dry media content (though the Mongrel Punt shows it's possible) . So, content makers proceed with the maxim "enrage to engage"!
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Stats Files - 2022
I thought that was the best game we've played in 2022 so interesting that it is not reflected in the stats. Perhaps this is due to the way the game was played? The 'whole of team' defensive pressure meant a lot of time was spent with Freo chipping the ball laterally (Freo accumulating stats) and afraid to take on our defensive zone (Dees not accumulating stats).
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Farewell Sam Weideman
I've never seen a player look more dejected after kicking a goal. Especially, a goal to give his team a near unassailable lead...in a big game...leading up to a premiership defence. Weid is on record (circa 2020) talking about underperformance in 2019 being attributable to struggling to manage the weight of expectation that came after his 2018 finals series. The view that a lack of desire explains his inadequate intensity are off the mark IMO. I imagine he's desperate to succeed - why wouldn't he be - and being unable to do so gives rise to negative emotions that further impairs performance. Reminds me of a batsmen in cricket suffering a form slump who then loses confidence and subsequently can barely hold a bat.
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What They Are Saying at Moorabool Street
I'm afflicted with many Geelong supporters in my life and was literally just thinking tonight that we are now into the second decade since they won a premiership. Great meme.